Doug Potash Presents:

WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE

April 8, 2013

WEEKLY QUOTE
It is better to offer no excuse than a bad one. - George Washington

JUST 88,000 NEW JOBS?

WEEKLY TIP
In a divorce, a 50-50 split of marital assets is not always fair. One spouse may have much greater income potential than the other, and that should be considered in a settlement.

In the wake of the Labor Departments disappointing March employment report, puzzled analysts tried to figure out the reasons for such poor job growth. Did businesses fear the impact of the federal budget cuts in March and scale back hiring? Were there fewer food service, retail and temporary job openings? (More than 7% of Americans work in food service jobs, and temp work has made up a larger share of employment in recent years.) Was it seasonal, since hiring also declined in spring 2011 and spring 2012? Would the number later be revised upward? Whatever the cause(s), the message was troubling. The jobless rate dipped to 7.6%, but that was because of fewer jobseekers the labor force participation rate was 63.3% in March, a 34-year low.1

ISM: BUSINESS ACTIVITY SLOWED IN MARCH

In another disconcerting development, the Institute for Supply Managements manufacturing and service sector PMIs both retreated last month. ISMs manufacturing PMI fell to 51.3 from the previous 54.2, while its non-manufacturing PMI dipped 1.6 points to 54.4. On the upside, the Commerce Department did note a 3.0% rise in factory orders in February.2,3

WEEKLY RIDDLE
They have not flesh, nor feathers, nor scales, nor bone. Yet they have fingers and thumbs of their own. What are they?
Last weeks riddle: Which positive whole number can you add 1.5 to and get the same result as you do when you multiply it by 1.5? Last weeks answer: 3.

OIL & GOLD MOVE LOWER FOR THE WEEK

NYMEX crude settled at $92.70 a barrel Friday, representing a 4.7% five-day loss. COMEX gold gained 1.5% Friday to end the week at $1,575.90 an ounce but still slipped 1.2% last week.4

CAUTION ON WALL STREET

The jobs report and North Koreas ongoing threats gave investors pause last week, and so the Dow (-0.09% to 14,565.25), NASDAQ (-1.95% to 3,203.86) and S&P 500 (-1.01% to 1,553.28) all lost ground. Still, it was only the second down week in the past seven for the Dow.5 THIS WEEK: Alcoa kicks off the Q1 earnings season after Mondays closing bell, and Ben Bernanke speaks on stress testing banks Monday night. Nothing major is scheduled for Tuesday. Wednesday, the March 20 FOMC minutes will be made public and CarMax, Constellation Brands and Bed Bath & Beyond report earnings. Thursday brings the latest initial jobless claims report from the Labor Department plus earnings from Rite Aid, JB Hunt and Pier 1 Imports. Friday, Marchs PPI and March retail sales data arrive, Wells Fargo and JPMorgan report earnings, the University of Michigans preliminary April consumer sentiment survey appears, and Ben Bernanke delivers an afternoon speech at the Feds development conference.
% CHANGE Y-T-D 1-YR CHG 5-YR AVG 10-YR AVG

DJIA NASDAQ S&P 500

REAL YIELD

+11.15 +6.11 +8.91

4/5 RATE

+11.52 +4.00 +11.10

1 YR AGO

+3.10 +7.03 +2.67

5 YRS AGO

+7.60 +13.16 +7.67

10 YRS AGO

10 YR TIPS

-0.74%

-0.08%

1.18%

2.16%

Sources: cnbc.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov - 4/5/135,6,7,8 Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends.

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Doug Potash Disclosure

This material was prepared by MarketingLibrary.Net Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. Marketing Library.Net Inc. is not affiliated with any broker or brokerage firm that may be providing this information to you. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the NYSE) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world's largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments will fluctuate and when redeemed may be worth more or less than when originally invested. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. Market indices discussed are unmanaged. Investors cannot invest in unmanaged indices. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional.

Citations.

1 - www.nytimes.com/2013/04/06/business/economy/us-adds-only-88000-jobs-jobless-rate-falls-to-7-6.html [4/5/13] 2 - www.ism.ws/ISMReport/NonMfgROB.cfm [4/3/13] 3 - www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/02/us-economy-factory-orders-idUSBRE9310HV20130402 [4/2/13] 4 - www.proactiveinvestors.com/companies/news/42403/oil-drops-gold-rises-on-us-jobs-report-42403.html [4/5/13] 5 - www.cnbc.com/id/100619132 [4/5/13] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=4%2F5%2F12&x=0&y=0 [4/5/13] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=4%2F5%2F12&x=0&y=0 [4/5/13] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=4%2F5%2F12&x=0&y=0 [4/5/13] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=4%2F4%2F08&x=0&y=0 [4/5/13] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=4%2F4%2F08&x=0&y=0 [4/5/13] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=4%2F4%2F08&x=0&y=0 [4/5/13] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=4%2F4%2F03&x=0&y=0 [4/5/13] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=4%2F4%2F03&x=0&y=0 [4/5/13] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=4%2F4%2F03&x=0&y=0 [4/5/13] 7 - www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [4/5/13] 8 - www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [4/5/13]

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Doug Potash, CRPC

Partner

Premier Planning Group 115 West Street, Suite 400 Annapolis, Maryland 21401 http://www.premierplanninggroup.com/#!doug-potash/c8x7 Phone: 443-837-2550 Cell: 443-994-1897 Fax: 410-216-9515

Doug Potash is a Registered Representative offering securities through Cambridge Investment Research, Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. Advisory services offered through Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, Inc., a federally registered investment advisor. Cambridge and Premier Planning Group are not affiliated.