1.

PROBLEM 1

This Problem is worth 1 Point There are six chairs in a row. Person A picks one of the chairs at random. Then Person B picks a chair at random from the five chairs that remain. Find the chance that they pick chairs that are next to each other.

A standard deck consists of 52 cards, distributed as follows:

There are 13 cards in each of 4 suits: hearts, diamonds, spades, and clubs. Hearts and diamonds are red. Spades and clubs are black. In each suit there are 13 ranks: Ace, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, Jack, Queen, King. In Exercises 2A through 2E, assume that cards are dealt from a well-shuffled deck; that is, cards are dealt at random without replacement.

2. PROBLEM 2A

This Problem is worth 1 Point The "face" cards are those that have a persons face on them: Jack, Queen, or King. One card is dealt. Find the chance that it is a face card.

3. PROBLEM 2B

This Problem is worth 1 Point One card is dealt. Find the chance that its color is black and its rank is an even number. This Problem is worth 1 Point One card is dealt. Find the chance that its color is red or its rank is an even number.

4. PROBLEM 2D

This Problem is worth 1 Point A poker hand (5 cards) is dealt. Find the chance that the cards are all hearts.

5. PROBLEM 2E

This Problem is worth 1 Point A poker hand (5 cards) is dealt. Find the chance that the cards are all of the same suit. [This is sometimes called a flush.]

6. A die is a six-sided figure; each side shows a number of spots; the numbers of spots on the six sides are 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6. Unless the problem says otherwise, you can assume that the die is fair, that is, each face has chance 1/6 of appearing regardless of what has appeared before. 7. PROBLEM 3A

This Problem is worth 1 Point A die is rolled three times. Find the chance that the face with 4 spots appears at least PROBLEM 3B This Problem is worth 1 Point A die is rolled three times. Find the chance that three different faces appear.

8. There are 5 people in a room. Make the following simplifying assumptions about their birthdays:

Ignore leap years; assume 365 days in the year. For each person, assume that the chance he/she is born on a specified day is 1/365. No twins! Assume that the chance that someone is born on a specified day is not affected by other peoples birthdays.

9. PROBLEM 4A

This Problem is worth 1 Point Find the chance that the 5 people have 5 different birthdays.

10.

PROBLEM 4B

This Problem is worth 1 Point Find the chance of a "match": that is, at least two people in the room have the same birthday.

11.

PROBLEM 4C

This Problem is worth 1 Point Repeat 4B for a room in which there are 400 people. There are 26 letters in the English alphabet. Letters are picked one by one at random, so that each letter has the same chance of appearing as any other letter, regardless of which letters have appeared or not appeared.

12.

PROBLEM 5A

This Problem is worth 1 Point Six letters are picked. Find the chance that the sequence that appears is RANDOM, in that order.

13.

PROBLEM 5B

This Problem is worth 1 Point Six letters are picked. Find the chance that they can be arranged to form the word RANDOM.

A two-day conference is going to be held in a city. The leading newspaper in the city says there is a 10% chance of rain on the first day of the conference and a 40% chance of rain on the second day.

14.

PROBLEM 6A

This Problem is worth 1 Point If the newspapers figures are correct, the chance that it rains in the city during the conference is: at least 0%, but we cant get a better lower bound with the information given. least 10% but it might be less than 40%. at least 40%. at

15.

PROBLEM 6B

This Problem is worth 1 Point If the newspapers figures are correct, the chance that it rains in the city during the conference is at most 10%. at most 40%. at most 50%. at most 100%; thats the best

upper bound we can get based on the information given.