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US Value Stocks
US REIT Stocks
US Bond Market
+10.54%
+7.45%
-1.30%
STOCKS
BONDS
Market segment (index representation) as follows: US Large Company (S&P 500 Index); US Small Company (Russell 2000 Index), US Value (Russell 1000 Value Index). US Real Estate Market (Dow Jones US Select REIT Index), International Developed (MSCI World ex USA Index [net div.]), Emerging Markets (MSCI Emerging Markets Index [gross div.]), US Bond Market (Barclays Capital US Aggregate Bond Index), and Treasury (One-Month US Treasury Bills). The S&P data are provided by Standard & Poor's Index Services Group. Russell data copyright Russell Investment Group 19952010, all rights reserved. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2010, all rights reserved. Dow Jones data (formerly Dow Jones Wilshire) provided by Dow Jones Indexes. Barclays Capital data provided by Barclays Bank PLC. US long-term bonds, bills, and inflation data Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation Yearbook, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield). Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Bush-era tax cuts extended through 2012 in a compromise between the two parties.
Sept 15
Sept 30
Oct 15
Nov 30
Dec 15
Chilean miners trapped underground brought to the surface on live television after twomonth ordeal.
WikiLeaks releases confidential diplomatic cables between US embassies and the State Department.
North Korea attacks civilian targets on a South Korean island, greatly escalating the tensions in the region.
S&P 500 Index recoups all losses since September 2008 Lehman Brothers collapse.
US Large Company Stocks S&P 500 Index US Small Cap Stocks Russell 2000 Index US Value Stocks Russell 1000 Value Index US Real Estate Investment Trust Stocks Dow Jones US Select REIT Index International Stocks MSCI World ex USA Index MSCI Emerging Markets Index (gross div.) Bonds SBBI Long-Term Corporate Bonds SBBI One-Month US Treasury Bills
15.06
-2.85
2.29
1.41
9.14
9.87
(01/1926)
26.85
2.22
4.47
6.33
10.84
11.72
(01/1979)
15.51
-4.42
1.28
3.25
10.09
12.18
(01/1979)
28.07
0.01
2.32
10.42
11.52
12.53
(01/1978)
8.95 19.20
-6.33 -0.03
3.05 13.11
3.98 16.23
6.16 12.17
9.53
(01/1970)
14.06
(01/1988)
12.20 0.11
7.93 0.63
5.90 2.25
7.58 2.19
8.16 3.45
5.90
(01/1926)
3.62
(01/1926)
The S&P data are provided by Standard & Poor's Index Services Group. Russell data copyright Russell Investment Group 19952010, all rights reserved. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2010, all rights reserved. Dow Jones data (formerly Dow Jones Wilshire) provided by Dow Jones Indexes. US long-term bonds, bills, and inflation data Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation Yearbook, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield). Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Q4 2010
$12,807 $12,685 $11,920 $11,551 $11,506 $11,220 $10,895 $10,011
CHANGE IN VALUE OF $1 Asset Class US Large Company Stocks US Small Cap Stocks US Value Stocks US Real Estate Investment Trust Stocks International Developed Stocks Emerging Market Stocks Fixed Income Corporate Bonds Short-Term Government Bonds Index S&P 500 Russell 2000 Russell 1000 Value Dow Jones US Select REIT MSCI World ex USA MSCI Emerging Markets (gross div.) Long-Term Corporate Bonds One-Month US Treasury Bills 1 Year $1.15 $1.27 $1.16 $1.28 $1.09 $1.19 $1.12 $1.00 5 Years $1.12 $1.24 $1.07 $1.12 $1.16 $1.85 $1.33 $1.12 10 Years $1.15 $1.85 $1.38 $2.69 $1.48 $4.50 $2.08 $1.24 20 Years $5.75 $7.83 $6.84 $8.85 $3.30 $9.95 $4.80 $1.97
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The S&P data are provided by Standard & Poor's Index Services Group. Russell data copyright Russell Investment Group 19952010, all rights reserved. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2010, all rights reserved. Dow Jones data (formerly Dow Jones Wilshire) provided by Dow Jones Indexes. US long-term bonds, bills, and inflation data Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation Yearbook, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield). Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Total Value 14.22 Trillion 14.10 Trillion 4.46 Trillion 32.77 Trillion
1 23 21 45
Intl. Developed Markets Minimum: 42.37% January 2002 Emerging Markets Maximum: 13.64% September 2010
Global market capitalization weights are not static; they vary across time.
Developed markets securities and commodities data provided by Bloomberg. Emerging markets data provided by International Finance Corporation. The Russell 3000 Index is used as the proxy for the US market. The proxies for the non-US developed and emerging markets are the respective developed country and emerging country portions from the MSCI All Country World IMI ex USA Index. The proxies for the UK, Canada, and Australia are the relevant subsets of the developed market proxy.
This table shows from top to bottom div.) the highest returning asset classes each year over the last 14 quarters. ) Each asset class is color coded based on the legend below.
Lowest Return
2.56
-4.13 13.22 10.54 -8.29 11.29 -9.93 11.29 7.45 7.36 7.16 0.03
? ? ? ? ? ?
2.03 -1.62 -8.69 -1.17 -6.11 -21.94 -12.43 20.68 19.28 4.22 1.42 -3.33 -8.72 -2.49 -8.37 -22.18 -13.14 16.69 18.24 3.88 1.14 -4.58 -9.45 -2.72 -8.54 -26.12 -14.95 15.93 15.61 2.44 -0.24 -5.80 -9.90 -5.32 -20.67 -27.56 -16.77 8.24 11.09 0.01 -3.09 -13.54 -10.92 -5.39 -26.86 -39.95 -33.92 0.02
0.04 -3.15
US Large Cap Stocks (S&P 500) US Small Cap Stocks (Russell 2000) US Large Value Stocks (Russell 1000 Value) International Developed Stocks (MSCI World ex USA) Emerging Markets Stocks (MSCI Emerging Markets) Real Estate (Dow Jones US Select REIT) One-Month US Treasury Bills Long-Term Corporate Bonds
The lack of a pattern indicates that picking which asset classes will be the best or worst performers is virtually impossible. In Q4 2008, for example, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index was the second worst performing asset class. A quarter later, it was the best performing asset class. Portfolios combining these various investments will avoid extreme returns.
The S&P data are provided by Standard & Poor's Index Services Group. Russell data copyright Russell Investment Group 19952010, all rights reserved. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2010, all rights reserved. Dow Jones data (formerly Dow Jones Wilshire) provided by Dow Jones Indexes. US long-term bonds, bills, and inflation data Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation Yearbook, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield). Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Positive vs. Negative Months: January 1988December 2010, Total 276 months
100% Global Stocks 75/25 50/50 25/75 100% Treasury Bills
107 Months
169 Months
38.8%
103 Months
61.2%
173 Months
+ +
+ + + + +
37.3%
98 Months
62.7%
178 Months
35.5%
88 Months
64.5%
188 Months
31.9%
276 Months
68.1%
100.0%
January 1988 start date based on the earliest common index inception. Global Stocks represented by MSCI All Country World Index (gross div.) and Treasury Bills represented by US One-Month Treasury Bills. Globally diversified portfolios rebalanced on a monthly basis. Data copyright MSCI 2010, all rights reserved. Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation Yearbook, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield). Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
US Stock Returns
As of December 31, 2010 Returns (%) Asset Class Marketwide Large Cap Large Cap Large Cap Value Large Cap Growth Small Cap Small Cap Value Small Cap Growth Index Russell 3000 S&P 500 Russell 1000 Russell 1000 Value Russell 1000 Growth Russell 2000 Russell 2000 Value Russell 2000 Growth Q4 2010
11.59 10.76 11.19 10.54 11.83 16.25 15.36 17.11
1 Year
16.93 15.06 16.10 15.51 16.71 26.85 24.50 29.09
3 Years Annualized
-2.01 -2.85 -2.37 -4.42 -0.47 2.22 2.19 2.18
Historically, value stocks, as measured by the ratio of book-to-market equity (BtM), have outperformed growth stocks over the long term. During the fourth quarter, value stocks underperformed growth stocks. Historically, small stocks have experienced higher returns than large stocks over the long term. During the fourth quarter, small cap stocks generally outperformed large cap stocks.
Russell data copyright Russell Investment Group 19952010, all rights reserved. The S&P data are provided by Standard & Poor's Index Services Group. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Returns (%)
1 Year 11.15 8.95 24.51 4.82 14.45 18.88 27.17 18.41 19.33 3 Years Annualized -5.03 -6.33 -0.81 -7.22 -4.79 -0.32 4.33 1.79 -2.48
US Dollar Returns
US Dollar Returns
8.95 5.73
0.05
International Developed Emerging Markets
International Developed
MSCI data copyright MSCI 2010, all rights reserved. International developed represented by MSCI World ex USA index and Emerging Markets by MSCI Emerging Markets Index. All index returns are net of withholding tax on dividends. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
10-YEAR PERFORMANCE RANKING OF MARKETS AROUND THE WORLD IN US DOLLARS AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2010
1. Colombia 2. Peru 3. Indonesia 4. Egypt 5. Czech Republic 6. Thailand 7. Brazil 8. Russia 9. Korea 10. Chile 11. India 12. Mexico 13. South Africa 14. Morocco 15. Malaysia 16. Australia 17. China 18. Hungary 19. Norway 20. Turkey 21. Philippines 22. Denmark 23. Singapore 24. New Zealand 25. Canada 26. Poland 27. Austria 28. Hong Kong 29. Taiwan 30. Sweden 31. Spain 32. Israel 33. Switzerland 34. Germany 35. United Kingdom 36. Portugal 37. France 38. Netherlands 39. Belgium 40. Japan 41. USA 42. Italy 43. Finland 44. Greece 45. Ireland
MSCI data copyright MSCI 2010, all rights reserved. Peru had no currency impact because the country consists of 3 ADRs.
11
World ex US $242BB
82
45%
55%
US $298BB
56%
US
18 Other Countries
Number of REIT stocks and total value based on the two indices. All index returns are net of withholding tax on dividends. Dow Jones US Select REIT Index data provided by Dow Jones . S&P Global ex US REIT Index data provided by Standard and Poors . Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
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Bond Returns
As of December 31, 2010
Index One-Month US Treasury Bills (SBBI) Bank of America Merrill Lynch Three-Month T-Bills Bank of America Merrill Lynch One-Year US Treasury Note Citigroup World Government Bond 1-5 Years (hedged) US Long-Term Government Bonds (SBBI) Barclays Capital Corporate High Yield Barclays Capital Municipal Bonds Barclays Capital US TIPS Index Q4 2010 0.03 0.04 0.07 -0.50 -5.81 3.22 -4.17 -0.65
Returns (%)
1 Year 0.11 0.13 0.83 1.99 13.02 15.12 2.38 6.31 3 Years Annualized 0.63 0.79 2.11 3.60 6.56 10.38 4.08 4.97
Yield Curve data from Federal Reserve. State and local bonds are from the Bond Buyer Index, general obligation, 20 years to maturity, mixed quality. High quality corporate bonds represent the Moodys seasoned Aaa Corporate Yield. Investment Grade Corporate Bonds represent the Moodys seasoned Baa Corporate Yield. Barclays Capital data, formerly Lehman Brothers, provided by Barclays Bank PLC. US long-term bonds, bills, inflation, and fixed income factor data Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation (SBBI) Yearbook, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield). Citigroup bond indices copyright 2010 by Citigroup. The Merrill Lynch Indices are used with permission; copyright 2010 Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated; all rights reserved. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
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Bond Returns
As of December 31, 2010
Index One-Month US Treasury Bills (SBBI) Bank of America Merrill Lynch Three-Month T-Bills Bank of America Merrill Lynch One-Year US Treasury Note Citigroup World Government Bond 1-5 Years (hedged) US Long-Term Government Bonds (SBBI) Barclays Capital Corporate High Yield Barclays Capital Municipal Bonds Barclays Capital US TIPS Index Q4 2010 0.03 0.04 0.07 -0.50 -5.81 3.22 -4.17 -0.65
Returns (%)
1 Year 0.11 0.13 0.83 1.99 13.02 15.12 2.38 6.31 3 Years Annualized 0.63 0.79 2.11 3.60 6.56 10.38 4.08 4.97
Yield Curve data from Federal Reserve. State and local bonds are from the Bond Buyer Index, general obligation, 20 years to maturity, mixed quality. High quality corporate bonds represent the Moodys seasoned Aaa Corporate Yield. Investment Grade Corporate Bonds represent the Moodys seasoned Baa Corporate Yield. Barclays Capital data, formerly Lehman Brothers, provided by Barclays Bank PLC. US long-term bonds, bills, inflation, and fixed income factor data Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation (SBBI) Yearbook, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield). Citigroup bond indices copyright 2010 by Citigroup. The Merrill Lynch Indices are used with permission; copyright 2010 Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated; all rights reserved. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
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