INFLATION

Inflation is a rise in general level of prices of goods and services over time. Although "inflation" is sometimes used to refer to a rise in the prices of a specific set of goods or services, a rise in prices of one set (such as food) without a rise in others (such as wages) is not included in the original meaning of the word. Inflation can be thought of as a decrease in the value of the unit of currency. It is measured as the percentage rate of change of a price index[1] but it is not uniquely defined because there are various price indices that can be used. Many economists believe that high rates of inflation are caused by high rates of growth of the money supply.[2] Views on the factors that determine moderate rates of inflation are more varied: changes in inflation are sometimes attributed to fluctuations in real demand for goods and services or in available supplies (i.e. changes in scarcity), and sometimes to changes in the supply or demand for money. In the mid-twentieth century, two camps disagreed strongly on the main causes of inflation at moderate rates: the "monetarists" argued that money supply dominated all other factors in determining inflation, while "Keynesians" argued that real demand was often more important than changes in the money supply. There are many measures of inflation. For example, different price indices can be used to measure changes in prices that affect different people. Two widely known indices for which inflation rates are reported in many countries are the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures consumer prices, and the GDP deflator, which measures price variations associated with domestic production of goods and services.

Related definitions
Related economic concepts include: deflation, a general falling in price level; disinflation, a decrease in the rate of inflation; hyperinflation, an out-of-control inflationary spiral; stagflation, a combination of inflation and slow economic growth and

rising unemployment; and reflation, which is an attempt to raise prices to counteract deflationary pressures. In classical political economy, inflation meant increasing the money supply, while deflation meant decreasing it (see Monetary inflation). Economists from some schools of economic thought (including some Austrian economists) still retain this usage. In contemporary economic terminology, these would usually be referred to as expansionary and contractionary monetary policies.

Measures of inflation
Inflation is measured by calculating the percentage rate of change of a price index, which is called the inflation rate. This rate can be calculated for many different price indices, including:

Consumer price indices (CPIs) which measure the price of a selection of goods purchased by a "typical consumer." In the UK, an alternative index called the Retail Price Index (RPI) uses a slightly different market basket. Cost-of-living indices (COLI) are indices similar to the CPI which are often used to adjust fixed incomes and contractual incomes to maintain the real value of those incomes. Producer price indices (PPIs) which measure the prices received by producers. This differs from the CPI in that price subsidization, profits, and taxes may cause the amount received by the producer to differ from what the consumer paid. There is also typically a delay between an increase in the PPI and any resulting increase in the CPI. Producer price inflation measures the pressure being put on producers by the costs of their raw materials. This could be "passed on" as consumer inflation, or it could be absorbed by profits, or offset by increasing productivity. In India and the United States, an earlier version of the PPI was called the Wholesale Price Index. Commodity price indices, which measure the price of a selection of commodities. In the present commodity price indices are weighted by the relative importance of the components to the "all in" cost of an employee. The GDP Deflator is a measure of the price of all the goods and services included in Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The US Commerce Department publishes a deflator series for US GDP, defined as its nominal GDP measure divided by its real GDP measure. Capital goods price Index, although so far no attempt at building such an index has been made, several economists have recently pointed out the necessity of measuring capital goods inflation (inflation in the price of stocks, real estate, and other assets) separately.[citation needed] Indeed a given increase in the supply of money can lead to a rise in inflation (consumption goods inflation) and or to a rise in capital goods price inflation. The growth in money supply has remained fairly constant through since the 1970s however consumption goods price inflation has been reduced because most of the inflation has happened in the capital goods prices.

Foreign exchange reserves

Foreign exchange reserves (also called Forex reserves) in

a strict sense are only the foreign currency deposits held by central banks and monetary authorities. However, the term in popular usage commonly includes foreign exchange and gold, SDRs and IMF reserve positions. This broader figure is more readily available, but it is more accurately termed official reserves or international reserves. These are assets of the central bank held in different reserve currencies, such as the dollar, euro and yen, and used to back its liabilities, e.g. the local currency issued, and the various bank reserves deposited with the central bank, by the government or financial institutions.

Forex reserves up $1.8 bn to $312 bn

June 28, 2008 01:55 IST Indian foreign exchange reserves rose by $1.8 billion in the week ended June 20, 2008, to $312.48 billion. The increase in reserves was basically due to a hike in foreign currency assets, which grew by $1.78 billion to $302.74 billion, according to the Reserve Bank of India's weekly statistical supplement released. The forex reserves had dipped by $4.96 billion in the week ended June 13, 2008, after rising to a record $312.481 billion by the end of May. The forex kitty has grown by just $2.75 billion since March 2008. The decline in reserves has been attributed to dollar sales by the central bank to keep the value of the rupee below 43 to dollar, analysts said. RBI has been intervening in the forex market for the past couple of weeks to provide some relief to the depreciating rupee. Crude oil prices today touched a new high of $142 a barrel. This entails higher payment for buying crude oil from the international market. Meanwhile, inflation touched its new peak in 13 years at 11.42 per cent on the wholesale price index on June 13, 2008.

RBI recent data

Foreign Exchange Reserves

Variation over Item As on Jun. 27, 2008 Rs. Crore 1 2 US$ Mn. 3 Week End-March 2008 End-December 2007 Rs. Crore 8 US$ Mn. 9 Year

Rs. US$ Rs. US$ Crore Mn. Crore Mn. 4 5 6 7

Rs. Crore 10

US$ Mn. 11

Total Reserves 13,33,962 311,7908,418 691 95,997 2,067 2,48,942 36,474 4,64,021 98,304 (a) Foreign Currency Assets (b) Gold (c) SDRs (d) Reserve Position in the IMF** 12,92,470 302,0508,420694* 96,447 2,820 2,41,985 35,497 4,52,557 95,936

39,190 47 2,255

9,202 11 527

934 837 27 511 8 91

6,371 34 552

874 8 95

11,043 2,291 41 380 10 67

* : Foreign currency assets expressed in US dollar terms include the effect of appreciation/depreciation of non-US currencies (such as Euro, Sterling, Yen) held in reserves. For details, please refer to the Current Statistics section of the RBI Bulletin. ** : Reserve Position in the International Monetary Fund (IMF), i.e., Reserve Tranche Position (RTP) which was shown as a memo item from May 23, 2003 to March

26, 2004 has been included in the reserves from the week ended April 2, 2004 in keeping with the international best practice.

Current foreign ex turnover data can be obtained from. http://www.rbi.org.in/scripts/Statistics. aspx