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t

alfa
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
11000
12000
13000
14000
15000
16000
17000
18000
19000
20000
21000
22000
23000
24000
25000
26000
27000
28000
29000
30000

eta
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000

frac
beta
0.06667
0.13333
0.20000
0.26667
0.33333
0.40000
0.46667
0.53333
0.60000
0.66667
0.73333
0.80000
0.86667
0.93333
1.00000
1.06667
1.13333
1.20000
1.26667
1.33333
1.40000
1.46667
1.53333
1.60000
1.66667
1.73333
1.80000
1.86667
1.93333
2.00000

0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5

ex
R
Beta/Eta
0.258199 0.77244 3.33E-05
0.365148 0.69409 3.33E-05
0.447214 0.63941 3.33E-05
0.516398 0.59667 3.33E-05
0.57735 0.56138 3.33E-05
0.632456 0.53129 3.33E-05
0.68313 0.50503 3.33E-05
0.730297 0.48177 3.33E-05
0.774597 0.46089 3.33E-05
0.816497 0.44198 3.33E-05
0.856349 0.42471 3.33E-05
0.894427 0.40884 3.33E-05
0.930949 0.39418 3.33E-05
0.966092 0.38057 3.33E-05
1.000000 0.36788 3.33E-05
1.032796 0.35601 3.33E-05
1.064581 0.34487 3.33E-05
1.095445 0.33439 3.33E-05
1.125463 0.32450 3.33E-05
1.154701 0.31515 3.33E-05
1.183216 0.30629 3.33E-05
1.21106 0.29788 3.33E-05
1.238278 0.28988 3.33E-05
1.264911 0.28226 3.33E-05
1.290994 0.27500 3.33E-05
1.316561 0.26806 3.33E-05
1.341641 0.26142 3.33E-05
1.36626 0.25506 3.33E-05
1.390444 0.24896 3.33E-05
1.414214 0.24312 3.33E-05

f(t)
9.9722E-05
6.3362E-05
4.7659E-05
3.8515E-05
3.2412E-05
2.8001E-05
2.4643E-05
2.1990E-05
1.9834E-05
1.8044E-05
1.6532E-05
1.5237E-05
1.4114E-05
1.3131E-05
1.2263E-05
1.1490E-05
1.0798E-05
1.0175E-05
9.6109E-06
9.0977E-06
8.6288E-06
8.1989E-06
7.8034E-06
7.4383E-06
7.1004E-06
6.7868E-06
6.4949E-06
6.2228E-06
5.9685E-06
5.7303E-06

z(t)
1.2910E-04
9.1287E-05
7.4536E-05
6.4550E-05
5.7735E-05
5.2705E-05
4.8795E-05
4.5644E-05
4.3033E-05
4.0825E-05
3.8925E-05
3.7268E-05
3.5806E-05
3.4503E-05
3.3333E-05
3.2275E-05
3.1311E-05
3.0429E-05
2.9617E-05
2.8868E-05
2.8172E-05
2.7524E-05
2.6919E-05
2.6352E-05
2.5820E-05
2.5318E-05
2.4845E-05
2.4398E-05
2.3973E-05
2.3570E-05

Weibull

1.2E-04
1.0E-04
8.0E-05
f(t) 6.0E-05

Beta=3.3

4.0E-05
2.0E-05
0.0E+00
1

13 17 21 25 29
t

Weibull: z(t)

z(t)

1.20E-03
1.00E-03
8.00E-04
6.00E-04
4.00E-04
2.00E-04
0.00E+00
-10000

Beta=3,3
Beta=1
Beta=0,5

10000
t

30000

Beta=3.3

29

Beta=3,3
Beta=1
Beta=0,5

alfa
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
11000
12000
13000
14000
15000
16000
17000
18000
19000
20000
21000
22000
23000
24000
25000
26000
27000
28000
29000
30000

eta
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000

frac
beta1
ex1
beta2
0.00000
3.3
0
0.06667
3.3 0.000131
0.13333
3.3 0.001295
0.20000
3.3 0.004936
0.26667
3.3 0.012755
0.33333
3.3 0.026638
0.40000
3.3 0.048618
0.46667
3.3 0.080858
0.53333
3.3 0.125631
0.60000
3.3 0.185310
0.66667
3.3 0.262361
0.73333
3.3 0.359331
0.80000
3.3 0.478847
0.86667
3.3 0.623608
0.93333
3.3 0.796382
1.00000
3.3 1.000000
1.06667
3.3 1.237356
1.13333
3.3 1.511403
1.20000
3.3 1.825148
1.26667
3.3 2.181653
1.33333
3.3 2.584032
1.40000
3.3 3.035446
1.46667
3.3 3.539107
1.53333
3.3 4.098271
1.60000
3.3 4.716240
1.66667
3.3 5.396359
1.73333
3.3 6.142015
1.80000
3.3 6.956636
1.86667
3.3 7.843689
1.93333
3.3 8.806680
2.00000
3.3 9.849155

ex2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

0
0.066667
0.133333
0.200000
0.266667
0.333333
0.400000
0.466667
0.533333
0.6
0.666667
0.733333
0.8
0.866667
0.933333
1
1.066667
1.133333
1.2
1.266667
1.333333
1.4
1.466667
1.533333
1.6
1.666667
1.733333
1.8
1.866667
1.933333
2

beta3
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5

ex3
0
0.258199
0.365148
0.447214
0.516398
0.57735
0.632456
0.68313
0.730297
0.774597
0.816497
0.856349
0.894427
0.930949
0.966092
1
1.032796
1.064581
1.095445
1.125463
1.154701
1.183216
1.21106
1.238278
1.264911
1.290994
1.316561
1.341641
1.36626
1.390444
1.414214

R1
1
0.999869
0.998706
0.995076
0.987326
0.973714
0.952545
0.922325
0.881940
0.830847
0.769233
0.698143
0.619497
0.536007
0.450958
0.367879
0.290150
0.220600
0.161194
0.112855
0.075469
0.048053
0.029039
0.016601
0.008949
0.004533
0.002151
0.000952
0.000392
0.000150
5.28E-05

R2
1
0.935507
0.875173
0.818731
0.765928
0.716531
0.67032
0.627089
0.586646
0.548812
0.513417
0.480305
0.449329
0.42035
0.393241
0.367879
0.344154
0.321958
0.301194
0.281769
0.263597
0.246597
0.230693
0.215815
0.201897
0.188876
0.176694
0.165299
0.154638
0.144665
0.135335

R3
1
0.772442
0.694094
0.639407
0.596666
0.561384
0.531286
0.505034
0.481766
0.46089
0.441977
0.42471
0.408842
0.394179
0.380567
0.367879
0.35601
0.344872
0.334391
0.324502
0.315152
0.306292
0.297881
0.289883
0.282264
0.274997
0.268056
0.261416
0.255059
0.248965
0.243117

f1
0
4.34E-07
2.13E-06
5.4E-06
1.04E-05
1.71E-05
2.55E-05
3.52E-05
4.57E-05
5.65E-05
6.66E-05
7.53E-05
8.16E-05
8.49E-05
8.47E-05
8.09E-05
7.4E-05
6.47E-05
5.39E-05
4.28E-05
3.22E-05
2.29E-05
1.54E-05
9.76E-06
5.8E-06
3.23E-06
1.68E-06
8.1E-07
3.63E-07
1.5E-07
5.72E-08

f2
0
6.24E-05
5.83E-05
5.46E-05
5.11E-05
4.78E-05
4.47E-05
4.18E-05
3.91E-05
3.66E-05
3.42E-05
3.2E-05
3E-05
2.8E-05
2.62E-05
2.45E-05
2.29E-05
2.15E-05
2.01E-05
1.88E-05
1.76E-05
1.64E-05
1.54E-05
1.44E-05
1.35E-05
1.26E-05
1.18E-05
1.1E-05
1.03E-05
9.64E-06
9.02E-06

f3
0
9.97E-05
6.34E-05
4.77E-05
3.85E-05
3.24E-05
2.8E-05
2.46E-05
2.2E-05
1.98E-05
1.8E-05
1.65E-05
1.52E-05
1.41E-05
1.31E-05
1.23E-05
1.15E-05
1.08E-05
1.02E-05
9.61E-06
9.1E-06
8.63E-06
8.2E-06
7.8E-06
7.44E-06
7.1E-06
6.79E-06
6.49E-06
6.22E-06
5.97E-06
5.73E-06

z1
0
4.34E-07
2.14E-06
5.43E-06
1.05E-05
1.76E-05
2.67E-05
3.81E-05
5.18E-05
6.79E-05
8.66E-05
0.000108
0.000132
0.000158
0.000188
0.00022
0.000255
0.000293
0.000335
0.000379
0.000426
0.000477
0.000531
0.000588
0.000648
0.000712
0.00078
0.00085
0.000924
0.001002
0.001083

z2
0
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05
6.67E-05

z3

Weibull: R(t)
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
R(t)
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-10000

Beta=3.3
Beta=1

z(t)

Beta=0.5

10000

1.20E-03
1.00E-03
8.00E-04
6.00E-04
4.00E-04
2.00E-04
0.00E+00
-10000

30000

Weibull: f(t)

f(t)

1.20E-04
1.00E-04
8.00E-05
6.00E-05
4.00E-05
2.00E-05
0.00E+00
-10000

Beta=3,3
Bets=1
Beta=0,5

10000
t

30000

z(t)

0
0.000129
9.13E-05
7.45E-05
6.45E-05
5.77E-05
5.27E-05
4.88E-05
4.56E-05
4.3E-05
4.08E-05
3.89E-05
3.73E-05
3.58E-05
3.45E-05
3.33E-05
3.23E-05
3.13E-05
3.04E-05
2.96E-05
2.89E-05
2.82E-05
2.75E-05
2.69E-05
2.64E-05
2.58E-05
2.53E-05
2.48E-05
2.44E-05
2.4E-05
2.36E-05

1.40E-04
1.20E-04
1.00E-04
8.00E-05
6.00E-05
4.00E-05
2.00E-05
0.00E+00

Weibull: z(t)
1.20E-03
1.00E-03
8.00E-04
6.00E-04
4.00E-04
2.00E-04
0.00E+00
-10000

Weibull: z(t)

Beta=3,3

10000

30000

10000
t

Weibull: z(t)
1.40E-04
1.20E-04
1.00E-04
8.00E-05
6.00E-05
4.00E-05
2.00E-05
0.00E+00
-10000

z(t)

7.00E-05
6.00E-05
5.00E-05
4.00E-05
3.00E-05
2.00E-05
1.00E-05
0.00E+00
-10000

Beta=0,5

10000
t

30000

30000

Beta=1

alfa1
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
11000
12000
13000
14000
15000
16000
17000
18000
19000
20000
21000
22000
23000
24000
25000
26000
27000
28000
29000
30000
31000
32000
33000
34000
35000
36000

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
30000
30000
30000
30000
30000
30000

bln(t-a)
eta1
beta1
frac1
R1
f1
z1
180167
0.5
0
1
0
0
180167
0.5 0.000555 0.976716 0.000115 0.000118 2.302585
180167
0.5 0.00111 0.967231 8.06E-05 8.33E-05 2.649159
180167
0.5 0.001665 0.960015 6.53E-05
6.8E-05 2.851891
180167
0.5 0.00222 0.953974 5.62E-05 5.89E-05 2.995732
180167
0.5 0.002775 0.948683
5E-05 5.27E-05 3.107304
180167
0.5 0.00333 0.943925 4.54E-05 4.81E-05 3.198465
180167
0.5 0.003885 0.939571 4.18E-05 4.45E-05 3.27554
180167
0.5 0.00444 0.935536
3.9E-05 4.16E-05 3.342306
180167
0.5 0.004995 0.931762 3.66E-05 3.93E-05 3.401197
180167
0.5 0.00555 0.928207 3.46E-05 3.73E-05 3.453878
180167
0.5 0.006105 0.924837 3.28E-05 3.55E-05 3.501533
180167
0.5 0.00666 0.92163 3.13E-05
3.4E-05 3.545038
180167
0.5 0.007216 0.918563
3E-05 3.27E-05 3.58506
180167
0.5 0.007771 0.915623 2.88E-05 3.15E-05 3.622114
180167
0.5 0.008326 0.912794 2.78E-05 3.04E-05 3.65661
180167
0.5 0.008881 0.910067 2.68E-05 2.94E-05 3.688879
180167
0.5 0.009436 0.907431 2.59E-05 2.86E-05 3.719192
180167
0.5 0.009991 0.904879 2.51E-05 2.78E-05 3.747771
180167
0.5 0.010546 0.902404 2.44E-05
2.7E-05 3.774805
180167
0.5 0.011101
0.9 2.37E-05 2.63E-05 3.800451
37965
1 0.02634 0.974004 2.57E-05 2.63E-05 6.907755
37965
1 0.05268 0.948683
2.5E-05 2.63E-05 7.600902
37965
1 0.07902 0.924021 2.43E-05 2.63E-05 8.006368
37965
1 0.10536
0.9 2.37E-05 2.63E-05 8.29405
37965
1
0.1317 0.876604 2.31E-05 2.63E-05 8.517193
37965
1 0.15804 0.853815 2.25E-05 2.63E-05 8.699515
37965
1 0.18438 0.831619 2.19E-05 2.63E-05 8.853665
37965
1 0.21072 0.810001 2.13E-05 2.63E-05 8.987197
37965
1 0.23706 0.788944 2.08E-05 2.63E-05 9.10498
37965
1 0.263401 0.768434 2.02E-05 2.63E-05 9.21034
37965
1 0.289741 0.748458 1.97E-05 2.63E-05 9.305651
37965
1 0.316081 0.729001 1.92E-05 2.63E-05 9.392662
37965
1 0.342421 0.710049 1.87E-05 2.63E-05 9.472705
37965
1 0.368761 0.691591 1.82E-05 2.63E-05 9.546813
37965
1 0.395101 0.673612 1.77E-05 2.63E-05 9.615805
37965
1 0.421441 0.656101 1.73E-05 2.63E-05 9.680344
37965
1 0.447781 0.639045 1.68E-05 2.63E-05 9.740969
37965
1 0.474121 0.622432 1.64E-05 2.63E-05 9.798127
37965
1 0.500461 0.606251
1.6E-05 2.63E-05 9.852194
37965
1 0.526801 0.590491 1.56E-05 2.63E-05 9.903488
37965
1 0.553141 0.57514 1.51E-05 2.63E-05 9.952278
37965
1 0.579481 0.560189 1.48E-05 2.63E-05 9.998798
37965
1 0.605821 0.545626 1.44E-05 2.63E-05 10.04325
37965
1 0.632161 0.531442
1.4E-05 2.63E-05 10.08581
37965
1 0.658501 0.517627 1.36E-05 2.63E-05 10.12663
37965
1 0.684841 0.50417 1.33E-05 2.63E-05 10.16585
37965
1 0.711181 0.491064 1.29E-05 2.63E-05 10.20359
37965
1 0.737521 0.478298 1.26E-05 2.63E-05 10.23996
4322
3.3 0.231374 0.992047 2.61E-05 2.63E-05 22.79559
4322
3.3 0.462749 0.924373 0.00012 0.00013 25.08298
4322
3.3 0.694123 0.741013 0.000244 0.00033 26.42101
4322
3.3 0.925497 0.46092 0.000295 0.000639 27.37036
4322
3.3 1.156872 0.198396 0.000212 0.001068 28.10674
4322
3.3 1.388246 0.052227 8.48E-05 0.001624 28.7084

37000
38000
39000
40000
41000
42000
43000
44000
45000
46000
47000
48000
49000
50000

30000
30000
30000
30000
30000
30000
30000
30000
30000
30000
30000
30000
30000
30000

4322
4322
4322
4322
4322
4322
4322
4322
4322
4322
4322
4322
4322
4322

3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3

1.619621
1.850995
2.082369
2.313744
2.545118
2.776492
3.007867
3.239241
3.470615
3.70199
3.933364
4.164739
4.396113
4.627487

0.007374
0.000486
1.3E-05
1.21E-07
3.34E-10
2.36E-13
3.59E-17
9.97E-22
4.26E-27
2.34E-33
1.39E-40
7.4E-49
2.94E-58
7.19E-69

1.71E-05
1.53E-06
5.35E-08
6.34E-10
2.19E-12
1.88E-15
3.45E-19
1.14E-23
5.69E-29
3.63E-35
2.48E-42
1.5E-50
6.75E-60
1.86E-70

0.002315
0.003147
0.004126
0.005257
0.006546
0.007996
0.009612
0.011399
0.013359
0.015496
0.017815
0.020318
0.023008
0.025889

29.2171
29.65775
30.04643
30.39412
30.70865
30.99578
31.25993
31.50448
31.73216
31.94514
32.1452
32.33382
32.51224
32.68151

lnln1/R(t) ln(eta)
-3.74823
-3.40166
-3.19893
-3.05509
-2.94352
-2.85235
-2.77528
-2.70851
-2.64962
-2.59694
-2.54929
-2.50578
-2.46576
-2.42871
-2.39421
-2.36194
-2.33163
-2.30305
-2.27602
-2.25037
-2.25037
-2.94352

eta

12.10164
180167
12.10164
180167
12.10164
180167
12.10164
180167
12.10164
180167
12.10164
180167
12.10164
180167
12.10164
180167
12.10164
180167
12.10164
180167
12.10164
180167
12.10164
180167
12.10164
180167
12.10164
180167
12.10164
180167
12.10164
180167
12.10164
180167
12.10164
180167
12.10164
180167
12.10164 180166.6
9.158123 9491.222

eta2

1
0.75
R(t) 0.5

0.25
0
0

37964.93119
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
37965
4322.415062
7006.37773
5733.436858
5281.572868
5049.26431
4907.628633

3.50E-04
3.00E-04
2.50E-04
2.00E-04
f(t)
1.50E-04
1.00E-04
5.00E-05
0.00E+00

z(t)

0.0002
0.00018
0.00016
0.00014
0.00012
0.0001
0.00008
0.00006
0.00004
0.00002
0

4812.210831
4743.549012
4691.767911
4651.32137
4618.853736
4592.215334
4569.965245
4551.101397
4534.905289
4520.848293
4508.532815
4497.654058
4487.97444
4479.306028

1. Se impune R(t) la sfarsitul primei etape de viata.


Se considera: beta1 = 0.5; alfa1 = 0.
Se impune durata primei etape t1.
Rezulta valoarea lui eta1.
2.Se impune conditia: z1 = z2
Se considera: beta2 = 1; alfa2 = t1.
Rezulta valoarea lui eta2.
Se impune durata celei de a doua etape t2.
3. Se impune conditia z2=z3.
Se considera: beta3 = 3,3; alfa3 =t2.
Rezulta valoarea lui eta3.

Weibull: R(t)

20000

40000
t

Weibull: f(t)

10

20

30

40

50

Thousands
t

Weibull: z(t)
0.0002
0.00018
0.00016
0.00014
0.00012
0.0001
0.00008
0.00006
0.00004
0.00002
0
0

10

20

30

40

50

Thousands
t

rsitul primei etape de viata.

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