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y
1.210
1.265
1.275
1.320
1.350
1.370
1.375
1.395
iii) Finalmente, utilice el mtodo del Jacobiano para encontrar los parmetros
la desviacin estndar de los parmetros y del ajuste y haga una grfica d
y los experimentales.
SOLUCIONES
s=
-1.231908009
-0.787950772
1.1916323
0.25418024
0.557179342
0.0090656
DESV EST
DESV EST
DESV EST
Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple
0.995153877
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2
0.990331239
R^2 ajustado
0.986463735
Error tpico
0.007514357
Observaciones
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin
0.02891767
Residuos
0.00028233
Total
0.0292
Coeficientes
Intercepcin
1.191632301
0.0090656
Variable X 1
-0.787950772
0.55717934
Variable X 2
-1.231908009
0.25418024
ii)
y
1.210
1.265
1.275
1.320
1.350
1.370
1.375
1.395
Error tpico
x
0.003
0.015
0.025
0.041
0.055
0.070
0.085
0.095
XLNX
-0.017427429
-0.062995576
-0.092221986
-0.130961512
-0.159523215
-0.186148203
-0.209533842
-0.223618447
y=a+bx+cxlnx
dy/da
1
iii)
y
1.210
1.265
1.275
1.320
1.350
1.370
1.375
1.395
x
0.003
0.015
0.025
0.041
0.055
0.070
0.085
0.095
dy/db
x
MATRIZ D
1
0.003
0.015
0.025
0.041
0.055
0.07
0.085
0.095
matriz D'
1
0.003
-0.017427429
1
0.015
-0.062995576
1
0.025
-0.092221986
La matriz P= DY
matriz P, 3x1
La matriz A= DD
Matriz DD, 3x3
8
0.389
-1.08243021
1
1
0.041
0.055
-0.130961512 -0.15952322
0.389
0.026715
-0.069530468
-1.08243021
-0.069530468
0.18393642
10.56
0.52815
-1.46166496
1.450
1.400
1.350
1.300
1.250
1.200
0
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
valores de x
0.06
entan a continuacin:
por qu? Utilice las funciones que existen en Excel: LINEA DE TENDENCIA,
rar los parmetros a, b y c.
Valor crtico de F
256.064682
9.19236E-06
5.6466E-05
Estadstico t Probabilidad
131.445563
4.834E-10
1.21493616
1.16832845
1.21493616
-1.41417801
0.21644707 -2.220225868
0.64432432 -2.22022587
0.64432432
-4.84659236
0.0046878 -1.885299117
-0.5785169 -1.88529912
-0.5785169
dy/dc
xlnx
ycal
(y-ycal)2
-0.01742743
1.21073744
5.43814E-07
-0.06299558
1.25741779
5.74898E-05
-0.09222199
1.28554254
0.000111145
-0.13096151
1.32065885
4.34089E-07
-0.15952322
1.34481293
2.69056E-05
-0.1861482
1.36579321
1.76971E-05
-0.20953384
1.3827829
6.05736E-05
-0.22361845
1.39225433
7.53869E-06
S=
0.000282328
s2=
s=
5.64656E-05
0.007514357
1
1
1
0.07
0.085
0.095
-0.1861482 -0.20953384 -0.223618447
La matriz P= DY
matriz P, 3x1
Y experimental
Y calculada
0.07
0.08
0.09
0.1
Covarianza,
os
y
490.2
585.3
673.7
759.2
837.5
Detenga las iteraciones cuando la suma de los residuales al cuadrado sea igua
Con estos parmetros finales encuentre la matriz de varianza-covarianza.
iii) Con los valores finales de a, b y c encuentre la desviacin estndar del ajuste y
solucinones
i) no lineal, porque los parametros son independientes. Por eso mismo no se pue
a
b
c
x
40
80
160
320
640
y
490.2
585.3
673.7
759.2
837.5
ycal
(y-Ycal)^2
489.85087
0.12189161
586.40582
1.22283699
673.756524
0.00319499
757.160241
4.16061482
838.726677
1.50473675
7.01327515
900
800
700
600
500
Celda
$E$37
Nombre
(y-Ycal)^2
400
300
Celdas cambiantes
Celda
$D$28
$D$29
$D$30
Nombre
a
b
c
Valor original
115.142614
2.31119379
-22.038622
Valor final
115.143647
2.31109414
-22.0391544
200
100
0
Restricciones
NINGUNA
ii)
valores iniciales
a
120
b
3
c
y=aln(bx+c)
dy/da
-10
Y
x
40
80
160
320
640
y
490.2
585.3
673.7
759.2
837.5
ycal
5.43807931
41.7391304
0.52173913
6.15273269
40.8510638
0.25531915
y-Ycal
(y-Ycal)^2
MATRIZ D
564.057644 -73.8576439
5454.95156
4.70048037
652.569517 -67.2695171
4525.18793
5.43807931
738.327923 -64.6279234
4176.76848
6.15273269
822.775438 -63.5754382
4041.83634
6.85646198
906.583023 -69.0830225
4772.464
7.55485852
S=
22971.2083
s2=
s=
11485.6042
ln(bx+c)
6.85646198
40.4210526
0.12631579
107.170911
7.55485852
40.2094241
0.06282723
(D'*D)-1 (minversa) Matrix 2x2
1.45655838 -0.26110633
4.5167892
-0.26110633 0.04708249 -0.82528248
4.5167892 -0.82528248 15.5338886
-18.8785149
51878.0528 -9478.86792
178416.096
primera iteracion
valores iniciales
a 114.619564
b 2.35034878
y=aln(bx+c)
dy/da
c -28.8785149
Y
x
40
80
160
320
640
y
490.2
585.3
673.7
759.2
837.5
ycal
y-Ycal
5.06984331
57.6160882
0.7202011
5.84983557
52.8235308
0.33014707
MATRIZ D
11.4949725
132.134392
4.17646874
581.103231
4.19676869
17.6128674
5.06984331
670.505605
3.1943949
10.2041588
5.84983557
754.624445
4.57555528
20.9357062
6.58373157
836.338494
1.16150615
1.34909654
7.29664694
S=
182.236221
s2=
s=
91.1181105
6.58373157
50.7143006
0.15848219
9.54558068
7.29664694
49.7216148
0.07769002
(D'*D)-1 (minversa) Matrix 2x2
1.07697073 -0.15002319 3.60748953
-0.15002319 0.02106465 -0.51114696
3.60748953 -0.51114696 12.7970459
(y-Ycal)^2
478.705028
ln(bx+c)
segunda iteracion
valores iniciales
a 115.101832
b 2.31760095
y=aln(bx+c)
dy/da
c -22.3591348
Y
x
40
80
160
320
y
490.2
585.3
673.7
759.2
ycal
y-Ycal
ln(bx+c)
(y-Ycal)^2
MATRIZ D
489.575322
0.62467834
0.39022303
4.25341033
581.103231
4.19676869
17.6128674
5.09405041
670.505605
3.1943949
10.2041588
5.85351489
754.624445
4.57555528
20.9357062
6.57824121
640
837.5
836.338494
1.16150615
1.34909654
S=
50.4920519
s2=
s=
25.246026
5.09405041
56.47474
0.70593425
5.85351489
52.8509751
0.33031859
6.57824121
51.2080637
0.1600252
5.02454236
7.28681171
50.4243251
0.07878801
(D'*D)-1 (minversa) Matrix 2x2
1.18274674 -0.16245524 3.61561383
-0.16245524 0.02247977 -0.50545055
3.61561383 -0.50545055 11.8244927
7.28681171
tercera iteracion
valores iniciales
a 112.304653
b 2.77269246
y=aln(bx+c)
dy/da
c -32.9162792
Y
x
40
80
160
320
640
y
490.2
585.3
673.7
759.2
837.5
ycal
489.266317
5.2412131
47.5617479
0.59452185
6.01789836
43.7499621
0.27343726
y-Ycal
(y-Ycal)^2
MATRIZ D
0.93368331
0.87176453
4.35659881
588.612618 -3.31261769
10.973436
5.2412131
675.837986 -2.13798587
4.5709836
6.01789836
1.10592072
1.22306063
6.75033545
838.080599 -0.58059921
0.33709544
7.46256347
S=
17.9763402
s2=
s=
8.98817008
758.094079
ln(bx+c)
6.75033545
42.0643603
0.13145113
2.9980277
7.46256347
41.2693461
0.06448335
(D'*D)-1 (minversa) Matrix 2x2
1.0932783 -0.18801016 4.41448778
-0.18801016 0.03257429 -0.77177322
4.41448778 -0.77177322 18.8782796
cuarta iteracion
valores iniciales
a 115.120821
b 2.25994896
y=aln(bx+c)
dy/da
c -20.5003991
Y
x
40
80
160
320
640
y
490.2
585.3
673.7
759.2
837.5
ycal
y-Ycal
5.0770191
57.4542933
0.71817867
5.83215058
54.0011548
0.33750722
MATRIZ D
1.27833628
1.63414364
4.24703073
584.470606
0.82939428
0.68789487
5.0770191
671.401962
2.29803838
5.28098041
5.83215058
754.606188
4.59381245
21.1031128
6.55490625
836.069023
1.43097693
2.04769497
7.26253528
S=
30.7538267
s2=
s=
15.3769134
6.55490625
52.4257007
0.16383031
3.92134076
7.26253528
51.6719503
0.08073742
(D'*D)-1 (minversa) Matrix 2x2
1.20652194 -0.16118523 3.53057669
-0.16118523 0.02169233 -0.4801705
3.53057669 -0.4801705 11.0828861
(y-Ycal)^2
488.921664
ln(bx+c)
quinta iteracion
valores iniciales
a 115.136411
b 2.31155642
y=aln(bx+c)
dy/da
c -22.0425777
Y
x
40
y
490.2
ycal
489.844724
y-Ycal
0.35527604
ln(bx+c)
(y-Ycal)^2
0.12622107
MATRIZ D
4.25447275
80
160
320
640
585.3
673.7
759.2
837.5
586.392691 -1.09269106
1.19397374
5.09302562
673.737536 -0.03753591
0.00140894
5.85164614
757.135844
2.06415644
4.26074179
6.57598961
838.697073 -1.19707293
1.43298359
7.28437742
S=
7.01532914
s2=
s=
3.50766457
5.09302562
56.5496282
0.70687035
5.85164614
52.9657395
0.33103587
6.57598961
51.3389124
0.1604341
7.28437742
50.5624076
0.07900376
(D'*D)-1 (minversa) Matrix 2x2
1.18733619 -0.1625904 3.60683174
-0.1625904 0.02242979 -0.50271073
3.60683174 -0.50271073 11.7275058
1.87287602
sexta iteracion
valores iniciales
a 115.146905
b 2.31064119
y=aln(bx+c)
dy/da
c -22.0286626
Y
x
40
80
160
320
640
y
490.2
585.3
673.7
759.2
837.5
ycal
489.852257
5.09266146
56.5753808
0.70719226
5.85126505
52.9907578
0.33119224
y-Ycal
(y-Ycal)^2
MATRIZ D
0.34774276
0.12092502
4.25415043
586.404207 -1.10420739
1.21927397
5.09266146
673.755063 -0.05506279
0.00303191
5.85126505
757.160086
2.03991355
4.16124729
6.57560083
838.728327 -1.22832718
1.50878766
7.28398496
S=
7.01326585
s2=
s=
3.50663293
ln(bx+c)
6.57560083
51.3635571
0.16051112
7.28398496
50.5868653
0.07904198
1.87260058
septima iteracion
valores iniciales
a 115.146867
b 2.31064686
y=aln(bx+c)
dy/da
c -22.0287974
Y
x
40
80
160
320
640
y
490.2
585.3
673.7
759.2
837.5
ycal
489.852244
ln(bx+c)
y-Ycal
(y-Ycal)^2
0.34775587
0.12093414
4.25415174
586.404237 -1.10423686
1.21933904
5.09266342
673.755093 -0.05509334
0.00303528
5.85126727
757.160103
2.03989716
4.16118043
6.57560318
838.728323 -1.22832282
1.50877696
7.28398737
S=
7.01326585
s=
s=
5.09266342
56.5752509
0.70719064
5.85126727
52.9906221
0.33119139
MATRIZ D
6.57560318
51.3634195
0.16051069
3.50663292
1.87260058
7.28398737
50.5867269
0.07904176
(D'*D)-1 (minversa) Matrix 2x2
1.18742708 -0.16251554
3.605041
-0.16251554 0.02240743 -0.50219237
3.605041 -0.50219237 11.7151166
octava iteracion
valores iniciales
a 115.146867
b 2.31064678
c -22.0287954
y=aln(bx+c)
dy/da
x
40
80
160
320
640
y
490.2
585.3
673.7
759.2
837.5
ycal
489.852244
5.09266339
56.5752529
0.70719066
5.85126724
52.9906242
0.3311914
(y-Ycal)^2
MATRIZ D
0.1209339
4.25415172
586.404237 -1.10423658
1.21933842
5.09266339
673.755093 -0.05509306
0.00303525
5.85126724
757.160103
2.03989722
4.16118066
6.57560314
838.728323 -1.22832309
1.50877762
7.28398733
S=
7.01326585
s2=
s=
3.50663292
6.57560314
51.3634216
0.16051069
1.87260058
7.28398733
50.5867289
0.07904176
(D'*D)-1 (minversa) Matrix 2x2
1.1874271 -0.16251553 3.60504085
-0.16251553 0.02240743 -0.50219233
3.60504085 -0.50219233 11.7151155
y-Ycal
0.34775552
ln(bx+c)
iii)
1.87260058
2.04055653
0.28031168
6.4094157
e presentan a continuacin:
l, por qu?
CION LINEAL O REGRESION, para encontrar a, b y c, por qu?
30 puntos
s. Por eso mismo no se puede utilizar linea de tendencia, estimacion o regresion lineal.
900
800
700
600
500
400
Yexp
Ycal
Ycal
400
300
200
100
0
0
100
dy/db
ax/bx+c
200
300
dy/dc
a/bx+c
43.6363636
1.09090909
41.7391304
0.52173913
40.8510638
0.25531915
40.4210526
0.12631579
40.2094241
0.06282723
D'*Y, 2x1
-2068.43675
-14018.3443
-144.540737
parametros nuevos, 2x1
114.619564
2.35034878
400
500
600
700
-28.8785149
dy/db
ax/bx+c
dy/dc
a/bx+c
70.3884526
1.75971131
57.6160882
0.7202011
52.8235308
0.33014707
50.7143006
0.15848219
49.7216148
0.07769002
0.99206676
D'*Y, 2x1
126.571366
1509.45198
25.1203521
parametros nuevos, 2x1
115.101832
2.31760095
-22.3591348
dy/db
ax/bx+c
dy/dc
a/bx+c
65.449991
1.63624977
56.47474
0.70593425
52.8509751
0.33031859
51.2080637
0.1600252
0.72293076
50.4243251
0.07878801
D'*Y, 2x1
81.2967856
739.596988
5.86365749
parametros nuevos, 2x1
112.304653
2.77269246
-32.9162792
dy/db
ax/bx+c
dy/dc
a/bx+c
57.598466
1.43996165
47.5617479
0.59452185
43.7499621
0.27343726
42.0643603
0.13145113
41.2693461
0.06448335
D'*Y, 2x1
-23.0280559
-174.753064
-1.1016249
0.64397683
dy/db
ax/bx+c
dy/dc
a/bx+c
65.8797373
1.64699343
57.4542933
0.71817867
54.0011548
0.33750722
52.4257007
0.16383031
51.6719503
0.08073742
D'*Y, 2x1
63.5470203
570.740652
4.3448084
parametros nuevos, 2x1
115.136411
2.31155642
-22.0425777
dy/db
ax/bx+c
65.4001341
dy/dc
a/bx+c
1.63500335
-0.71079466
56.5496282
0.70687035
52.9657395
0.33103587
51.3389124
0.1604341
50.5624076
0.07900376
0.7718876
D'*Y, 2x1
0.58070214
4.90036798
0.0326487
parametros nuevos, 2x1
115.146905
2.31064119
-22.0286626
dy/db
ax/bx+c
dy/dc
a/bx+c
65.4271802
1.63567951
56.5753808
0.70719226
52.9907578
0.33119224
51.3635571
0.16051112
50.5868653
0.07904198
0.00029411
D'*Y, 2x1
0.00034909
0.0030497
1.1799E-05
parametros nuevos, 2x1
115.146867
2.31064686
-22.0287974
dy/db
ax/bx+c
dy/dc
a/bx+c
65.4270726
1.63567681
56.5752509
0.70719064
52.9906221
0.33119139
51.3634195
0.16051069
50.5867269
0.07904176
D'*Y, 2x1
1.0085E-08
2.8741E-06
2.9285E-07
parametros nuevos, 2x1
115.146867
2.31064678
-22.0287954
dy/db
dy/dc
3.1899E-10
ax/bx+c
a/bx+c
65.4270742
1.63567685
56.5752529
0.70719066
52.9906242
0.3311914
51.3634216
0.16051069
50.5867289
0.07904176
8.8397E-14
D'*Y, 2x1
3.8511E-12
-4.2088E-08
-4.418E-09
parametros nuevos, 2x1
115.146867
2.31064678
-22.0287954
l inciso i).
s a, b y c.
10 puntos
egresion lineal.
Yexp