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Monetary Economics

• Why study monetary economics?


– Inherently interesting
– Most of the controversial socio-
socio-economic issues deal with
monetary policy (eg(eg:
eg: unemployemnt,
unemployemnt, international finance
incomes, etc)
– Affects all of us! Incomes, Livelihood, Jobs and choice of
careers
• What is monetary economics? Includes the ffg concepts
– The role and functions of money in the economic system
(the lubricant of the economy)
– Role of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
– Effects of Money and Credit into Monetary Policy
– Financial System itself where money is traded that
The Role of Money in includes all institutions that influence total amount of
money and credit
the Economic System • Q: What is money?
– Very difficult to define
Money Supply and Inflation – “Anything that is generally accepted in payment for goods
Linkages (lecture Notes) and services and as payment for debts”
– Take note that money is defined by its funtion,
funtion, rather
than its form.
– Thus, money can be from sheeps to checques to prepaid
cards.
Evolution of the Money
Functions of Money
Payment Mechanism

• Unit of Account • Autarky


– A family or tribal group, in the absence of trade, produces
– Represents an item with which every good or
the level of goods and services equal to their
service cab be quoted (eg
(eg:
eg: Philippine Peso is the consumption: Qd=Qs.
Qd=Qs.
basic unit of account in which the value of – The output is then shared according to the group’s
everything that is traded in the market can be distribution rules.
expressed. – Is money used?
• Medium of Exchange • Barter System
– Trading of goods and services
– Accepted means of payment for g/s
– “Double coincidence for barter to exist”
• Store of Value – Trading is only possible if the g/s that one individual is
– Money is the “Temporary abode of purchasing willing to accept is exactly the same g/s that another is
willing to accept and vice versa.
power”
– Disticnt pairs of items to be traded!
– Money is also “Repository of purchasing power” – Is barter system effcient?
effcient?
– Inflation decreases the ability of money to act as – NO! very costly
costly Transaction Costs, Search Costs
store of value and deferred payment. (transpo,
transpo, etc), Waiting Costs (opp
(opp cost of waiting for that
g/s),
g/s), Subjective Costs (loss of satisfaction, umay),
umay),
MONEY SUPPLY MEASURES/ AGGREGATES objective cost (cost of storage between exchange and
• M1most liquid (most commonly used as medium of foregone income on earning assets by not bringing the
exchange) and demand deposits goods into the market) etc.
– THREE TYPES OF BARTER:
• M2 M1+ small time deposits
• Isolated-”To each on his own”
• M3M2+Money supply, peso savings, negotiable order • Fairground-Bringing transactors in one place
of withdrawal • Trading Pots-Fairground + Trading post for each good
• RM Represents the liabilities of the BSP to the public (reduced search costs)
sector in form of cash reserves
USE OF MONEY LOWERS TRANSATION COSTS!!!!
Evolution of the Money Important Characteristics
Payment Mechanism (p2) of Money

• Commodity Money • Money is


– Uncoined metals like copper, silver or Gold. They are also
durable and easily transported – Imperishable
– Adulteration and short weighing occurred. – Divisible
• Coinage – Widely accepted
– Certfication from the king re: weight and purity level. – Easily standardized
– Danger of theft in storage or transport, absence of interest or
return on money – Portable
• IOUs – Limited in supply
– Coins were left to a reputable person with vault or safekeeping – Supply is relatively stable
means. IOUs were written on paper instead of gpoing to the
safekeeper for transaction.
– High in value
• Bank Notes – Not easily counterfeited
– Similar to IOU, evidenced by a piece of paper backed by a specie • Money supply amount of money used in
• Deposit Credit the entire economic system
– “the order to pay someone”, deposit claims
– Affects other economics variables most
• Specialized Bankers
especially prices
– Similar to those mentioned above only that some portion of the
deposit where lent out
out banking was born – If MS increases, prices increases
• EFTS/Electronic Funds Transfer System/ E-Money – If MS decrease, prices decrease
– Use of Computer Terminals for transactions and automated • How? Thru the BSP discountrate 
clearing houses using no physical medium of exchange.
interest rate people would either save in
• Credit card, debit cards.
banks or withdraw their money.
WHAT DO WE HAVE IN THE FUTURE????
Inflation (Π) Expected Inflation

• Inflation: measured in terms of changes • Inflation that is anticipated


in price index, spec the CPI • Example: If you hold PhP100 of currency in 2006
when inflation rate is 9%, you lost PhP9 of purchasing
– How do we compute inflation rate? power over the year
• Thru the CPI: • Costs of Expected Inflation
• Two types of inflation (based on time – Shoe leather Cost
• Cost to households and business firms of
frame) making more trips to the banks to avoid
– Short Term Inflation holding significant amount of pesos or
• Increase in nominal MS shifting funds from interest bearing assets
to money.
• Increase in G,C, and I
– Bracket Creep
• Response to supply shocks (changes in
• Tax rate is defined in nominal terms, and
prices of raw materials, changes in workers’
individual income tax is progressive and
wage demands) Ex: Oil fully indexed against inflation
– Long Term Inflation • Example: Inflation also increases in wage,
• Sustained rapid growth in MS thus higher tax rates and higher prices
– Who benefits? Corporations and lenders do.
• Costs of Inflation
– Menu Cost
– Concern of households, business firms and
• Cost to firms because of changing prices
policy makers implies that there are costs to (reprinting price list, informing customers0
the economy because of inflation
• Prices are not synchronized in the whole
– Two Kinds: Expected and Unexpected Inflation
Unexpected Inflation Inflation Uncertainty

• ΠU= ΠA- ΠE • Can introduce the most serious costs of inflation


• Know the concept of relative prices acts as signals to the
– Where: ΠU is unexpected inflation, ΠA is economy
expected inflation, ΠE is actual inflation – An increase in PBEEF relative to chicken:
• Money contracts in labor, goods and services are – An increase in PSEi higher than CPI is s a signal for good
written in nominal terms and take into account ΠE. investment
• Causes Income redistribution • Hyperinflation
– Channel 1 – Extreme case of uncertain Π
– rate of increase in prices is hundreds or thousands of
• Suppose borrower and lender expect times more percentage per year.
Π=0 and agree to one year P10,000 • Costs of Hyperinflation
simple loan at 4% interest. – Households must minimize currency holdings
– Regardless of the Π rate, lender receives  – Firms must pay employees frequently
(P10,000)(1.04)=P10,400 at the end of the – Employees spend more quickly or convert it to more stable
currencies before prices increase further.
year.
• Speculative attack on the peso
– If ΠA=is 7%, lender’s real return is RR=iN- • Short-selling one way to profit while there is still economic
Π=4%-7%=-3% for the lender. downturn (reading on George Soros, The economist)
– IR=iN- ΠA • Conclusions:
– IR=-3% – Price signals are actually confusing
– Thus ΠU= ΠA- ΠE, 7%-0%=7%. Transferred P700 of – Merchants change prices ASAP
purchasing power from lender to borrower. – Prices fail to reflect resource allocation
– The government’s tax collecting ability decrease because people
– Channel 2: Πu decreases real wages for employees
tend to delay tax payment to reduce real tax burden.
with nominal wage contracts. Less Purchasing
power!

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