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27 June 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Under Valued .....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Under Valued ......................................................................6

Automobiles & Parts


Banks
Beverages

Over Valued .........................................................................................6


Under Valued ..................................................................................6

Under Valued ..................................................................................6


Under Valued ....................................................7
Construction & Building Materials

Chemicals

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Engineering & Machinery
Food & Drug Stores

Under Valued ..................................................7


Over Valued ...............................................................8

Over Valued .......................................................................8


Under Valued ........................................................8

Food Producers & Processors


Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Heath
Over Valued ..........................................................9
Over Valued ...............................................9

Household Goods & Textiles

Information Technology & Hardware


Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Life Assurance

Under Valued .................................................................... 10


Under Valued ................................................................ 11

Media & Entertainment


Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Personal Care & Household Products

Over Valued .......................................... 12


Under Valued ................................................ 12

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Under Valued ............................................................................... 12
Real Estate
Under Valued .................................................... 13
Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Under Valued .......................................................... 13


Under Valued ..................................................................... 14

Under Valued ....................................................... 15


Telecommunication Services
Under
Valued
Transport
................................................................................... 15
Under
Valued
Utilities
....................................................................................... 15

DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

27 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

27 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided
solely to enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares
and other equity investments, you must contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may
not be suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as
rise and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

27 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target
price based upon
49 valuation
metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

27 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 5 of 17

Under Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BAE SYSTEMS

389.20

279.00

427.00

Neutral

Buy

Target
557

Beta
0.67

CHEMRING GROUP

275.70

217.00

414.70

Neutral

Buy

324

0.66

COBHAM

261.30

190.10

293.40

Neutral

Neutral

275

0.82

MEGGITT

511.50

366.20

534.50

Neutral

Neutral

488

1.32

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS

1133.00

799.39

1225.00

Neutral

Neutral

1094

1.07

SMITHS GROUP

1270.00

992.50

1390.00

Neutral

Sell

1065

0.71

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1657.00

1424.00

1843.00

Neutral

Neutral

1579

0.51

Unde r V a lue d

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GKN

294.50

174.30

313.40

Neutral

Neutral

292

2.02

INCHCAPE

490.20

321.00

577.50

Neutral

Buy

543

1.48

LOOKERS

106.50

60.50

110.00

Neutral

Sell

96

1.23

24.00

13.50

26.50

Neutral

Buy

33

1.11

PENDRAGON

Target

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BARCLAYS

288.85

150.55

333.85

Neutral

Sell

-843

1.94

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

677.80

510.60

769.90

Neutral

Buy

823

1.17

62.48

28.76

62.96

Sell

Sell

1.89

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP


ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

280.30

196.60

367.80

Neutral

Sell

-167

1.35

STANDARD CHARTERED

1430.50

1228.50

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3273

1.70

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

508.00

399.20

588.50

Neutral

Neutral

547

0.55

DIAGEO

1874.50

1624.00

2085.00

Neutral

Sell

1647

0.55

SABMILLER

3152.50

2523.00

3657.00

Neutral

Buy

3639

0.95

BARR (AG)

Target

Beta

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALENT

331.20

305.00

397.50

Neutral

Buy

428

#NA

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

310.30

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

531

1.23

CARCLO

374.75

342.75

503.00

Neutral

Sell

143

0.73

2429.00

2164.00

2841.00

Neutral

Buy

3187

1.04

228.00

179.00

275.00

Neutral

Buy

301

0.99
1.45

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS

Target

Beta

JOHNSON MATTHEY

2563.00

2080.27

2750.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4805

VICTREX

1534.00

1185.00

1765.00

Neutral

Sell

1324

1.14

SYNTHOMER

190.50

127.40

225.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

371

1.16

ZOTEFOAMS

204.50

161.00

225.00

Neutral

Buy

273

1.00

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

27 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALUMASC GROUP

92.50

61.50

104.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
253

Beta

BALFOUR BEATTY

235.50

207.60

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1245

0.80

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

307.40

130.20

346.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

594

1.58
1.15

0.51

BELLWAY

1284.00

786.50

1377.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2841

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2110.00

1343.00

2207.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3271

0.66

BOOT (HENRY)

170.00

115.50

201.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

405

0.83
1.20

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

750.50

451.00

778.50

Neutral

Buy

1051

CARILLION

261.90

235.50

331.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1503

1.12

CLARKE (T)

49.88

40.00

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

449

0.82

COSTAIN GROUP

270.75

202.00

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1110

0.57

1322.00

1090.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

836

1.14

GALLIFORD TRY

924.00

606.00

999.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2878

1.01

KELLER

960.00

356.00

988.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2278

1.26

1150.00

1106.00

1408.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5360

0.97

62.00

50.00

76.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

217

1.07
1.39

CRH

KIER GROUP
LOW & BONAR
MARSHALLS

131.25

76.00

142.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

400

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

593.00

508.00

695.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4324

0.87

16.00

10.63

18.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

60

1.15

NORCROS

1161.00

532.17

1280.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1987

1.20

REDROW

PERSIMMON

217.30

113.80

238.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

450

1.09

SIG

167.10

88.85

179.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

500

1.79

44.00

44.00

325.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

67

0.88

SUPERGLASS HOLDINGS

94.95

42.72

103.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

227

1.67

TRAVIS PERKINS

TAYLOR WIMPEY

1446.00

918.00

1611.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4090

2.01

WOLSELEY

3028.00

2237.39

3483.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5755

1.46

Under Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1120.00

994.50

1365.00

Neutral

Sell

762

0.75

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

600.00

511.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

832

1.18

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

118.00

105.50

144.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

244

1.29

INVENSYS

403.60

217.33

417.20

Neutral

Sell

362

1.41

LAIRD

179.30

171.10

249.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

306

2.13

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1248.00

1200.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1176

1.00

RENISHAW

1563.00

1260.00

2081.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2496

1.26

SPECTRIS

1925.00

1459.00

2470.00

Neutral

Buy

2616

1.52

0.08

0.07

0.13

Neutral

Sell

0.84

TT ELECTRONICS

152.00

114.00

178.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

299

1.58

XAAR

790.00

196.00

813.50

Neutral

Sell

221

1.11

DIALIGHT

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

27 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 7 of 17

Over Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

83.50

54.25

91.75

Neutral

Buy

122

1.28

BODYCOTE

514.50

310.30

563.00

Neutral

Buy

629

1.60

CASTINGS

371.50

291.00

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

614

0.99

VESUVIUS

354.30

263.19

402.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

958

2.20

FENNER

315.00

315.00

435.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

501

1.42

HALMA

504.50

395.50

538.50

Neutral

Sell

350

0.75

HILL & SMITH

430.00

297.00

480.00

Neutral

Sell

334

1.37

1235.00

776.00

1359.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7060

1.41

262.00

220.30

305.00

Neutral

Sell

248

1.82

2625.00

1876.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

1381

1.00

250.10

177.00

280.80

Neutral

Sell

224

1.64
0.79

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SENIOR
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN

Target

Beta

47.38

35.40

83.42

Neutral

Sell

38

SPIRAX-SARCO

2670.00

1903.48

2928.35

Neutral

Sell

1956

0.84

VITEC GROUP

581.50

581.50

740.00

Neutral

Sell

409

1.39

WEIR GROUP

2124.00

1450.00

2474.00

Neutral

Sell

1992

1.38

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

403.90

398.00

523.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

661

0.47

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

261.20

248.60

296.40

Neutral

Sell

156

0.39

SAINSBURY (J)

356.20

294.30

396.50

Neutral

Sell

187

0.57

TESCO

327.60

307.90

387.75

Neutral

Sell

249

0.68

82.25

19.63

100.50

Neutral

Sell

58

0.84

THORNTONS

Beta

Under Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

1689.00

1243.00

2031.00

Neutral

Buy

1982

0.62

CRANSWICK

1145.00

732.50

1164.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1961

0.43

DAIRY CREST

450.00

327.00

503.50

Neutral

Neutral

474

0.94

DEVRO

295.00

278.00

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

483

0.32

59.75

54.50

125.75

Neutral

Sell

-181

1.25

PREMIER FOODS
TATE & LYLE
UNILEVER (UK)

801.50

634.50

875.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1456

0.71

2591.00

2097.00

2885.00

Neutral

Neutral

2601

0.58

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

27 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

27.13

20.50

29.50

Neutral

Buy

33

0.69

424.90

241.20

465.60

Neutral

Sell

341

0.54

1324.00

1000.00

1541.00

Neutral

Sell

924

1.27

611.00

585.00

701.50

Neutral

Sell

283

0.95

41.67

14.97

42.90

Neutral

Buy

46

1.51

176.00

55.20

186.00

Neutral

Sell

64

1.13

28.00

19.50

34.00

Sell

Strong Buy

106

0.99

HALFORDS GROUP

311.80

189.00

405.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

481

0.68

JD SPORTS FASHION

884.50

651.00

920.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1499

0.53

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP

DARTY

Target

Beta

59.25

38.00

72.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

101

1.25

KINGFISHER

342.10

254.10

355.10

Neutral

Neutral

363

0.94

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

427.70

312.20

485.00

Neutral

Buy

507

0.65

57.00

43.00

71.00

Neutral

Buy

63

1.04

432.00

189.25

432.00

Sell

Buy

482

0.47

NEXT

4495.00

3142.00

4749.00

Neutral

Neutral

4417

0.67

TED BAKER

1680.00

880.00

1789.00

Neutral

Sell

629

0.55

69.75

38.00

71.75

Neutral

Sell

53

1.50

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Heath
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

134.00

126.50

160.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
116

0.46

CONSORT MEDICAL

810.00

660.50

831.50

Neutral

Sell

569

0.39

OPTOS

117.00

106.75

222.75

Neutral

Buy

153

1.18

SMITH & NEPHEW

733.50

621.00

794.50

Neutral

Sell

667

0.43

Over Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

750.00

567.50

750.00

Neutral

Neutral

730

0.44

HEADLAM GROUP

363.50

265.00

378.75

Neutral

Sell

319

0.92

82.50

55.25

88.50

Neutral

Buy

109

0.77

HORNBY

Target

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ARM HOLDINGS

795.00

469.00

1097.00

Neutral

Sell

428

0.74

CSR

517.00

216.10

570.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1438

1.18

FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

Target

Beta

62.50

28.38

83.25

Neutral

Sell

24

0.90

295.50

291.30

624.00

Neutral

Buy

337

1.08

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

140.30

122.00

170.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

419

0.94

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

160.75

160.75

230.00

Neutral

Sell

-679

0.90

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

27 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1308.00

1019.00

1374.00

Neutral

Sell

-472

0.53

AMLIN

392.10

345.30

435.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1533

0.46

BEAZLEY

225.40

134.90

241.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

954

0.60

CATLIN GROUP

490.00

422.00

552.50

Neutral

Sell

455

0.30

HISCOX

548.00

425.94

600.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1909

0.48

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

890.00

693.50

917.00

Neutral

Buy

1226

0.31

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

119.50

105.20

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

727

0.41

NOVAE GROUP

450.00

345.00

507.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3439

0.48

ADMIRAL GROUP

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2319.00

2083.00

2628.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4035

1.01

ENTERPRISE INNS

107.70

55.50

123.80

Neutral

Neutral

106

1.61

TUI TRAVEL

351.70

165.20

373.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

781

1.01

FULLER SMITH 'A'

891.00

700.00

925.00

Neutral

Sell

680

0.39

GREENE KING

746.00

531.50

798.00

Neutral

Sell

654

0.93

LADBROKES

194.90

152.70

243.10

Neutral

Buy

251

0.93

1777.00

1503.75

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1487

1.18

CARNIVAL

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

546.00

456.00

582.50

Neutral

Buy

622

1.40

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

370.90

241.90

408.50

Sell

Sell

318

1.12

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

112.00

91.90

156.00

Neutral

Sell

37

1.25

13.00

5.61

13.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

50

1.27

160.50

115.00

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

507

1.00
0.76

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

503.50

296.00

531.00

Neutral

Sell

396

WETHERSPOON (JD)

648.50

416.60

666.00

Neutral

Buy

745

0.69

WHITBREAD

2978.00

2018.00

3031.00

Neutral

Sell

2012

0.99

WILLIAM HILL

431.50

257.85

452.80

Neutral

Sell

258

0.87

MARSTON'S

139.20

102.40

154.70

Neutral

Sell

15

1.21

Under Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

336.20

261.90

388.40

Neutral

Neutral

321

1.25

CHESNARA

239.25

163.00

270.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

458

0.70

LEGAL & GENERAL

169.10

123.20

187.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

434

1.71

OLD MUTUAL

176.90

149.60

221.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

362

1.57

PRUDENTIAL

1059.00

723.00

1203.00

Neutral

Neutral

1042

1.71

528.50

318.20

640.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6140

0.85

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

27 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 10 of 17

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

124.50

102.00

146.50

Neutral

Sell

-634

0.37

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

777.50

677.50

899.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1697

0.54

CENTAUR MEDIA
DAILY MAIL 'A'
EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

Target

Beta

35.00

29.00

60.00

Neutral

Sell

-20

1.03

740.00

398.50

785.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4075

1.14
1.00

1030.00

714.00

1040.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7486

INFORMA

476.40

350.40

537.00

Neutral

Sell

-60

1.53

ITE GROUP

295.00

183.50

299.00

Sell

Strong Buy

270

1.45

ITV

137.50

70.40

139.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1264

1.54

16.50

4.88

19.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

779

1.27

1156.00

1119.00

1294.00

Neutral

Buy

337

0.63

85.00

36.50

88.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

2621

0.79

278.50

265.00

350.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

897

0.16

33.72

26.85

36.45

Neutral

Sell

-620

0.50

STV GROUP

135.50

81.50

146.88

Neutral

Sell

259

0.79

ST.IVES

145.00

67.50

166.50

Neutral

Sell

231

1.50

TRINITY MIRROR

107.00

25.50

122.25

Neutral

Sell

-290

1.59

UBM

644.50

561.50

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1889

1.31
0.84

JOHNSTON PRESS
PEARSON
PHOTO-ME INTL.
PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON
THOMSON REUTERS

WILMINGTON GROUP

164.00

82.00

165.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1347

WPP

1079.00

752.50

1190.00

Neutral

Sell

-519

1.35

HIBU

0.38

0.26

2.18

Neutral

Strong Buy

808

1.07

Under Valued

Mining
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1256.00

1256.00

2163.00

Buy

Sell

1006

1.74

ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP

183.50

183.50

290.00

Neutral

Neutral

191

0.96

ANTOFAGASTA

801.50

801.50

1381.00

Neutral

Sell

704

1.41

1673.00

1673.00

2236.00

Neutral

Buy

2362

1.43

GLENCORE XSTRATA

276.00

273.45

397.85

Buy

Strong Buy

817

#NA

LONMIN

255.00

240.84

411.96

Neutral

Buy

302

2.03

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

3972.00

3972.00

7775.00

Buy

Sell

2486

0.34

RIO TINTO

2649.50

2582.00

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

1962

1.50

3.38

8.85

Neutral

Strong Buy

134

0.89

832.50

1335.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1656

2.20

ANGLO AMERICAN

BHP BILLITON

COALFIELD RESOURCES
VEDANTA RESOURCES

1028.00

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1131.00

1000.50

1350.50

Neutral

Sell

836

BP

452.00

408.50

483.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

941

1.03

CAIRN ENERGY

254.40

250.80

309.40

Neutral

Sell

-19

1.32

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B
SOCO INTERNATIONAL
TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

Beta
0.80

7.60

7.15

12.50

Neutral

Buy

10

0.82

735.50

688.00

941.00

Neutral

Sell

536

1.31
1.36

58.00

48.50

115.00

Neutral

Sell

-56

341.10

321.30

401.20

Neutral

Buy

380

1.43

2140.50

2098.00

2366.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

7858

0.84

350.00

279.00

404.30

Neutral

Buy

460

0.53

1015.00

977.00

1531.00

Neutral

Sell

661

1.04

781.00

666.00

879.50

Neutral

Sell

691

1.35

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

27 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 11 of 17

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

113.25

101.00

144.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

223

0.84

PZ CUSSONS

340.70

297.20

415.60

Neutral

Sell

288

0.69

4665.00

3300.00

4926.00

Neutral

Neutral

4688

0.36

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Beta

Under Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.50

0.36

3.58

Neutral

Sell

-2

1.01

3115.00

2792.50

3521.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

6299

0.47

BTG

361.90

300.30

423.00

Neutral

Sell

164

0.58

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

695.00

469.50

780.00

Neutral

Neutral

720

0.25

1620.00

1317.50

1782.00

Neutral

Neutral

1654

0.49

OXFORD BIOMEDICA

1.63

1.55

2.80

Buy

Sell

0.64

PHYTOPHARM SUSP - 21/05/13

1.33

1.05

12.75

Buy

Strong Buy

0.95

2054.00

1727.00

2213.00

Neutral

Sell

1420

0.66

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE

SHIRE

Target

Beta

SKYEPHARMA

63.00

43.50

101.50

Neutral

Sell

32

0.73

VERNALIS

21.63

21.63

27.38

Neutral

Sell

10

0.91

Under Valued

Real Estate
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIG YELLOW GROUP

374.20

276.30

426.70

Neutral

Sell

-634

1.18

BRITISH LAND

563.50

500.00

658.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1697

1.06

CAPITAL & REGIONAL

Target

Beta

33.50

22.75

37.00

Sell

Sell

-20

0.85

976.50

624.00

1004.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4075

0.70

DERWENT LONDON

2251.00

1789.00

2542.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7486

1.24

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

189.50

135.75

203.00

Neutral

Sell

-60

0.99

GRAINGER

143.00

85.50

157.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

270

1.58

CLS HOLDINGS

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

514.00

382.40

598.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1264

1.10

HAMMERSON

478.10

428.70

554.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

779

1.19

HELICAL BAR

255.00

178.00

297.50

Neutral

Buy

337

0.77

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

876.00

728.50

994.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2621

1.16

INTU PROPERTIES

311.60

300.60

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

897

1.09

MCKAY SECURITIES

141.00

128.00

155.00

Neutral

Sell

-620

0.73

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

378.75

325.00

437.50

Neutral

Sell

259

0.42

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

326.50

312.50

363.53

Neutral

Sell

231

0.35

76.50

37.00

79.50

Sell

Sell

-290

1.19

SAVILLS

558.00

350.00

610.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1889

0.77

SHAFTESBURY

591.50

505.00

668.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1347

1.05

SEGRO

271.00

214.00

302.80

Neutral

Sell

-519

1.73

ST MODWEN PROPS.

268.00

157.75

329.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

808

1.59

QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

188.00

155.00

223.00

Neutral

Sell

1.01

UNITE GROUP

355.70

189.00

387.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2114

1.79

WARNER ESTATE
WORKSPACE GROUP

1.00

1.00

2.75

Buy

Sell

-1085

1.03

391.50

225.00

418.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

1287

1.05

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

27 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 12 of 17

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

134.00

113.00

162.00

Neutral

Sell

123

0.73

2209.00

1569.00

2420.00

Neutral

Sell

1324

1.40

AVEVA GROUP

Target

Beta

COMPUTACENTER

447.20

290.91

564.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1360

1.00

KOFAX

320.00

251.00

335.00

Neutral

Neutral

325

1.11

28.00

18.25

28.25

Neutral

Sell

24

0.85

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

688.00

528.58

710.00

Neutral

Buy

1004

0.76

PHOENIX IT GROUP

159.75

130.00

222.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

311

0.74

65.00

65.00

85.50

Neutral

Sell

-102

0.52

1868.00

1275.00

2047.00

Neutral

Buy

2121

0.76

333.60

271.46

368.18

Neutral

Buy

428

0.72

INNOVATION GROUP

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Under Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

378.30

244.80

492.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1258

1.09

BREWIN DOLPHIN

223.50

136.30

244.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

655

0.73

8190.00

8000.00

11105.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

95961

0.84

CAMELLIA
CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

404.00

255.50

410.88

Neutral

Strong Buy

1291

0.97

CHARLES TAYLOR

185.00

147.00

195.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1145

0.69

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

968.50

729.00

1107.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5062

0.86

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

95.20

79.55

110.40

Neutral

Sell

68

0.89

3.75

0.55

3.75

Sell

Sell

-124

0.69

HENDERSON GROUP

147.40

90.55

180.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

793

1.44

HELPHIRE GROUP
ICAP

353.60

280.80

386.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1773

1.07

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

431.40

252.30

501.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3126

1.70

INVESTEC

413.40

358.40

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1820

1.56

1323.00

930.00

1434.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4332

1.15

84.65

63.25

134.40

Neutral

Sell

-4428

1.32

RATHBONE BROTHERS

1556.00

1208.00

1619.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5556

0.75

SCHRODERS

2134.00

1266.00

2560.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8408

1.30

SCHRODERS NV

1652.00

1016.00

2000.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

11052

1.27

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP


MAN GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

27 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 13 of 17

Under Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ACAL

230.00

157.75

247.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1230

0.92

AGGREKO

1659.00

1557.00

2400.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3388

1.05

AMEC

1001.00

964.50

1172.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3287

1.04

632.50

240.50

671.00

Neutral

Buy

886

1.63

1097.00

842.50

1205.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2214

0.48

536.00

348.00

580.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

1985

0.76

1246.00

1009.00

1342.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2784

0.55

UK MAIL GROUP

515.50

214.00

530.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1427

0.39

CAPITA

961.00

644.50

1018.00

Neutral

Sell

233

0.51

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL

COMMUNISIS

53.75

26.83

56.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

470

0.78

COMPASS GROUP

835.00

647.50

910.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1964

0.74

BERENDSEN

746.00

480.10

812.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2840

1.05

DE LA RUE

935.50

891.50

1075.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1739

#NA

DIGNITY

1348.00

806.00

1462.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2075

0.22

DIPLOMA

556.50

417.10

627.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1374

0.96

ELECTROCOMP.

238.40

197.70

278.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

1037

1.04

ESSENTRA PLC

685.00

454.40

750.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1284

1.13

G4S

235.70

232.00

313.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

894

0.58

HAYS

86.95

66.40

101.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

421

1.10

HOMESERVE

278.50

150.90

290.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

1240

0.94

INTERSERVE

494.10

304.90

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3326

1.28

2943.00

2617.00

3453.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4441

0.78

44.88

26.50

47.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

347

1.17
0.72

INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP
MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

27.75

21.25

32.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

210

MENZIES (JOHN)

697.50

573.00

801.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2167

1.43

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

371.20

341.40

451.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

802

1.42

MITIE GROUP

248.10

248.00

300.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1260

0.55

82.50

81.00

156.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

698

0.33

OFFICE2OFFICE

1060.00

670.50

1093.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1714

0.71

PREMIER FARNELL

PAYPOINT

194.30

165.50

236.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

761

1.33

REGUS

152.70

82.65

177.50

Neutral

Sell

66

1.46

88.80

70.35

100.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

308

1.25

REXAM

460.00

407.64

547.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1731

0.90

RICARDO

381.50

321.50

431.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1606

0.86

ROBERT WALTERS

221.88

176.25

234.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1133

1.24

RPC GROUP

407.70

377.00

477.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1819

0.78

RPS GROUP

200.00

195.50

274.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

1023

1.51

SERCO GROUP

597.00

526.00

647.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2314

0.60

SHANKS GROUP

80.50

73.00

98.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

685

1.46

RENTOKIL INITIAL

SPEEDY HIRE
TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG

57.00

22.25

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

251

1.26

177.00

82.00

177.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

537

0.63

57.88

40.50

59.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

324

0.93

356.00

260.00

356.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2005

0.86

89.50

42.00

89.50

Sell

Strong Buy

521

0.79

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

27 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 14 of 17

Under Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

305.40

205.40

322.30

Neutral

Buy

357

0.91

40.57

29.22

46.29

Neutral

Strong Buy

85

0.70

661.00

468.90

749.00

Neutral

Sell

493

0.53

81.00

68.25

88.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

135

1.24

1240.00

790.00

1325.00

Neutral

Sell

743

0.09

183.35

154.45

199.90

Neutral

Neutral

189

0.54

Beta

Under Valued

Transport
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

281.00

178.00

288.40

Neutral

Sell

180

1.30

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

420.00

318.00

430.00

Neutral

Neutral

457

0.98

CLARKSON

1655.00

1150.00

1716.00

Neutral

Sell

1174

0.80

EASYJET

1279.00

516.50

1300.00

Neutral

Sell

700

0.77

FIRST GROUP

Target

Beta

95.25

92.00

212.39

Neutral

Strong Buy

491

0.91

995.00

590.00

1110.00

Neutral

Sell

418

0.77

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1448.00

1194.00

1588.00

Neutral

Buy

1886

0.90

NATIONAL EXPRESS

223.70

164.50

230.50

Neutral

Buy

262

1.35
1.41

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

NORTHGATE

338.25

195.50

369.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

704

STAGECOACH GROUP

310.00

261.90

319.60

Neutral

Buy

393

0.89

64.63

31.00

78.50

Neutral

Sell

-44

0.90

WINCANTON

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

354.60

310.80

394.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

548

0.47

NATIONAL GRID

726.50

641.00

847.50

Neutral

Buy

805

0.50

PENNON GROUP

631.50

598.00

796.00

Neutral

Buy

740

0.59

SSE

1482.00

1294.00

1676.00

Neutral

Buy

2047

0.42

SEVERN TRENT

1636.00

1513.00

2090.00

Neutral

Sell

1423

0.35

672.00

647.00

787.50

Neutral

Neutral

645

0.50

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

27 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 15 of 17

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