ASEAN [BAU]

Primary energy
consumption
Total
Coal
Oil
Natural gas
Nuclear
Hydro
Geothermal
Others

Mtoe
1990
252
12
96
33
3
6
103

2005
489
54
191
107
5
14
117

2007
511
76
185
109
6
15
120

Share, %
2020
869
206
314
149
3
19
35
143

2030
1,414
414
496
227
24
30
47
176

1990
100.0
4.7
38.1
13.0
1.0
2.2
41.0

2005
100.0
11.1
39.1
21.9
1.0
2.9
23.9

Mtoe

2007
100.0
14.8
36.2
21.4
1.2
2.9
23.5

2020
100.0
23.7
36.2
17.1
0.4
2.2
4.0
16.5

2030
100.0
29.3
35.1
16.0
1.7
2.1
3.4
12.5

19902007
4.2
11.5
3.9
7.3
5.4
5.8
0.9

AAGR(%)
2007- 20202020
2030
4.2
5.0
8.0
7.3
4.2
4.7
2.4
4.3
21.6
9.2
4.6
6.7
3.2
1.3
2.1

20072030
4.5
7.7
4.4
3.2
7.1
5.2
1.7

19902007
4.2
6.4
5.1
2.3
6.1

AAGR(%)
2007- 20202020
2030
4.2
4.8
5.0
5.5
5.6
5.5
2.2
3.2
5.0
4.8

20072030
4.4
5.2
5.6
2.6
4.9

Final energy
demand
Sector
Total
Industry
Transportation
Others
Non-energy

1990
186
38
38
99
12

2005
345
95
87
141
22

2007
375
108
90
146
31

2020
637
203
183
193
59

2030
1,018
348
313
263
95

1990
100.0
20.3
20.5
53.0
6.2

2005
100.0
27.4
25.4
40.8
6.4

2007
100.0
28.9
23.9
38.9
8.4

2020
100.0
31.8
28.7
30.3
9.3

2030
100.0
34.2
30.7
25.9
9.3

Total
Coal
Oil
Natural gas
Electricity
Heat
Others

186
4
72
8
11
91

345
24
153
24
38
106

375
37
156
30
43
109

637
82
283
58
97
117

1,018
138
466
99
179
136

100.0
2.3
38.6
4.4
5.9
48.7

100.0
7.0
44.4
7.0
11.0
30.6

100.0
9.9
41.7
8.0
11.4
29.0

100.0
12.9
44.4
9.2
15.2
18.4

100.0
13.5
45.8
9.7
17.6
13.4

Power
generation
Total
Coal
Oil
Natural gas
Nuclear
Hydro
Geothermal
Others
Power
generation
Input
Total
Coal
Oil
Natural gas

TWh
1990
157
28
66
26
29
7
2

2005
504
118
68
242
57
17
2

1990
30
7
16
6

2005
97
30
16
51

2020
1,309
508
45
412
13
225
40
67

2030
2,414
1,144
35
616
91
351
55
121

1990
100.0
18.1
41.8
16.4
18.6
4.2
1.0

2005
100.0
23.5
13.6
48.0
11.3
3.3
0.4

2007
107
38
14
54

1990
34.6
35.3
34.3
34.6

2005
38.1
33.8
37.1
40.9

2007
38.6
35.0
36.5
41.7

2020
211
123
10
78

2030
397
274
8
115

1990
100.0
23.2
55.3
21.5

2005
100.0
31.1
16.4
52.5

2005
251

2007
250

4.4
5.9
4.9
5.3
6.4
1.0

2030
100.0
47.4
1.5
25.5
3.8
14.5
2.3
5.0

19902007
7.9
10.5
-0.5
14.6
5.4
5.8
6.1

AAGR(%)
2007- 20202020
2030
6.6
6.3
9.5
8.5
-2.3
-2.3
3.5
4.1
21.6
9.2
4.6
6.7
3.2
23.6
6.2

2007
100.0
27.3
10.6
45.9
12.5
3.0
0.7

2020
100.0
38.8
3.4
31.5
1.0
17.2
3.1
5.1

20072030
6.5
9.1
-2.3
3.8
7.2
5.2
15.7

2030
100.0
69.1
2.0
28.9

19902007
7.8
10.6
-0.8
13.4

AAGR(%)
2007- 20202020
2030
5.4
6.5
9.4
8.4
-2.6
-2.4
2.9
3.9

2007
100.0
35.9
13.4
50.7

2020
100.0
58.0
4.8
37.1

20072030
5.9
8.9
-2.5
3.3

19902007
0.6
-0.1
0.4
1.1

AAGR(%)
2007- 20202020
2030
0.1
-0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.6
0.2

20072030
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.4

19902007
5.4

AAGR(%)
2007- 20202020
2030
5.6
5.9

20072030
5.7

AAGR(%)
2007- 20202020
2030
5.0
5.5
1.1
1.1
3.8
4.4
3.0
3.9
-0.8
-0.4
0.5
0.4

20072030
5.2
1.1
4.0
3.4
-0.6
0.5

Share, %
2020
39.3
35.6
37.6
45.2

2030
38.9
35.9
37.9
46.1

1990

2005

Mt-C
1990
101

4.8
5.3
5.1
5.4
6.4
1.5

Share, %

CO2 emissions

Total

2007
571
156
61
262
71
17
4

4.2
13.5
4.7
7.9
8.3
1.1

Share, %

MTOE

Thermal
Efficiency
Total
Coal
Oil
Natural gas

Share, %

2007

2020

2030

Share, %
2020
504

2030
895

1990

2005

2007

2020

2030

Energy and economic indicators

GDP (billions of 2000 US dollars)

Population (million of people)
GDP per capita (thousands of 2000 USD/person)
Primary energy consumption per capita (toe/person)
Primary energy consumption per GDP (toe/million 2000 US Dollars)
CO2 emissions per GDP (t-C/million 2000 US Dollars)

1990
358
439
0.8
0.6
704
283

2005
759
551
1.4
0.9
644
330

2007
881
568
1.6
0.9
580
283

2020
1,658
659
2.5
1.3
524
304

2030
2,822
732
3.9
1.9
501
317

19902007
5.4
1.5
3.8
2.7
-1.1
0.0

CO2 emissions per primary energy consumption (t-C/toe)

0.40

0.51

0.49

0.58

0.63

1.2

The 3rd ASEAN Energy Outlook

4.2
6.3
4.7
5.3
6.5
0.6

1.3

0.9

1.1

121