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D. Lungu, C. Arion, A. Aldea and R. Vacareanu Technical University of Civil Engineering, Bucharest
Local site Engineering Deep bedrock basin Crust and Mantle Seismic bedrock basement source
The unusual nature of the ground motion and the extent and distribution of the structural damage have important bearing on earthquake engineering efforts in the United States. Jennings & Blume, NRC & EERI Report
World Map of Natural Hazards prepared by the Mnich Re, 1998 indicates for Bucharest: Large city with Mexico-city effect
"Nowhere else in the world is a center of population so exposed to earthquakes originating repeatedly from the same source" Charles Richter. 15 March 1977, Letter to the Romanian government
Vrancea source
Rep. of Moldova
Event 1802, 1829, 1838, 1940, 1977, 1986, October 26 November 20 June 23 November 10 March 4 August 30
Focus depth. km
3.50 3.00
Normalized SA
2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50
Period, s
High dynamic amplification at long periods, dangerous for high-rise buildings, that makes Bucharest the most dangerous capital city of Europe
INCERC N-S'77
=0,05
400 300 200 100 0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 T,s
ADRS
700
TC=1,34s
INCERC N-S'77
=0,05
600 500 SA , cm/s
INCERC N-S'77
=0,05
50 25 0 0.0
50 40
TD=1,90s
0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 T,s
TC=1,34s TD=1,90s
INCERC N-S'77
=0,05
SD , cm
30 20 10 0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 T,s
The recorded maximum peak ground acceleration in Romania during 1977, 1986 and 1990 Vrancea earthquakes
ROMANIA. Maximum peak ground acceleration PGA, cm/s2 recorded during 1977, 1986 and 1990 VRANCEA earthquakes
N W S E
21 48
22
23
24
Ukraine 25
26
27
28
29
Hungary
Botosani
# #
11.5
Satu-Mare
Republic of Moldova
Krasnogorka Chisinau
& #
Moldova
Iasi
146.4
47
#
t Pru
82.0
212.8
&
50.9
Bacau
132.0
Barlad
# #
INCERC network INFP network GEOTEC network R. of Moldova network Bulgaria network March 4, 1977 Mw=7.5 h=109 km Aug.30, 1986 Mw=7.2 h=133 km May 30, 1990 Mw=7.0 h=91 km
Transilvania Banat
Mures Timisoara
#
Onesti
46
Vrancioaia
&
Cahul
136.6
97.2
Vidraru Arges
$
14.3
# Valenii de Munte
Campina #
79.1
297.1
1977 Istrita
%
158.6
Carcaliu
26.1
Pitesti
186.9 #
#
61.5
45
#
Ploiesti
45.8 208.6
Bolintin Vale
#
223.8
Peris#
90.8 # Dobrogea
Fetesti Cernavoda
#
Craiova
#
100.4 #
107.1
Constanta
Yugoslavia Danube
#
Black Sea
Turnu Magurele
Epicenters of strong #
Vrancea events (Mw > 6.9)
112.2 Bulgaria
200 Kilometers
Provadia 48.2
&
Varna
&
33.6
100
100
Free field
Altus K2 accelerometer
Borehole sensor
Borehole sensor
19 storeys
Acceleration Top - transv. (peak:- 69.4 cm/s/s)
Acc. (cm/s/s)
40
50
60
70
80
110
120
130
140
150
B3
Characteristics of the horizontal components of motions recorded by NCSRR seismic station BLD1
- 10 July 2004, Mw=4.3, h=150km, - 27 Sept. 2004, Mw=4.6, h=166km, - 27 Oct. 2004, Mw=6.0, h=99km, - 14 May 2005, Mw=5.2, h=144km, - 18 June 2005, Mw=5.0, h=135km, - 8 Sept. 2005, Mw=4.3, h=140km.
PA, 2 cm/s 07/10/2004 09/27/2004 10/27/2004 05/14/2005 06/18/2005 09/08/2005 SNS SEW SNS SEW SNS SEW SNS SEW SNS SEW SNS SEW 1.61 2.03 8.59 7.62 22.26 26.12 5.65 6.33 6.99 6.89 0.59 1.29 Tc, s 0.23 0.29 0.22 0.30 0.31 0.41 0.25 0.28 0.29 0.33 0.31 0.30 Td, s 0.35 0.38 0.40 0.44 0.62 0.78 1.18 0.69 0.46 0.63 0.44 0.38 EPA, 2 cm/s 1.36 1.57 5.85 7.13 22.57 24.66 3.90 4.89 5.58 5.36 0.60 0.99 EPV, cm/s 0.05 0.07 0.20 0.34 1.13 1.62 0.15 0.22 0.25 0.28 0.03 0.05 EPD, cm 0.003 0.004 0.01 0.02 0.11 0.20 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.002 0.003 f10, Hz 3.03 2.54 2.64 2.25 1.46 1.46 2.64 1.76 2.44 1.76 2.64 2.64 f50, Hz 5.08 4.49 4.98 4.39 3.13 3.71 4.59 4.49 4.39 3.81 4.10 3.42 f90, Hz 9.96 9.08 8.11 7.62 8.30 8.79 10.06 8.30 7.62 7.91 10.06 7.91 f90-f10, Hz 6.93 6.54 5.47 5.37 6.84 7.32 7.42 6.54 5.18 6.15 7.42 5.27
Y 219.8 #
Otopeni
E
0.67 Otopeni
E
Y #
TUNARI
TUNARI
AI OD
A
AI OD
A
BA NA
TU
IL TR PE
LU I
BA NA
TU LU I
IL TR PE
ES TI
ES TI
CE
N CE
ST EF AN
NORDULUI
NORDULUI
RUDENI
P PI
RUDENI
P PI
II UT RT VI
UV ER TU RII
CHISINAU
PAC II
Y 100.6 #
TIM ISOARA
96.2 Panduri
Y #
INCERC 95.3
Colentina River
CHISINAU
I CE N TRO CO
Y #
Drumul Sarii
Y #
PA ND UR I
R MA
UNIRII TI ES AS
AL EB EC
PAC II
Y 0.90 #
TIM ISOARA
UV ER
TU RII
1.07 Panduri
1.26
Y #
Y #
A GHENCE
B IR ZE S TI
TII LIBERTA
B IR ZE S T
V IT AN
SA LA J
SA LA J
LE
UR ES TI M
M AR
B UC
CE N
B UC
AS TI
TUR
Metalurgiei Y 71.7 #
OL TE NIT EI
UR ES TI M
AG UR E
AG UR E
LE
V IT
I RIE ND E XA AL
E PI
Dambovita River
E XA AL
AN
I RIE ND
Dambovita river
TII LIBERTA
I AR AN PT
RE SS U CA VU MIL A R B AI IH
Drumul Sarii
Y #
A GHENCE
M AR AS TI
CE N
Metalurgiei
TU R A
OL TE NIT EI
CE
RA TU
Y 1.51 #
I EN RC BE
CE NT
A UR
135.4 Bucuresti-Magurele
[ %
Bucuresti-Magurele [ 1.05 %
Lungu, D., Aldea, A., Demetriu, S., Arion, C., 2000. Zonation of seismic hazard for the city of Bucharest. Technical Report prepared for Association Franaise du Gnie Parasismique, 59p.
CENTURA
CENTURA
Militari
OL ES CU
Y #
IN A
IN IC
ISPH/ARM Z 86.8 $
UI IANCUL
PAN TELIMON
CERN IC A
Titulescu I G TI OL # Y T U 1.10 ES IR
FU UNDENI
FU UNDENI
87.5 Titulescu G
EI LT CU LA
AVIATO
AVIATO
1M AI
TE RA SA
1M AI
I MARAST
I MARAST
RILOR
RILOR
CO LE NT
Militari
CO LE NT GA STEFAN CEL L MARE RII IN A OB OR CU PAN TELIMON D IN UI I IANCUL I CU CE N TRO CO AL EB PA UNIRII EC ND D I UR ST I SE RE SS U RA MA CA VU MIL A R B AI IH M RI NA TA EP I P
L CU LA
I TE
TE RA SA
ISPH/ARM
CERN IC A
Z $
CO NS TA NT A
R ILO VI
CO NS TA NT A
EREN Y 156.0 #
EREN Y 0.76 #
ST E
A ER
I AT UM AF
A ER
I AT UM AF
A UR NT
FA N
RA TU
II IC BL PU RE
II IC BL PU RE
R ILO VI
I EN RC BE
Bucharest: Microzonation map for shear wave velocity (m/s) averaged on 30m
Elastic response spectra for August 30, 1986 free-field seismic records in Bucharest
Bucuresti, 30 august 1986 - miscari inregistrate in free-field 700 600
=0,05
500 S e , cm/s 400 300 200 100 0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0
2
2.5
3.0 T,s
500
=0,05
400
=0,05
300
SA, cm/s
200
200
100
100
2.0
2.5
3.0
COV SA
SA , cm/s
200
SA , cm/s
L comp. T comp.
150
100
50 0 0 1 T,s 2 3
0 0 1 T, s 2 3 50
300
250 200
300
BUCHAREST August 30, 1986 Mw =7.2 METALURGIEI station L comp.
250
SA , cm/s
150
200
SA , cm/s
T comp. 150
100 50 0
300 250 BUCHAREST August 30, 1986 Mw =7.2 METROU - IMGB station
100
200
T,s
50
SA , cm/s
T,s
50 0 0 1 T,s 2 3
4.0 BUCHAREST Aug.30, 1986, M w =7.2 20 horiz. comp. 0.1 probability of exceedance
0.10 Normalized median PSD 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.00 M w =7.2 30 Aug. 1986, 22 comp. 30 May 1990, 22 comp. 31 May 1990, 12 comp. Horiz. comp. M w =7.0 M w =6.3
3.0 Normalized SA
2.0
1.0 0.5 probability of exceedance 0.0 0.0 1.0 Period T , s 2.0 3.0
4 6 Frequency f , Hz
10
3.0 Normalized SA
2.0 0.1 probability of exceedance 0.5 probability of exceedance 0.0 0.0 1.0 Period T , s 2.0 3.0
1.0
Mobility with magnitude of normalized SA spectrum for INCERC seismic station, East of Bucharest
3.5
INCERC, NS comp.
3.0
2.5
Normalized SA
2.0
M w =7.5
1.5
M w =7.2
1.0
0.5
M w =7.0
2.5 3.0 3.5
Period T , s
3.5 4.8/T 3.0 2.5 SA normalizat 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 Perioada T , s 3.0 3.5 4.0 4 Martie 1977, comp. NS PGA=1.95m/s 2 T C =1.5 T C =1.6 T D =2.0 9.6/T
2
7.5/T
4.0 3.5 3.2 3.0 SA normalizat 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 Perioada T , s 3.0 3.5 4.0 T C =0.6 T C =0.5 2.5 0.1 probabilitate de depasire 0.5 30 Aug. 1986, Focsani, comp.EW PGA=2.97 m/s 2 5.76/T T D =3
2 2
1.92/T 1.25/T
3.75/T
3.0
1.5/T
2.0
1.0
media
5.0
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0
0.0
Perioada, T, s
4.0
2.5 2/T
2.0
1.0
media
0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0
Perioada, T, s
Acc2_24 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 -0.05 0 -0.10 -0.15 -0.20 -0.25
a , 'g
a , 'g
10
15
20
10
15
20
t,s
t,s Acc4_24 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 -0.05 0 -0.10 -0.15 -0.20 -0.25
Acc3_24 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 -0.05 0 -0.10 -0.15 -0.20 -0.25
a , 'g
10
15
20
a , 'g
10
15
20
t,s
t,s
Acc5_24 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 -0.05 0 -0.10 -0.15 -0.20 -0.25
a , 'g
10
15
20
t,s
Seismic hazard analysis for Bucharest Recurrence of magnitudes Truncated Gutenberg-Richter law (McGuire & Arabasz, 1990)
(M w ,max M w ) 1 e M w n ( M w ) = e (M M ) 1 e
w ,max w0
tronquee f ( Mw ) Mw
e
1e
( M w M w0 )
( M w max M w0 )
Vrancea subcrustal source (Lungu et al., 2000) Attenuation law Modele type - Molas & Yamazaki (1995) ln PGA = c0 + c1 Mw + c2 lnR +c3R +c4 h + PGA peak ground acceleration Mw- moment magnitude R hypocentral distance h focal depth c0, c1, c2, c3, c4 - coefficients - random variable with zero mean and st. dev.=ln PGA Vrancea subcrustal source (Lungu et al., 2000)
P(PGA>PGA*|m,r) annual exceedance probability of PGA* for an earthquake of magnitude Mw occuring at hypocentrale distance R and depth h (PGA lognormally distributed) f(Mw) probability density function of magnitude f(R) probability density function of hypocentrale distance f(h) probability density function of focal depth
1.E-01
1.E-03
1.E-04 100 150 200 250 300 2 PGA , cm/s 350 400
=0,05
500 400 300 200 100 0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 T,s 2.0 2.5 3.0
Risk-UE Project
Probabilistic zonation of peak ground acceleration for design P100/1-2006 Code: MRI =100 yr
=0.05
3 2.5 Amplification factor 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 0 T C =0.7 0.5 T C =1 1 T D =2 T C =1.6 1.5 2 2.5 Period T , s T D =3 3 3.5 4
= 1+
( 0 1) T
TB
= 0
TC = 0 T
= 0
TC TD T2
4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Perioada T , s 3 3.5 4 T D =3
0 =3
2.1/T
Tc ? 0.7s =0.05