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Variability of loads
Loads change in time. What loads to design a structure for? Most loads are determined today based on measurements taken over time Example: maximum wind speed measured over 5-min periods in each month between 1884 and 1950 in New York at a height of 140 m. Histogram Theoretical distribution
Fractiles
A p-fractile is defined as the x-value of the distribution which includes p*N observations, with 0<p<1 and N being the number of observations. Example : the 0.1-fractile of the distribution shown below is 14.6, as it includes 10% of all observations (starting from the left)
Variability of loads
Loads are probabilistic variables (not deterministic) Basic value of a load can be defined in probabilistic terms only, e.g. "for annual probabilities of exceedence of 0.02, which is equivalent to a mean return period of 50 years". A larger or smaller probability of the loads being exceeded can be considered in design (corresponding to smaller or larger mean return periods) Smaller or larger design loads More or less economical structure
Variability of loads
The engineer can never be absolutely sure that the loads he designs his structure for will not be exceeded in its lifetime.
The volume of statistical data for the most the common variable actions allows assessment of their characteristic values by a probabilistic approach Two elements are used to define the characteristic value of the load:
the reference period during which the extreme is observed (maximum or minimum), and the intended probability with which these extreme values should not exceed the characteristic value
ln(1 p )
where T is the return period (expected period between two subsequent occurrences of the characteristic value). Example: for a probability of the characteristic value being exceeded p=0.02 and a reference period of 1 year, the return period of the characteristic value is T 1/0.02=50 years
STRAIN
When enough statistical data is not available, a nominal value can be used in design.
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Geometrical data
Geometrical variables describe the shape, size and overall arrangement of structures, structural members and cross-sections. No structure can be erected without some deviations of form, shape and dimension from the ones assumed in design Example: steel sections are rolled under very careful control, but some variation in thickness and depth cannot be avoided. Concrete formwork may be slightly out in dimensions. Load-bearing walls in a multi-storey building may be out of alignment one above the other.
In some cases (e.g. imperfections) geometrical data is represented directly by their design values
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Structural analysis
Generally, any structural model should be regarded as an idealization of the structural system. A simplified model should take account of significant factors and neglect the less important ones. The following is a list of factors that may be important for the structural model:
geometric properties (e.g. structural configuration, spans, crosssectional dimensions, deviations, imperfections) material properties (e.g. strength, constitutive relations, time and stress state dependence, plasticity, temperature and moisture dependence) actions (e.g. direct or indirect, variation in time, spatial variation, and static or dynamic)
The appropriate structural model should be chosen based on previous experience and knowledge of structural behaviour.
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Example:
Design values of permanent ( F,G Grep) and imposed ( F,Q Qrep) actions
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Geometrical data ad (beam span L) Action effects Ed (benfing moment M Ed)
Ed (M Ed)
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where Rd is a partial factor covering uncertainty in the resistance model, plus geometric deviations if these are not modelled explicitly; Xd,i is the design value of material property i.
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Principle of checking safety of the structure: Ed Rd where: Ed is the design value of the effect of actions such as internal force, moment or a vector representing several internal forces or moments; Rd is the design value of the corresponding resistance.
Frequency of occurence Effect of actions Ed Resistance Rd
Ed Rd
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