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22 April 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Over Valued .....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Under Valued ......................................................................6

Automobiles & Parts


Banks
Beverages

Over Valued .........................................................................................6


Under Valued ..................................................................................6

Under Valued ..................................................................................6


Under Valued ....................................................7
Construction & Building Materials

Chemicals

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Engineering & Machinery
Food & Drug Stores

Under Valued ..................................................7


Over Valued ................................................................8

Over Valued .......................................................................8


Under Valued ........................................................8

Food Producers & Processors


Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Heath

Over Valued ..........................................................9


Over Valued ...............................................9

Household Goods & Textiles

Information Technology & Hardware


Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Life Assurance

Over Valued .................................................................... 10


Under Valued ................................................................ 11

Media & Entertainment


Over Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Personal Care & Household Products

Over Valued .......................................... 12


Under Valued ................................................ 12

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Under Valued ............................................................................... 12
Real Estate
Under Valued ..................................................... 13
Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Over Valued .......................................................... 13


Over Valued ..................................................................... 14

Over Valued ....................................................... 15


Telecommunication Services
Under
Valued
Transport
................................................................................... 15
Under
Valued
Utilities
....................................................................................... 15

DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

22 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

22 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided solely to
enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares and other
equity investments, you should contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may not be
suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise
and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

22 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target
price based upon
49 valuation
metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

22 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 5 of 17

Over Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BAE SYSTEMS

380.20

270.90

397.30

Neutral

Buy

539

0.66

CHEMRING GROUP

257.70

217.00

414.70

Neutral

Buy

321

0.66

COBHAM

239.70

190.10

248.10

Neutral

Buy

282

0.83

MEGGITT

475.90

364.30

494.20

Neutral

Sell

403

1.32

1123.00

788.92

1135.00

Neutral

Neutral

1079

1.08

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS

Target

Beta

SMITHS GROUP

1229.00

979.50

1328.00

Neutral

Sell

1029

0.71

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1591.00

1424.00

1745.00

Neutral

Neutral

1520

0.50

Unde r V a lue d

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GKN

256.20

173.60

285.00

Neutral

Neutral

Target
247

2.00

INCHCAPE

498.00

305.20

530.00

Neutral

Neutral

485

1.48

LOOKERS

93.00

56.50

100.50

Neutral

Neutral

102

1.24

PENDRAGON

22.00

13.25

25.00

Neutral

Buy

32

1.12

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BARCLAYS

286.35

150.55

327.35

Neutral

Sell

Target
-814

Beta
1.93

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

679.20

503.20

740.00

Neutral

Buy

932

1.17

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP

47.49

25.29

55.68

Sell

Sell

1.87

ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

280.50

196.60

367.80

Neutral

Sell

-187

1.34

STANDARD CHARTERED

1598.00

1228.50

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3190

1.70

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

540.50

348.00

572.00

Neutral

Neutral

580

0.55

DIAGEO

1975.00

1477.00

2085.00

Neutral

Sell

1746

0.55

SABMILLER

3382.50

2348.50

3552.50

Neutral

Buy

3883

0.95

BARR (AG)

Beta

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

287.90

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

620

CARCLO

374.00

345.75

503.00

Neutral

Neutral

368

0.74

2548.00

2094.00

2841.00

Neutral

Sell

2064

1.04

CRODA INTERNATIONAL

Target

Beta
#NA

247.50

179.00

275.00

Neutral

Buy

336

1.00

JOHNSON MATTHEY

2389.00

2080.27

2573.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

10987

1.44

VICTREX

ELEMENTIS

1523.00

1185.00

1736.00

Neutral

Sell

1416

1.13

SYNTHOMER

177.40

127.40

238.60

Neutral

Buy

204

1.16

ZOTEFOAMS

222.50

157.00

225.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

357

0.99

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

22 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALUMASC GROUP

86.00

61.50

104.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
232

Beta
0.52

BALFOUR BEATTY

246.60

225.70

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

955

0.79

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

298.50

114.00

298.50

Sell

Buy

438

1.50

BELLWAY

1309.00

660.00

1327.00

Neutral

Buy

1843

1.10

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2066.00

1177.00

2093.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3123

0.63

BOOT (HENRY)

177.00

115.50

177.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

331

0.83

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

739.50

399.30

751.00

Neutral

Sell

542

1.14

CARILLION

279.10

235.50

331.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

788

1.10

CLARKE (T)

53.50

40.00

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

261

0.82

284.00

188.00

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

541

0.56

1318.00

1052.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

788

1.14

940.00

579.00

965.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1658

0.99

COSTAIN GROUP
CRH
GALLIFORD TRY
KELLER

822.00

348.25

848.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1993

1.25

1256.00

1106.00

1408.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3264

0.94

68.50

49.00

76.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

201

1.07

MARSHALLS

128.25

76.00

130.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

277

1.37

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

575.00

508.00

695.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3249

0.86

KIER GROUP
LOW & BONAR

NORCROS

16.00

9.25

18.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

33

1.11

1130.00

532.00

1132.00

Neutral

Buy

1390

1.15

REDROW

197.80

107.30

206.00

Neutral

Buy

279

1.05

SIG

146.40

82.30

162.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

466

1.74

5.88

3.88

17.75

Sell

Strong Buy

47

0.89

90.15

40.28

93.50

Neutral

Buy

128

1.58

PERSIMMON

SUPERGLASS HOLDINGS
TAYLOR WIMPEY
TRAVIS PERKINS

1441.00

906.50

1465.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2510

1.97

WOLSELEY

3133.00

2121.32

3337.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5142

1.43

Under Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1228.00

935.00

1364.00

Neutral

Sell

744

0.78

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

634.00

509.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

816

1.18

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

118.00

105.50

149.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

238

1.31

INVENSYS

347.30

186.10

366.80

Neutral

Neutral

333

1.42

LAIRD

198.00

177.00

249.30

Neutral

Sell

75

2.12

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1534.00

1096.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1138

1.01

RENISHAW

1551.00

1260.00

2081.00

Neutral

Buy

2297

1.26

SPECTRIS

1908.00

1427.00

2470.00

Neutral

Buy

2128

1.52

0.07

0.07

0.19

Neutral

Strong Buy

0.83

TT ELECTRONICS

157.00

114.00

190.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

391

1.59

XAAR

500.00

185.00

500.00

Neutral

Sell

225

1.11

DIALIGHT

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

22 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 7 of 17

Over Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

78.00

54.25

91.75

Neutral

Buy

101

1.26

BODYCOTE

474.10

310.30

556.50

Neutral

Neutral

490

1.61

CASTINGS

331.00

277.75

358.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

668

0.99

VESUVIUS

322.10

263.19

402.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

487

2.19

FENNER

354.50

329.30

450.80

Neutral

Buy

529

1.42

HALMA

473.50

373.10

531.50

Neutral

Sell

375

0.76

HILL & SMITH

429.50

297.00

480.00

Neutral

Sell

321

1.37

1174.00

776.00

1347.00

Neutral

Buy

1292

1.40

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SENIOR
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN
SPIRAX-SARCO

Target

Beta

247.50

220.30

332.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

510

1.82

2680.00

1859.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

2042

0.99

241.40

177.00

253.10

Neutral

Sell

202

1.65

41.00

35.40

104.11

Neutral

Sell

30

0.73

2505.00

1900.00

2734.00

Neutral

Sell

2169

0.84

VITEC GROUP

637.00

586.50

740.00

Neutral

Sell

578

1.40

WEIR GROUP

2131.00

1397.00

2474.00

Neutral

Sell

1929

1.39

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

464.50

449.00

523.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

698

0.47

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

281.10

248.60

296.40

Neutral

Sell

198

0.39

SAINSBURY (J)

377.80

283.50

387.20

Neutral

Sell

219

0.58

TESCO

363.00

297.05

387.75

Neutral

Sell

281

0.69

74.00

18.88

78.75

Neutral

Sell

52

0.84

THORNTONS

Beta

Under Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

1847.00

1167.00

1931.00

Neutral

Buy

2074

0.61

CRANSWICK

1032.00

732.50

1057.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2051

0.49

DAIRY CREST

447.20

290.40

447.20

Neutral

Neutral

491

0.92

DEVRO

317.20

278.00

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

509

0.31

73.00

54.50

167.50

Neutral

Sell

-179

1.25

PREMIER FOODS
TATE & LYLE
UNILEVER (UK)

837.50

633.50

870.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1530

0.70

2776.00

2007.00

2831.00

Neutral

Neutral

2718

0.57

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

22 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

28.75

20.50

29.50

Neutral

Buy

33

0.68

414.00

224.40

429.30

Neutral

Sell

354

0.53

1299.00

1000.00

1536.00

Neutral

Sell

967

1.27

627.00

585.00

728.50

Neutral

Sell

275

0.94

35.29

12.67

35.45

Neutral

Buy

39

1.50

150.00

55.20

186.00

Neutral

Sell

45

1.08

27.75

19.50

44.25

Sell

Strong Buy

101

0.99

HALFORDS GROUP

325.30

189.00

356.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

491

0.67

JD SPORTS FASHION

736.00

606.50

841.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1489

0.52

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP

Target

Beta

48.00

38.00

65.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

87

1.24

KINGFISHER

288.20

254.10

304.00

Neutral

Buy

382

0.92

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

398.20

312.20

400.40

Neutral

Buy

506

0.64

57.50

42.00

71.00

Buy

Neutral

59

1.04

298.50

160.00

362.00

Neutral

Buy

369

0.47

NEXT

4320.00

2896.00

4408.00

Neutral

Sell

3677

0.66

TED BAKER

1285.00

830.00

1354.00

Neutral

Sell

645

0.55

68.75

32.13

68.75

Neutral

Sell

49

1.48

DARTY

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Heath
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

146.50

124.00

160.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
117

0.45

CONSORT MEDICAL

785.00

584.00

831.50

Neutral

Sell

576

0.40

OPTOS

161.00

145.75

264.00

Neutral

Neutral

168

1.20

SMITH & NEPHEW

720.00

580.00

768.50

Neutral

Sell

644

0.41

Over Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

667.50

557.00

720.50

Neutral

Neutral

652

0.43

HEADLAM GROUP

344.00

263.00

355.00

Neutral

Sell

302

0.92

80.75

55.25

95.63

Neutral

Buy

106

0.75

HORNBY

Target

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ARM HOLDINGS

872.50

469.00

971.50

Neutral

Sell

528

0.74

CSR

477.20

194.60

502.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1271

1.16

FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

Target

Beta

66.50

23.50

83.25

Neutral

Sell

46

0.90

431.30

383.50

696.00

Neutral

Buy

501

1.09

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

122.00

122.00

174.00

Buy

Strong Buy

653

0.94

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

194.00

165.75

230.00

Neutral

Sell

-543

0.91

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

22 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1331.00

1019.00

1374.00

Neutral

Neutral

1313

0.54

AMLIN

411.90

312.90

431.50

Neutral

Sell

116

0.46

BEAZLEY

209.40

132.50

219.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1216

0.59

CATLIN GROUP

509.00

399.00

540.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1838

0.29

HISCOX

544.50

379.26

574.05

Neutral

Strong Buy

2425

0.48

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

843.00

659.00

864.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1644

0.31

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

108.10

97.65

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

870

0.40

NOVAE GROUP

455.00

345.00

475.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

2756

0.47

ADMIRAL GROUP

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2294.00

1944.00

2628.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3836

1.00

ENTERPRISE INNS

102.80

55.50

114.70

Neutral

Sell

95

1.59

TUI TRAVEL

303.80

158.00

330.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

760

0.99

FULLER SMITH 'A'

810.00

700.00

820.00

Neutral

Sell

649

0.38

GREENE KING

666.50

474.30

723.50

Neutral

Sell

620

0.91

LADBROKES

188.00

152.70

243.10

Neutral

Buy

245

0.93

1866.00

1396.63

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1444

1.17

CARNIVAL

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

560.00

455.40

582.50

Neutral

Buy

625

1.38

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

315.90

217.40

350.10

Neutral

Sell

300

1.09

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

136.00

91.90

158.40

Neutral

Sell

51

1.25

9.90

5.61

13.12

Neutral

Strong Buy

45

1.25

159.20

111.00

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

492

1.00
0.74

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

468.80

269.20

474.80

Neutral

Sell

314

WETHERSPOON (JD)

549.50

371.30

549.50

Neutral

Buy

717

0.69

WHITBREAD

2450.00

1786.00

2692.00

Neutral

Sell

1932

0.99

WILLIAM HILL

409.10

243.75

411.17

Neutral

Sell

248

0.86

MARSTON'S

136.00

94.40

143.00

Neutral

Sell

15

1.20

Over Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

295.60

255.30

388.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

630

1.24

CHESNARA

227.00

155.25

250.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

357

0.70

LEGAL & GENERAL

168.90

106.00

175.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

317

1.70

OLD MUTUAL

199.80

138.70

211.40

Neutral

Sell

189

1.57

PRUDENTIAL

1036.00

660.00

1155.00

Neutral

Sell

916

1.70

496.40

303.40

537.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1363

0.85

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

22 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 10 of 17

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

113.12

102.00

146.50

Neutral

Sell

-571

0.36

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

839.50

656.00

899.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1688

0.54

46.50

28.50

60.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

151

1.01

DAILY MAIL 'A'

691.50

363.50

722.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3934

1.12

EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

940.00

672.50

1001.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7427

0.98

INFORMA

482.50

340.00

537.00

Neutral

Sell

-74

1.53

ITE GROUP

259.70

180.00

289.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

232

1.44

ITV

123.20

69.45

132.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1224

1.54
1.26

CENTAUR MEDIA

JOHNSTON PRESS

15.50

4.88

16.00

Neutral

Buy

752

1120.00

1111.00

1294.00

Neutral

Buy

307

0.62

75.75

36.25

82.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2547

0.79

277.50

265.00

377.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

844

0.15

33.23

26.85

33.35

Neutral

Sell

-569

0.52

STV GROUP

133.50

81.50

146.88

Neutral

Sell

258

0.78

ST.IVES

134.75

67.50

139.25

Neutral

Sell

216

1.49

92.00

25.50

121.25

Neutral

Sell

-252

1.57

UBM

670.00

511.00

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1699

1.31

WILMINGTON GROUP

152.00

82.00

164.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1313

0.85

WPP

1047.00

743.00

1092.00

Neutral

Sell

-493

1.34

HIBU

0.38

0.26

3.91

Neutral

Strong Buy

786

1.07

PEARSON
PHOTO-ME INTL.
PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON
THOMSON REUTERS

TRINITY MIRROR

Over Valued

Mining
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1596.50

1553.00

2412.00

Neutral

Sell

1273

1.75

ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP

219.00

215.00

320.00

Neutral

Neutral

214

0.99

ANTOFAGASTA

902.50

889.50

1381.00

Neutral

Sell

771

1.43

1782.50

1681.00

2236.00

Neutral

Buy

2441

1.45

ANGLO AMERICAN

BHP BILLITON

266.90

240.84

564.35

Neutral

Strong Buy

532

2.03

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

LONMIN

4664.00

4545.00

7775.00

Neutral

Sell

2196

0.34

RIO TINTO

2920.00

2715.50

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2717

1.51

5.63

3.75

22.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

147

0.89

832.50

1298.00

Neutral

Buy

1639

2.21

785.80

1205.00

Neutral

Sell

670

1.88

COALFIELD RESOURCES
VEDANTA RESOURCES
XSTRATA

957.00

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1038.00

1000.50

1451.00

Buy

Buy

1194

0.81

BP

446.70

391.95

475.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

1497

1.05

CAIRN ENERGY

284.90

248.20

349.00

Neutral

Sell

-10

1.32

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B
SOCO INTERNATIONAL
TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

8.00

7.66

12.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

14

0.90

799.00

688.00

954.00

Buy

Sell

428

1.32
1.36

67.75

55.00

137.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

291

355.40

321.30

401.20

Neutral

Sell

275

1.45

2148.00

2039.00

2366.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

9066

0.86

376.80

254.90

404.30

Neutral

Sell

240

0.52

1048.00

982.50

1557.00

Neutral

Sell

875

1.05

803.50

651.50

879.50

Neutral

Sell

763

1.36

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

22 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 11 of 17

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

109.00

102.70

146.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

251

PZ CUSSONS

390.50

297.20

415.60

Neutral

Sell

318

0.69

4709.00

3300.00

4812.00

Neutral

Neutral

4752

0.36

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Beta
0.83

Under Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.41

0.37

3.88

Buy

Sell

-3

1.01

3346.00

2591.00

3346.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6791

0.47

BTG

344.50

300.30

423.00

Neutral

Sell

157

0.62

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

749.00

444.50

780.00

Neutral

Sell

651

0.26

1652.00

1317.50

1658.00

Neutral

Buy

1925

0.49

OXFORD BIOMEDICA

1.63

1.55

4.28

Buy

Sell

-1

0.65

PHYTOPHARM

1.20

1.20

12.75

Strong Buy

Strong Buy

0.94

1967.00

1727.00

2153.00

Neutral

Sell

1394

0.65

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE

SHIRE

Target

Beta

SKYEPHARMA

45.25

44.25

101.50

Neutral

Sell

-114

0.71

VERNALIS

22.50

21.63

27.38

Neutral

Buy

29

0.90

Under Valued

Real Estate
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BIG YELLOW GROUP

389.10

274.50

393.00

Neutral

Sell

-571

1.15

BRITISH LAND

572.50

475.40

586.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1688

1.03

34.50

22.75

34.50

Sell

Strong Buy

151

0.82

880.00

595.00

880.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3934

0.69

DERWENT LONDON

2285.00

1708.00

2285.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7427

1.20

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

151.00

121.75

175.00

Neutral

Sell

-74

0.97

GRAINGER

137.30

83.10

140.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

232

1.54

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

523.00

345.60

523.00

Sell

Strong Buy

1224

1.06
1.16

CAPITAL & REGIONAL


CLS HOLDINGS

HAMMERSON

514.00

408.00

525.00

Neutral

Buy

752

HELICAL BAR

248.25

164.00

251.00

Neutral

Buy

307

0.75

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

863.00

704.00

863.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2547

1.15

INTU PROPERTIES

343.60

305.00

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

844

1.08

MCKAY SECURITIES

142.00

127.00

145.00

Neutral

Sell

-569

0.72

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

380.00

320.00

390.00

Neutral

Sell

258

0.41

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

336.00

312.00

364.50

Neutral

Sell

216

0.35

65.00

32.50

70.00

Sell

Sell

-252

1.17
0.74

QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.


SAVILLS

521.50

300.80

599.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1699

SHAFTESBURY

607.00

492.00

608.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1313

1.03

SEGRO

253.90

209.40

271.00

Neutral

Sell

-493

1.70

ST MODWEN PROPS.

264.40

145.50

280.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

786

1.55

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

205.00

147.00

215.00

Neutral

Sell

-15

1.05

UNITE GROUP

313.00

180.25

330.00

Neutral

Sell

44

1.75

1.38

1.00

2.75

Sell

Sell

-1113

1.01

373.40

213.25

374.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1274

1.02

WARNER ESTATE
WORKSPACE GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

22 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 12 of 17

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

117.00

111.00

162.00

Neutral

Neutral

119

0.76

2085.00

1469.00

2322.00

Neutral

Sell

1274

1.40

AVEVA GROUP

Target

Beta

COMPUTACENTER

535.00

292.40

567.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1317

1.01

KOFAX

333.75

240.00

335.00

Neutral

Sell

314

1.12

25.25

18.25

25.50

Neutral

Sell

24

0.83

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

667.00

426.17

706.00

Neutral

Buy

932

0.79

PHOENIX IT GROUP

145.00

131.00

231.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

305

0.74

80.00

70.25

89.00

Neutral

Sell

-87

0.53

1776.00

1275.00

1970.00

Neutral

Buy

2021

0.77

340.60

247.70

352.10

Neutral

Buy

404

0.72

INNOVATION GROUP

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Over Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

400.30

237.30

441.90

Neutral

Sell

131

BREWIN DOLPHIN

220.00

136.30

222.00

Neutral

Sell

108

0.72

10355.50

9250.00

11105.00

Neutral

Sell

8022

0.83

CAMELLIA

Target

Beta
1.08

CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

401.50

247.50

404.00

Sell

Sell

179

0.97

CHARLES TAYLOR

173.00

132.00

190.00

Neutral

Sell

112

0.69

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

1026.00

673.50

1107.00

Neutral

Sell

150

0.87

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

95.55

65.90

110.40

Neutral

Neutral

96

0.89

3.17

0.55

3.70

Sell

Strong Buy

24

0.68

HENDERSON GROUP

155.40

90.55

171.00

Neutral

Sell

55

1.44

ICAP

286.20

281.40

384.00

Neutral

Sell

201

1.07
1.68

HELPHIRE GROUP

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

403.80

227.30

427.60

Neutral

Sell

158

INVESTEC

439.90

310.40

513.50

Neutral

Sell

72

1.55

1296.00

930.00

1411.00

Neutral

Neutral

1380

1.12

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP

106.70

63.25

111.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

479

1.32

RATHBONE BROTHERS

MAN GROUP

1478.00

1151.00

1551.00

Neutral

Sell

1048

0.73

SCHRODERS

2155.00

1166.00

2212.00

Neutral

Sell

1095

1.31

SCHRODERS NV

1721.00

966.00

1785.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3608

1.27

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

22 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 13 of 17

Over Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ACAL

218.00

157.75

242.50

Neutral

Buy

286

0.93

1769.00

1557.00

2400.00

Neutral

Sell

1272

1.03

AGGREKO

Target

Beta

AMEC

999.50

923.00

1172.00

Neutral

Buy

1106

1.04

ASHTEAD GROUP

610.00

212.20

635.00

Neutral

Sell

311

1.62

1040.00

793.50

1106.00

Neutral

Sell

647

0.48

535.00

317.00

539.00

Neutral

Buy

779

0.78

1256.00

990.00

1320.00

Neutral

Sell

958

0.55

UK MAIL GROUP

444.00

214.00

445.00

Neutral

Neutral

433

0.38

CAPITA

853.00

602.00

913.50

Neutral

Sell

508

0.50

51.88

25.34

53.50

Neutral

Buy

66

0.78

COMPASS GROUP

824.00

616.00

852.50

Neutral

Sell

590

0.74

BERENDSEN

754.00

462.00

812.00

Neutral

Buy

959

1.04

DE LA RUE

922.50

891.50

1075.00

Neutral

Sell

590

#NA

BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL

COMMUNISIS

DIGNITY

1359.00

803.50

1435.00

Neutral

Sell

776

0.21

DIPLOMA

556.00

417.00

627.50

Neutral

Sell

476

0.95

ELECTROCOMP.

229.30

195.20

265.00

Neutral

Buy

313

1.02

FILTRONA

715.00

428.00

744.00

Neutral

Sell

339

1.10

G4S

301.90

240.00

307.50

Neutral

Sell

284

0.58

90.85

66.40

101.20

Neutral

Buy

118

1.09

HOMESERVE

191.90

137.50

252.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

479

0.93

INTERSERVE

462.50

271.40

510.50

Neutral

Buy

668

1.27

3349.00

2406.00

3451.00

Neutral

Sell

1413

0.77

JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP

43.50

26.50

45.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

92

1.18

MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

32.00

21.25

39.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

54

0.72

MENZIES (JOHN)

672.00

542.00

789.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1257

1.43

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

356.00

341.40

451.80

Neutral

Sell

311

1.41

MITIE GROUP

270.80

253.90

300.80

Neutral

Buy

334

0.55

92.00

91.00

156.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

233

0.34

PAYPOINT

881.00

605.00

912.50

Neutral

Sell

676

0.70

PREMIER FARNELL

204.70

153.20

236.30

Neutral

Buy

277

1.32

REGUS

159.90

82.65

169.00

Neutral

Sell

105

1.44

94.40

69.40

100.70

Neutral

Sell

54

1.24

513.00

394.28

547.50

Neutral

Neutral

519

0.91

HAYS

INTERTEK GROUP

OFFICE2OFFICE

RENTOKIL INITIAL
REXAM
RICARDO

409.00

304.50

431.00

Neutral

Buy

461

0.85

ROBERT WALTERS

232.00

176.25

259.50

Neutral

Buy

302

1.23

RPC GROUP

393.00

348.30

477.00

Neutral

Buy

522

0.77

RPS GROUP

250.40

197.00

274.20

Neutral

Neutral

242

1.50

SERCO GROUP

606.50

509.50

635.50

Neutral

Sell

564

0.59

SHANKS GROUP

74.50

74.50

98.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

164

1.46

SPEEDY HIRE

47.50

22.25

50.00

Neutral

Neutral

51

1.25

145.00

73.25

149.00

Neutral

Sell

49

0.56

53.38

39.50

59.00

Neutral

Buy

60

0.92

337.00

234.75

354.88

Neutral

Strong Buy

609

0.86

74.50

42.00

75.00

Sell

Strong Buy

178

0.79

TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

22 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 14 of 17

Over Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

277.60

200.70

281.70

Neutral

Buy

334

41.58

27.28

42.81

Neutral

Strong Buy

82

0.69

689.00

390.80

710.50

Neutral

Sell

592

0.53

Beta
0.90

81.85

67.00

85.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

130

1.24

1197.00

682.50

1197.00

Sell

Sell

732

0.11

193.25

154.45

193.25

Neutral

Sell

167

0.54

Under Valued

Transport
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

248.20

178.00

269.00

Neutral

Sell

178

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

390.00

309.50

425.00

Neutral

Buy

459

0.99

CLARKSON

1660.00

1150.00

1660.00

Sell

Sell

1490

0.81

EASYJET

1109.00

481.20

1149.00

Neutral

Sell

677

0.74

211.30

175.70

260.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

565

0.90

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

1108.00

535.00

1108.00

Neutral

Sell

399

0.77

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1519.00

1086.00

1540.00

Neutral

Buy

1871

0.89

FIRST GROUP

Target

Beta
1.30

NATIONAL EXPRESS

197.70

164.50

230.50

Neutral

Buy

254

1.34

NORTHGATE

313.25

159.60

350.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

621

1.41

STAGECOACH GROUP

296.80

230.40

319.60

Neutral

Buy

358

0.90

57.25

31.00

78.50

Sell

Sell

-42

0.90

WINCANTON

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

382.50

306.30

383.00

Neutral

Buy

506

0.46

NATIONAL GRID

795.50

641.00

803.00

Neutral

Buy

877

0.49

PENNON GROUP

655.50

598.00

796.00

Neutral

Buy

813

0.58

SSE

1532.00

1294.00

1536.00

Neutral

Buy

1810

0.42

SEVERN TRENT

1795.00

1513.00

1796.00

Neutral

Sell

1583

0.34

742.50

614.50

747.50

Neutral

Sell

701

0.50

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

22 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 15 of 17

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