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ADEL BRIS
Hi and welcome to the first edition of the Fantasy Freako's pre-season rave for 2013. With another fantasy season upon us, a fresh challenge lies ahead with the launch of AFL Fantasy Elite, a draft-style game that will test even the best of coaches. The traditional salary cap competition remains, giving coaches the option to play one or even both in most cases. Once again, with not every NAB Cup match televised, the pre-season competition will take on a greater significance. You can follow me on twitter and get exclusive updates from every match played. Enjoy this week's read and best of luck selecting your starting squad.
RUCK MERRY-GO-ROUND
The ruck department was ravaged by injuries last season with the likes of Shane Mumford, Aaron Sandilands, Patrick Ryder, Hamish McIntosh, Mark Jamar and Ben McEvoy all missing a considerable amount of time. That trend looks like continuing this season, with Nic Naitanui now a doubtful starter for the season opener as he continues his recovery from off-season surgery. In another major blow, Aaron Sandilands has already gone down with a hamstring injury that will keep him sidelined for up to two months if not longer. His fantasy stocks have plummeted since playing all 22 H&A games in 2008, recording 20, 19, 13 and 12 games in each year since. We all know that he's a prolific scorer when he plays, however his poor durability has to count against him now. Avoid him at all costs I say! Regardless of whether you're playing the traditional salary cap or draft style game, the table on the right can be used as a reference guide when selecting your ruckmen. Besides the obvious measure, points scored, there are several other factors that need to be taken into account when deciding. This includes game-time, percentage of disposals won inside 50 and percentage of ruck contests won. A change to the field stoppage rule also needs to be taken into consideration. Instead of the traditional bounce down, the ball will now be thrown up by the field umpire at all field stoppages. Ruckmen will not be allowed to make contact with each other until the ball leaves the umpire's hand, which will likely benefit the fitter ruckmen as they are able to cover the ground better than the lumbering type. To put this into context, a Nic Naitanui is likely to get to contests quicker than Shane Mumford.
FREM
81 80 79 72 65
GT% - Percentage of game-time. F50% - Percentage of disposals won inside 50. HOW% - Percentage of ruck contests resulting in a hitout win.
HOME
ADEL BRIS
CARL COLL
ESS
P P
Jacobs is as safe as houses. If Leuenberger stays fit then he's your man. Kreuzer will be No. 1 with Warnock providing relief. No worthy options at Collingwood. Hird has put his faith in the Ryder/Bellchambers combo.
FREM GEEL
P P P P
GCS
Once fit McIntosh will be the No.1 ruck. Vardy too risky. Expect Smith to breakout this season.
GWS
Giles is a super option yet again. No competition. Roughead to continue in his dual role. Hale will be the starting ruck.
HAW
If Jamar's body stands up then he's a decent option. Goldy's game-time will be impacted by Currie if he also plays.
MELB
Look elsewhere.
Maric will carry the ruck load yet again. A safe pick. McEvoy may spend more time up forward with the arrival of Hickey. Mumford is much cheaper than last season. Pyke his back-up.
NTH
P P
Minson has to come into calculations. Durable and solid. You can't go past Cox. Nic Nat will take time to get going.
PORT RICH
PLAYER TABLES
As per usual we have provided a page per club with the DT scores from the NAB cup. Given we have two shortened games in Round 1 and then move to some normality in Rounds 2 and 3, we use the POINTS PER 100 MINUTES measure as a player's average for the pre-season. This is calculated by dividing DT points into minutes played and then multiplying this by 100. The AFL average of a player is around about the 100 minutes so this hopefully provides you with a more realistic DT average in the pre-season. TOTAL MINUTES played for each player in the pre-season is provided as well to give the POINTS PER 100 MINUTES more context. The more minutes played in the pre-season the more realistic the POINTS PER 100 MINUTES is. Round 1 games were merged into one column given how short the games were and we have included a P1 column for the practice match played between Adelaide and Fremantle two weeks ago. If clubs decide to play a practice match in week 4 and Champion Data cover these games we will create another column (P2) to give you as much information as possible leading into the H&A season.
INTRO
ADELAIDE CROWS
ADEL BRIS
MID-PRICED
Andy Otten Richard Douglas Bernie Vince
DRAFT WATCHLIST
Matthew Wright Sam Jacobs Rory Sloane
CARL COLL
ESS FREM GEEL GCS GWS HAW MELB NTH PORT RICH STK SYD
17
With seven of Adelaides first eleven matches at AAMI Stadium, it might be wise to load up on Crows players early on. Scott Thompson led all scorers there last season averaging 108 per game.
ako @FantasyFre
facebook.com/AFLprospectus
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INTRO
BRISBANE LIONS
ADEL BRIS
MID-PRICED
Brent Moloney Matthew Leuenberger Claye Beams
DRAFT WATCHLIST
T om Rockliff Dayne Zorko Stefan Martin
CARL COLL
63 47 55
It looks like Brisbane has found a position for P atrick Karnezis, the midfield. He averaged 1 5 points per match in the NEAFL last season and racked up 30 disposals against the Giants on the weekend.
ako @FantasyFre
facebook.com/AFLprospectus
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INTRO
CARLTON
ADEL BRIS
MID-PRICED
Chris Yarran Jeremy Laidler Robert Warnock
DRAFT WATCHLIST
Mitch Robinson Kade Simpson Andrew Walker
CARL COLL
ESS FREM GEEL GCS GWS HAW MELB NTH PORT RICH STK SYD
Bryce Gibbs is finally back in the midfield. He ranks No.1 in the AFL across the NAB Cup for clearances and third for centre bounce attendances at the Blues.
ako @FantasyFre
facebook.com/AFLprospectus
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INTRO
COLLINGWOOD
ADEL BRIS
MID-PRICED
Andrew Krakouer Luke Ball Jordan Russell
DRAFT WATCHLIST
Clinton Young Jarryd Blair Steele Sidebottom
CARL COLL
ESS FREM
43
87 55
GEEL
36 58 29 40 30 23
43
99
GCS
109 91 70
GWS
27
HAW
26 28 54 53 38 28 43 38 36 70 35 33 10 23 27 27 23
22 75 37 56 60 60 57 48 30 22
54
50 36 43 33 6
STK SYD
Jarryd Blair ranks sixth in the competition for points per minute of any player that has featured in more than one match during the NAB Cup. Expect his numbers to get even better this season.
ako @FantasyFre
facebook.com/AFLprospectus
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INTRO
ESSENDON
ADEL BRIS
MID-PRICED
Michael Hibberd Michael Hurley David Myers
DRAFT WATCHLIST
T om Bellchambers Courtenay Dempsey Dyson Heppell
CARL COLL
ESS FREM
38 82 33
Mark Baguley and Michael Hibberd rank sixth and seventh respectively for points scored per minute among defenders during the NAB Cup. Expect both to rack up plenty of disposals in defence.
ako @FantasyFre
facebook.com/AFLprospectus
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INTRO
FREMANTLE
ADEL BRIS
MID-PRICED
Michael Walters Nick Suban Stephen Hill
DRAFT WATCHLIST
Danyle Pearce Jonathon Griffin Michael Johnson
CARL COLL
ESS FREM GEEL GCS GWS HAW MELB NTH PORT RICH STK SYD
Forget about Danyle Pearce getting tagged in a side that also includes Nathan Fyfe and Stephen Hill. As a DPP he presents enormous value.
ako @FantasyFre
facebook.com/AFLprospectus
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INTRO
GEELONG CATS
ADEL BRIS
MID-PRICED
Josh Caddy Steven Motlop Jordan Murdoch
DRAFT WATCHLIST
Andrew Mackie Jimmy Bartel T ravis Varcoe
CARL COLL
80 73 73 57
P aul Chapman was subbed off in last weeks match against Adelaide with a slight quad strain. Thankfully it is only the pre-season.
ako @FantasyFre
facebook.com/AFLprospectus
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INTRO
ADEL BRIS
MID-PRICED
Kyal Horsley Zachary Smith Brandon Matera
DRAFT WATCHLIST
Greg Broughton Jarrod Harbrow Jared Brennan
CARL COLL
ESS FREM GEEL GCS GWS HAW MELB NTH PORT RICH STK SYD
There is no bigger certainty than Jaeger OMeara this season. He finished with 52 points from 84% game time last week against North Melbourne in what was a low scoring game from a fantasy perspective.
ako @FantasyFre
facebook.com/AFLprospectus
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INTRO
ADEL BRIS
MID-PRICED
T om Scully T omas Bugg Devon Smith
DRAFT WATCHLIST
Adam T reloar Callan Ward Stephen Coniglio
CARL COLL
ESS FREM GEEL GCS GWS HAW MELB NTH PORT RICH STK SYD
If there were any doubts about Lachie Whitfields fantasy worth then he dispelled them last week against Brisbane. He finished with 19 disposals and a game-high nine marks.
ako @FantasyFre
facebook.com/AFLprospectus
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INTRO
HAWTHORN
ADEL BRIS
MID-PRICED
Shane Savage Jonathan Simpkin Luke Breust
DRAFT WATCHLIST
Jordan Lewis Jarryd Roughead Cyril Rioli
CARL COLL
ESS FREM GEEL GCS GWS HAW MELB NTH PORT RICH STK SYD
Keep a close eye on Jed Anderson. He applied a team-high seven tackles last week against the Bulldogs and the Hawks really rate the kid.
ako @FantasyFre
facebook.com/AFLprospectus
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INTRO
MELBOURNE
ADEL BRIS
MID-PRICED
Shannon Byrnes Jeremy Howe James Magner
DRAFT WATCHLIST
Colin Sylvia Jack Watts Cameron Pedersen
CARL COLL
22
81 37 59 58 53 54
There are plenty of mature-age options at Melbourne, led by the two Deans -T erlich and Kent. Both are in the frame for a Round 1 debut and should be considered for your bench.
ako @FantasyFre
facebook.com/AFLprospectus
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INTRO
NORTH MELBOURNE
ADEL BRIS
MID-PRICED
Shaun Atley Ben Jacobs Ben Cunnington
DRAFT WATCHLIST
Sam Gibson Liam Anthony Jack Ziebell
CARL COLL
ESS FREM
57 27 33 69 47 34 50 32 33 43 30 74 58 49 27 49 74 37 37 48 17 13 56 16 45 16 9 13 5 48 28 32 18 51 74 66 58 65 44 59 56 36 63 48 80
53 49 57 52 56 53
NTH PORT
67 51 53
Im expecting Shaun Atley to breakout this season. He leads the club for kicks, uncontested possessions and handball-receives across the NAB Cup.
ako @FantasyFre
facebook.com/AFLprospectus
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INTRO
PORT ADELAIDE
ADEL BRIS
MID-PRICED
Angus Monfries Domenic Cassisi Chad Wingard
DRAFT WATCHLIST
Kane Cornes Hamish Hartlett Brad Ebert
CARL COLL
76
If Kane Mitchell gets promoted to the senior list prior to Round 1, make sure you pounce! He finished with a game-high 26 disposals last week against Melbourne.
ako @FantasyFre
facebook.com/AFLprospectus
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INTRO
RICHMOND
ADEL BRIS
MID-PRICED
Reece Conca Jake Batchelor Chris Knights
DRAFT WATCHLIST
Dustin Martin Shane T uck Bachar Houli
CARL COLL
ESS FREM GEEL GCS GWS HAW MELB NTH PORT RICH STK SYD
Despite playing only the first half last week against Essendon, Dustin Martin did enough to convince me to give him another go. He collected 15 disposals and 58 points in the time he played.
ako @FantasyFre
facebook.com/AFLprospectus
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INTRO
ST KILDA
ADEL BRIS
MID-PRICED
Arryn Siposs Jarryn Geary T om Hickey
DRAFT WATCHLIST
Lenny Hayes Leigh Montagna David Armitage
CARL COLL
ESS FREM GEEL GCS GWS HAW MELB NTH PORT RICH STK SYD
With a relatively easy start to the year, we could see Leigh Montagna explode! He has scored more points than any other midfielder during the NAB Cup.
ako @FantasyFre
facebook.com/AFLprospectus
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INTRO
SYDNEY SWANS
ADEL BRIS
MID-PRICED
Luke P arker Lewis Jetta Nick Malceski
DRAFT WATCHLIST
Ryan OKeefe T ony Armstrong Daniel Hannebery
CARL COLL
ESS FREM
111 40
23 51 61 48 61 62
NTH PORT
33
The jury is still out on Dean T owers. Not a notable ball-winner, he only managed nine disposals from 82% game time last week against the Saints. Hes not a guaranteed starter for Round 1 in my eyes.
ako @FantasyFre
facebook.com/AFLprospectus
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INTRO
ADEL BRIS
MID-PRICED
Ashley Smith Josh Kennedy Marc LeCras
DRAFT WATCHLIST
Chris Masten Scott Selwood Luke Shuey
CARL COLL
ESS FREM GEEL GCS GWS HAW MELB NTH PORT RICH STK SYD
As a point of difference, you cannot go past Scott Selwood. Like Matthew Boyd, hell never get tagged and can find the ball. He was one of 16 players in the league to crack the ton last round.
ako @FantasyFre
facebook.com/AFLprospectus
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INTRO
WESTERN BULLDOGS
ADEL BRIS
MID-PRICED
Daniel Giansiracusa Nick Lower Christian Howard
DRAFT WATCHLIST
Will Minson Daniel Cross Mitch Wallis
CARL COLL
ESS FREM GEEL GCS GWS HAW MELB NTH PORT RICH STK SYD
Brett Goodes elevation onto the Bulldogs senior list is all but a formality. Given the responsibility of taking the kick-ins, he ranks ninth at the club for points per minute. Pencil him in!
ako @FantasyFre
facebook.com/AFLprospectus
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