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Herman Buschke, MD
Einstein Aging Study (NIA AG-03949)
Department of Neurology
Albert Einstein College of Medicine
Is screening needed to improve
detection of Alzheimer’s disease ?
Controlled Learning
brief delay . .
Free Recall
Cued Recall
Animal SPINACH
City CELLO
Vegetable PARIS
Animal ?
City ?
Vegetable ?
Musical Instrument ?
Sex (% male) 34 36
100
True Positives (Sensitivity)
80
60
40
20
0 20 40 60 80 100
False Positives (1 − Specificity)
Alzheimer ROC curve = .97
100
True Positives (Sensitivity)
80
60
40
20
0 20 40 60 80 100
False Positives (1− Specificity)
Dementia Discrimination
All Dementia Positive Predictive
Value for Base Rate
Sex (% female) 57 66
30
Dementia
25 Non Dementia
sensitivity = .81
20 specificity = .67
Frequency
15
10
0
0 1 2 3
Number Recalled
MIS Free Recall
50
Dementia
40 Non Dementia
sensitivity = .81
Frequency
30 specificity = .85
20
10
0
0 1 2 3 4
Number Recalled
MIS Free and Cued Recall
Mis
50
Dementia
40
Non Dementia
Frequency
30 Sensitivity = .81
Specificity = .95
20
10
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Score
MIS and 3-Word ROC curves
100
True Positives (Sensitivity)
80
60
40
3-Word = .78
20
MIS = .92
0 20 40 60 80 100
False Positives (1 − Specificity)
Barcelona MIS
Madrid ROC curve Dementia vs No Dementia
Spanish-MIS ---------------------
Spanish-MMSE ---------------------
MIS correlates with Braak stage *
7
r = –.622
6
5 p = .003
4
B
R 3 Normal 6
A Path Aging 3
2
A AD 5
K 1 VaD 5
FTD 1
0
DLB 1
-1
-2 0 2 4 6 8 10
MIS
* Verghese, Buschke, Dickson, Kuslansky, Katz, Weidenheim, Lipton, JAGS, 2003
Screening Tests are Not Diagnostic Tests!