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Accelerating Indonesias Economic Transformation Through MP3EI Synergy in Resources, Power and Infrastructure
By: Eddy Satriya Head of International Cooperation Division Secretariat of KPE3I
Presented in: Indonesia 2013 Investment Summit Conrad Hong Kong, October 21-23, 2013
KP3EI
OUTLINE:
1. MP3EI: The Way We Are 2. MP3EI Updates 3. Capitalizing on Mining Sector to Support Infrastructures Development 4. Debottlenecking Initiatives and Priority Projects Screening
Committee for Acceleration and Expansion of Indonesia Economic Development 2011-2025
KP3EI
Key Metrics
Abundant resources for gas-based energy and petrochemical industries Not including NonConventional Gases, from Coal Bed Methane and Coal Gassification
Will be at least partially processed domestically by 2013 (new mining law: 4/2009)
There is a valid concern that economic domination of Java and Sumatra need to reduced in the long run
Increase economic precense at the regional economic centers is inevitable not only to maintain market penetration but more to foster enhanced economic competitiveness and resilience
Slide - 8
Appointed
Directly elected
Appointed 38%
2007
2009
In election year 2009, President wins more than 60% votes from 176 million registered voters
Courtesy of Antara
10
Indonesia >100
(above world mobile average)
60 50 40 30 20 10 0
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011*
1111
2011 TARGET RPJM 6,0 - 6,3 4,0 - 6,0 11,5 - 12,5 TARGET RPJM 7,0%-7,7% 3,5 5,5 5%-6% 7,3 - 7,4
REALIZATION
2012 TARGET RPJM 6,4 - 6,9 4,0 - 6,0 10,5 - 11,5 6,7 - 7,0
REALIZATION*)
6,2 7,1 7
6,5 3,8 12,49 TARGET RKP 6,8 7,2 5,0 6,0 4,5 + 1 6,6
2013
2014
6,7 - 7,4
9,5 10,5
On Track/on Trend
8%-10%
8,0 10,0
=Need Efforts
Relatively robust, but still lower than pre-1997 crisis average rate
(% YoY)
10 5 0 1994 -5 -10 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
7,54
8,22
7,82
4,70 0,79
4,92
3,64
4,50
4,78
5,03
5,69
5,50
6,35
6,01
4,58
6,20
6,46
6,23
~6.0
2013
-13,13
2001 - 2006: 5 %
2007 - 2012: 6 %
During pre-Asian crisis (1994-1997), the economy grew at an annual average rate of 7.1%, and was named an 'Asian Tiger' by the World Bank along with South Korea and Thailand. After Asian Crisis (2001-2006); Indonesias average annual GDP growth rate was 5%. From 2007-2012; Indonesias average annual GDP growth rate was 6 %. If this can be raised to 7% over the next 20 years, we believe Indonesia will be among the worlds 12 biggest economies by 2025, and the 6 biggest economies by 2050. Mc Kinsey Global Institute predicts Indonesia will be the 7th-largest economy in the world in 2030. Standard Chartered Global Research predicts Indonesia will be the worlds 10 largest economies in 2020, and the top six in 2030.
13
Key Economics Stabilization Achievement: Consistently Reduced Poverty and Unemployment Rate
unemployment rate
14,00 12,00 10,00 11.90 8,00 10.25 6,00 4,00 2,00 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 unemployment (million people)
Source: Indonesia statistic
poverty rate
50 13 45 9,11 8,39 7,87 40 7,14 6,56 35 16,66 17,75 15,97 20,00 16,58 15,42 18,00 14,15 13,33 16,00 12,49 11,66 14,00 12,00 10,00 39,30 36,10 35,10 37,17 34,96 32,53 8,00 31,02 30,02 28,59 2012 6,00 4,00 2,00 0,00 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 poverty (million lives)
Source: Indonesia statistic
11,24 9,86
10,28
11 9
6,14 30 7 25 5 20 3 15 10 1 5 -1
10.93
10.01
9.39
8.96
8.32
7.70
7.24
Indonesias robust average GDP growth of 6.2% over the past six years has reduced the unemployment rate to 6.15% of the total labour force in September 2012 from 11.2% in 2005. In September 2012 the poverty rate dropped significantly to 11.66% of the total population from 17.75% in 2006.
14
Masterplan
Basically MP3EI is based on these strategic initiatives: 1. Encourage a large scale investment realization in 22 main economic activities 2. Synchronization of national action plan to revitalize the real sector performance 3. The development of center of excellence in 6 (six) economic corridors Main strategy of MP3EI: 1. Economic potential development through economic corridor 2. Strengthening the national connectivity 3. Strengthening national human resources capability and science and technology
16
With AEC and APEC integration around the corner, Readiness of Eastern Part of Indonesia is the Main Concern Indonesia
17
18 18
MP3EI aims at accelerating Indonesias economic transformation through cross-entity synergy and collaboration
In creating economic transformation for Indonesia, MP3EI employs three pillars and revolves in the cross-entity efforts to ensure sound projects coordination, consisting of:
Coordinating Ministry of Economic Affairs, National Development and Planning Agency, Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Public Works, Ministry of Transportation, Ministry of Forestry, Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (other relevant Ministries), Governors, Chamber of Commerce leaders, experts, business players 9 Working Groups: 3 Cross-sector Working Groups (Regulation, Connectivity, HR & Tech) and 6 Working Groups of Economic Corridors)
Chairman : President Vice Chairman: Vice President
1 2 3
Developing economic potential through economic corridors Strengthening national connectivity Strengthening national human resources capability and science & technology
GDP: US$ 3,8 4,5T GDP/c: 13.000 16.100 US$ 12 high income country
DAILY IMPLEMENTATION TEAM Chairman: Coordinating Minister of Economic Affair Vice Chairman 1: Minister of National Dev Planning Agency Vice Chairman 2: Chairman of National Economic Committee
SECRETARIAT
GDP ~ US$ 700 B GDP/c: US$ ~ 4.800 GDP/c US$ 3,005 14 major 17th major nation economy
Java EC Team
Kalimant an EC Team
Sulawe si EC Team
Bali-NT EC Team
PapuaKep.Maluku
EC Team
1 9
KP3EI
2. MP3EI Updates
MP3EI Updates:
The Importance of MP3EI
Increasing Indonesia's Investment Attractiveness & Regional Based National Economic Strategies
MP3EI
2 3 4
Triggered the urgency of Systematic Technocracy to accommodate the increasing in Value-Added Economic Activities Ability to accommodate a quite effective system for Synchronization and Coordination
Provided fresh spirit and sense of hope for the realization of the well-being and developed inclusive society
21
Rp. 4,482 T
Rp. 2,304 T
Total Investment
Infrastructures Investment
Rp. 2,178 T
Groundbreaked Projects:
Investment updates as per July 2013
240
647
283
364
Infrastructure Investments
Main Infrastructures
INFRASTRUCTURES
KPISupporting Infrastructures
per August 2013
Actual percentage of GB 2011 based on the value of the investment (not the number of projects)
Already Groundbreaked Not yet 3% Total Investment Rp Triliun
Investment
90 171
80,24 159,78
5%
26 64
40 80
Sulawesi Economic Corridor has as many as 7 of the 11 GB projects, but the projects that have not been Groundbreaked worth quite large (in the mineral mining sector).
So far, 92% projects have been realized for the GB projects list in 2011. Only in Sulawesi, the realization of the total project remaining 63% %
25
Actual percentage of GB 2011 based on the value of the investment (not the number of projects)
Already Groundbreaked Total Not yet Investment Rp Triliun
17%
37,8
115,56
6%
20 projects
28 projects
21 projects
4 projects
These indicates high value projects that have not been groundbreaked on Sumatera dn Papua-Kep.Maluku Economic Corridors (Sumatra: toll roads, state-owned investment on fertilizer; Papua: Freeport).
So far 81% have been realized for the GB projects in 2012. Java and Sulawesi GB is 100%.
26
Investment Value (Billion Rupiahs) Real Sectors 36.719,0 40.934,0 94.250,7 2.858,0 26.435,0 201.480,0 402.676,7 Projects 39 44 20 16 9 18 146
Total Investment Value (Billion Rp.) 62.533,9 115.774,0 108.878,7 10.738,0 43.273,0 204.565,0 545.762,6
Infrastructure Real Sectors Infrastructure Sumatera Jawa Kalimantan Sulawesi Bali-NT Papua-Kep.Maluku Total 32 13 9 9 5 14 82 7 31 11 7 4 4 64 25.814,9 74.840,0 14.628,0 7.880,0 16.838,0 3.085,0 143.085,9
The project plans value will be very high, compared to 2012s GB list, with investment value about twice from 2012.
* December 2012 27
2011 2012 2013 TOTAL 2011 2012 2013 TOTAL 2011 2012 2013 TOTAL 2011 2012 2013 TOTAL 2011 2012 2013 TOTAL 2011 2012 2013 TOTAL 2011 2012 2013 TOTAL
TP
6 2 1 9 6 0 0 6 4 6 1 11 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 18 9 2 29
SOE Investment
2.956,13 5.638,00 6.247,03 14.841 18.569,65 18.570 5.216,00 6.741,46 4.400,00 16.357 4.500,00 4.138,80 8.639 0 14.400,00 14.400 45.641,78 16.518,25 10.647,03
TP
7 6 0 13 14 8 0 22 6 7 1 14 4 0 4 4 1 0 5 3 0 0 3 38 22 1 61
Private Investment
9.532,99 506,54 10.040 19.040,61 9.953,00 28.994 4.038,95 84.290,00 1.200,00 89.529 6.692,00 6.692 32.252,00 1.500,00 33752 48.809,20 48.809 120.365,75 96.249,54 1.200,00
Government TP Investment
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0
TP
1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 4 0 0 4
Mixed Investment
50.600,00 50.600 4.500,00 4.500 735,70 736 0 18.000,00 18.000 73.835,70 73835,7
TP
14 8 1 23 20 8 0 28 11 13 2 26 6 1 0 7 4 1 0 5 5 0 0 5 60 31 3 94
Total Investment
63.089,12 6.144,54 6.247,03 75.480,69 37.610,26 9.953,00 47.563,26 13.754,95 91.031,46 5.600,00 110.386,41 11.927,70 4.138,80 16.066,50 32.252,00 1.500,00 33.752,00 81.209,20 81.209,20 239.843,23 112.767,80 11.847,03 364.458,05 28
72807,063
217815,289
2011 2012 2013 TOTAL 2011 2012 2013 TOTAL 2011 2012 2013 TOTAL 2011 2012 2013 TOTAL 2011 2012 2013 TOTAL 2011 2012 2013 TOTAL 2011 2012 2013 TOTAL
TP
7 0 7 7 4
SOE Investment
8.983,40 -
TP
0 2 2 0 2 2 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 0 8
Private Investment
Government TP Investment
2 7 9 7 4 11 8 10 1 19 9 3 12 10 1 11 15 2 17 51 27 1 79
3.834,00 3.993,10
TP
11 3 14 5 3 8 1 2 1 4 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 18 9 1 28
Mixed Investment
15.332,00 5.525,00 20857 12.882,00 10.185,00 23.067,00 1.200,00 1.557,00 22.000,00 24757 0 110,00 110 500,00 500 29.914,00 17.377,00 22000 69291
TP
8983,4 31.561,00 41.201,00 72762 3.297,00 350,00 1.200,00 4847 4.487,00 4487 3.382,00 3382 2.500,00 3.600,00 6100 49.723,40 49.638,00 1200 100561,4
7827,1 11.787,00 29.200,00 40987 21.339,00 4.791,00 363,28 26493,28 3.399,00 1.188,00 4587 6.163,00 110,00 6273 12.534,92 384,00 12918,92 59.056,92 39.666,10 363,28 99086,3
11 2 1 1 4 2 2 5 0 5 1 1 2 22 8 1 31
20 12 0 32 19 13 0 32 12 13 3 28 9 8 0 17 15 2 0 17 17 3 0 20 92 51 3
Total Investment
28.149,40 13.836,10 41.985,50 56.230,00 87.273,00 143.503,00 26.619,00 6.698,00 23.563,28 56.880,28 3.399,00 7.953,00 11.352,00 9.545,00 220,00 9.765,00 15.534,92 3.984,00 19.518,92 139.477,32 119.964,10 23.563,28 283.004,70 29
146
TP
Jawa
Kalimantan
Sulawesi
13 2 1 16 13 4 0 17 6 7 2 15 1 3 0 4 5 0 0 5 2 1 0 3 40 17 3 60
SOE Investment
11.939,53 5.638,00 6247,026 23824,556 50.130,65 41.201,00 0 91331,65 8513 7091,457 5600 21204,457 4500 8625,8 0 13125,8 3382 0 0 3382 16900 3600 0 20500 95.365,18 66.156,25 11847,026
TP
7 8 0 15 14 10 0 24 7 7 1 15 4 3 0 7 4 1 0 5 3 0 0 3 39 29 1 69
Private Investment
9.532,99 4.824,54 0 14357,529 19.040,61 16.640,00 0 35680,61 4.821,95 84.290,00 1200 90311,95 6.692,00 2.278,00 0 8970 32.252,00 1.500,00 0 33752 48.809,20 0 48809,2 121.148,75 109.532,54 1200
Government TP Investment
2 7 0 9 7 4 0 11 8 10 1 19 9 3 0 12 10 1 0 11 15 2 0 17 51 27 1 79
3.834,00 3.993,10 0 7827,1 11.787,00 29.200,00 0 40987 21.339,00 4.791,00 363,28 26493,28 3.399,00 1.188,00 0 4587 6.163,00 110,00 0 6273 12.534,92 384,00 0 12918,92 59.056,92 39.666,10 363,28 99086,3
TP
12 3 0 15 5 3 0 8 2 2 1 5 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 0 2 22 9 1 32
Mixed Investment
65.932,00 5.525,00 0 71457 12.882,00 10.185,00 0 23067 5.700,00 1.557,00 22000 29257 735,70 0 735,7 110,00 0 110 18.500,00 0 18.500,00 103.749,70 17.377,00 22000 143126,7
34 20 1 55 39 21 0 60 23 26 5 54 15 9 0 24 19 3 0 22 22 3 0 25 152 82 6 240
JP
Total Investasi
91.238,52 19.980,64 6.247,03 117.466,19 93.840,26 97.226,00 191.066,26 40.373,95 97.729,46 29.163,28 167.266,69 15.326,70 12.091,80 27.418,50 41.797,00 1.720,00 43.517,00 96.744,12 3.984,00 100.728,12 379.320,55 232.731,90 35.410,31 647.462,75 30
173368,463
231881,289
25 HIGH PRIORITY PROJECTS WILL BE READY FOR GROUNDBREAKING BETWEEN 2015 AND 2017. 16 PROJECTS OF THESE PROJECTS HAVE POTENTIAL TO BE FUNDED THROUGH A PPP SCHEME.
Sumatra
Toll Roads MedanBinjai (15.8 km) PalembangIndralaya (22 km) PekanbaruKandisDumai (135 km) BakauheniTerbanggi Besar (150 km) Tebing TinggiKisaranRantau Prapat (178 km) PanimbangSerang (83 km)** Lubuk PakamTebing Tinggi (43.5 km)* Seaports Hub Kuala Tanjung Tanjung Sauh at Batam
Investment Value (US$ Mill)
Kalimantan
Toll Road Balikpapan-Samarinda (99.02 km) PurukcahuBangkuang Mangkatip Railway (290 km) Coal-Fired Power Plant Asamasam 5-6 (2x100 MW)*
Sulawesi
Road PaluParigi (37.4 km) Toll Road ManadoBitung (46 km) International Hub Bitung Railway MakassarPare-Pare (136.3 km)* Hydro Electric Power Plant Karama (4x112.5 MW)*
Java
Access Road to Purwakarta Industrial Area (7.8km)* Umbulan Water Supply* Cilamaya Port and Access Road (30km) Karawang Airport & Access Road Railway MadiunSurabaya (165 km Double Track) Coal-Fired Power Plant Indramayu 4 (1 x 1000 MW)*
Bali-NT
Water Supply South Bali**
Papua-Maluku
Road EnarotaliTiom (240 km)**
282.2
173.9
Notes: Blue-marked projects are potential PPP-projects. All projects are expected to groundbreak (GB) in 2017, except: *) GB in 2015 and **) GB in 2016
31
MP3EI Enhancements
Maritimization
Strengthening the management of marine resources, strengthening connectivity, and strengthening of the National Logistics System Optimization of potential of natural resources to support the realization of ecological sustainability
Enhanced MP3EI
32
Water (air) Energy (energi) Health (kesehatan) Agriculture (pertanian) Biodervisity (biodiversitas)
33
KP3EI
ICT
Textil es
Food Beverag e
Food Crops
Steel
Touri sm
Fisher ies
Defense Equipm.
35
*)Regulation such as Law No.4 year 2009, Government Regulation No. 27 year 2012, Government Regulation No. 23 year 2010, and Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources Decree No. 7 year 2012
36
MP3EI infrastructure projects offer potential opportunities of ~USD 64 billion for private sector participation
MP3EI Infastructure Project Funding Sources* MP3EI Infrastructure Project Funding Gap per Infrastructure Sector
152 Funding Gap: ~ USD 400 64 Billion Private Funds (7%) APBN 24% (19%) 27% PPP 599 41% (28%) 536 Funding 41% Gap (25%) Road & SOE Bridges, 11,0% 24% 8% State-Owned
Mixed Funds
Railway, 22,5%
Seaport, 21,5%
Energy, 34,3%
1%
State Budget (APBN)
Enterprise Funds
Funding gap calculation based on: MP3EI Database per 31 August 2012 (477 Projects) Funding gap formula: Investment value (allocated State Budget + SOE). Private sector funded projects are assumed 100% fully covered. ICT sector is not included in the calculation as the projects list still under progress of validation Energy funding gap requires further validation with PLN
Potential PPP opportunities are largest in the energy, railway and seaport sector. There are also opportunities in the road, airport and water sector.
38
The government will lead the infrastructure development by funding 15 projects that will ground break in 2014
The 15 Infrastructure projects to be funded by the Government have a total investment value of US$ ~ 3.72 Billion 2014: 2017: 25 Infrastructure Projects (62%)
Infrastructure Projects (38%)
Sumatra: 3 Projects US$ 1.13 Billion
MP3EI High Priority Projects in 2014 Bridge Water Sanitation Energy ICT Railway Airport Seaport 1 Project 2 Projects 1 Project 2 Projects 1 Project 2 Projects 1 Project 5 Projects
2014
15
The 15 infrastructure projects funded by the Government will be the kickoff for infrastructure development in Indonesia and improve Indonesias competitiveness through a significant reduction of logistical costs
39
25 Priority Projects that are planned for groundbreaking before 2017 have large potential to be funded through PPP schemes
Those 25 projects, which will be groundbreaking before 2017, have a total investment value of US$ ~32 Billion
2014: 15 Infrastructure Projects (38%) 2017: 25 Infrastructure Projects (62%)
2017
MP3EI High Priority Projects in 2017 Road 12 Projects Water Supply 2 Projects Railway 3 Projects Airport 1 Projects Energy 3 Projects Seaport 4 Projects
3 projects indirectly funded through State Budget (Loans) (12%) 1 project funded by StateOwned Enterprise (4%)
Sumatra: 9 Projects US$ 10.3 Billion Java: 6 Projects US$ 10.7 Billion Bali-Nusa Tenggara 1 Project US$ 278.1 Million
16 High Priority Projects with groundbreaking before 2017 will be offered to the private sector through PrivatePublic Partnership (PPP) schemes.
40
Indonesia offers huge investment opportunity palm oil industry as an example (1/5)
The current CPO national productivity in Indonesia is only 2,98 ton/ha while the producivity potential in Indonesia is 7 ton/ha. Opportunity in Upstream Palm Oil Industry Ton CPO/ha
Current Productivity Productivity Potential
Sei Mangkei (Medan, North Sumatera)
The existing palm oil industry is concentrated in Sumatera, within following KPIs*
Investment in infrastructure is required to support the palm oil industry investment opportunity:
Kuala Tanjung port - available for investment Dumai port expansion - govt funded Port Belawan port expansion - govt funded
7 2,98
Current Productivity
Dumai (Riau island) Kampar (Riau island) Rokan Hulu-Hilir Siak (Riau island)
Pekanbaru Kandis Dumai toll road available for investment Road Medan Binjai toll road - available for investment Trans Sumatera - available for investment PLTU Banjarsari 2 x 100 MW PLTU Mulut Tambang 4x150 MW
Productivity Potential
Singingi (Riau island) Lingga (Riau island) Bangka Barat (Bangka Belitung ild)
The current global demand for biodiesel is 92 mn tonnes, while total supply is only 33 mn tonnes- untapped opportunity. Opportunity in Downstream Palm Oil Industry In percentage (%)
3
Indonesia Others Others Untapped
30 60
South Sumatera 9 Mine Mouth Coal Energy* Fired Steam Power Plant (2 x 600 * MW) South Sumatera 10 Mine Mouth Coal Fired Steam Power Plant (1 x 600 MW)
**Available for investment
Lampung Timur
*Palm oil plantations are also available in Aceh, Bengkulu and Jambi provinces
41
0 2006
Sumber: Oil World, Reuters, 2010
Palm Oil Outlook Positive Worldwide: China, EU and India respectively are the main consumers of palm oil accountable for 80% of worlds demand. Rising population and increasing income, world experiences an increase in demand for. palm oil & its derivats
2007
2008
2009
2010E
2011E
Consumption Growth > 7% CAGR: Consumption growth of palm oil worldwide for the last 7 years have been increased and is expected to rise as the price of oil continues to increase. Such growth is also on account of a growing population as well as the rising demand for alternative energy sources biodiesel.
in %
% CAGR
9 7
0 India
Sumber: Oil World, Reuters, 2010
Cina
Indonesia
Eropa
The demand for palm oil will likely remain strong and research and development work is being done in Indonesia.The availability of land in Indonesia, coupled with recent years of high seed sales, record energy prices, and high vegetable oil prices are factors that will result in Indonesia continuing to lead the world in palm oil production for years to come.
42
Port
Maloy port, East Kalimantan (IDR 4.8 trillion) available for investment Coal Railway South Sumatera Lampung (IDR 802 billion) available for investment
325 Production
265 Export
KPI Tanah Laut Location: South Kalimantan KPI Tanah Bumbu Location: South Kalimantan KPI Muara Enim Location: Pendopo, South Sumatera
Coal Railway Puruk Cahu Bangkuang, Central Kalimantan (IDR 15 trillion) Railway available for investment Coal Railway Puruk Cahu Tanjung Isuy, Central Kalimantan (IDR 20.3 trillion) available for investment PLTU Mulut Tambang (4x150MW) (IDR 7.5 trillion)
Resources
Reserves
KPI Tanjung Api-Api, Tanjung Carat Location: South Sumatera KPI Palembang Location: South Sumatera
Total
From 1996 to 2010, Indonesias coal production grew by an average of 14.8% per year with an average growth of coal exports at 15.1% per year. The level of domestic coal consumption experienced an average growth of 13.8% per year within the period of 1996 -2010.
*Source: Indonesia Coal Mining Association (2010), Directorate General Mineral (Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources)
43
KPI Ketapang Location: West Kalimantan KPI Kabupaten Sanggau Location: West Kalimantan KPI Mempawah Location: West Kalimantan
Port
Teluk Melano port, West Kalimantan - govt funded Pontianak port improvement - govt funded New port development in Pontianak available for investment New road development in KPI Ketapang govt funded Tayan bridge development - govt funded PLTU Parit Baru (2x50 MW) West Kalimantan available for investment East Kalimantan Coal Fired Steam Power Plant (2x100MW available for investment Pontianak Water Supply govt funded
Road
Energy
207,932
Other
Private sector investment opportunities in bauxite industry are massive for example processing bauxite into alumina and aluminum. In addition, there are also major investment opportunities for infrastructure provision for these mines such as private rail or private ports.
*Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources
44
KPI Palopo Location: Luwu Timur, South Sulawesi Main Economic Activity in KPI: Nickel mining and processing KPI Kolaka Location: Kolaka, South East Sulawesi Main Economic Activity in KPI: Nickel Mining KPI Konawe Utara Location: Mandiodo, South East Sulawesi Main Economic Activitty in KPI: Nickel Smeltering Pig Iron
Seaport
Bitung Port Expansion (IDR 414 Billion) Makassar Port Expansion (IDR 2.2 Trillion) Manado Minut Bitung toll road Access Road to support Nickel Industry from North Kolaka to Pomala Port IDR 79.4 billion Access Road to support Nickel Industry from North Kolaka to Lasususa Port
11%
Road
89%
Source: United States Geological Survey
KPI Morowali Location: Bahodopi, Central Sulawesi Main Economic Activity in KPI: Nickel Mining, Preparation and Smeltering (Pig Iron)
Energy
45
KPI Kotabaru Location: Kotabaru, South Kalimantan KPI Kotawaringin Barat Location: Central Kalimantan KPI Tanah Laut Location: Tanah Laut, South Kalimantan KPI Tanah Bumbu Location: Tanah Bumbu, South Kalimantan KPI Cilegon Location: Banten
4 0
Others
Port
Development of Tanah Grogot port (IDR 163 billion) govt funded Expansion of Batulicin port (IDR 10 trillion) govt funded Lingkar Selatan Cilegon road (IDR 300 billion) govt funded
Kg/capita/year
Road
90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
84
Road development in Tanah Bumbu area private sector funded PLTA Kusan 67 MW (IDR 860 billion) available for investment
Energy
29
32 21 5 8 0 0
Papua
17 0
Maluku
Water Supply
Batu Licin Water Supply (IDR 200 billion) available for investment 46
Source: Min of Industry, 2007; Indonesian Commercial Newsletter Vol 57, June 2008
KP3EI
The prioritization process follows a three-step methodology based on international best practice and involves stakeholders throughout the process
Selecting infrastructure projects with estimated strategic contribution for acceleration and expansion of economic growth Project Identification: Early identification of projects based on several criteria: construction has not started yet, no maintenance/reparation project or goods procurement, investment value > US$ 50 Million. Recommendation from Line Ministries: data collection and initial discussions on projects with KP3EI Secretariat, Bappenas, MoF, BPN and related Line Ministries based on the agreed criteria.* Technical Committee Discussion: Indepth discussion on strategic value of selected projects using helicopter view perspective.**
Phase 1
Top 200 Infra Projects
Prioritization Criteria
Scoring System
Score Justificatio n
Phase 2
78 Selected Projects
Phase 3
56 Priority Projects
Weighting Criteria
Final Result
48
* Urgency of the project, Readiness Level, Socio-economic Effects, Environmental Effects **considering diversification of corridor and sector, synergy with principles and targets MP3EI, as well as cost-benefit analysis of project delay.
48
The selection of priority projects is based on the immediate needs of economic development centers and investment-readiness of downstream industries
Production centers which have the potential and the high level of investment-readiness require government commitment in the provision of infrastructure to reduce logistics cost and accelerate economic growth...
1. Development of downstream palm oil industry in SEZ* Sei Mangkei PT Unilever Indonesia and PT Ferrostaal are investing US$1 billion. 2. Downstream palm oil industry in East Kalimantan Currently there are 200 companies and 42 oil palm plantations in East Kalimantan CPO industry. 4. Bitung and Palu Investment-Focused Areas Potentially attract investment of US$ 170 Million (Palu) and US$ 174 Million (Bitung) in chocolate, rattan, sea grass, coconut, fishery and manufacturing industries.
Production Center
1 2
5. Coal industry in South Sumatera 39% of national coal reserves is located in the southern part of Sumatera, with an estimated amount of 18.13 billion tons.
3 5 6
3. Coal Industry in Central Kalimantan Potentially produce USD 4.5 billion/year worth of coal, current production is around USD 750 million
7.
6. Karawang Industrial Area There are more than 7 industrial areas exporting more than 65% of Indonesias total export. LOreal has invested USD 1 billion, automotive companies are building plants with US$1.5 Billion investment value.
* Special Economic Zone
7. Tourism industry in Bali and Lombok Number of tourists who visited Lombok rose 35% per year from 2010 to 2012. Mandalika has potential to attract US$ 300 Million investment and Senggigi is already attracting foreign hospitality companies.
8. Sorong as the gateway for Papua Sorong, which is located in the northern part of Papua, becomes the center of activity and gateway of Papua.
49
49
The Government will fund 24 of the most urgently needed priority infrastructure projects to ensure accelerated delivery (as early as 2014)
Medan Kualanamu Double Track Railway (US$ 78.8M) Kuala Tanjung Port* (US$ 600M) Balang Island Bridge (S157.2M) Palu Parigi Rass (US$ 100M)
Coal-Fired Power Plant Indramayu 2 x 1000 MW (US$ 2044.5M) Coal-Fired Power Plant Asamasam 2 x 100 MW (US$ 320M) Makassar ParePare Railway (US$ 600M)
Access Road to Purwakarta Industrial Area (US$ 68.8M) Solo Madiun (US$ 223.7 M) Madiun Surabaya (US$415 M) Double Track Railway
Notes: Exchange rate IDR/US$= 10.000; Palapa Ring (US$ 280M) is a priority project but not displayed (multi-corridor scale project) *) development of existing port
Following the 3 pillars of MP3EI, the entire process of selecting priority infrastructure projects is based on: Urgency of the project; ease of implementation (readiness level); social, economic, and environmental effects; Supporting Production Centers or Investment-Focused Areas with strategic value, coupled with a high level of investment readiness, for example: Sei Mangkei, Maloy, Bitung, Karawang. Project's contribution to strengthening National Connectivity 50 50
Another 32 projects (US$29 Billion in total) located in the main economic growth centers are selected as priority projects to be offered under PPP-scheme (2017)
International Hub Kuala Tanjung (US$ 2700M) Consolidated Urban Development in Banda Aceh (US$ 21M) East Agam & Bukittinggi Water Supply (US$ 17M) Padang Water Supply* (US$ 28M) Karya Jaya Integrated Terminal Palembang (US$ 75M) Monorail South Sumatera (US$ 515.5M) Muara Enim-Pulau Baai Railway (US$ 3000M) Jakarta Wastewater Disposal System (US$ 431.9M) Pondok Gede Water Supply (US$ 20M) Tanjung Priok Access Road (US$ 612.5) Panimbang-Serang Toll Road (US$ 1150.7) Pasir Koja-Soreang Toll Road (US$ 210M) Cisumdawu Toll Road (US$ 1015.8M) Integrated Railway Terminal Gedebage (US$ 133M) Kertajati Airport (US$ 112.5M) Cilamaya Port & Access Road (US$ 4034.5M) Batam Municipal Solid Waste Disposal (US$ 100M) Tanjung Sauh Port in Batam (US$ 756M, Phase I) Puruk Cahu Bangkuang Railway (US$2200M) Balikpapan Samarinda Toll Road (US$1217.9M) Maloy CPO Port (US$178M) Coal-Fired Power Plant Karama 4 x 112.5 MW (US$ 1329M) Manado Bitung Tollroad (US$ 341.2M)
Water Supply South Bali (US$ 272.7M) Revitalization of Rail Station & Pedestrianization Malioboro (US$ 870M) Pandaan-Malang Toll Road (US$ 420M)
Umbulan Water Supply (US$ 204.2M) Lamongan Regency Water Supply (US$ 16.7M)
Note: Exchange rate IDR/US$= 10.000 *) expansion of current Padang Water Supply facilities
Following the 3 pillars of MP3EI, the entire process of selecting priority infrastructure projects is based on: Urgency of the project; ease of implementation (readiness level); social, economic, and environmental effects; Supporting Production Centers or Investment-Focused Areas with strategic value, coupled with a high level of investment readiness, for example: Sei Mangkei, Maloy, Bitung, Karawang. Project's contribution to strengthening National Connectivity 51 51
Samples of top down initiatives to debottleneck MP3EI Economic Sectors Development facilitated by KP3EI (1)
Project/ Investor Bottleneck issues Debottlenecking effort and result
Sei Mangkei
Industrial Estate
PTPN III
issuance of Provincial Spatial Planning State Law (Perda RTRWP) Infrastructure availability in time of the investment (Kuala Tanjung seaport expansion, road, railway and Kuala Namu airport)
Bangko Tengah
Railway for coal transportation
Coordination is conducted up to
forest area Ministrial level, resulted in clearance of Delay in issuance of IPPKH dispute settlement (Forest land area use permit) KP3EI facilitated the provision of ~9.881 ha forest area to be used by PT Bukit Asam
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Samples of top down initiatives to debottleneck MP3EI Economic Sectors Development facilitated by KP3EI (2)
Project/ Investor Bottleneck issues Debottlenecking effort and result
ANTAM
Pertambangan) unilaterally Investment Focused Area of North Konawe repealed by Bupati of North
PT Vale Indonesia
Samples of top down initiatives to debottleneck MP3EI Economic Sectors Development facilitated by KP3EI (3)
Project/ Investor Jakarta MRT Bottleneck issues Jakarta MRT project has been discussed for ~20 years with no significant progress, while financial loss due to traffic has reached IDR 12.8 T in 2012 Debottlenecking effort and result
Instrument
(Min of Energy and Mineral Resources Decree) (Min of Energy and Mineral Resources DecreeCircular Notes) (Goverment regulation)
(Relaxing regulation for Bonded Zone) a. (Up to 50% of Domestic Sales) b. (Above 50% of Domestic Sales can be provided by DG Custom on behalf of (Min of Finance Decree) MOF and based on the recommendation from related ministries)
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(Policy Substance)
(Waiver facility on VAT for imported books) (Fiscal Relaxation Reducing and/or Waiver on VAT for Luxury Goods which are no longer considered as luxuries good e.g. Electronics (Television, Refrigerator, Air Conditioner, Water Heater, Camera and Sanitary Equipment)
(Instrument)
(Gov Reg and MoF Reg)
D. (Accelerating Investment)
1 Reduction of Negative Investment List DNI (License simplification) 1. (Reducing number and type of license) 2. (Grouping similar license) 3. (For the 1st stage, it will be applied in mainstream sector of mineral and gas by reducing 69 license to 8 (similar group) license) (Presidential Decree)
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(Policy Substance)
(Debottleneck obstacles in strategic investment projects) a. (Finalize renegosiation for Contract of Works - Kontrak Karya and PKP2B) b. (Finalize financial closing of PLTU Batang 2x1000 MW)
(Instrument)
(Revision of Gov Reg no 24/2012 on Divestation, Mainstreaming on Mineral Sector) and Gov Reg no 9/2012 on Royalty (Pres Reg)
D. (Accelerating Investment)
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Head of International Cooperation Division, Secretariat of KP3EI Deputy Assistant for ICT and Utility Jalan Medan Merdeka Barat No. 7, Jakarta Pusat - Indonesia Phone: +62 21 34832611; Fax: +62 21 34832609 email: satriyaeddy@gmail.com @EddySatriya
Eddy Satriya
Eddy Satriya
1989 :Graduated from Bandung Institute of Technology (Telecommunication Engineering) 1997 :Graduated from University of Connecticut (MA in Economics) 1989-90: Program Management Consultancy (PMC-IV) for Telecommunication Development 1990-2005: Working in Bappenas (The National Development Planning Agency). 1995 : Secretary to Board of Commissioners of PT.Telkomsel 1997- present: Visiting Lecturer in University of Indonesia, University of Pelita Harapan, and ITB
Contact: satriyaeddy@gmail.com 62.21.3511466 t
2002-present : Actively writes various article and column in national papers and magazines. 2005 (Dec)-present: Working in Coordinating Ministry for Economics Affairs 2011 - Present: Head of International Cooperation Division, Secretariat of KP3EI
62.21.3511464 f