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01 July 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Under Valued .....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Under Valued ......................................................................6

Automobiles & Parts


Banks
Beverages

Over Valued .........................................................................................6


Under Valued ..................................................................................6

Under Valued ..................................................................................6


Under Valued ....................................................7
Construction & Building Materials

Chemicals

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Engineering & Machinery
Food & Drug Stores

Under Valued ..................................................7


Over Valued ...............................................................8

Over Valued .......................................................................8


Over Valued ........................................................8

Food Producers & Processors


Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Heath
Over Valued ..........................................................9
Over Valued ...............................................9

Household Goods & Textiles

Information Technology & Hardware


Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Life Assurance

Under Valued .................................................................... 10


Under Valued ................................................................ 11

Media & Entertainment


Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Personal Care & Household Products

Over Valued .......................................... 12


Under Valued ................................................ 12

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Under Valued ............................................................................... 12
Real Estate
Under Valued .................................................... 13
Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Under Valued .......................................................... 13


Under Valued ..................................................................... 14

Over Valued ....................................................... 15


Telecommunication Services
Under
Valued
Transport
................................................................................... 15
Under
Valued
Utilities
....................................................................................... 15

DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

01 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

01 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided
solely to enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares
and other equity investments, you must contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may
not be suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as
rise and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

01 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target
price based upon
49 valuation
metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

01 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 5 of 17

Under Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BAE SYSTEMS

383.00

288.60

427.00

Neutral

Buy

Target
564

Beta
0.67

CHEMRING GROUP

284.10

217.00

414.70

Neutral

Buy

330

0.66

COBHAM

262.10

190.10

293.40

Neutral

Neutral

280

0.82

MEGGITT

517.50

366.20

534.50

Neutral

Neutral

496

1.32

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS

1134.00

799.39

1225.00

Neutral

Neutral

1104

1.07

SMITHS GROUP

1308.00

1011.00

1390.00

Neutral

Sell

1080

0.71

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1713.00

1424.00

1843.00

Neutral

Sell

1601

0.51

Unde r V a lue d

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GKN

301.30

180.60

313.40

Neutral

Neutral

295

2.02

INCHCAPE

501.00

330.60

577.50

Neutral

Neutral

546

1.48

LOOKERS

107.75

63.00

110.00

Neutral

Sell

95

1.23

26.75

13.50

26.75

Neutral

Buy

37

1.11

PENDRAGON

Target

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BARCLAYS

278.45

150.55

333.85

Neutral

Sell

-847

1.94

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

682.00

510.60

769.90

Neutral

Buy

823

1.17

63.16

28.76

63.16

Sell

Sell

1.89

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP


ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

273.50

196.60

367.80

Neutral

Sell

-174

1.35

STANDARD CHARTERED

1427.00

1228.50

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3271

1.70

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

505.00

399.20

588.50

Neutral

Sell

452

0.55

DIAGEO

1880.00

1642.00

2085.00

Neutral

Neutral

2046

0.55

SABMILLER

3152.50

2555.00

3657.00

Neutral

Buy

4117

0.95

BARR (AG)

Target

Beta

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALENT

328.00

305.00

397.50

Neutral

Buy

427

#NA

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

307.20

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

529

1.23

CARCLO

368.00

342.75

503.00

Neutral

Sell

142

0.73

2477.00

2164.00

2841.00

Neutral

Buy

3219

1.04

219.40

179.00

275.00

Neutral

Buy

302

0.99
1.45

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS

Target

Beta

JOHNSON MATTHEY

2628.00

2080.27

2750.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4318

VICTREX

1544.00

1185.00

1765.00

Neutral

Sell

1329

1.14

SYNTHOMER

192.00

127.40

225.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

369

1.16

ZOTEFOAMS

204.50

161.00

225.00

Neutral

Buy

283

1.00

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

01 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALUMASC GROUP

92.00

61.50

104.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
262

Beta

BALFOUR BEATTY

238.40

207.60

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1060

0.80

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

309.60

132.20

346.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

578

1.58
1.15

0.51

BELLWAY

1270.00

801.50

1377.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2715

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2131.00

1343.00

2207.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3329

0.66

BOOT (HENRY)

172.00

115.50

201.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

347

0.83

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

762.50

451.00

778.50

Neutral

Buy

993

1.20

CARILLION

276.40

235.50

331.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1458

1.12

CLARKE (T)

49.00

40.00

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

366

0.82

COSTAIN GROUP

278.25

202.00

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1072

0.57

1335.00

1090.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

823

1.14

GALLIFORD TRY

934.50

606.00

999.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2794

1.01

KELLER

991.00

357.25

1011.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2242

1.26

1145.00

1106.00

1408.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5322

0.97

64.75

50.00

76.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

213

1.07
1.39

CRH

KIER GROUP
LOW & BONAR
MARSHALLS

132.25

76.00

142.00

Neutral

Buy

191

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

609.00

508.00

695.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4296

0.87

16.75

10.63

18.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

57

1.15

NORCROS

1181.00

565.78

1280.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1904

1.20

REDROW

PERSIMMON

218.00

120.90

238.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

433

1.09

SIG

1.79

169.30

88.85

179.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

499

SUPERGLASS HOLDINGS

44.00

44.00

325.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4104

0.88

TAYLOR WIMPEY

95.75

42.72

103.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

216

1.67

TRAVIS PERKINS

1456.00

970.50

1611.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4179

2.01

WOLSELEY

3033.00

2237.39

3483.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5684

1.46

Under Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1123.00

994.50

1365.00

Neutral

Sell

991

0.75

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

624.00

522.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

753

1.18

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

118.75

105.50

144.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

214

1.29

INVENSYS

412.60

217.33

418.00

Neutral

Sell

310

1.41

LAIRD

177.50

171.10

249.30

Neutral

Buy

233

2.13

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1209.00

1200.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1054

1.00

RENISHAW

1546.00

1260.00

2081.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2371

1.26

SPECTRIS

1910.00

1459.00

2470.00

Neutral

Buy

2343

1.52

0.08

0.07

0.13

Neutral

Sell

-0

0.84

TT ELECTRONICS

153.00

114.00

178.50

Neutral

Buy

229

1.58

XAAR

783.50

223.25

813.50

Neutral

Sell

358

1.11

DIALIGHT

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

01 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 7 of 17

Over Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

82.50

54.25

91.75

Neutral

Buy

119

1.28

BODYCOTE

524.00

310.30

563.00

Neutral

Buy

598

1.60

CASTINGS

385.00

291.00

385.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

616

0.99

VESUVIUS

367.60

263.19

402.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

913

2.20

FENNER

307.00

307.00

435.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

498

1.42

HALMA

503.50

395.50

538.50

Neutral

Sell

351

0.75

HILL & SMITH

450.00

297.00

480.00

Neutral

Neutral

475

1.37

1240.00

776.00

1359.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6094

1.41

259.90

220.30

305.00

Neutral

Sell

-51

1.82

2670.00

1970.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

1385

1.00

250.40

177.00

280.80

Neutral

Sell

223

1.64
0.79

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SENIOR
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN

Target

Beta

47.25

35.40

83.42

Neutral

Sell

37

SPIRAX-SARCO

2687.00

1903.48

2928.35

Neutral

Sell

1967

0.84

VITEC GROUP

575.00

575.00

740.00

Neutral

Sell

408

1.39

WEIR GROUP

2151.00

1491.00

2474.00

Neutral

Sell

1987

1.38

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

417.40

398.00

523.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

755

0.47

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

261.80

248.60

296.40

Neutral

Buy

355

0.39

SAINSBURY (J)

355.30

301.40

396.50

Neutral

Buy

426

0.57

TESCO

331.40

307.90

387.75

Neutral

Sell

177

0.68

92.25

19.63

100.50

Neutral

Sell

57

0.84

THORNTONS

Target

Over Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

1735.00

1243.00

2031.00

Neutral

Neutral

1770

0.62

CRANSWICK

1155.00

732.50

1178.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1918

0.43

DAIRY CREST

454.20

327.30

503.50

Neutral

Sell

94

0.94

DEVRO

291.20

278.00

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

502

0.32

59.75

54.50

125.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

358

1.25

824.50

634.50

875.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1336

0.71

2662.00

2127.00

2885.00

Neutral

Sell

1677

0.58

PREMIER FOODS
TATE & LYLE
UNILEVER (UK)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

01 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

26.00

20.50

29.50

Neutral

Buy

32

0.69

442.00

244.40

465.60

Neutral

Sell

361

0.54

1351.00

1000.00

1541.00

Neutral

Sell

994

1.27

585.00

585.00

701.50

Neutral

Sell

286

0.95

41.09

14.97

42.90

Neutral

Buy

46

1.51

182.00

55.20

186.00

Neutral

Sell

62

1.13

28.13

19.50

34.00

Sell

Strong Buy

107

0.99

HALFORDS GROUP

317.30

189.00

405.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

502

0.68

JD SPORTS FASHION

880.50

651.00

920.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1548

0.53

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP

DARTY

Target

Beta

58.00

38.00

72.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

97

1.25

KINGFISHER

343.00

254.10

355.10

Neutral

Buy

379

0.94

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

430.70

312.20

485.00

Neutral

Buy

507

0.65

56.50

43.00

71.00

Neutral

Buy

65

1.04

431.00

190.50

432.00

Neutral

Buy

475

0.47

NEXT

4558.00

3169.00

4749.00

Neutral

Neutral

4488

0.67

TED BAKER

1700.00

880.00

1789.00

Neutral

Sell

776

0.55

69.25

38.75

71.75

Neutral

Sell

53

1.50

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Heath
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

135.00

127.50

160.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
120

0.46

CONSORT MEDICAL

832.50

660.50

839.00

Neutral

Sell

577

0.39

OPTOS

114.50

106.75

222.75

Neutral

Buy

158

1.18

SMITH & NEPHEW

735.00

637.50

794.50

Neutral

Sell

636

0.43

Over Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

749.50

568.00

760.00

Neutral

Neutral

729

0.44

HEADLAM GROUP

357.50

265.00

378.75

Neutral

Sell

314

0.92

81.50

55.25

88.50

Neutral

Buy

108

0.77

HORNBY

Target

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ARM HOLDINGS

795.00

469.00

1097.00

Neutral

Sell

425

0.74

CSR

539.00

218.30

570.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1438

1.18

FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

Target

Beta

62.50

28.38

83.25

Neutral

Sell

24

0.90

287.40

287.40

624.00

Neutral

Buy

335

1.08

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

140.70

122.00

170.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

416

0.94

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

158.50

158.50

230.00

Neutral

Sell

-680

0.90

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

01 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1327.00

1019.00

1374.00

Neutral

Sell

-480

0.53

AMLIN

393.30

352.20

435.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1565

0.46

BEAZLEY

230.00

137.70

241.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

974

0.60

CATLIN GROUP

499.20

422.00

552.50

Neutral

Sell

463

0.30

HISCOX

569.50

425.94

600.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1947

0.48

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

910.00

693.50

917.00

Neutral

Buy

1251

0.31

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

119.00

107.30

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

741

0.41

NOVAE GROUP

480.50

345.00

507.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3506

0.48

ADMIRAL GROUP

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2290.00

2083.00

2628.00

Neutral

Buy

3384

1.01

ENTERPRISE INNS

107.30

55.50

123.80

Neutral

Sell

101

1.61

TUI TRAVEL

356.90

165.20

373.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

693

1.01

FULLER SMITH 'A'

910.00

700.50

925.00

Neutral

Sell

586

0.39

GREENE KING

775.00

550.50

798.00

Neutral

Sell

595

0.93

LADBROKES

199.90

153.80

243.10

Neutral

Buy

249

0.93

1808.00

1503.75

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1604

1.18

CARNIVAL

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

561.00

456.00

582.50

Neutral

Neutral

562

1.40

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

370.90

248.50

408.50

Neutral

Sell

261

1.12

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

112.80

91.90

156.00

Neutral

Sell

58

1.25

13.00

5.61

13.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

68

1.27

153.60

115.00

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

550

1.00
0.76

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

500.00

296.00

531.00

Neutral

Sell

375

WETHERSPOON (JD)

664.50

416.60

666.00

Neutral

Neutral

663

0.69

WHITBREAD

3056.00

2028.00

3056.00

Sell

Sell

2103

0.99

WILLIAM HILL

440.90

257.85

452.80

Neutral

Sell

246

0.87

MARSTON'S

140.50

103.90

154.70

Neutral

Sell

1.21

Under Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

339.60

268.30

388.40

Neutral

Neutral

326

1.25

CHESNARA

250.00

163.00

270.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

466

0.70

LEGAL & GENERAL

171.40

123.30

187.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

442

1.71

OLD MUTUAL

180.70

151.40

221.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

370

1.57

PRUDENTIAL

1075.00

729.50

1203.00

Neutral

Neutral

1065

1.71

540.00

318.20

640.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6237

0.85

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

01 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 10 of 17

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

122.25

102.00

146.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1064

0.37

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

792.00

677.50

899.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1224

0.54

34.25

29.00

60.00

Neutral

Sell

-14

1.03

769.50

423.00

785.00

Sell

Strong Buy

3888

1.14
1.00

CENTAUR MEDIA
DAILY MAIL 'A'
EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

1023.00

714.00

1040.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5464

INFORMA

490.10

350.40

537.00

Neutral

Sell

-38

1.53

ITE GROUP

298.20

183.50

299.00

Sell

Strong Buy

306

1.45

ITV

140.10

70.40

142.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

1356

1.54

16.50

4.88

19.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

850

1.27

1171.00

1119.00

1294.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

408

0.63

87.75

36.50

88.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

2633

0.79

278.50

265.00

350.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

945

0.16

34.32

26.85

36.45

Neutral

Strong Buy

465

0.50

STV GROUP

136.50

81.50

146.88

Neutral

Sell

286

0.79

ST.IVES

148.00

67.50

166.50

Neutral

Sell

273

1.50

TRINITY MIRROR

111.00

26.00

122.25

Neutral

Sell

-394

1.59

UBM

656.00

580.50

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2426

1.31
0.84

JOHNSTON PRESS
PEARSON
PHOTO-ME INTL.
PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON
THOMSON REUTERS

WILMINGTON GROUP

164.75

82.00

165.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1239

WPP

1122.00

773.00

1190.00

Neutral

Sell

-631

1.35

HIBU

0.36

0.26

2.18

Neutral

Strong Buy

940

1.07

Under Valued

Mining
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1266.00

1256.00

2163.00

Neutral

Sell

1035

1.74

ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP

169.75

169.75

290.00

Neutral

Neutral

171

0.96

ANTOFAGASTA

795.00

795.00

1381.00

Neutral

Sell

650

1.41

1682.00

1673.00

2236.00

Neutral

Buy

2144

1.43

GLENCORE XSTRATA

272.15

272.15

397.85

Buy

Strong Buy

805

#NA

LONMIN

254.40

240.84

411.96

Neutral

Buy

340

2.03

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

4085.00

3972.00

7775.00

Neutral

Sell

2205

0.34

RIO TINTO

2683.00

2582.00

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2024

1.50

3.38

8.85

Neutral

Strong Buy

120

0.89

832.50

1335.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2040

2.20

ANGLO AMERICAN

BHP BILLITON

COALFIELD RESOURCES
VEDANTA RESOURCES

1020.00

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1118.50

1000.50

1350.50

Neutral

Sell

824

BP

455.25

416.60

483.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

931

1.03

CAIRN ENERGY

253.10

251.80

309.40

Neutral

Sell

-15

1.32
0.82

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B
SOCO INTERNATIONAL
TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

Beta
0.80

7.51

7.15

12.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

100

732.00

704.50

941.00

Neutral

Sell

525

1.31

56.75

48.50

115.00

Neutral

Sell

-55

1.36

333.10

321.30

401.20

Neutral

Buy

376

1.43

2176.00

2098.00

2366.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

7636

0.84

349.30

289.40

404.30

Neutral

Buy

454

0.53

1001.00

977.00

1531.00

Neutral

Sell

649

1.04

809.50

685.50

879.50

Neutral

Sell

672

1.35

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

01 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 11 of 17

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

111.00

101.00

144.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

225

0.84

PZ CUSSONS

346.00

297.20

415.60

Neutral

Sell

290

0.69

4648.00

3365.00

4926.00

Neutral

Neutral

4675

0.36

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Beta

Under Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.46

0.36

3.58

Buy

Sell

-2

1.01

3115.00

2792.50

3521.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

6093

0.47

BTG

369.50

300.30

423.00

Neutral

Sell

189

0.58

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

690.00

473.00

780.00

Neutral

Neutral

698

0.25

1648.00

1317.50

1782.00

Neutral

Neutral

1593

0.49

OXFORD BIOMEDICA

1.56

1.55

2.80

Buy

Sell

0.64

PHYTOPHARM SUSP - 21/05/13

1.33

1.05

12.75

Buy

Strong Buy

0.95

2085.00

1727.00

2213.00

Neutral

Sell

1367

0.66

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE

SHIRE

Target

Beta

SKYEPHARMA

62.00

43.50

101.50

Neutral

Sell

26

0.73

VERNALIS

21.75

21.63

27.38

Neutral

Sell

10

0.91

Under Valued

Real Estate
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BIG YELLOW GROUP

384.60

290.00

426.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

1064

1.18

BRITISH LAND

566.50

506.00

658.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1224

1.06

33.00

22.75

37.00

Sell

Sell

-14

0.85

995.00

640.50

1004.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3888

0.70

DERWENT LONDON

2300.00

1853.00

2542.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5464

1.24

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

183.00

135.75

203.00

Neutral

Sell

-38

0.99

GRAINGER

144.60

85.50

157.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

306

1.58

CAPITAL & REGIONAL


CLS HOLDINGS

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

531.50

393.40

598.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1356

1.10

HAMMERSON

487.30

442.90

554.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

850

1.19

HELICAL BAR

253.00

178.00

297.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

408

0.77

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

884.00

738.50

994.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2633

1.16

INTU PROPERTIES

312.60

300.60

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

945

1.09

MCKAY SECURITIES

148.00

129.00

155.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

465

0.73

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

368.75

325.00

437.50

Neutral

Sell

286

0.42

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

328.00

312.50

363.53

Neutral

Sell

273

0.35

78.00

37.50

79.50

Sell

Sell

-394

1.19

SAVILLS

571.00

350.00

610.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2426

0.77

SHAFTESBURY

595.00

514.50

668.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1239

1.05

SEGRO

279.20

217.30

302.80

Neutral

Sell

-631

1.73

ST MODWEN PROPS.

270.10

168.50

329.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

940

1.59

QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

180.00

155.00

223.00

Neutral

Sell

23

1.01

UNITE GROUP

362.10

193.00

387.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2056

1.79

WARNER ESTATE
WORKSPACE GROUP

1.00

1.00

2.75

Buy

Sell

-1154

1.03

388.00

233.50

418.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

1442

1.05

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

01 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 12 of 17

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

136.00

113.00

162.00

Neutral

Sell

125

0.73

2254.00

1630.00

2420.00

Neutral

Sell

1435

1.40

AVEVA GROUP

Target

Beta

COMPUTACENTER

447.00

298.77

564.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1362

1.00

KOFAX

340.00

251.00

340.00

Neutral

Neutral

328

1.11

28.00

18.25

28.25

Neutral

Sell

25

0.85

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

710.00

529.08

711.00

Neutral

Buy

1029

0.76

PHOENIX IT GROUP

159.50

130.00

222.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

314

0.74

65.25

65.00

85.50

Neutral

Sell

-103

0.52

1928.00

1275.00

2047.00

Neutral

Buy

2163

0.76

340.20

276.06

368.18

Neutral

Buy

433

0.72

INNOVATION GROUP

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Under Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

382.80

244.80

492.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1176

1.09

BREWIN DOLPHIN

234.10

137.50

244.70

Sell

Strong Buy

625

0.73

8175.00

8000.00

11105.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

91018

0.84

CAMELLIA
CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

404.00

256.00

410.88

Neutral

Strong Buy

1366

0.97

CHARLES TAYLOR

188.00

147.00

195.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1048

0.69

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

981.50

729.00

1107.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4611

0.86

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

95.30

79.55

110.40

Neutral

Sell

67

0.89

3.75

0.55

3.75

Sell

Sell

-123

0.69

HENDERSON GROUP

146.60

90.55

180.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

768

1.44

ICAP

363.50

280.80

386.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

782

1.07

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

434.90

252.30

501.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1984

1.70

HELPHIRE GROUP

413.70

358.40

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1586

1.56

1337.00

930.00

1434.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7508

1.15

83.20

63.25

134.40

Neutral

Sell

-4644

1.32

RATHBONE BROTHERS

1580.00

1208.00

1619.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5277

0.75

SCHRODERS

2183.00

1266.00

2560.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7875

1.30

SCHRODERS NV

1718.00

1016.00

2000.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

10863

1.27

INVESTEC
LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP
MAN GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

01 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 13 of 17

Under Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ACAL

229.50

157.75

247.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

785

0.92

AGGREKO

1642.00

1557.00

2400.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3834

1.05

AMEC

1005.00

965.50

1172.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3114

1.04

645.50

240.50

671.00

Neutral

Buy

917

1.63

1103.00

844.50

1205.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2445

0.48

547.00

348.00

580.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

1948

0.76

1280.00

1009.00

1342.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2617

0.55

UK MAIL GROUP

523.00

214.00

530.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1341

0.39

CAPITA

966.00

656.00

1018.00

Neutral

Sell

194

0.51

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL

COMMUNISIS

Target

Beta

53.25

26.83

56.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

444

0.78

COMPASS GROUP

840.00

647.50

910.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1850

0.74

BERENDSEN

744.50

496.30

812.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3114

1.05

DE LA RUE

966.50

891.50

1075.00

Neutral

Buy

1332

#NA
0.22

DIGNITY

1364.00

806.00

1462.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2768

DIPLOMA

560.50

417.10

627.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1418

0.96

ELECTROCOMP.

243.40

199.70

278.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

864

1.04

ESSENTRA PLC

701.50

454.40

750.00

Sell

Strong Buy

1289

1.13

G4S

230.40

230.40

313.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

820

0.58

HAYS

88.95

66.40

101.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

425

1.10

HOMESERVE

280.00

153.60

290.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

906

0.94

INTERSERVE

506.00

312.00

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3465

1.28

2923.00

2659.00

3453.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4492

0.78

46.00

26.50

47.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

105

1.17
0.72

INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP
MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

28.50

21.25

32.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

201

MENZIES (JOHN)

705.50

573.00

801.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1720

1.43

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

371.00

341.40

451.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

785

1.42

MITIE GROUP

251.30

248.00

300.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

982

0.55

83.00

81.00

156.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

651

0.33

1055.00

670.50

1093.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2052

0.71

PREMIER FARNELL

202.00

165.50

236.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

673

1.33

REGUS

157.30

82.65

177.50

Neutral

Sell

54

1.46

89.35

70.35

100.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

246

1.25

REXAM

477.50

420.70

547.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1652

0.90

RICARDO

393.00

321.50

431.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1556

0.86

ROBERT WALTERS

218.00

176.25

234.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

939

1.24

OFFICE2OFFICE
PAYPOINT

RENTOKIL INITIAL

RPC GROUP

409.00

378.00

477.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1417

0.78

RPS GROUP

202.00

195.50

274.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

930

1.51

SERCO GROUP

616.50

535.00

647.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2211

0.60

SHANKS GROUP

79.00

73.00

98.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

254

1.46

SPEEDY HIRE
TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG

59.50

22.25

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

285

1.26

175.00

82.00

177.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

521

0.63

58.63

40.50

59.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

306

0.93

367.00

266.50

367.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1965

0.86

88.50

42.00

89.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

574

0.79

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

01 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 14 of 17

Over Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

309.20

210.20

322.30

Neutral

Buy

379

0.91

40.95

29.45

46.29

Neutral

Strong Buy

75

0.70

673.50

468.90

749.00

Neutral

Sell

179

0.53

81.50

68.25

88.50

Neutral

Buy

106

1.24

1248.00

790.00

1325.00

Neutral

Sell

598

0.09

187.85

154.45

199.90

Neutral

Sell

38

0.54

Beta

Under Valued

Transport
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

280.10

178.00

288.40

Neutral

Sell

194

1.30

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

403.00

330.00

430.00

Neutral

Buy

512

0.98

CLARKSON

1701.00

1150.00

1716.00

Neutral

Sell

1238

0.80

EASYJET

1296.00

530.00

1300.00

Neutral

Sell

726

0.77

FIRST GROUP

Target

Beta

96.45

92.00

212.39

Neutral

Strong Buy

212

0.91

995.00

590.00

1110.00

Neutral

Sell

739

0.77

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1482.00

1204.00

1588.00

Neutral

Buy

2041

0.90

NATIONAL EXPRESS

224.50

164.50

230.50

Neutral

Buy

272

1.35
1.41

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

NORTHGATE

338.00

195.50

369.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

663

STAGECOACH GROUP

315.30

265.90

319.60

Neutral

Buy

397

0.89

63.75

31.00

78.50

Neutral

Sell

-53

0.90

WINCANTON

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

360.20

310.80

394.90

Neutral

Buy

509

0.47

NATIONAL GRID

746.00

641.00

847.50

Neutral

Buy

845

0.50

PENNON GROUP

644.50

598.00

796.00

Neutral

Neutral

708

0.59

SSE

1523.00

1294.00

1676.00

Neutral

Buy

2055

0.42

SEVERN TRENT

1664.00

1513.00

2090.00

Neutral

Sell

1402

0.35

684.00

647.00

787.50

Neutral

Neutral

666

0.50

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

01 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 15 of 17

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