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Susan Wilson
In his 2006 research article, Herbert stated that the rate of discontinuance in
online, post-secondary courses is ten to twenty percent higher than that of traditional
with students who have already successfully completed one tier of education; students
who are motivated to learn and have a financial interest in successful course completion.
Public secondary schools educate students of varied abilities, attitudes, and backgrounds.
I believe that the rate of discontinuance in online, secondary courses is even greater than
40% of people aged 45 and over and only 27% of people aged 20 or younger. In addition
to the relatively small population, the report states that the number of people living in
rural communities has declined at a higher rate (11% decrease from 1971 to 2001) than
the Canadian average (4% decrease from 1971 to 2001). Saskatchewan’s large
geographical area and dispersed population make it necessary to operate small schools,
depopulation and a large geographical area. It is also a viable learning environment for
adult students, students who are required to work to support themselves financially, and
students who have significant family responsibilities. Saskatchewan’s 2005 rate of teen
pregnancy was the highest among the provinces and more than double that of the
Saskatchewan and everywhere. Having a Grade 12 certificate increases the chances that
a person will be employed (Saskatchewan Indicators, 2008) and increases the probability
that a student will continue their education. Having a post-secondary certificate, diploma
or degree increases the average income level to an average of 33% (statistic from 2005)
higher than that earned by those without the post-secondary training (Saskatchewan
Indicators).
implement online education opportunities into our high-schools. Rural depopulation and
economic factors translate to teacher cuts in our school division. If we are to remain
viable, we must offer and accept online education into our school. What factors must we
be cognizant of when designing online courses? How can we best support our students
Online education from K-Post Secondary reaches millions of students every day
(Corry, 2008). If online courses are being offered to students in situations like ours, then
students are not making a voluntary choice to take a class online, they are required to take
online education to complete graduation requirements. At times, this is because small
rural schools do not have the staing to offer all required courses, they do not have the
staing to offer various electives, or they do not have the staff to offer multiple forms of a
class to accommodate students who have missed credits or changed schools. If courses
are not otherwise be available, we, as educators, must ensure that students are satisfied
with their online experience and that they are receiving quality education.
Education is for everyone and online education should not be any different. It is
imperative that reliable instruments are developed to measure student success and
provide quality assurance to all stakeholders of public education. Educators who have
access to an instrument that can predict the probability of student success will be able to
design pro-active interventions and supports to facilitate student success thus widening
With this in mind, this research proposal is designed to answer the following
questions:
In answering these questions, I hope to collect data that will aid in the development of a
predictive instrument for use with Saskatchewan high-school students entering into
online education. The data will also be used to aid in the development of a student
support system that will be used to target areas of student weakness in an effort to
increase their probability of success in secondary, online courses. The data will not be
Quantitative and qualitative data will be collected by using student and instructor
residence) will not be identified as factors correlating to student success. I believe that
communication, time, and course organisation will be identified by both students and
that personal student factors such as ability, experience and motivation will have an effect
on satisfaction and success, but that they will not be as significant as institutional factors.
While circumstantial variables may present themselves and influence both satisfaction
and success, they are not controllable by student, instructor or institution and will
Student satisfaction will refer to the degree to which students enjoy the
educational experience and are engaged and interested in the course. Student success
refers to a student’s passing the course and retention refers to finishing the course.
Literature Review
Studies relating to factors influencing student success and satisfaction in online education
are becoming more prevalent as online education undergoes rapid and continuing growth
(Dailey-Hebert et al, 2005; Herbert, 2006; Leong et al, 2006; Roblyer & Davis, 2008;
Yukselturk & Bulut, 2007). Expressing a concern with growing rates of discontinuance,
researchers (Dailey-Hebert et al, 2005; Herbert, 2006; Leong et al, 2006; Roblyer &
Davis, 2008) have attempted to identify factors relating to student success and student
Articles collected for this review study factors affecting online student satisfaction (by
perception) and online student success (passing the course), with emphasis on retention
online education is extremely important as students who are satisfied with their online
experience are more likely to retain the course (Herbert, 2006; Swan et al, 2006).
improvement (Herbert).
The literature review is organized according to guidelines by Gay, Mills & Airasian
affecting retention. He used the Noel-Levitz Priorities Survey for Online Learners™,
which was e-mailed to every student enrolled in an online course at a small, Midwestern
university during the 2005/06 school year. Herbert cited evidence that student variables,
among other factors, can be measured to predict the degree to which a student will
complete an online course. He also referenced research findings that institutional and
Analysis of survey results was done by the Noel Levitz company. Of the 4100 students,
122 completed surveys were returned representing 40.1% of the students who did not
successfully complete their online course. When asked for the reason for discontinuance,
The most significant variable identified was faculty response to student needs followed
completers and non-completers. Students who were satisfied with their online experience
experience and satisfaction. The researchers’ rationale was to identify factors to increase
student satisfaction.
workload and fairness of grading. Two additional questions based on overall course
25.2% (128 surveys) was achieved and results were calculated using factor and
regression analysis. Also, t-test and univariate analysis of variance were used. Results
showed that overall student satisfaction was influenced by four dimensions: instructor,
attributive influences and their reasons for choosing online delivery but Dailey-Hebert et
al posited a need for more information about predictors of success as research based on
internal learner attributes is of limited use unless paired with external data elicited from
online educators.
teaching experience level of 3.5 years. All educators offered accelerated, 8-week courses
and no demographics were collected on the sample however future studies may compare
educator characteristics with factors influencing success. An e-mail solicited their opinion
on the five factors most likely to predict successful completion of an online course and a
survey identified skills, strategies or factors they perceived to lead to student success. A
content analysis of the responses identified 23 relevant factors which were then grouped
into six themes, student competence, student initiative, student personal issues, time,
The four most predictive issues were time [timely, active involvement in the course
(19.79%)], initiative [personal initiative (52.08%), asking questions and seeking help
to efficient computer and internet literacy (40.63)], and competence [reading comprehension
characteristic variables (gender, age, education level, locus of control, learning style),
motivational beliefs (intrinsic and extrinsic goal orientation, task value, self-efficacy, and
test anxiety) and self-regulated learning components (cognitive strategy use and self-
regulation) that predict online student success. They also examined instructor views on
predicative factors. They hypothesized that the variables do not explain variance in
student success.
The researchers posited a need for the inclusion of instructor perception. Their rationale
was to fill a void in the research and to identify procedures for the design of high-quality
Bulut provided history on online education and stated a need for maintaining quality. The
The sample of two course instructors and 80 voluntary participants enrolled in the Data
Structure and Algorithms with C course at the Middle East Technical University in
Ankara, Turkey in the 2005/06 school year. All students were computer literate with
intermediate English. There were more males (N = 56) than females (N = 24) and the
majority were between 19 and 29 years of age. In addition, most had an assimilator
interviews were conducted; the ten questions were developed around central themes then
Intrinsic goal orientation, task value, self-efficacy, cognitive-strategy use, and self-
regulation were significantly positively correlated with success. Educational level and
external locus of control were negatively correlated. Varied student characteristics and
Beyrer’s (2005) study compared online students enrolled in Online Student Success
(OSS), a course designed to prepare students for online learning, and online students who
have never taken this class. He also compared online performance of students before and
after completion of OSS. Beyrer hypothesized that students who take OSS will be more
successful than those who do not and they will be more successful after completion of
research focused on instructional design factors affecting student success, tips to aid
student success, and technology and interface characteristics. Beyrer defined the terms
The convenience sample included all students enrolled in fully online classes from
Cosumnes River College, Sacramento CA from 2003 to 2005. They were divided into 4
subgroups: those who had never enrolled, those who enrolled and passed, those who
enrolled and did not pass and those who enrolled but dropped. Historical data (academic
performance, enrollment, and demographic) was collected and analyzed and an online
Compared to students who did not take OSS, the ones that successfully completed OSS
had a higher success rate in their online classes. Those who were unsuccessful or dropped
OSS had a lower success rate. Though only 11 students took online classes before and
after enrolling in OSS, the improvement in their success rate was dramatic. Follow-up
school-age student success in online courses. They explained that the model should be
research and should provide efficient measurement and implementation in virtual school
settings. The article contains an example of a prediction model, the Educational Success
processes used to derive it. They outlined procedures for implementation to increase the
Model testing was conducted using 4,110 students in the Virtual High School Global
Consortium (VHS) who were enrolled in 196 VHS courses in 2006. An electronic version
of the instrument was placed in course spaces and students were offered 10 points extra
credit on their first week's assignments to complete the survey. A completed ESPRI
survey, demographic data, and course scores and status were obtained for 2,162 students
or about 53% of the total school population. Reliability with the 25-item instrument was
.92. The model correctly predicted 93% of those who were successful, but only 30.4% of
Common Themes
students enrolled in online courses at the post-secondary level with few conducted at the
high-school level. All studies in this literature review are cross-sectional in nature
indicating a need for longitudinal research which can identify trends from which
retention but the studies compiled by the other researchers showed conflicting
and Yukselturk and Bulut identified a prevalence of reseach based on the effects of
factors identified in the research studies. Time constraints and management issues were
also significant predictors of satisfaction and success. Yukselturk and Bulut were the
regulation.
Summary
student satisfaction and student success in an online environment. Most stated a desire to
research ventures may aid in identifying trends in student success that will better inform
refined to identify student supports needed and not used to limit access.
Beyrer (2005) and Roblyer (2008). Both projects involved the development, testing or
student suitability to online education and support students in need. Beyrer’s work
focused on the benefit of enrolling students in an Online Student Success (OSS) course
idea with Roblyer’s focus on predicative models for online student success would allow
important to note that the purpose of these instruments is to increase enrolment and
Methodology
satisfaction. Strachota defined each construct. Adult and distance education experts
College in the US. Data from the pilot underwent factor analysis to verify that items
loaded on the intended constructs. Those that did not load were eliminated.
This research project will use survey question ideas from Strachota’s Student
satisfaction Survey as well as student readiness survey question ideas from Slick (2004)
Coordinators of the SouthEast Cornerstone School Division, SK. This will take place at
our next scheduled meeting on April 29, 2009. Construct validity will be established
through a trial with online students in our division which will take place in June, 2009.
Statistical analyses on data received will inform decisions about question retention or
removal. Each survey item will require a Likert-response consisting of a 4-point scale:
enrolled in online education courses through the SouthEast Cornerstone School Division
through their course management system. Course instructors will notify students of the
survey by e-mail and will send up to three reminders over the two week implementation
period. Completion of the survey will be expected as part of the assigned course work
and will be given to students in the final two weeks of their course. Parental permission
will not be required as the research will be done through the students’ attending school
Data for this longitudinal study will be collected and analysed in January and June
of each year for two complete years. Once complete, a trends analysis will be performed
to determine factors affecting student satisfaction and success. Results will be quantified
by converting frequency of responses to percentages. Results from open-ended survey
questions will be compiled and categorised. Data from respondents indicating course
satisfaction and feelings of success will be evaluated for factor correlation. Data from
respondents who report dissatisfaction and lack of success will be evaluated for factor
correlation.
This data, analysed and interpreted over a two year period, will be used to aid in
It will also be used to develop a student support system that targets factors influencing
student success.
Significance
Even though online education reaches millions of students every day (Corry,
2008), the field of online learning is still in its developmental stage with respect to having
valid and reliable measurement instruments (Strachots, 2008). Creating a reliable survey
instrument, developed for and piloted on secondary school students will add to the field
of distance education at the secondary level. Further work with survey results to develop
a predictive instrument and student support component will directly benefit online
students.
when data received is used to improve student instruction, satisfaction and chance of
success. Many secondary teachers are new to online delivery. Survey results will be an
important component of professional development for online teachers. Data obtained
will help inform department or even provincial policies and standards created to ensure
quality in online course delivery. Data obtained from online instructors will provide good
fodder for conversations around instructional design, pedagogy and best practices.
Continuing the research over the course of two years will provide more reliable
and normally distributed data allowing for trend-analysis of student satisfaction, success,
and retention at the secondary level. This information will provide a significant
Conclusion
Canadian school divisions are developing internal capacity for online course
design, delivery and implementation. Current research around student satisfaction and
As evidenced in the research, surveys are effective tools for gathering both
quantitative and qualitative data from students and instructors. Embedding the survey
into the course management system ensures that all involved are presented with the
opportunity to respond. Managing the survey distribution and data collection through
such technology reduces errors and strengthens the reliability of results. Field testing and
will predict student success in an online learning environment. The instrument will
identify individual student strengths and weaknesses for the purpose of providing student
support. Student satisfaction and success factors will also be considered in the
development of a student support instrument that will enable students to improve their
weaknesses thus improving their chances of retention and success in online courses.
References
http://www.cccone.org/scholars/05-06/GregBeyrerMonograph.pdf
Corry, M. (2008). Online student success: Six categories of importance to the future. In
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ullText&paper_id=27178
http://www.thejeo.com/Volume3Number2/MandernachFinal.pdf
Gay, L.R., Mills, G.E., & Airasian, P.W. (2009). Educational research: Competencies for
analysis and application (9th ed.). Upper Saddle River, NJ: Merrill Prentice Hall.
Herbert, Michael PhD. (2006). Staying the course: A study in online students
Volume IX, Number IV, Winter 2006 University of West Georgia, Distance
http://www.westga.edu/~distance/ojdla/winter94/herbert94.htm
Leong, Peter, Ho, Curtis P., Saromines-Ganne, Barbara. (Winter, 2006). An empirical
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Slick, J. (2004). Using Student Readiness as a Predictor of Satisfaction in the Online
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ullText&paper_id=11492
Strachota, Elaine. (2008). The use of survey research to measure student satisfaction in
http://www.umsl.edu/divisions/conted/education/mwr2p06/pdfs/D/Strachota_Use
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Swan, Karen; Schenker, Jason; Lin, YiMei; Shea, Peter;; Aviv, Reuven (2006).
Yukselturk, E. & Bulut, S. (2007). Predictors for Student Success in an Online Course.