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BKT is a fast growing tyre manufacturer with Revenues, EBITDA and PAT up 25%, 28% and 44% CAGR in 6 years. It is poised to double capacity by FY15. The tyres sell to a very large global market, are a high quality products. BKT can maintain its margins, and will gain from the INR weakness. Today with the PE of 6.6 times, it is available at the lowest valuations in the last 6 years. BKT is a Buy. Risks to this investment are: Global conflicts and economic uncertainties, Natural rubber price rise and a Promoter group restructuring.
Business Snapshot:
Balkrishna Industries (BKT) is a Mumbai based firm that makes off-highway tyres (OHT) for agriculture, mining and earth moving vehicles. It derives 90% of revenues from exports. The consolidated Revenues are 3,394 cr with Profits 350 cr (FY13). These tyres are manufactured at four mfg units (Bhiwadi & Chaupanki in Raj., Aurangabad, Mah., and Dombivili, Mumbai. The new greenfield unit at Bhuj, Guj. is partially operational. BKT currently has a capacity of 1,44,000 tonnes a year. The company is on an expansion program for both de-bottlenecking the existing facilities, as well as a Rs 1,800-crore greenfield factory at Bhuj, which will expand the companys capacity to 2,70,000 tonnes by FY15.
Fig 1 Business Segments at BKT, in % (JainMatrix Investments) Tyres are exported from Mundra Port through 200 distributors to 120 countries, see Fig 1. It supplies to companies such as Volvo, John Deere, Ferrari and JCB across the world. Around 90% of revenue is exports. BKT imports some raw materials (Rubber), but is a net exporter. It has about 4% market share globally in the OHT business. The Promoter/ CMD is Arvind Poddar, who has been at the helm of BKT since 2006.
Sept 2013
BKT makes a range of Off-Highway Specialty tyres for Agricultural, Industrial, Material Handling, Construction, Earthmoving (OTR), Forestry & Garden Equipment and All-Terrain Vehicles (ATV). Current shareholding is of Promoters 58.3%, MF/ DII/ FII 30.3%, Individuals 8% and Others 3.4%.
Pricing Snapshot
(Content for Subscribers Only) Fig 2 Price History The available 6-year view of the share price of BKT in Fig 3 shows us: BKT share has been somewhat volatile. Today it is at 25% below the Jan 2013 high of 317. Investors have been rewarded with steady dividends and a stock split in 2010 (FV10 to FV2). At CMP, it has given shareholders 15% annual appreciation so far.
Annual Revenues in Crores 4,000
3,500 3,000 2,500
20.6 30.8 Revenues EBITDA % PAT % EPS P/E 20.1 27.8
36.2
22.7
2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
11.6 7.7 10.5 11.8 8.6 6.6
15 10 5 0
Financial Snapshot
Growth has been steady with Revenues, EBITDA and PAT up by 25%, 28% and 44% CAGR in 6 years. In FY11, there was a compression in margins due to an increase in international Rubber prices. Even though this was handled well by the firm, and profits increased, the P/E (ttm) has rapidly fallen from 30.8 times (FY09) to 6.6 times currently, see Fig 3. The firm is in an investment phase for the Bhuj plant, but the D/E is at a fair 1.49 times. The capital investments are from a combination of debt and internal cash flows. Return on Capital Employed is 15.63% while Return on Net Worth is 24.24%. Equity Share Capital has remained unchanged for 7 years at 19.33 cr., indicating corporate stability. Dividend yield is a low 0.6%. PEG based on 1 year projection is at 0.22 indicates a very undervalued stock.
Cash Flow
(Content for Subscribers Only) Fig 4 Free Cash Flow
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Sept 2013
Disclaimer
These reports and documents have been prepared by JainMatrix Investments Ltd. They are not to be copied, reused or made available to others without prior permission of JainMatrix Investments. Any questions should be directed to the director of JainMatrix Investments at punit.jain@jainmatrix.com Also see: http://jainmatrix.wordpress.com/disclaimer/
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