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Fixed Payements
One time up-front
Annual
Variable Payments
Rate
Startup/Shutdown
Minimum
Maintenance
Min
Max
15
9,000,000.00
68,800,000.00
357.50
2
15000
5,362,500.00
12
30
700
735
Off-take Instructions
By 8 AM # of Half hour periods and contractual volume for each period
# of shutdowns
1 shutdown
Total startups per 3 years
4
600
6.8
7.6
10%
15%
1.25
25.00
6.95
Capacity (MwH)
717.5
Delivery Cost
10%
Year 1
Year 2-15
12500
15000
4484375
5381250
Revenue
If option exercised
If option not exercised
112,109,375.00 134,531,250.00
38,958,007.81 46,749,609.38
Fixed Costs
Upfront
Annual
Total
9,000,000.00
57,333,333.33 68,800,000.00
66,333,333.33 68,800,000.00
Variable Costs
Gas Amount
4,468,750.00
31166406.25
5,362,500.00
37399687.5
Gas Cost
Premium over index if option exercised
Delivery Cost
38,958,007.81 46,749,609.38
779,160.16
934,992.19
3,895,800.78 4,674,960.94
Total Cost
If option exercised
If option not exercised
114,435,052.08 126,522,062.50
70,802,083.33 74,162,500.00
Contribution
If option exercised
If option not exercised
68,476,406.25 82,171,687.50
35,062,207.03 42,074,648.44
Operating income
If option exercised
If option not exercised
-
-
2,325,677.08 8,009,187.50
35,739,876.30 - 32,087,851.56
1.25
17.55
6.95
Capacity (MwH)
717.5
Delivery Cost
10%
Year 1
Year 2-15
12500
15000
4484375
5381250
Revenue
If option exercised
If option not exercised
78,695,175.78 94,434,210.94
38,958,007.81 46,749,609.38
Fixed Costs
Upfront
Annual
Total
9,000,000.00
57,333,333.33 68,800,000.00
66,333,333.33 68,800,000.00
Variable Costs
Gas Amount
4,468,750.00
31166406.25
Gas Cost
Delivery Cost
5,362,500.00
37399687.5
38,958,007.81 46,749,609.38
779,160.16
934,992.19
3,895,800.78 4,674,960.94
Total Cost
If option exercised
If option not exercised
114,435,052.08 126,522,062.50
70,802,083.33 74,162,500.00
Contribution
If option exercised
If option not exercised
35,062,207.03 42,074,648.44
35,062,207.03 42,074,648.44
Operating income
If option exercised
If option not exercised
-
-
35,739,876.30 - 32,087,851.56
35,739,876.30 - 32,087,851.56
Indifference Analysis
Electricity Price
Heat Rate
6.95
Sensitivity Analysis
Delivery Cost
Heat Rate
25.00
1.78
14.0390
10%
10%
Year 1
Year 2-15
6.95 Option exercised
- 2,325,677.08 8,009,187.50
Option not exercised - 35,739,876.30 - 32,087,851.56
Gas Price
Heat Rate
6.8
15%
1.25
17.55
15%
Year 1
Year 2-15
- 4,273,577.47 5,671,707.03
- 37,687,776.69 - 34,425,332.03
14.0390
2.50
15.00
6.95
Capacity (MwH)
717.5
Delivery Cost
10%
Year 1
Year 2-15
12500
15000
4484375
5381250
Revenue
If option exercised
If option not exercised
67,265,625.00 80,718,750.00
77,916,015.63 93,499,218.75
Fixed Costs
Upfront
Annual
Total
9,000,000.00
57,333,333.33 68,800,000.00
66,333,333.33 68,800,000.00
Variable Costs
Gas Amount
4,468,750.00
31166406.25
5,362,500.00
37399687.5
Gas Cost
Premium over index if option exercised
Delivery Cost
77,916,015.63 93,499,218.75
1,558,320.31 1,869,984.38
7,791,601.56 9,349,921.88
Total Cost
If option exercised
If option not exercised
158,068,020.83 178,881,625.00
70,802,083.33 74,162,500.00
Contribution
If option exercised
If option not exercised
- 20,000,312.50 - 24,000,375.00
70,124,414.06 84,149,296.88
Operating income
If option exercised
If option not exercised
- 90,802,395.83 - 98,162,875.00
-
677,669.27 9,986,796.88
2.50
15.00
6.95
Capacity (MwH)
717.5
Delivery Cost
15%
Year 1
Year 2-15
12500
15000
4484375
5381250
Revenue
If option exercised
If option not exercised
67,265,625.00 80,718,750.00
77,916,015.63 93,499,218.75
Fixed Costs
Upfront
Annual
Total
9,000,000.00
57,333,333.33 68,800,000.00
66,333,333.33 68,800,000.00
Variable Costs
Gas Amount
4,468,750.00
31166406.25
Gas Cost
Delivery Cost
5,362,500.00
37399687.5
77,916,015.63 93,499,218.75
1,558,320.31 1,869,984.38
11,687,402.34 14,024,882.81
Total Cost
If option exercised
If option not exercised
161,963,821.61 183,556,585.94
70,802,083.33 74,162,500.00
Contribution
If option exercised
If option not exercised
23,896,113.28 - 28,675,335.94
66,228,613.28 79,474,335.94
Operating income
If option exercised
If option not exercised
-
-
94,698,196.61 - 102,837,835.94
4,573,470.05 5,311,835.94
Indifference Analysis
Electricity Price
Heat Rate
6.95
Sensitivity Analysis
Delivery Cost
Heat Rate
15.00
1.07
14.0390
10%
10%
Year 1
Year 2-15
6.95 Option exercised
- 90,802,395.83 - 98,162,875.00
Option not exercised -
677,669.27 9,986,796.88
Gas Price
Heat Rate
6.8
15%
2.50
35.10
15%
Year 1
Year 2-15
- 94,698,196.61 - 102,837,835.94
- 4,573,470.05 5,311,835.94
14.0390
3.510
7.020
10.529
14.039
17.549
21.059
24.568
28.078
31.588
35.098
38.607
45.000
40.000
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.25
1.50
1.75
2.00
2.25
2.50
2.75
35.000
30.000
25.000
20.000
15.000
10.000
5.000
-
0.50
Indifference levels
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00