ANZALONE LISZT GROVE May 13, 2013 YoJeesal PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES To: Interested Parties Fr: Lisa Grove / Lori Weigel Re: Summary of Polling Results among Likely 2014 Voters in Oregon There is widespread support for an ecological forestry approach to O&C lands. > More than 60% of voters favor a plan similar to an ecological forestry approach after hearing basic introductory information about the O&C Lands and the issues related to their management. Less than 50% favor an approach reflective of a “Trust” plan. > When voters are asked to choose between the two plans, a 26-point majority prefers the ecological-forestry approach, including voters across the partisan spectrum and in the Southwestern counties most impacted by O&C policies. Prior to questions pertaining to alternative O&C plans, respondents were provided the following information about the O&C Lands: ‘There are 2.8 million acres of public lands in Western Oregon - known as the O&C lands- named after the Oregon and California Railroad Company which originally owned the land in the 1800s. Over the past several years, federal, state, and local leaders have debated different plans to manage these lands. (0&C lands include some of the oldest growth forests on the continent and rare species of plants and. wildlife, The land is managed by the federal Bureau of Land Management and timber companies are able to operate in certain sections of the land and produce 160 million board feet per year - and share 25% of their logging revenues with county governments in Western Oregon. Due to declining revenues for timber companies and budget crises in several Western counties, timber companies and local governments support plans to dramatically increase logging in the O&C lands. Oregon conservation groups and some public officials oppose a dramatic expansion of logging and have offered alternative proposals. After hearing this description, likely voters are provided two plans to manage these lands. Plan One would allow for logging on 20% of the O&C public lands, produce $40 milion in annual revenue for local governments, and protect salmon and other types of threatened wildlife on virtually all of the wildlife habitats that could be impacted by logging, Plan Two would allow for logging on roughly 60% of the O&C public lands, produce $165 million dollars in annual revenue for local governments, and protect salmon and other types of threatened wildlife on less than half of the wildlife habitats that could be impacted by logging. ‘On behalf of The Pew Charitable Trusts, Anzalone Liset Grove Research and Public Opinion Strategies conducted N=500 live telephone interviews with likely 2014 voters in Oregon, including an N=100 oversample in Douglas, Jackson, Josephine, and Lake counties), Interviews were conducted between April12-17, 2013. Respondents were selected at random, with interviews apportioned geographically based on past voter turnout Expected margin of sampling error is 4.4% with a95% confidence level> A strong majority favor Plan One (61% Favor / 29% Oppose), which is reflective of an ecological forestry-based approach. Voters are divided over Plan Two, an approach similar to the “Trust” plan (45% Favor / 46% Oppose). > Additionally, more voters in the four Southwestern counties most impacted by O&C policies (Dougtas, Jackson, Josephine, Lane) favor Plan One (60% Favor / 28% Oppose) than favor Plan ‘Two (44% Favor / 44% Oppose). When forced to choose between the two plans, a nearly 2:1 majority favors the ecological forestry- based plan. > A.26-point majority (55%) favor Plan One, while just 29% statewide favor Plan Two. > A similar, 22 point margin in the four-county Southwestern region of the state prefers the ecological forestry-based description (53%) over the Trust Plan-based option (31%). > Additionally, voters across the demographic and geographic spectrum prefer the approach that reflects an ecological forestry-centered plan. Both men and women, voters across all age groups, Democrats, Republicans, and independents, and 20+ point majorities in each congressional district prefer the Plan One / Ecological Forestry option to the Plan Two / Trust description. ‘After hearing information about both plans, which would you be more likely to support? 100 Plan 1 /Eco-Forest @Plan2/Trust [Don't Know 80 60 40 20 Sel-IDDem —SelIDGOP —Self-IDIndep Males FemalesSupport for Plan One, the Eco-Forestry approach, may be greater because it meets voters’ top priorities when it comes to the management of O&C lands. Oregonians statewide (59%4) and in the O&C Counties (53%) say their top priority first two choices combined) is “protecting old growth forests, bodies of water, and the wildlife that live there.” Thinking of managing the O and C lands, which of the following do you think should be the top priority? (top two choices combined) Protecting old growth forests, bodies of water, and the wildlife that live there Protecting places to hunt, fish, hike, swim and enjoy the outdoors Ensuring the future of logging jobs and the timber economy Stablizing funding for local governments 0% 20% 40% + = 60% ~«=— 80% m Statewide = Target Counties Voters rank “protecting places to hunt, fish, hike, swim and enjoy the outdoors,” almost as important. When it comes to managing the O&C lands, Oregonians are less concerned about aiding the timber economy and generating revenue for local governments.