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In Chapter 2 we emphasised that a central tenet of almost any modern economic system is a strong belief in the market mechanism (see Key Points 2.1 and 2.3). We also began to recognise that the forces of supply and demand are closely associated with this mechanism. This was highlighted in Figure 2.2. To interpret market signals perceptively whether in the construction industry, building materials sector, property market or whatever it is necessary to consider the price mechanism in more detail. We now begin to elaborate our understanding of the price mechanism. We can define it more fully as: an economic system in which relative prices are constantly changing to reflect changes in supply and demand for different goods and services. The price mechanism is synonymous with the term market mechanism. The forces of supply and demand are all encompassing within the market economy. Even before any good or service can be produced, the various factors of production need to be employed and their prices are affected by supply and demand. The forces of supply and demand bring together producers and consumers in such a way that appropriate goods and services are produced and appropriate incomes are rewarded. To highlight this interrelationship between supply and demand in different markets, we first consider an overview of a market-based economy.
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Figure 3.1 Product and factor allocation via the price mechanism
In this simplified model households supply their services labour, capital, land and entrepreneurial skills to firms that demand them for production. The prices paid in factor markets are the balancing items that determine resource allocation. In product markets, firms supply goods and services to households that demand them, and prices provide the balancing item to determine distribution.
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satisfaction. Producers, and owners of resources (and for most people this is their own labour power), seek to obtain as large a reward as possible in an attempt to maximise profit. If consumers want more of a good than is being supplied at the current price, this is indicated by their willingness to pay more to acquire the good the price is bid up. This in turn increases the profits of those firms producing and supplying the good and the incomes paid to the factors producing that good increase. As a result, resources are attracted into the industry, and supply expands. On the other hand, if consumers do not want a particular product, its price will fall, producers will lose money and resources will leave the industry. This is precisely what happened in the new build market during the early 1990s. The demand for new houses declined and prices fell; as a result, producers either concentrated on other construction work or went bankrupt. Consequently, between 1990 and 1993, the completion of new homes fell by over 50 per cent. In simple terms, therefore, the price system indicates the wishes of consumers and allocates the productive resources accordingly. Or, in the terms we used in Chapter 2, the price mechanism determines what is produced, how it is produced and for whom is it produced. Now we shall examine how well these general principles apply to the UK construction industry.
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A belief in the importance of market signals dates back to the classical economists. They emphasised how prices and wages continually adjust to keep the general levels of supply and demand in balance. In fact, their belief in market forces was so strong that for a significant historical period economists recommended that the management of an economy could simply follow a laissez faire approach. Milton Friedman, a modern exponent of the market mechanism, strongly argued that the need for government intervention is minimal as governments are only needed to provide a forum for determining the rules of the game and to act as an umpire to assure the rules are enforced. Interestingly, when this classical approach was first challenged, during the depression of the 1930s, construction was one of the first sectors that governments chose to manipulate.
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GRAPHICAL ANALYSIS
Analysis of the price (market) mechanism has played a significant role within the history of economics. As far back as 1776, Adam Smith wrote in The Wealth of Nations about the hidden hands of supply and demand determining market prices. Since then a standard part of any economics course has involved the study of supply and demand graphs. This is probably because it is easier to communicate an idea visually as the saying goes a picture is worth a thousand words. A supply and demand graph enables the relationship between price and quantity to be explored from the consumers (demand) perspective and the producers (supply) perspective. The standard layout of each axis is shown in Figure 3.2.
Using the labelled axis in Figure 3.2 can you determine what the pattern of demand in relation to the price would look like? To put the question in more formal terms, can you plot a demand schedule? Clearly, as the price of a commodity rises, the quantity demanded will decrease and as the price falls, the quantity demanded will increase. That is, from the demand side there is an inverse relationship between the price per unit and the quantity purchased: higher prices lowers (that is, cause smaller quantities of) demand. This is because consumers seek to maximise their satisfaction and get best value for money.
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Using the labelled axis in Figure 3.2 can you determine what the pattern of supply in relation to price would look like? To rephrase the question in more formal terms, can you plot the supply schedule? Clearly, as the price of a commodity rises the quantity supplied will increase and as the price falls the quantity supplied will decrease. That is, from the supply-side there is a direct relationship between the price per unit and quantity sold: an increase in price usually leads to an increase in the quantity supplied. This is because suppliers seek to maximise their profit and get the biggest possible return for their efforts. As suggested, these basic principles seem easier to appreciate when plotted on a graph. See if you agree by considering Figure 3.3.
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On the horizontal axis of Figure 3.2 and 3.3 we ended the statement with the qualification per period of time. This is to highlight that supply or demand is a flow
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that takes place during a certain time period. Ideally, the time period should be specified as a month, year, week, or whatever. Without a time dimension, the statements relating to quantity become meaningless.
CETERIS PARIBUS
The second qualifying remark relates to the Latin phrase ceteris paribus, which means other things being equal or constant. This is an important assumption to make when dealing with a graph showing two variables. For example, price is not the only factor that affects supply and demand. There are many other market conditions that also affect supply and demand and we cover these in Chapters 4 and 5. In the exercise above, constructing Figures 3.2 and 3.3, we assumed ceteris paribus. We did not complicate the analysis by allowing, for example, consumers income to change when discussing changes to the price of a good. If we did, we would never know whether the change in the quantity demanded or supplied was due to a change in the price or due to a change in income. Therefore, we employed the ceteris paribus technique and assumed that all the other factors that might affect the market were held constant. This assumption enables economists to be more rigorous in their work, studying each significant variable in turn. The ceteris paribus assumption approximates to the scientific method of a controlled experiment.
SUPPLY AND DEMAND CURVES
When using supply and demand curves to illustrate our analysis, they will frequently be drawn as straight lines. Although this is irritating from a linguistic point of view, it is easier for the artist constructing the illustrations and acceptable to economists, since the curves very rarely refer to the plotting of empirical data. It is worth noting, therefore, that so-called supply and demand curves are usually illustrated as straight lines that highlight basic principles.
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Equilibrium price
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Excess Demand (shortage)
Demand 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 Quantity demanded & supplied per period of time
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Price
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(Initial Demand Schedule)
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Q Q1 Qa Quantity of property demanded and supplied for owner occupation per year
A CLOSING NOTE
Finally, to complete our introductory overview of market forces, we also need to recognise the existence of market failure. So far we have not assumed any market distortions. For example, we have assumed that labour will move freely to wherever work is most profitable and consumers will buy whatever they desire in freely determined markets. Yet, in reality, monopolies, oligopolies, subsidies, trade unions, externalities, high transaction costs and other market imperfections distort the situation. We shall be examining these issues in more detail in Chapter 10. But they are worth bearing in mind throughout the book, especially as our analysis is also concerned with how modern economies can manage to achieve construction that is sustainable, and these imperfections tend to create a gap between theoretical solutions and market-driven practice.
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