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Wipro
Performance Highlights
(` cr) Net revenue EBITDA EBITDA margin (%) PAT 1QFY14 9,735 2,020 20.8 1,632 4QFY13 9,643 2,122 22.0 1,606 % chg (qoq) 0.9 (4.8) (125)bp 1.6 1QFY13 9,284 2,019 21.7 1,457 % chg (yoy) 4.8 0.1 (99)bp 12.0
ACCUMULATE
CMP Target Price
Investment Period
Stock Info Sector Market Cap (` cr) Net debt (` cr) Beta 52 Week High / Low Avg. Daily Volume Face Value (`) BSE Sensex Nifty Reuters Code Bloomberg Code IT 93,920 (9,965) 0.6 418/290 163,184 2 19,748 5,886 WIPR.BO WPRO@IN
`383 `435
12 Months
For 1QFY2014, Wipros results were broadly in line with our estimates except in terms of USD revenue. The IT services revenue came in at US$1,588mn, up just 0.2% qoq vs our expectation of ~1.0% qoq growth; though in constant currency terms revenues grew by 1.2%. Going forward, for 2QFY2014, the Management has given a USD revenue guidance of US$1,620mn-1,640mn, which translates into a qoq growth of 2-4%, which is above our expectation of 1.5-3.0% qoq growth. We believe that the restructuring initiatives have not yet started showing the expected results and will start reflecting in the financials of the company in due course. We recommend an Accumulate rating on the stock. Quarterly highlights: For 1QFY2014, Wipros consolidated revenues came in at `9,735cr, up 0.9% qoq. The companys consolidated EBITDA margin declined by 125bp qoq to 20.8% while the EBIT margin grew by 49bp qoq to 18.2%. The IT services segments EBIT margin was at 20.0%, down ~20bp qoq, impacted by one month wage hikes given to employees (effective 1 June 2013). The PAT came in line with our expectations at `1,632cr, up 1.6% qoq. Outlook and valuation: For 2QFY2014, the Management has given a USD revenue guidance of US$1,620mn-1,640mn, which translates into a qoq growth of 2-4%. The Management remains confident of the revenue growth pick-up sustaining, citing a pick-up in large deal closures and win rates, uptick in discretionary spending, a strong business pipeline and momentum in demand from the US sustaining. Though the deal pipeline has remained largely unchanged over the past few months, deal closures and win ratios were on the up, reflecting both an improving environment (leading to faster decision-making) and execution (higher win ratios). We expect USD and INR revenue CAGR for IT services to be at 7.2% and 10.7%, respectively over FY2013-15. We expect an EBIT margin of 18.2% and 18.8% for FY2014 and FY2015, respectively. The stock is currently trading at 13.5x FY2014E and 12.3x FY2015E EPS. We value the stock at 14x FY2015E EPS of `31.2, which gives a target price of `435. We recommend Accumulate rating on the stock.
Shareholding Pattern (%) Promoters MF / Banks / Indian Fls FII / NRIs / OCBs Indian Public / Others 73.5 4.6 7.3 14.6
3m 2.4 16.0
Ankita Somani
+91 22-39357800 Ext: 6819 ankita.somani@angelbroking.com
1QFY14 9,735 6,472 3,263 1,243 2,020 250 1,770 287 2,057 425 1,632 1,632 6.6 33.5 20.8 18.2 19.7
4QFY13 9,643 6,318 3,325 1,204 2,122 415 1,706 328 2,044 438 1,606 1,606 6.5 34.5 22.0 17.7 20.1
% chg (qoq) 0.9 2.4 (1.9) 3.3 (4.8) (39.8) 3.7 0.6 (2.9) 1.6 1.6 1.6 (96)bp (125)bp 49bp (35)bp
1QFY13 9,284 6,132 3,152 1,133 2,019 270 1,749 133 1,871 405 1,466 10 1,457 5.9 34.0 21.7 18.8 15.8
% chg (yoy) 4.8 5.5 3.5 9.7 0.1 (7.5) 1.2 9.9 5.1 11.3 (100.0) 12.0 12.0 (43)bp (99)bp (65)bp 391bp
FY2013 37,823 26,203 11,619 4,635 8,222 1,237 6,984 990 7,974 1,835 6,139 10 6,130 24.8 30.7 21.7 18.5 18.8
FY2012 37,525 26,317 11,207 4,806 7,414 1,013 6,401 574 6,975 1,376 5,599 26 5,573 22.7 29.9 19.8 17.1 16.4
% chg (yoy) 0.8 (0.4) 3.7 (3.6) 10.9 22.2 9.1 14.3 33.3 9.7 (62.1) 10.0 9.3 85bp 198bp 141bp 244bp
(USD mn)
1,550 1,530 1,510 1,490 1,470 1,450 3QFY13 (1.4) 1,515 1,541
1QFY14
Industry wise, Wipros growth was once again led by energy & utilities industry vertical, the revenue from which grew by 5.0% qoq in CC terms. The company posted a 1.7% and 1.0% qoq revenue growth (in CC terms) in retail & transportation and financial solutions industry verticals, respectively, during the quarter. For FY2013, energy & utilities was the only vertical that grew in double digits (ie by ~19% yoy), aided by the acquisition of SAIC. The Management indicated that Wipro is participating in large deals in both energy & utilities and financial solutions industry verticals with noticeable traction in discretionary spends in these verticals as well. The Management indicated that revenue growth from the telecom industry is expected to remain sluggish over the next few quarters.
Service wise, Wipros anchor service lines - business application services (contributed 31.3% to revenue) and technology infrastructure services (contributed 24.2% to revenue) - posted a marginal decline of 0.1% and 0.9% qoq in revenues, respectively. Revenues from application development and maintenance (ADM) segment (contributed 20.7% to revenue) also declined by 0.2% qoq. Growth during the quarter was led by analytics & information management services and consulting services, revenues from which grew by 6.5% and 3.5% qoq, respectively. The Management indicated that the company continues to see good traction in advanced technologies like mobility and cloud where the company witnessed a 9% qoq growth in 1QFY2014. The Management indicated that analytics, mobility and data will be the next growth drivers for the overall IT industry, and that the company is making continuous investments in these areas.
(%)
The company is seeing bottoming out of weakness in multiple segments, such as the IMS business out of India, and product engineering.
% growth (qoq) % growth (yoy) (0.9) 6.5 (0.1) 0.5 (0.2) (0.2) (2.5) 3.5 11.3 10.6 6.9 9.8 (6.8) (3.8) (11.5) 6.0
Geography wise, Wipros primary revenue growth came in from APAC and other emerging markets, which cumulatively grew by 9.9% qoq, while revenues from Europe grew by 1.5% qoq in CC terms. Revenues from India were down 1.5% qoq in CC terms (6.7% decline in USD terms) while that from the US were down 0.6% qoq in CC terms. However, prospectively, the Management is more sanguine on the US geography where both deal wins and the deal pipeline have improved meaningfully in the recent past.
Segmental performance
During the quarter, the IT services segments revenue came in at US$1,588mn, up merely 0.2% qoq, with India and the Middle East geographies being the major revenue draggers, with revenue declining by 6% qoq.
(0.5) 3QFY13
(%)
0 2QFY13 (2) (4) (6) (8) Global IT India and Middle East (4.8)
1QFY14
The IT products segment reported a 14.3% yoy decline in its revenue to `817cr during the quarter, as majority of business in this segment comes from India and the Middle East regions which were soft during the quarter.
25
997 10.8
14.7
(` cr)
(5)
(15)
(%)
900
Margins mixed
During 1QFY2014, Wipros consolidated EBITDA margin declined by 125bp qoq to 20.8% while EBIT margin grew by 49bp qoq to 18.2%, as there was a one-time depreciation cost last quarter which was not present during 1QFY2014. The IT services segments EBIT margin was at 20.0%, down ~20bp qoq, impacted by one month wage hikes given to employees (effective June 1, 2013). The EBIT margin of the IT products business segment declined by 90bp qoq to 1.6%, negatively impacted due to INR depreciation.
(%)
10 5 0 1QFY13 IT services
Source: Company, Angel Research
2.2
3.0
2.5 4QFY13
1.6 1QFY14
2QFY13
Consolidated
Client pyramid
Wipro added 28 new clients in 1QFY2014, lowest since 1QFY2011, with its active client base standing at 946 from 978 in 4QFY2013. Overall, two clients were added in the US$1mn+ revenue brackets. The companys focus on account mining continues to yield results with top clients driving growth The companys revenue from its top clients grew by 3% qoq, while revenues from the top 5/10 clients increased by 4.8%/2.9% qoq.
of `31.2, which is still at a reasonable discount to our target multiple for TCS. The discounted valuation for Wipro vis-a-vis TCS is fair in our view given several years of revenue underperformance at Wipro, while several quarters of sustained performance will be required for Wipro to narrow the valuation multiples. We recommend an Accumulate rating on the stock with a target price of `435.
(`)
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Price
Source: Company, Angel Research
27x
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Apr-13
7x
Company background
Wipro is among leading Indian companies, majorly offering IT services. The company is also engaged in IT hardware (11% of sales) and consumer care and lighting (10% of sales) businesses. Wipro's IT arm is India's fourth largest IT firm, employing more than 1,47,000 professionals, offering a wide portfolio of services such as ADM, consulting and package implementation, and servicing more than 950 clients.
10
11
12
Key Ratios
Y/E March Valuation ratio(x) P/E (on FDEPS) P/CEPS P/BVPS Dividend yield (%) EV/Sales EV/EBITDA EV/Total assets Per share data (`) EPS (Fully diluted) Cash EPS Dividend Book value DuPont analysis Tax retention ratio (PAT/PBT) Cost of debt (PBT/EBIT) EBIT margin (EBIT/Sales) Asset turnover ratio (Sales/Assets) Leverage ratio (Assets/Equity) Operating ROE Return ratios (%) RoCE (pre-tax) Angel RoIC RoE Turnover ratios (x) Asset turnover(fixed assets) Receivables days Payable days 0.9 66 71 0.9 69 63 0.9 76 66 0.9 68 66 0.9 69 66 15.5 28.0 22.0 14.7 25.8 19.5 15.9 30.2 21.5 15.3 31.2 20.7 15.1 33.9 19.4 0.8 7.7 0.0 0.8 1.5 22.2 0.8 6.9 0.0 0.9 1.5 19.6 0.8 6.4 0.0 0.9 1.5 21.6 0.8 7.7 0.0 0.8 1.5 20.8 0.8 8.0 0.0 0.8 1.4 19.5 21.7 45.1 6.0 98.0 22.7 48.8 6.0 116.6 24.8 53.0 6.0 115.3 28.3 59.4 6.0 136.5 31.2 66.1 6.0 160.7 17.7 8.5 3.9 1.6 2.7 12.9 2.3 16.9 7.8 3.3 1.6 2.2 11.4 1.9 15.4 7.2 3.3 1.6 2.1 9.6 1.8 13.5 6.4 2.8 1.6 1.8 8.4 1.5 12.3 5.8 2.4 1.6 1.5 6.8 1.2 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014E FY2015E
13
E-mail: research@angelbroking.com
Website: www.angelbroking.com
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Disclosure of Interest Statement 1. Analyst ownership of the stock 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock 4. Broking relationship with company covered
Wipro No No No No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors
Ratings (Returns):
14