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1. Project description
Project:
Location: project Pakość II is located in central part of Poland in Kujawsko-Pomorskie voivodship; Wind
Turbines Generators are planed to be located between Inowrocław city, Pakość and Janikowo town; the
coordinates for the centre of this location are 52°46'42.72"N 18°11'04.57"E; estimated size of wind park
is planned for 22MW from 11, 2MW wind turbines;
Project:
- Value drivers in this location are:
o On of the best areas for wind conditions in Poland average wind speed about 6,5 m/s,
o grid application process in progress,
o in this location there are already some smaller turbines set by another investors;
- General Market situation:
o Wind energy production in Poland rapidly grows. In 2004 142,3GWh was produced
with wind, in 2006 it was 245,5GWh. Still it was just 0,16% of total energy production
in Poland; according to the plans in 2010 there should be 2,3% coming from wind
energy of the total consumption (7,5% renewable energy in years 2010-2014);
o local energy utilities are obliged to buy all renewable electricity produced on its
distribution area (the green certificate which follows the produced energy, depending
on the contract between to parties can be sold together or on the Polish Power
Exchange to anybody), energy produced by a wind farm has to be bought at the
market price which right now is rapidly growing – approx. 185PLN per MW/h plus the
amount you can get from green certificates which is always close to 240PLN per
MW/h – the so called buy out price which you have to pay to fulfil your obligation
regarding the percentage of green energy bought each year; Total income is
therefore approx 425 PLN/MWh (=~ 110 euro/MWh)
o In 2008 in Poland starts a new EU found programme called The Operational
Programme Infrastructure and Environment. For years 2007-2013 the total amount of
subsidy will reach 37,6 bilion EUR (27,9 bilion from UE and 9,7 bilion from polish
government). The percentage of the subsidy to the total amount of investment,
possible to obtain is not known yet but for wind parks subsidy only apply to those in
which to total amount of investment exceed 20milion PLN. Development applications
should be ready in February 2008. The responsible organization for the
implementation of this programme is The Ministry of Regional Development (more
information will be available in February 2008. For now is difficult to say if we are
already entitled on this stage of our projects to apply for this subsidy so we have not
taken this subsidy into account in the feasibility calculations..
- Off taker of electricity will be one of the energy operators in this case – Enea. The seller of
green energy will have to sign a contract with the Energy Company and energy will be sold on
at the current market price. Certificates of origin are registered on the Polish Power Exchange
which is responsible for their managing and trade.
2. Position
2.1. Land position / concession
Project:
- Project will be based on land lease agreement with potential Landlords
- the price for this location is 22 000PLN per turbine per year and lease contract signed for 25
years; land lease agreement is set with one Landlord for 300ha
- land situation in Poland is very specific because plots belonged to farmers are very small in
general however the price paid for a land lease is still relatively very small reaching in most
attractive areas 50-60k PLN per turbine.
The quota obligation is fulfilled by a obligee if the share of RES-E in the overall electricity sales to
end-users amounts to not less than:
- 3.6% in 2006,
- 5.1% in 2007,
- 7.0% in 2008,
- 8.7% in 2009,
- 10.4% in 2010-2014
- 15% in 2020.
Aspects related to the Guarantees of Origin and green certificates are regulated by the amended
Act called the Energy Law (the Act of 10th April 1997, see Polish version), in particular by the parts
addressed to renewable energy sources.
From 1st October 2005 the Polish Power Exchange (Towarowa Giełda Energii S.A. PolPX)
manages the registry of green certificates and their trade. The results from the green certificate
market presented by the Polish Power Exchange are not differentiated for sorts of RES-E such as
wind energy (onshore or offshore), hydro energy, solar energy, biomass combustion etc. Also the
Energy Law has in general no special arrangements for particular sorts of renewable energy and as
such also not for offshore wind energy.
The redemption of Guarantees of Origin must take place till 31 March each year for the previous
st
year (e.g. till March 31 2007 for the year 2006) and is obligatory as a proof of fulfilling the
obligation. Energy companies can also pay a so-called ‘buy out price’ which amounts to 240
1
PLN/MWh (62.41 Euro/MWh ).
So far wind projects have not been delayed by public protests or appeals. The strong support from
the government is one reason and usually there is also quite a good local support for wind projects
as both the landowners and the municipalities profit from a wind farm.
1
Exchange rate from 23rd August 2007 1€= 0.26 PLN
Project:
The wind data for Poland have been plotted by Anemos (see map hereunder). For individual
projects the wind speed can be estimated at this moment – no wind measurements are made yet –
with the wind maps of Anemos. For this project the wind speed is estimated by Ecofys to be 6.5m/s
on hub height.
The grid application process for Pakość II can be started (application for the conditions of
connecting to the grid has not been filed yet). This is only possible when you can proof that you
own or lease the described land and when you submit detailed electrical specifications of the wind
turbines.
3. Cooperation
3.1. Partnerships
Project:
- We do not have partners in this project.
3.2. Stakeholders
Project:
- Major stakeholders and their involvement (goals/ role) in the project (description of partners
and clients) – Not applicable
5. Planning
- Preliminary development planning:
o DG1 – start development Q1 2008
o DG2 – consent achieved Q3 2009
o DG3 – start construction / FC Q1 2010
o DG4 – start generation Q4 2010
- Overview of required human resources (internal / external)
o See DEVEX spreadsheet in annex 1
o internal ~ 2000 hours
o Ecofys ~ 100.000 euro
o external ~ 330.000 euro
- Resume
Strenghts: Weakness:
International company with good reputation Insufficient number of staff
Office in Poland Lack of business cars which are necessary for
People with broad experience – not only in wind projects developers who should spend most of time
energy out of office
Lack of simple tools like for instance gsm device
Opportunities: Threats
Chance to develop wind park with relatively small In case the percentage of green electricity reach the
costs of investment mandatory level and above the price of green
Opportunity to build up revenue from green certificates on the Polish Power Exchange can drop
electricity
Chance to get a financial support from EU found
If we do not pursue this opportunity we miss the possibility to realise several hundred MW of wind
projects.
Project:
We advise to start the development of this project. If we do not pursue this opportunity we miss the
possibility to realise a 22 MW wind project.
The project has a good chance for success:
• The land has been secured,
• The wind speed has been estimated at 6.5 m/s
• The grid connection is available
Next steps are to start wind speed measurements and a detailed grid analysis to secure the grid capacity.
yes/no planned 140 120 160 160 140 100 200 Internal Ecofys 3rd parties
Fase Deliverables applicable year bd tpd fpd cm pm om pd Costs hrs tariff cr comp OOP Budget
1. Business case
Position all 2006 32 24 €7,360 0 €0 €0 €7,360
Resource assessment all 2007 0 2 €240 6 €564 €0 €804
Feasibility / risk assessment all 2007 10 €1,200 24 79 €1,896 €0 €3,096
DG1 proposal 2007 2 10 6 8 €4,040 €0 €0 €4,040
Mngmnt phase 1 all 2007 8 16 €3,040 €0 €0 €3,040
sub-total 1 DG1 42 62 6 €15,880 30 €82 €2,460 €0 €18,340
2. Development
Cooperation all 2007 832 0 €4,960 €0 €0 €4,960
Location all 2007 72 8 €9,920 €0 €0 €9,920
Resources / fuels all 2007 18 0 €2,160 48 €4,152 €50,000 €56,312
Basic engineering / prel. design all 2007 16 €1,920 48 €5,280 €0 €7,200
Consents (mod, telecom, airport, etc) all 2007 8 48 79 €7,040
Permitting 2008 12 110 €14,880 450 €42,582 €10,600 €68,062
Energy contracts (LOI/MOU level) all 2008 52 20 €9,440 €0 €0 €9,440
DG2 proposal all 2009 36 6 8 €6,880 €0 €0 €6,880
Mngmnt phase 2 all 2009 100 €12,000 €0 €0 €12,000
sub-total 2 DG2 20 444 26 8 0 0 8 €62,160 594 €99 €59,054 €60,600 €174,774
3. Contracting Contract strategy 2009 24 8 €5,440 €5,440
Cooperation 2009 36 40 €13,760 €0 €10,000 €23,760
Resources / fuels 2009 €0 €0 €12,000 €12,000
Detailed Design elaboration 2009 80 40 €17,600 120 130 €15,600 €20,000 €53,200
Tendering 2009 48 166 88 36 52 €58,640 0 €0 €0 €58,640
Energy contracting 2009 16 32 40 0 0 8 €15,040 60 €6,600 €0 €21,640
Financial contracting 2009 0 282 52 0 0 60 €65,440 80 €8,800 €100,000 €174,240
DG3 (=Investment) proposal 2009 20 40 100 0 44 20 70 €45,760 €0 €0 €45,760
Mngmnt phase 3 2009 40 €8,000 €0 €0 €8,000
sub-total 3 DG3=FC 20 184 414 318 132 56 318 €229,680 260 €119 €31,000 €142,000 €402,680
TOTAL DEVEX 82 690 446 326 132 56 326 €307,720 884 €105 €92,514 €202,600 €595,794
Development
Cooperation • •
Contracting
Technology • Obtain Wind turbines in • Via framework contracts 25%
time against right terms
Grid • Grid connection • See text BC. We will ask for 5%
grid connection in steps
(initial + detailed grid study)
to minimise risks and
obtained clarity asap
O&M • n/a •
Finance – Loan • Get loan agreement • Start early enough with 20%
signed signing LoI with off taker,
specifying contract terms
Finance – Eq • n/a •