Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
Guided by:
Dr. D.R. Patel
Prepared By:
Soni Viral S.
CP (1507)
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Definitions
25
2.5 Road blocks in PPP Projects
2.11 References
In the year 1996, the world bank had estimated that an expenditure of US$200
billion a year must be made on infrastructure by developing countries, and Asian
would account for 80% of this expenditure. The bottle necks in mobilization of
public funds and foreign debts have enhanced the interests of developing countries
in provision of infrastructure projects through Built-
Built-Operate
Operate--Transfer (BOT) type
scheme.
Net Working Capital – It can be defined as the difference between current assets
and current liabilities or alternatively the portion of current assets financed with
long--term funds.
long
Current Assets – Assets which normally get converted into cash during normal
operating cycle of the firm.
Risk of technical insolvency – it is probability that a firm will be unable to meet its
obligations as they become due.
BOOT projects – BOOT: build, own, operate and transfer - the constructor
builds the p
project,
j , theyy then get
g to own and operate
p it for some period
p of
time (like 20 or 25 years) during which they collect revenues. At the end of
the certain duration , the project is handed back to the government.
The proposed 13,416 Km four/six lane roads at cost of Rs. 54,000 cr under BOT
scheme, which include the following three corridors.
Golden Quadrilateral (GQ): it connect four metros
metros-- Delhi,
Delhi Kolkata
Kolkata, Chennai and
Mumbai-- covering a distance of 5846 km length.
Mumbai
North--South Corridor: it runs from Jammu to Kanyakumari covering a length of
North
4000 kms and was scheduled to be completed by 2007.
East--west Corridor: it runs from Porbandar to Silchar covering a length of 3,300
East 3 300
Kms and was scheduled to be operational by 2007.
Soni Viral S, M.Tech CPM, CEPT
University, Ahmedabad
2.4 Concepts
p of PPP-
PPP-BOT Projects
j :
Concessions announced by NHAI
The NHAI has also announced a number of concessions to private sector. They are
¾ The private sector allowed to retain the toll money on the highway it develops on the BOT basis.
¾ A 100% tax exemption granted for five years, and 30% relief for the next five years.
¾ The Government would provide the land free of cost and also free from all encumbrances.
encumbrances
¾ The GOI and NHAI will Provide capital grant up to 40% of their Project cost
¾ Any arbitration would be settled as per the United Nations Commission on International Trade law
(UNICTRAL) provisions. Soni Viral S, M.Tech CPM, CEPT
University, Ahmedabad
2.5 Road Blocks in PPP projects:-
projects:-
A
Accoring
i tot Bharti
Bh ti Gupta,
G t ( IIndian
di Infrastructure,
I f t t JJune 2007)
2007), R
Reason
behind the financiers reluctance is the lower creditworthiness of state
authorities compared to National Authorities. The financial capacity of the
state to back the project is sometime a question. Inappropriate risk
allocation due to issues like land acquisition problems delayed
environmental clearances, among others are also causes of worry to
financiers.
¾ Placement of Equity
Slow
S o aand
d non
o moving
o g stocks
s oc s
World Bank – Largest multilateral funding agency which provides low cost and
long tenor financing to infrastructure projects.
ICICI Bank – largest Indian private sector bank. As on march 31, 2007 Loan worth
Rs 141.58 billion was provided to various infrastructure projects.
The Gujarat Government was one of the first state governments to collect
tolls on PPP projects. The Government began toll collection on Vadodara-
Vadodara-
Halol Toll road and subsequently on Ahmedabad-
Ahmedabad-Mehsana Toll Road.
Average number of vehicles using Ahmedabad
Ahmedabad--Mehsana toll road is 620 per
hour, and average number of vehicles using Vadodara-
Vadodara-Halol is 377 per
hour. Toll collection on both stretches have mostly increased, except for a
minor decline in 2004-
2004-2005.
Over all toll levied in India are amongst the lowest in the world. An average
toll of US 1.08 cents per km is charged from cars in India as compared to
3-4 cents charged in china and 70 cent in Hong Kong.
Forming a new policy for funding high growth company involved in PPP
PPP--
BOT projects to meet the higher current assets requirements which is
higher than their growth of sales.
Use of options like VGF scheme In case of viability gap of project and to
form a standard procedure to avail such scheme.
I
Impactt off b
backk ended
d d cash
h flows
fl ( its
it increase
i or decrease
d ) on Profitability
P fit bilit
of project needs to be evaluated in concept stage of such project to
evaluate contingencies required in financing the project.
2) Bangia, N. (2007), “ Viability Gap Funding” Indian infrastructure, (February 2007) pp 66-
66-69.
5) Debasish S.
Debasish. S and Mallik,
Mallik A.
A (1998) “Working Profitability” The management
Working Capital and Profitability
accountant (Novemeber 1998) pp 805-
805-806.
6) Kansal, R. and Gupta M. C. (2007), “Government Role in BOT Projects” The ICFAI journal of
infrastructure, (Volume 5,No. 2), pp 79-
79-88.
8) Kulkarni,
lk M. S.
S (1997),
( 99 ) “ Balancing
l Net Working
k l” Udyog
Capital”
C d Pragati (October
(O b -December
(October- b
1997) pp 28-
28-32.
9) Parikh, N. C. and Samson, R. (1999), “BOT Road Infrastructure Projects: Process, Problems
Suggestions” Vikalpa ( Volume 24,
and Suggestions 24 No.
No 1),
1) pp 3
3--12.
12
¾ Project :-
:- 4 Lanning of RAJAHMUNDRY – DHARMAVARAM SECTION OF NH-
NH-5
PROJECT INTRODUCTION
The project road section from Km 200 (near Rajahmundry) to Km 253 (near
Dharmavaram)) is a part of Vijayawada - Visakhapatnam segment of NH-
Dharmavaram NH-5 in Andhra
Pradesh
Section I - Diwan Cheruvu (Km 200/0) to Rajaanagaram Road Junction (Km 207/3)
Section II - Rajaanagaram Road Junction (Km 207/3) to Erravaram (Km 238/8)
Section III - Erravaram (Km 238/8) to Km 253/0
Animal /
secti Two Auto Car / Van / Tractor Hand Cycle Total
ons wheelers Rickshaw Jeep
p Tempo
p Bus Truck Tractor & Trail Drawn Cycle
y rickshaw Pcus
I 1656 170 1138 42 29 296 288 2921 551 164 55 62 9 856 26 15573
II 750 124 546 10 21 222 207 2461 482 160 47 46 4 741 24 12325
Bus
7%
Standard Truck
2% LCV Truck
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
Tractor
Mode/year 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Cars 942 1015 1095 1180 1272 1371 1470 1576 1689 1811 1941 2058 2181 2312 2451
Bus 296 318 341 365 391 420 450 482 517 554 594 630 667 707 750
LCV 289 303 318 334 350 367 384 402 420 440 460 478 498 517 538
HCV 3777 4094 4438 4811 5215 5653 6094 6570 7082 7635 8230 8773 9352 9969 10627
MAV 274 296 321 348 378 409 441 476 513 553 596 635 677 722 770
Total 5578 6027 6513 7038 7607 8221 8840 9505 10221 10992 11821 12574 13376 14228 15136
Soni Viral S, M.Tech CPM, CEPT
University, Ahmedabad
Tollable Traffic
T affic - Projections
P ojections
Mode/year 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034
Cars 2598 2741 2891 3050 3218 3359 3582 3779 3987 4206 4437 4681 4939 5210 5497
Bus 795 839 885 933 985 1039 1096 1156 1220 1287 1358 1432 1511 1594 1682
LCV 560 581 602 625 649 673 698 724 751 780 809 839 871 903 937
HCV 11329 12020 12753 13531 14356 15232 16161 17147 18193 19303 20480 21730 23055 24462 25954
MAV 820 870 924 980 1040 1103 1170 1242 1317 1398 1438 1574 1670 1771 1879
Total 16102 17051 18055 19119 20248 21406 22707 24048 25468 26974 28522 30256 32046 33940 35949
Mode/year 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Cars 34 34 34 41 41 41 49 49 49 59 59 59 71 71 71
Bus 120 120 120 144 144 144 173 173 173 208 208 208 250 250 250
HCV 120 120 120 144 144 144 173 173 173 208 208 208 250 250 250
MAV 120 120 120 144 144 144 173 173 173 208 208 208 250 250 250
Mode/year 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034
Cars 85 85 85 102 102 102 123 123 123 147 147 147 177 177 177
Bus 300 300 300 360 360 360 432 432 432 518 518 518 622 622 622
LCV 152 152 152 183 183 183 219 219 219 263 263 263 316 316 316
HCV 300 300 300 360 360 360 432 432 432 518 518 518 622 622 622
MAV 300 300 300 360 360 360 432 432 432 518 518 518 622 622 622
Mode/year
ode/yea 2005
005 2006
006 2007
00 2008
008 2009
009 2010
0 0 2011
0 2012
0 2013
0 3 2014
0 2015
0 5 2016
0 6 2017
0 2018
0 8 2019
0 9
Cars 12 13 14 18 19 21 26 28 30 39 42 44 57 60 64
Bus 13 14 15 19 21 22 28 30 33 42 45 48 61 65 68
LCV 6 7 7 9 9 10 12 13 13 17 18 18 23 24 25
HCV 165 179 194 253 274 297 385 415 447 580 625 666 853 910 970
MAV 12 13 14 18 20 21 28 30 32 42 45 48 62 66 70
Total 208 225 244 317 343 371 480 516 556 720 775 825 1056 1124 1197
Mode/year 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034
Cars 81 85 90 114 120 125 161 170 179 226 238 251 319 337 355
Bus 87 92 97 123 129 137 173 182 192 243 257 271 343 362 382
HCV 1241 1316 1396 1778 1886 2001 2548 2704 2869 3650 3872 4108 5234 5554 5892
MAV 90 95 101 129 137 145 184 196 208 264 272 298 379 402 427
Total 1530 1620 1717 2186 2315 2453 3122 3310 3508 4458 4717 5009 6375 6759 7164
35000
30000
25000
hicles
No of Veh
20000
Total Vehicles
15000
10000
5000
7000
6000
5000
Rs in miillion
4000
Total Revenue
3000
2000
1000
1%
0% Site Clearance
2%
6%
3% 18% Earth Work
4%
0%
Sub-base and Base Course
7%
Bituminous Course
16%
Bridges and Culverts
Road Junction
PIU complex
Miscellaneous Items
Provisional Items
Actual Costs in Year of Expediture (current prices) 593.89 1436.47 1201.05 3231.4
Annual Depreciation -
WDV @ 10.00% 225.52 202.96 182.67 164.4 147.96 133.2
Particulars / Years 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Beginning Balance 1198.5 1078.6 970.772 873.695 786.326 707.693 636.924 573.231 515.908
Annual
Depreciation - WDV
@ 119 85
119.85 107 86 97.0772
107.86 97 0772 87.3695
87 3695 78.6326
78 6326 70.7693
70 7693 63.6924
63 6924 57.3231
57 3231 51.5908
51 5908
Particulars / Years 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Beginning Balance 464.32 417.89 376.1 338.49 304.64 274.2 246.76 222.08
Annual Depreciation
- WDV @ 46 432
46.432 41 789
41.789 37 61
37.61 33 849
33.849 30 464
30.464 27 42
27.42 24 676
24.676 22 208
22.208
Ending Balance 417.89 376.1 338.49 304.64 274.17 246.8 222.08 199.87
Annual Depreciation -
WDV @ 19.9873 17.9886 16.1897 14.5708 13.1137 11.8023 10.6221
Soni Viral S, M.Tech CPM, CEPT
Ending Balance 179.886 161.897 145.708
University, Ahmedabad131.137 118.023 106.221 95.5988
Schedule of Repayment of Long term Loan (Rs in million)
Beginning Balance 1503.5 1503.5 1403.3 1303 1202.8 1102.6 1002 902.11
Interest Payment @ 16.00% 240.56 224.52 208.49 192.45 176.41 160.4 144.34
Perticulars / Years 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Beginning Balance 801.87 701.639 601.404 501.17 400.936 300.702 200.468 100.234
Principle Repayment 100.23 100.234 100.234 100.234 100.234 100.234 100.234 100.234
Ending Balance 701.64 601.404 501.17 400.936 300.702 200.468 100.234 -4.00E-13
A. Net profit (or Loss ) before Tax & Dep. -51.78 -20.16 12.82 101.22 -71.96
C. Net profit (or Loss) After Dep. -277.29 -223.12 -169.85 -63.18 -219.92
D. Taxable Income 0 0 0 0 0
E. Taxes 0 0 0 0 0
Soni Viral S, M.Tech CPM, CEPT
University, Ahmedabad
Project Income Statement (Rs in million)
Particulars / Years 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
A. Operating Income
Toll Revenue 370.99 479.69 516.45 555.93 719.72
Advertisement Revenue 7.42 9.59 10.33 11.12 14.39
Total Revenue 378.41 489.29 526.78 567.05 734.11
B Operating Exppense
B.
Toll plaza O &M 0.92 0.99 1.06 1.14 1.23
Environmental Monitoring 0.23 0.25 0.27 0.29 0.31
Annual Road Maintenance 33.02 35.5 38.16 41.02 44.1
Major Maintenance 0 0 0 0 440.03
Total 34.17 36.73 39.49 42.45 485.66
C. Net Operating Income 344.24 452.55 487.3 524.6 248.45
D. Less: Interest Expense 160.37 144.34 128.3 112.26 96.22
E. Net Profit (or Loss) before Tax & Dep. 183.87 308.22 359 412.34 152.22
F. Taxes (-) 0 0 0 0 16.207
G N
G. Nett profit
fit ((or LLoss)) after
ft T Taxes 183 87
183.87 308 22
308.22 359 412 34
412.34 136 02
136.02
H. Less : Depreciation by SLM @ 1.63% 36.76 36.76 36.76 36.76 36.76
Soni Viral S, M.Tech CPM, CEPT
I. Net Profit (or Loss) After Taxes & Dep. 147.11
University, 271.46
Ahmedabad 322.24 375.58 99.26
Tax Calculation (Rs in million)
A. Net profit (or Loss ) before Tax & Dep. 183.87 308.22 359 412.34 152.22
C. Net profit (or Loss) After Dep. 50.7 188.37 251.13 315.26 64.85
E. Taxes 0 0 0 0 16.207
A. Net profit (or Loss ) before Tax & Dep. 661.02 724.51 971.93 1053.41 699.23
B LLess Dep.
B. D B
By WDV 78 633
78.633 70 769
70.769 63 692
63.692 57 323
57.323 51 591
51.591
C. Net profit (or Loss) After Dep. 582.38 653.74 908.23 996.09 647.64
E T
E. Taxes 145 54
145.54 163 37
163.37 226 97
226.97 248 92
248.92 161 84
161.84
A. Net profit (or Loss ) before Tax & Dep. 1490.175 1576.693 1669.955 2142.231 1635.529
C. Net profit (or Loss) After Dep. 1443.743 1534.904 1632.345 2108.382 1605.066
A. Net profit (or Loss ) before Tax & Dep. 2400.956 3075.753 3259.361 3452.558 3505.218
C. Net profit (or Loss) After Dep. 2373.538 3051.077 3237.153 3432.571 3487.23
A. Net profit (or Loss ) before Tax & Dep. 4666.192 4953.146 6334.763 6713.863 7113.439
B Less Dep
B. Dep. By WDV 16 18975
16.18975 14 57077
14.57077 13 1137
13.1137 11 80233
11.80233 10 62209
10.62209
C. Net profit (or Loss) After Dep. 4650.002 4938.575 6321.649 6702.06 7102.817
E T
E. Taxes 1660 051
1660.051 1763 071
1763.071 2256 829
2256.829 2392 636
2392.636 2535 706
2535.706
Uses of Funds
Govt Contribution 1503.436 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
C it l Expenditure
Capital E dit
Private 2255.154 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Capitalised Interest 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Repayment of long term
debt 100 23
100.23 100 23
100.23 100 23
100.23 100 23
100.23 100 23
100.23 100 23
100.23 100 23
100.23
Particulars / Years 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Sources of funds
Govt Contribution 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Long Term debt 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Equity Fuding 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Net Profit after Tax &
Dep. 322.24 375.58 99.26 478.72 524.38 708.2 767.73 500.62
Depreciation 36.76 36.76 36.76 36.76 36.76 36.76 36.76 36.76
Total sources 359 412.34 136.02 515.48 561.14 744.96 804.49 537.38
Uses of Funds
Govt Contribution 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Capital Expenditure
Private 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Capitalised Interest 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Repayment of long term
debt 100.23 100.23 100.23 100.23 100.23 100.23 100.23 100.23
Total Uses 100.23 100.23 100.23 100.23 100.23 100.23 100.23 100.23
Net Cash Flow 258.76 312.1 35.78 415.24 460.91 644.72 704.25 437.15
Particulars
P ti l /Y
Years 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Sources of funds
Govt Contribution 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Long Term debt 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Equity Fuding 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Net Profit after Tax &
Dep. 938 991.97 1050.45 1352.78 1025.76 1516.84 1949.76 2066.94
Depreciation 36.76 36.76 36.76 36.76 36.76 36.76 36.76 36.76
Total sources 974.76 1028.73 1087.21 1389.54 1062.52 1553.6 1986.52 2103.7
Uses of Funds
Govt Contribution 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Capital Expenditure
Private 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Capitalised Interest 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Repayment of long term
debt 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total Uses 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Net Cash Flow 974.76 1028.73 1087.21 1389.54 1062.52 1553.6 1986.52 2103.7
Net Profit after Tax & Dep. 2190.37 2223.52 2969.38 3153.31 4041.17 4284.47 3703.79
Depreciation 36.76 36.76 36.76 36.76 36.76 36.76 36.76
Total sources 2227 13
2227.13 2260 28
2260.28 3006 14
3006.14 3190 07
3190.07 4077 93
4077.93 4321 23
4321.23 3740 55
3740.55
Uses of Funds
Govt Contribution 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total Uses 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Net Cash Flow 2227.13 2260.28 3006.14 3190.07 4077.93 4321.23 3740.55
End of
Particulars / Years 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Particulars / Years 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Particulars / Years 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034
Concession year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
FIRR on Project
Investment (pre-tax) - - - -27% -23% -12% -5%
FIRR on Equity
Investment - - - - - - -
Particulars / Years 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Concession year 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
FIRR on Project
Investment (pre-tax) 0% 4% 5% 8% 10% 12% 13% 14%
FIRR on Equity
Investment - -6%
Soni Viral S,-5% 0%CEPT
M.Tech CPM, 4% 7% 9% 10%
University, Ahmedabad
Calculation of FIRR
Concession year 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
FIRR on Project
Investment (pre-tax) 15% 16% 16% 17% 17% 18% 18%
FIRR on Equity
Investment 12% 13% 14% 15% 15% 16% 17%
Particulars / Years 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034
Concession year 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
FIRR on Project
Investment (pre-tax) 19% 19% 19% 19% 20% 20% 20% 20%
FIRR on Equity
Soni Viral S, M.Tech CPM, CEPT
Investment 17% 17% 18% 18% 18% 19% 19% 19%
University, Ahmedabad
FIRR Summary
0
10000
12000
2000
4000
6000
8000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Year
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
University, Ahmedabad
2024
2025
Cum. Cash Requirement
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Year
2018
2019
2020
Inflow Vs Outflow
University, Ahmedabad
2021
2022
Impact which is analysed by mathematical model of project cash outflow shows that though
principal payment part is increased due to shorter payback period of loan, as interest rate is
substantially low compared with long term loan interest payment part comes down, hence EMI
f repaymentt off lloan iis also
for l lower.
l This
Thi effect
ff t can bbe observed
b d in
i cash h outflow
tfl projection
j ti
In this particular case it is found that short term loan demands more liquidity in initial phase
but p
projects
j more profitability
p y when analyzed
y for long
g concession period
p of 30 years.
y
Back ended cash out flow has severe effect on IRR which can be partially taken care by
choosing right trade off between Liquidity requirement and IRR.
Beginning Balance 1503.5 1503.5 1353.2 1202.8 1052.5 902.1 751.8 601.4
Interest Payment @ 0.14 210.5 189.4 168.4 147.3 126.3 105.2 84.2
Perticulars / Years 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
E di Balance
Ending B l 300 7
300.7 150 4
150.4 0 0 0 0 0 0
10000
8000
on
Rs in millio
6000
4000
2000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34
Years
Soni Viral S, M.Tech CPM, CEPT
University, Ahmedabad
Rs in million
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
2001 70000
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Soni Viral
Year
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
University, Ahmedabad
2025
Inflow Vs Outflow
2026
Financial institute use step in right and takes over project for remaining
recovery of fund. Hence remaining fund with additional loss in year 2009
will be considered as an investment to generate further analysis.
Particulars / Years 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
A. Operating Income
Toll Revenue 516.45 555.93 719.72 774.76 824.9 1055.62 1123.95 1196.87
Advertisement Revenue 10.33 11.12 14.39 15.5 16.5 21.11 22.48 23.94
Total Revenue 526.78 567.05 734.11 790.26 841.4 1076.73 1146.43 1220.81
B. Operating Exppense
Toll plaza O &M 1.06 1.14 1.23 1.32 1.42 1.53 1.64 1.76
Environmental Monitoring 0.27 0.29 0.31 0.33 0.36 0.38 0.41 0.44
Annual Road Maintenance 38.16 41.02 44.1 47.4 50.96 54.78 58.89 63.31
Major Maintenance 0 0 440.03 0 0 0 0 440.03
Total 39.49 42.45 485.66 49.06 52.73 56.69 60.94 505.54
C. Net Operating Income 487.3 524.6 248.45 741.2 788.66 1020.04 1085.49 715.27
D. Less: Interest Expense 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
E. N
E Nett P
Profit
fit ((or LLoss)) b
before
f T
Tax &
Dep. 487.3 524.6 248.45 741.2 788.66 1020.04 1085.49 715.27
F. Taxes (-) 0 0 40.253 165.58 179.4 238.991 256.938 165.852
G. Net profit (or Loss) after Taxes 487.3 524.6 208.19 575.63 609.26 781.05 828.55 549.41
H. Less : Depreciation by SLM @
1.63% 36.76 36.76 36.76 36.76 36.76 36.76 36.76 36.76
Soni Viral S, M.Tech CPM, CEPT
I. Net Profit (or Loss) After Taxes & University, Ahmedabad
Dep. 450.54 487.84 171.43 538.87 572.5 744.29 791.79 512.65
Comparison of Cashflows
year 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Cum.Cashflow
Cum Cashflow in case of
Default -1461.19 -1153.71 -737.92 -287.38 200.46 371.89 910.76
Cum.Cashflow in case of
Default 1483.26 2227.55 3019.34 3531.99 ($84.80) 27%
3000.00
2000.00
Rs in million
n
1000.00
R
0.00
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
-1000.00
-2000.00
2000 00
Years
Govt. Contribution 0
Concession
C i year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
FIRR on Project
Investment (pre-tax) - - -16.70% -3.50% 2.80% 8.50% 12.20%
FIRR on Equity
Investment - - -24.40% -8.40% -3.60% 3.30% 8.00%
Particulars / Years 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Concession year 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
FIRR on Project
Investment (pre
(pre-tax)
tax) 14.80% 16.60% 17.30% 18.30% 19.10% 19.70% 20.10% 20.30%
Particulars / Years 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
A. Operating Income
Toll Revenue 208 225 244 317 343 371 480 516
Advertisement Revenue 4.17 4.51 4.88 6.34 6.86 7.42 9.59 10.33
B. Operating Expenses
Toll Plaza O&M 0.64 0.69 0.74 0.80 0.86 0.92 0.99 1.06
C. Net Operating Income 188.78 204.36 221.31 293.67 317.95 344.24 452.55 487.30
Less Annuity Payments 884.31 884.31 884.31 884.31 884.31 884.31 884.31 884.31
D. Surplus / Deficit -695.53 -679.95 -663.00 -590.64 -566.36 -540.07 -431.76 -397.01
A. Operating Income
B. Operating Expenses
C. Net Operating Income 524.60 688.48 741.20 788.66 1020.04 1085.49 1155.30
Less Annuity Payments 884.31 884.31 884.31 884.31 884.31 884.31 884.31
Calculated FIRR for analyzed project for project investment and FIRR for
Equity investment is summarized as below.
As per data projected Table - 3.2.7.3 expected IRR is achieved at the end
of 28th year, its shows additional absolute profit margin for next two years.
Analyzed Income statement of this project shows that net cash inflow is in
negative (loss) for initial years and most of the positive portion is back
ended and hence impact on NPV of the project is discounted
discounted.
Analysis results for financing policy shows comparison of cash flows with
different financing policy, comparable summary of the same is :-:-
As huge amount of finances are required to fund the PPP- PPP-BOT project and
unavailability of required amount of fixed asset which can be mortgaged,
Financial institutes are g
given step
p in right,
g in this analysis
y in particular
p
project which is financially viable (Hence not funded under Viability Gap
Funding) step in right can be effectively used for loan recovery purpose.
Annuity approach can also be used in PPP-PPP-BOT projects in such cases cash
inflows are fixed and it distributes financial risk and hence concession
period can be reduce according to the annuity payment.
Thought Annuity approach can be proved less risk prone but demands
higher amount of working capital in initial years as Government
contribution is not available.
PPP-BOT projects have long gestation period and hence prone to number of
PPP-
risks, back ended cash flows have major impact on returns of the project.
Any delay caused in such project will lead to reduction of returns by
reducing tollable (Inflow) period and it shifts the cash inflow which already
is in back ended position.
There is a wide future scope for this topic, Some of the key points are as
follows:--
follows: