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Survey Specifications
With funding from the United States Agency for International Development, the International Republican Institute conducted a national survey of adult Egyptians (18+ years) from April 14-27, 2011. Data was collected in the field by an international survey research firm operating in Egypt, under the supervision of David Williams from Williams and Associates of Salem, Massachusetts. Interviews were collected using the in-person, face-to-face methodology by trained professional interviewers using a multi-stage stratification proportionate to population sample distribution, with random selection of households and respondents using the Kish method. Stratification is based on population distribution according to the latest census. A total of 1,200 interviews were completed yielding an overall margin of error of 2.78 percent at the midrange of the 95 percent confidence level. The geographic and demographic distributions conform to the most recent generally accepted official statistics available (see slide three for demographics). The information in this report has been compiled in accordance with international standards for market and social research methodologies. Figures in charts and tables may not sum to 100 percent due to rounding.
Survey Demographics
Male 50% Female 50%
Monthly Household Income Up to 1,000 LE 1,001-5,000 LE More Than 5,000 LE Refused to Answer Dont Know
Education No Schooling 7% Primary 17% Secondary 32% Professional 15% University 26% Graduate 1% Dont Know/Refused to Answer (DK/REF) 1%
Location (see slide four for location details) Greater Cairo 18% Alexandria 6% Delta 42% Upper Egypt 34%
Location Details
Region
Great Cairo
Governorate
Cairo
City/Area
Dar El Salam El Zaiton Heliopoles Al Maadi El Talbia. Faisal Tanta Zagaziq Mansoura El Siouf El Asafra Miami 45.ST Roushdi Minia Bani Souif
How would you say that things are going in Egypt these days, are things going in the right direction or the wrong direction?
100%
90% 80% 89%
70%
60% 50%
40%
30% 20%
10%
0%
9%
1%
Right Direction
Wrong Direction
DK/REF
5
5%
14%
32%
49%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Very Good
Somewhat Good
Somewhat Bad
Very Bad
Has your households financial situation gotten better or worse over the last year?
5%
32%
24%
19%
20%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Thinking ahead to next year, do you expect your households financial situation to be better or worse?
32%
48%
9%
4% 4% 3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Much Better
Somewhat Better
Somewhat Worse
Much Worse
Same
DK/REF
7
3% 2%
I have trouble feeding myself and my family and buying even the most essential things for survival. I have enough means for survival, but I do not have enough money for extra things. I am able to afford things like new clothes and eating at restaurants, but not very often. I am able to afford things like new clothes and eating out and also support other members of my family who cannot. DK/REF
17% 41%
37%
Now, I am going to read you a list of different types of individuals. Please tell me if that individuals opinion has a strong influence, some influence or has no influence on you and your opinion on current events and politics.
100% 90% 24% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 18% 15% 3%
Religious Leader Union Leader
5%
7%
5%
4%
3%
3%
31%
36% 19%
Strong Influence
Some Influence
No Influence
DK/REF 9
10%
Disapprove
Strongly Disapprove
10
11%
8% 6%
14%
10% 11%
8%
5% 13%
33%
23% 30%
Democracy
Economy Free Elections Morality/Discipline in Society Transitional Government Human Rights Housing Other
3%
2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 4%
2%
3% 2% 4% 4% 3% 4% 10%
1%
6% 2% 5% 2% 4% 4% 24%
6%
11% 6% 12% 7% 8% 9% 38%
11
Now I am going to read a list of issues and for each one please tell me whether you feel that the situation has gotten better, gotten worse or stayed the same over the last year.
Much Better Somewhat Better Education Development of Independent Civil Society Development of Independent Media Living Standards Health Care Direct Foreign Investment Government Corruption Unemployment Security Political Reform 0% 1% 1% 1% Same 9% 5% 7% 1% 8% 1% 11% 25% 40% 18% Somewhat Worse 52% 37% Much Worse 22% 20% DK/REF 15% 13% 8% 2%
24%
31% 48%
30%
34%
21%
13% 5%
26% 1% 2% 6% 11% 1%
<1%
15%
1% 6% 13%
11%
9% 16% 12%
32%
26% 33%
24%
51% 21%
31%
16%
13%
2%
10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
12
Of the following list of issues which are the top two in need of the greatest investment? (Multiple response)
DK/REF
7%
24%
Democracy Programs
19%
Health Care
51%
Infrastructure Projects
22%
27%
Education Programs
0% 10% 20%
13
How confident are you the current government is able to address the main issues facing Egypt today?
2% 8%
Very Confident
13% 39%
38%
14
It has been announced that parliamentary elections will be held in September. However, some people are saying that they feel this is too soon because it takes time to prepare for elections. What is your opinion? 3%
21%
15
60%
50%
40%
10% 1% 0% Very Likely Somewhat Likely Not Very Likely Not Likely at All DK/REF 2%
3%
16
If parliamentary elections were held next week, for which party or group would you vote?
70% 60% 50% 40% 30%
65%
20%
10% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
2%
2%
3%
4%
4%
6%
6%
17
Of the party you selected, how strongly do you support that party?
4% 18%
Strongly Support
Somewhat Support
13%
DK
REF
65%
18
Political Parties
Disapprove 19%
Difference
37%
21%
-20%
-41%
-47% -62%
-48%
-78%
-66%
Government Media
-57%
Independent Media
-69%
Business Community
19
If parliamentary elections were held today, would you know where to vote?
2%
34%
Yes No DK/REF
65%
20
Thinking about the parliamentary elections once more, which type of party would you support?
18%
14%
21
Would you consider voting for a qualified candidate under the age of 35 for each of the following offices?
39%
35%
22%
4%
38%
34%
24%
4%
Member of Parliament
39%
37%
21%
3%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Definitely Consider
Might Consider
DK/REF
22
Thinking now about the January 25 revolution, to what extent did you support the events that took place, resulting in Mubaraks resignation, would you say you support, somewhat support, somewhat not support or not support these events?
82%
13%
2% 4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Strongly Support
Somewhat Support
DK/REF
23
How do you feel these events will shape Egypt as a whole, do you expect things to be much better, somewhat better, stay the same, somewhat worse or much worse?
53%
36%
5% 2% 3%1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Much Better
Somewhat Better
Somewhat Worse
Much Worse
DK/REF
24
Did you vote in the constitution referendum? If yes, how did you vote?
80%
70% 60% 50% 40% 30%
72%
20%
10% 0% Voted Yes for the Admendments Voted No to the Amendments DK/REF 9% 1%
25
28%
Yes No DK/REF
72%
26
Did you participate in any of the protests during the revolution? [N= 326 Breakdown by type of protest]
Street Protests
Workers Strikes
On-line Facebook/Twitter
DK/REF
1% 2%
25%
72%
1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
27
If you participated in a protest, what was the first day you attended a rally? n=296
45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 22% 40%
15%
10% 5% 0%
25-Jan 26-Jan 27-Jan 28-Jan 29-Jan 30-Jan 31-Jan
14% 10% 2% 3% 3% 4%
2%
After Jan DK/REF 31
28
When it comes to the events of January 25, on which source did you rely to get the most information about what was happening? (Allowed Three Responses)
Single Most Important Second Most Important Third Most Important
Total
84% 6%
10% 43%
3% 23%
97% 72%
Facebook
Internet News Sites SMS Radio Newspapers Email Twitter
6%
2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0%
6%
7% 13% 8% 7% 0% 0%
3%
4% 14% 7% 9% 1% 0%
15%
13% 28% 16% 16% 2% 1%
29
Thinking again about the events of January 25, which of the following factors most influenced you to support or participate in the protests?
1% 2%
3%
6%
6%
The Recent Events in Tunisia The Death of Khalid Saeed Low Living Standard/Lack of Jobs Lack of Democracy and Political Reform Encouraged by Friends and Family Other DK
19%
64%
30
Below is a list of countries and political entities organized in pairs. In each pair, please pick which of the two you would prefer Egypt to be closer with, if you had to pick one.
United States Russia DK/REF
64%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
25%
80% 90%
11%
100%
Iran
Saudi Arabia
DK/REF
15%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
79%
60% 70% 80% 90%
7%
100%
Iran
United States
DK/REF
23%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
67%
60% 70% 80% 90%
10%
100%
Syria
Saudi Arabia
DK/REF
18%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
75%
60% 70% 80% 90%
7%
100%
31
Below is a list of countries and political entities organized in pairs. In each pair, please pick which of the two you would prefer Egypt to be closer with, if you had to pick one.
Jordan Iran DK/REF
59%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
28%
70% 80%
13%
90% 100%
Jordan
Syria
DK/REF
39%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
49%
60% 70% 80%
12%
90% 100%
United States
China
DK/REF
39%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
53%
70% 80% 90%
8%
100%
32
Prior to the recent constitutional referendum, have you ever voted of your own free will in a past election?
80% 71%
70%
60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 1% 0% Yes No DK/REF
33
28%
Yes No DK/REF
37%
24%
15%
12% 13%
Where are you most likely to get your local news and information? (Allowed Three Responses)
Issue Television Word of Mouth Internet (including Facebook & Twitter) Newspapers SMS Radio Place of Worship None
First Mention
Second Mention
Third Mention
Total
82% 6% 6% 4% 1% 1% 1% 0%
Which national newspaper did you read to get your news in the last three months? ( First Response)
I Don't Read the Newspaper
Al Masry Al Youm Al Ahram Al Akhbar Al Gomhuria Al Dostour Al Messa Al Youm El Sabaa Al Wafd 17% 51%
9%
9% 7% 3% 2% 1% 1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
36
60%
Which radio station did you listen to get your news in the last three months? (First Response)
I Don't Listen To The Radio
Nougoum FM Al Chark El Awsat Radio Masr Izaat Al Bernameg al Aam Sawt Al Arab Al Kahira El Koubra Holy Quran Nile FM 9% 71%
7%
3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1%
0%
20%
40%
60%
37
80%
Which television station did you watch to get your news in the last three months? (First Response)
Al Jazeera Al Hayat TV Al Arabiya ESC Al Mehwar Dream 2 Al Jeezra Mubashr Al Ekhbaria Al Hura BBC Arabic ON TV 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 6% 12% 22% 21% 28%
30%
Do you have access to the Internet? If yes, when you do use the Internet, from where do you access it most often?
n=343
39
1% 6%
76%
93%
Yes
No
REF
40