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03 April 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Under Valued .....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Under Valued ......................................................................6

Automobiles & Parts


Banks
Beverages

Over Valued .........................................................................................6


Under Valued ..................................................................................6

Under Valued ..................................................................................6


Under Valued ....................................................7
Construction & Building Materials

Chemicals

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Engineering & Machinery
Food & Drug Stores

Over Valued ..................................................7


Over Valued ................................................................8

Over Valued .......................................................................8


Under Valued ........................................................8

Food Producers & Processors


Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Heath
Over Valued ..........................................................9
Over Valued ...............................................9

Household Goods & Textiles

Information Technology & Hardware


Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Life Assurance

Over Valued .................................................................... 10


Under Valued ................................................................ 11

Media & Entertainment


Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Personal Care & Household Products

Over Valued .......................................... 12


Under Valued ................................................ 12

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Under Valued ............................................................................... 12
Real Estate
Under Valued ..................................................... 13
Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Over Valued .......................................................... 13


Over Valued ..................................................................... 14

Over Valued ....................................................... 15


Telecommunication Services
Under
Valued
Transport
................................................................................... 15
Under
Valued
Utilities
....................................................................................... 15

DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

03 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

03 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided solely to
enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares and other
equity investments, you should contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may not be
suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise
and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

03 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target
price based upon
49 valuation
metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

03 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 5 of 17

Under Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BAE SYSTEMS

396.00

270.90

396.00

Neutral

Buy

585

0.66

CHEMRING GROUP

264.20

217.00

414.70

Neutral

Buy

327

0.66

COBHAM

247.20

190.10

248.10

Neutral

Buy

291

0.83

MEGGITT

494.20

364.30

494.20

Neutral

Sell

415

1.32

1135.00

781.16

1135.00

Neutral

Neutral

1113

1.07

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS

Target

Beta

SMITHS GROUP

1266.00

979.50

1328.00

Neutral

Sell

1064

0.71

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1717.00

1424.00

1763.00

Neutral

Sell

1565

0.51

Unde r V a lue d

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GKN

266.70

173.60

285.00

Neutral

Neutral

Target
257

2.00

INCHCAPE

507.00

305.20

530.00

Neutral

Neutral

502

1.48

LOOKERS

99.00

56.50

100.50

Neutral

Neutral

106

1.24

PENDRAGON

22.50

13.25

25.00

Neutral

Buy

34

1.12

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BARCLAYS

297.50

150.55

327.35

Neutral

Sell

Target
57

Beta
1.93

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

711.20

503.20

740.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1244

1.17
1.87

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP

49.38

25.29

55.68

Sell

Strong Buy

75

ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

283.70

196.60

367.80

Neutral

Sell

39

1.34

STANDARD CHARTERED

1740.00

1228.50

1837.50

Neutral

Sell

1123

1.70

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

552.00

348.00

572.00

Neutral

Neutral

598

0.55

DIAGEO

2084.50

1477.00

2084.50

Neutral

Sell

1830

0.55

SABMILLER

3552.50

2348.50

3552.50

Sell

Buy

4079

0.95

BARR (AG)

Beta

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

391.40

267.60

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

710

CARCLO

413.00

345.75

503.00

Neutral

Neutral

428

0.74

2841.00

2050.00

2841.00

Sell

Sell

2255

1.04

CRODA INTERNATIONAL

Target

Beta
#NA

268.30

179.00

275.00

Neutral

Buy

374

1.00

JOHNSON MATTHEY

2292.00

2080.27

2573.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

12752

1.44

VICTREX

ELEMENTIS

1685.00

1185.00

1736.00

Neutral

Sell

1572

1.13

SYNTHOMER

213.50

127.40

245.30

Neutral

Neutral

230

1.16

ZOTEFOAMS

224.00

157.00

225.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

406

0.99

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

03 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALUMASC GROUP

90.00

61.50

104.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

250

0.51

BALFOUR BEATTY

236.50

234.00

320.80

Buy

Strong Buy

1030

0.79

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

Target

Beta

279.70

114.00

279.70

Sell

Strong Buy

475

1.50

BELLWAY

1301.00

660.00

1301.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2030

1.11

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2086.00

1177.00

2093.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3513

0.64

BOOT (HENRY)

172.00

115.50

174.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

363

0.83

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

743.00

399.30

751.00

Neutral

Sell

589

1.14

CARILLION

275.10

235.50

331.80

Buy

Strong Buy

842

1.10

CLARKE (T)

56.13

40.00

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

282

0.82

278.50

188.00

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

581

0.57

1477.00

1052.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

841

1.14

935.00

579.00

965.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1794

0.99

COSTAIN GROUP
CRH
GALLIFORD TRY
KELLER

809.50

348.25

830.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2143

1.25

1186.00

1095.00

1408.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3526

0.94

76.75

49.00

76.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

215

1.07

MARSHALLS

127.25

76.00

127.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

301

1.37

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

550.00

508.00

695.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3485

0.86

KIER GROUP
LOW & BONAR

NORCROS

18.00

9.25

18.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

37

1.11

1073.00

532.00

1073.00

Neutral

Buy

1191

1.15

REDROW

192.40

107.30

195.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

309

1.05

SIG

160.00

82.30

162.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

497

1.74

3.88

3.88

19.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

50

0.89

93.50

40.28

93.50

Neutral

Neutral

100

1.58

PERSIMMON

SUPERGLASS HOLDINGS
TAYLOR WIMPEY
TRAVIS PERKINS

1465.00

906.50

1465.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2754

1.97

WOLSELEY

3270.00

2121.32

3337.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5481

1.43

Over Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1320.00

925.00

1364.00

Neutral

Sell

786

0.78

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

645.00

509.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

864

1.18

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

119.50

105.50

149.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

252

1.30

INVENSYS

351.90

186.10

366.80

Neutral

Neutral

350

1.42

LAIRD

221.00

177.00

249.30

Neutral

Sell

87

2.12

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1666.00

1096.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1202

1.01

RENISHAW

1831.00

1260.00

2081.00

Neutral

Buy

2434

1.26

SPECTRIS

2466.00

1427.00

2470.00

Neutral

Sell

2257

1.52

0.07

0.07

0.21

Neutral

Strong Buy

0.84

TT ELECTRONICS

176.00

114.00

190.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

410

1.59

XAAR

420.00

185.00

425.00

Neutral

Sell

237

1.11

DIALIGHT

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

03 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 7 of 17

Over Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

83.75

54.25

91.75

Neutral

Buy

105

1.26

BODYCOTE

538.50

310.30

556.50

Neutral

Neutral

516

1.61

CASTINGS

337.00

277.75

358.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

715

0.99

VESUVIUS

351.80

263.19

402.10

Neutral

Buy

503

2.19

FENNER

397.20

329.30

456.50

Neutral

Buy

564

1.42

HALMA

522.00

373.10

531.50

Neutral

Sell

403

0.75

HILL & SMITH

450.75

297.00

480.00

Neutral

Sell

332

1.37

1282.00

776.00

1347.00

Neutral

Buy

1418

1.40

IMI
METALRAX GROUP
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SENIOR
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN
SPIRAX-SARCO

Target

Beta

3.13

2.93

8.75

Neutral

Neutral

0.85

292.20

220.30

333.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

556

1.82

2922.00

1859.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

2343

1.00

246.30

177.00

251.80

Neutral

Sell

226

1.65

39.50

35.40

104.11

Neutral

Buy

55

0.73

2734.00

1900.00

2734.00

Neutral

Sell

2345

0.84

VITEC GROUP

641.00

586.50

740.00

Neutral

Sell

602

1.39

WEIR GROUP

2252.00

1397.00

2474.00

Neutral

Sell

2080

1.39

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

480.00

449.00

526.00

Neutral

Buy

708

0.47

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

283.20

248.60

299.20

Neutral

Sell

209

0.39

SAINSBURY (J)

385.50

283.50

385.50

Neutral

Sell

233

0.58

TESCO

385.50

297.05

385.95

Neutral

Sell

294

0.69

69.00

18.88

78.75

Neutral

Sell

49

0.83

THORNTONS

Beta

Under Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

1931.00

1167.00

1931.00

Sell

Buy

2134

0.62

CRANSWICK

1013.00

732.50

1023.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2113

0.49

DAIRY CREST

432.10

290.40

444.00

Neutral

Buy

498

0.92

DEVRO

353.30

278.00

380.00

Neutral

Buy

529

0.31

77.00

54.50

170.00

Neutral

Sell

-183

1.25

PREMIER FOODS
TATE & LYLE
UNILEVER (UK)

870.50

633.50

870.50

Sell

Strong Buy

1585

0.70

2831.00

2005.00

2831.00

Neutral

Neutral

2814

0.57

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

03 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

28.75

20.50

29.50

Neutral

Buy

33

0.69

410.50

222.40

429.30

Neutral

Sell

361

0.53

1325.00

1000.00

1586.00

Neutral

Sell

973

1.27

623.00

585.00

728.50

Neutral

Sell

280

0.94

33.13

12.67

35.00

Neutral

Neutral

36

1.50

5.90

2.76

9.30

Neutral

Sell

1.08

30.00

19.50

47.00

Sell

Strong Buy

110

0.98

HALFORDS GROUP

324.50

189.00

356.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

498

0.67

JD SPORTS FASHION

698.00

606.50

841.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1514

0.52

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP

Target

Beta

42.75

38.00

68.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

81

1.24

KINGFISHER

291.00

254.10

313.80

Neutral

Buy

390

0.92

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

393.50

312.20

398.80

Neutral

Buy

514

0.64

63.75

42.00

71.00

Buy

Sell

60

1.04

320.75

152.00

362.00

Neutral

Neutral

317

0.46

NEXT

4408.00

2896.00

4408.00

Neutral

Sell

3693

0.66

TED BAKER

1285.00

810.50

1354.00

Neutral

Sell

654

0.55

64.00

32.13

68.00

Neutral

Sell

50

1.48

DARTY

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Heath
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

146.50

124.00

160.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
117

0.45

CONSORT MEDICAL

780.50

584.00

831.50

Neutral

Sell

577

0.40

OPTOS

149.50

149.50

279.25

Buy

Buy

166

1.21

SMITH & NEPHEW

768.50

580.00

768.50

Neutral

Sell

690

0.41

Over Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

642.50

557.00

720.50

Neutral

Neutral

629

0.43

HEADLAM GROUP

345.00

263.00

355.00

Neutral

Sell

304

0.92

82.00

55.25

97.00

Neutral

Buy

107

0.75

HORNBY

Target

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ARM HOLDINGS

916.00

469.00

971.50

Neutral

Sell

563

0.74

CSR

479.70

194.60

492.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1292

1.17

FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

Target

Beta

64.00

23.50

83.25

Neutral

Sell

49

0.90

477.30

383.50

713.00

Buy

Neutral

517

1.08

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

149.10

139.20

174.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

662

0.95

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

175.00

165.75

230.00

Neutral

Sell

-516

0.91

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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03 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1374.00

1019.00

1374.00

Neutral

Sell

-726

0.54

AMLIN

428.40

312.90

431.50

Neutral

Sell

-3135

0.46

BEAZLEY

215.80

132.50

215.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

2646

0.59

CATLIN GROUP

529.00

399.00

540.00

Neutral

Buy

769

0.30

HISCOX

568.00

379.26

574.05

Neutral

Strong Buy

2138

0.48

ADMIRAL GROUP

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

862.00

659.00

864.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2976

0.31

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

117.80

97.65

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1720

0.41

NOVAE GROUP

459.00

345.00

475.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

1948

0.47

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2301.00

1900.00

2628.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3889

1.00

ENTERPRISE INNS

104.30

55.50

114.70

Neutral

Sell

83

1.59

TUI TRAVEL

324.00

158.00

330.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

785

0.99

FULLER SMITH 'A'

810.00

700.00

820.00

Neutral

Sell

657

0.38

GREENE KING

702.00

474.30

723.50

Neutral

Sell

620

0.90

LADBROKES

228.00

152.70

243.10

Neutral

Sell

182

0.94

2039.00

1396.63

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1637

1.17

CARNIVAL

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

582.50

455.40

582.50

Neutral

Neutral

613

1.38

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

323.80

217.40

350.10

Neutral

Sell

303

1.08

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

144.30

91.90

162.60

Neutral

Sell

104

1.25

10.25

5.61

13.12

Neutral

Strong Buy

51

1.25

165.00

111.00

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

507

1.00
0.74

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

468.00

269.20

468.00

Neutral

Sell

319

WETHERSPOON (JD)

532.50

371.30

548.50

Neutral

Buy

741

0.68

WHITBREAD

2576.00

1786.00

2692.00

Neutral

Sell

1936

0.99

WILLIAM HILL

380.40

239.02

411.17

Neutral

Sell

261

0.86

MARSTON'S

141.50

94.40

143.00

Neutral

Sell

30

1.19

Over Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

AVIVA

301.00

255.30

388.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

1178

1.25

CHESNARA

239.00

155.25

239.00

Neutral

Buy

356

0.70

LEGAL & GENERAL

175.70

106.00

175.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

297

1.70

OLD MUTUAL

206.10

138.70

211.40

Neutral

Sell

175

1.57

PRUDENTIAL

1083.00

660.00

1155.00

Neutral

Sell

960

1.70

510.50

303.40

537.00

Neutral

Sell

430

0.85

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

03 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 10 of 17

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

114.50

102.00

146.50

Neutral

Sell

-541

0.35

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

890.50

635.50

899.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1534

0.54

45.75

28.50

60.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

138

1.01

DAILY MAIL 'A'

721.00

363.50

722.00

Sell

Strong Buy

2972

1.12

EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

970.00

672.50

970.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6583

0.98

INFORMA

537.00

340.00

537.00

Neutral

Sell

-66

1.53

ITE GROUP

275.00

180.00

289.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

214

1.44

ITV

129.30

69.45

132.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1179

1.54
1.25

CENTAUR MEDIA

JOHNSTON PRESS

14.25

4.88

15.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

1553

1181.00

1111.00

1294.00

Neutral

Buy

283

0.63

74.50

36.25

82.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2330

0.79

274.00

265.00

377.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

784

0.16

32.84

26.85

33.32

Neutral

Sell

-541

0.52

STV GROUP

130.00

81.50

146.88

Neutral

Sell

243

0.78

ST.IVES

134.50

67.50

139.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

673

1.49

94.25

25.50

121.25

Neutral

Sell

-244

1.57

UBM

709.00

511.00

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1600

1.31

WILMINGTON GROUP

161.50

82.00

164.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1192

0.85

WPP

1066.00

743.00

1092.00

Neutral

Sell

-458

1.34

HIBU

0.38

0.26

3.91

Neutral

Strong Buy

724

1.06

PEARSON
PHOTO-ME INTL.
PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON
THOMSON REUTERS

TRINITY MIRROR

Under Valued

Mining
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1674.00

1664.00

2412.00

Buy

Strong Buy

2846

1.75

ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP

235.25

221.25

320.00

Neutral

Buy

272

0.99

ANTOFAGASTA

966.50

966.50

1381.00

Neutral

Neutral

934

1.42

1939.50

1681.00

2236.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3395

1.45

ANGLO AMERICAN

BHP BILLITON

286.80

240.84

564.35

Neutral

Sell

40

2.04

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

LONMIN

5590.00

4596.00

7775.00

Neutral

Sell

2859

0.34

RIO TINTO

3085.00

2715.50

3757.00

Neutral

Buy

3410

1.51

4.75

3.75

22.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

163

0.89

832.50

1298.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2388

2.21

785.80

1205.00

Neutral

Sell

1004

1.87

COALFIELD RESOURCES
VEDANTA RESOURCES
XSTRATA

1083.00

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1154.50

1000.50

1481.00

Neutral

Neutral

1253

0.81

BP

462.50

391.95

475.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

1585

1.05

CAIRN ENERGY

270.90

248.20

349.00

Neutral

Sell

-44

1.32

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B
SOCO INTERNATIONAL
TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

7.91

7.74

12.50

Buy

Strong Buy

15

0.91

900.00

688.00

954.00

Neutral

Sell

469

1.32
1.36

77.50

55.00

162.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

308

389.30

321.30

403.90

Buy

Sell

298

1.44

2211.50

2039.00

2366.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

11732

0.86

383.00

254.90

404.30

Neutral

Sell

257

0.52

1248.00

1138.00

1557.00

Neutral

Sell

941

1.06

864.50

651.50

875.50

Neutral

Neutral

835

1.36

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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03 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 11 of 17

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

118.50

102.70

146.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

262

PZ CUSSONS

403.50

297.20

415.60

Neutral

Sell

331

0.69

4746.00

3300.00

4812.00

Neutral

Neutral

4791

0.36

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Beta
0.83

Under Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.45

0.37

3.88

Buy

Sell

1.01

3340.00

2591.00

3340.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7198

0.48

BTG

360.10

300.30

423.00

Neutral

Sell

169

0.62

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

769.00

418.33

770.00

Neutral

Neutral

763

0.26

1550.00

1317.50

1550.00

Neutral

Neutral

1496

0.49

OXFORD BIOMEDICA

1.55

1.55

5.80

Strong Buy

Sell

0.64

PHYTOPHARM

1.35

1.35

12.75

Buy

Neutral

0.94

1987.00

1727.00

2153.00

Neutral

Sell

1321

0.65

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE

SHIRE

Target

Beta

SKYEPHARMA

47.00

33.50

101.50

Neutral

Sell

-98

0.72

VERNALIS

22.75

21.63

27.38

Neutral

Strong Buy

38

0.89

Under Valued

Real Estate
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BIG YELLOW GROUP

363.50

274.50

387.50

Neutral

Sell

-541

1.15

BRITISH LAND

550.00

467.10

585.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1534

1.03

32.00

22.75

34.25

Sell

Strong Buy

138

0.82

852.50

595.00

865.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2972

0.69

DERWENT LONDON

2164.00

1689.00

2239.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6583

1.21

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

152.50

121.75

176.00

Neutral

Sell

-66

0.97

GRAINGER

138.70

83.10

140.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

214

1.54

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

505.00

345.60

514.00

Sell

Strong Buy

1179

1.06
1.16

CAPITAL & REGIONAL


CLS HOLDINGS

HAMMERSON

497.90

404.50

525.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1553

HELICAL BAR

234.75

164.00

249.75

Neutral

Buy

283

0.75

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

838.00

704.00

849.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2330

1.15

INTU PROPERTIES

333.20

305.00

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

784

1.08

MCKAY SECURITIES

144.50

125.00

145.00

Neutral

Sell

-541

0.72

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

372.25

311.25

390.00

Neutral

Sell

243

0.42

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

328.25

312.00

364.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

673

0.35

66.75

32.50

70.00

Sell

Sell

-244

1.17
0.74

QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.


SAVILLS

533.50

300.80

599.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1600

SHAFTESBURY

587.00

482.20

597.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1192

1.03

SEGRO

254.40

209.40

271.00

Neutral

Sell

-458

1.70

ST MODWEN PROPS.

260.30

145.50

280.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

724

1.55

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

198.00

147.00

215.00

Neutral

Sell

-14

1.04

UNITE GROUP

323.80

180.25

330.00

Neutral

Sell

33

1.75

1.23

1.00

3.00

Sell

Sell

-1007

1.02

352.00

213.25

363.20

Neutral

Sell

1.02

WARNER ESTATE
WORKSPACE GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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03 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 12 of 17

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

125.80

111.00

162.00

Neutral

Neutral

124

0.76

2265.00

1469.00

2322.00

Neutral

Sell

1333

1.40

AVEVA GROUP

Target

Beta

COMPUTACENTER

544.00

292.40

544.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1363

1.00

KOFAX

319.00

240.00

325.75

Neutral

Neutral

326

1.12

25.25

18.25

25.50

Neutral

Neutral

25

0.83

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

706.00

426.17

706.00

Neutral

Buy

1000

0.79

PHOENIX IT GROUP

142.00

135.00

231.75

Buy

Strong Buy

314

0.74

77.00

70.25

89.00

Neutral

Sell

-93

0.52

1945.00

1275.00

1970.00

Neutral

Neutral

2109

0.77

342.30

247.70

352.10

Neutral

Buy

422

0.72

INNOVATION GROUP

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Over Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

433.60

237.30

441.90

Neutral

Sell

167

BREWIN DOLPHIN

206.00

136.30

222.00

Neutral

Sell

122

0.71

10600.00

9250.00

11105.00

Neutral

Sell

9851

0.83
0.97

CAMELLIA

Target

Beta
1.09

CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

377.50

247.50

377.50

Neutral

Sell

169

CHARLES TAYLOR

183.00

132.00

190.00

Neutral

Sell

99

0.68

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

1059.00

673.50

1107.00

Neutral

Sell

165

0.87

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

105.10

64.75

110.40

Neutral

Neutral

101

0.89

3.17

0.55

3.70

Sell

Strong Buy

28

0.68

HENDERSON GROUP

162.00

90.55

171.00

Neutral

Sell

48

1.44

ICAP

308.10

281.40

396.50

Neutral

Sell

194

1.07
1.68

HELPHIRE GROUP

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

427.60

227.30

427.60

Neutral

Sell

200

INVESTEC

462.00

310.40

513.50

Neutral

Sell

87

1.55

1329.00

930.00

1411.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3883

1.12

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP

88.55

63.25

130.10

Neutral

Neutral

92

1.32

RATHBONE BROTHERS

MAN GROUP

1482.00

1151.00

1532.00

Neutral

Sell

1111

0.74

SCHRODERS

2135.00

1166.00

2160.00

Neutral

Sell

1248

1.31

SCHRODERS NV

1744.00

966.00

1744.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4180

1.27

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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03 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 13 of 17

Over Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ACAL

230.00

157.75

242.50

Neutral

Buy

296

0.93

AGGREKO

1780.00

1557.00

2400.00

Neutral

Sell

1300

1.04

AMEC

1082.00

923.00

1172.00

Neutral

Neutral

1141

1.04

609.00

212.20

609.00

Sell

Sell

319

1.61

1103.00

793.50

1106.00

Neutral

Sell

669

0.48

520.00

317.00

530.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

808

0.77

1310.00

990.00

1320.00

Neutral

Sell

828

0.55

UK MAIL GROUP

374.25

214.00

380.00

Neutral

Buy

447

0.38

CAPITA

913.50

602.00

913.50

Neutral

Sell

524

0.50

50.50

25.34

53.50

Neutral

Buy

68

0.78

COMPASS GROUP

852.50

616.00

852.50

Sell

Sell

609

0.74

BERENDSEN

812.00

462.00

812.00

Sell

Buy

986

1.04

DE LA RUE

969.50

885.50

1075.00

Neutral

Sell

607

#NA

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL

COMMUNISIS

Target

Beta

DIGNITY

1406.00

803.50

1435.00

Neutral

Sell

798

0.21

DIPLOMA

560.50

417.00

627.50

Neutral

Sell

488

0.95

ELECTROCOMP.

256.40

195.20

265.00

Neutral

Buy

322

1.03

FILTRONA

744.00

428.00

744.00

Sell

Sell

348

1.10

G4S

295.60

240.00

307.50

Neutral

Neutral

294

0.58

97.50

66.40

100.00

Neutral

Buy

122

1.10

HOMESERVE

200.90

137.50

252.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

489

0.93

INTERSERVE

510.50

270.10

510.50

Neutral

Buy

697

1.27

3424.00

2406.00

3440.00

Neutral

Sell

1456

0.78

JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP

43.38

26.50

44.63

Neutral

Strong Buy

95

1.17

MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

31.25

21.25

39.38

Neutral

Strong Buy

55

0.71

MENZIES (JOHN)

707.00

542.00

789.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1310

1.43

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

419.50

341.40

485.00

Neutral

Sell

320

1.41

MITIE GROUP

282.40

253.90

300.80

Neutral

Buy

345

0.55

94.00

91.50

160.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

241

0.35

PAYPOINT

883.00

605.00

901.00

Neutral

Sell

692

0.70

PREMIER FARNELL

221.00

153.20

236.30

Neutral

Buy

285

1.32

REGUS

166.50

82.65

166.50

Neutral

Sell

108

1.45

RENTOKIL INITIAL

100.70

69.40

100.70

Neutral

Sell

56

1.25

REXAM

547.50

394.28

547.50

Neutral

Buy

639

0.91

HAYS

INTERTEK GROUP

OFFICE2OFFICE

RICARDO

417.00

304.50

431.00

Neutral

Buy

473

0.85

ROBERT WALTERS

228.00

176.25

264.63

Neutral

Buy

312

1.23

RPC GROUP

390.00

348.30

477.00

Neutral

Buy

539

0.78

RPS GROUP

269.00

197.00

272.40

Neutral

Sell

249

1.50

SERCO GROUP

632.00

509.50

634.00

Neutral

Sell

583

0.59

SHANKS GROUP

76.00

75.80

98.85

Neutral

Strong Buy

170

1.46

SPEEDY HIRE

50.00

22.25

50.00

Sell

Neutral

53

1.25

145.50

70.00

149.00

Neutral

Sell

51

0.55

59.00

39.50

59.00

Neutral

Neutral

62

0.92

340.75

234.75

354.88

Neutral

Strong Buy

626

0.86

74.50

42.00

75.00

Sell

Strong Buy

182

0.78

TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

03 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 14 of 17

Over Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

281.70

200.70

281.70

Neutral

Buy

317

42.29

27.28

42.63

Neutral

Strong Buy

79

0.69

710.50

390.80

710.50

Neutral

Sell

595

0.53

Beta
0.90

81.25

67.00

85.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

122

1.24

1035.00

677.00

1035.00

Neutral

Sell

677

0.11

192.00

154.45

192.00

Neutral

Sell

162

0.54

Under Valued

Transport
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

269.00

178.00

269.00

Neutral

Sell

197

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

390.00

309.50

425.00

Neutral

Buy

452

0.98

CLARKSON

1557.00

1150.00

1557.00

Neutral

Sell

1459

0.81

EASYJET

1128.00

471.00

1128.00

Neutral

Sell

664

0.74

216.10

175.70

260.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

554

0.90

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

1028.00

535.00

1045.00

Neutral

Sell

390

0.77

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1501.00

1086.00

1513.00

Neutral

Buy

1842

0.89

FIRST GROUP

Target

Beta
1.29

NATIONAL EXPRESS

209.10

164.50

237.20

Neutral

Buy

248

1.33

NORTHGATE

315.00

159.60

350.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

598

1.40

STAGECOACH GROUP

312.80

230.40

319.60

Neutral

Buy

360

0.89

45.00

31.00

78.50

Sell

Sell

-43

0.90

WINCANTON

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

373.80

306.30

373.80

Neutral

Buy

493

0.46

NATIONAL GRID

778.00

633.00

778.00

Neutral

Neutral

842

0.49

PENNON GROUP

625.00

598.00

796.00

Neutral

Buy

784

0.58

SSE

1507.00

1294.00

1507.00

Neutral

Buy

1765

0.42

SEVERN TRENT

1700.00

1507.00

1796.00

Neutral

Sell

1517

0.34

706.50

594.00

747.50

Neutral

Neutral

671

0.50

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

03 April 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 15 of 17

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