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Markets for Radiation Detection Equipment Nano-635 Radiation Detection Materials Markets-2013 Nano-631
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2013 NanoMarkets, LC
About NanoMarkets
NanoMarkets provides Industry analysis and forecasting of opportunities from the application of advanced materials in existing and emerging markets Our work includes market, company and technology analysis, market forecasting and due diligence NanoMarkets offerings include reports, custom consulting, seminars/webinars and in-house training NanoMarkets is based in U.S. with satellite offices in India Founded in 2004 Serves a global roster of companies, institutions and agencies
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Coverage Areas
NanoMarkets addresses the following markets as part of its practice ADVANCED MATERIALS RENEWABLE ENERGY EMERGING ELECTRONICS SMART TECHNOLOGY OLEDs GLASS AND GLAZING
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2013 NanoMarkets, LC
Millions (USD)
$25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 $0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Specialty/Custom
Medical Diagnostic
Safety/Monitoring
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2013 NanoMarkets, LC
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$30,000
Backpack Dosimeters
$25,000
$ Millions (USD)
$20,000
$15,000
$10,000
Custom Big Physics Industrial Radiography
$5,000
Nuclear PET
2013 NanoMarkets
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PET Devices
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Total Industrial
3,500
Total Geophysical
3,000
Total Military
1,500
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3,500
3,000 Non-3He Neutron Detection Materials (10Boron and 6Li-Based) 2,500 $ Millions Semiconductor Detector Revenues 2,000 Scintillation Detector Revenues
1,500
1,000
500
NanoMarkets 2013
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2013 NanoMarkets, LC
Current and Future Factors Shaping the Radiation Detection Materials Market
In the medical field, an aging population in North America, Europe, and Japan has created one source of increased demand for radiological imaging equipment, and thus demand for scintillating radiation detection crystals. Economically emerging nations (BRIC nations and other similar economies) are creating demand for radiological imaging equipment in markets where there was previously little or no penetration of these advanced imaging techniques. Scintillation materials for medical imaging will slowly transition away from some of the oxides, such as BGO, to some of the silicates and LaBr3 if crystal growth techniques can help bring prices down to justify materials changes for improved performance. Thin-film scintillation materials for digital x-ray imaging represent a major area of growth over the next eight years. The transition from traditional film and phosphor plates is happening currently, and will accelerate as the cost of digital x-ray panel detectors based on CsI become the norm in the medical field. There is no Moores law for radiation detection materials. The physics of each material dictates the amount necessary for specific sensitivity to radiation. Likewise, resolution and light yield are intrinsic to the material. Cost reduction in radiation detection materials will come through economies of scale as larger improved factories come online, and performance will be improved through introduction of new materials with improved fundamental attributes.
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2013 NanoMarkets, LC
Current and Future Factors Shaping the Radiation Detection Materials Market
Domestic security applications represent a steady growth sector for the foreseeable future. Protection against radiological threats has been defined as a fundamental function of the domestic security apparatus in the U.S. and most other nations that could be a target of radiological terrorism. Once such funding becomes ingrained in the bureaucracy of state spending, while events like the current U.S. sequester may temporarily threaten such spending, ultimately the threats are empty and the funding grows steadily. Domestic security demand for improved resolution detection materials for portals is still a priority. Replacement of PVT-based detection materials with NaI in many cases is ongoing, but radiation detection materials for primary screening with improved isotope identification capability are needed. CLYC has just been introduced, but could be a candidate. CZT has the resolution necessary, but currently the cost is too high.
3He 3He
gas is currently the detection material of choice for slow neutron detection of nuclear materials. The demand for is, however, three times current production. 3He currently is harvested from the decay of tritium in nuclear weapons and is nonrenewable, with the available weapons material declining due to disarmament requirements. As a result, the current crisis will only intensify.
is therefore no longer approved for portal use, and the industry has transitioned to 10B-lined tubes. 6Li has not been adopted significantly for portals due to its poor sensitivity in the presence of significant gamma radiation, but work continues to improve 6Li for such applications. Markets for nuclear power will likely experience slow growth, but may begin to rebound even in Japan as the cost of non-nuclear alternatives is felt. One opportunity for radiation detection near nuclear plants will be in the consumer market for dosimeters. It wont be a mass market, but with new low-priced dosimeters available, there will be some demand.
3He
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Current and Future Factors Shaping the Radiation Detection Materials Market
Military markets will have significant demand for new small electronic dosimeters that can be wirelessly linked to provide real-time information to commanders. The ability to more clearly understand the exposure of troops will provide better information to the command regarding the operational readiness of forces. Room temperature isotope detection equipment based on CZT will also likely see a significant uptick in demand in military applications. Eliminating the cooling requirement needed with current HPGe-based detectors for field operations will be a welcome improvement for military mobile isotope detection equipment. Finally, there will be steady demand for more radiation detection monitoring near bases worldwide. CZT represents a significant possibility for wide adoption in the isotope detection role, because it does not require cooling like HPGe. However, many years of work have gone into the crystal growth engineering of CZT, and while much improved, large single crystals like those grown in the semiconductor industry for silicon remain elusive. If costs can be brought down, the future is bright; if not, CZT may be limited to applications where its high cost can be absorbed. For materials suppliers, providing precursors for multiple paths of research at both lower purity and ultra-high purity will provide customers with the needed materials to quickly conduct research into new materials. In addition, subcontracting to key suppliers of more exotic materials will be helpful. Finally, offering equipment to facilitate automation of materials discovery could be a differentiating factor between suppliers.
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Lawrence Gasman is the principal analyst at NanoMarkets and one of its two co-founders. Mr. Gasman has more than 30 years' experience of analyzing the commercialization potential of complex technologies and currently manages all of NanoMarkets' industry research.
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