Trading Strategies

Trading stocks information - Trading tactics & examples

Breakout from Rounding Bottom

Trading Strategy: Breakout from rounding bottom on Major Support (MS). BRCM sold off aggressively from last month's new 52-week high. There are signs that it is bottoming on the daily chart, including no down side follow through to bearish bars. It is finding MS from the May breakout area. After a bullish gap up, yesterday's real body closed in the upper part of the prior bar's bearish body, showing that the bulls are getting more aggressive. Additionally, although not shown, it is a Buy Setup on the weekly chart; the hourly chart is basing bullish; and the semiconductor index showed relative strength and may bounce more.

chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

Tip: A breakout from a rounding base on MS often has bullish follow through. The Play: buy BRCM over previous day high ($21.08), with a protective stop under $20.68, a 30-min. pivot. Objective: $1.00 to $2.00 move. MEDIUM RISK Play Review:

BRCM met the high $2.0 target and next day it gapped up trading an additional $2.00+.
Transition to Stage 2 Breakout

Trading Strategy: Transition to Stage 2 Breakout. Here is the hourly chart because the daily incorrectly shows the bearish gap down. The hourly chart, however, shows a Climactic Buy Setup (CBS), followed by almost two days of narrow range basing. This suggests that the selling is exhausted. Previous day it made a new low; however, there was no follow through to it, and it closed with a Bottoming Tail (BT). The next hour's candlestick was a bullish engulfing bar on Increasing Volume (+Vol.), from which it based into the close and made a higher low. You can also see the very oversold condition and far distance from its 200MA, suggesting a snap back. Because the hourly sold off in a "clean V" fashion, there is very little supply to halt the advance if it breaks out, giving us a great reward-risk trade. Although not shown, the daily chart closed with a Bullish Changing of the Guard (+COG).

chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

Tip: A breakout from a base following a CBS acts as major support to propel the retracement. The Play: Buy over previous day's high, with a protective stop under previous day low. Objective: $1.00 to $1.75 move. MEDIUM RISK Play Review:

NWL stopped at $23.36 (prior low after two full days of trading) for a $.09 loss.
Climactic Buy Setup on Major Support (#1)

Trading Strategy: Climactic Buy Setup (CBS) on Major Support (MS). JILL made a new high for the year last week before its dramatic sell off. It is down five trading days in a row and is far from its 20MA. Previous day it gapped down, closing at the low of a bearish wide range bar. The climactic volume, however, suggest that the last of the bears are getting shaken out. It is testing MS where it broke out in May.

chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

Tip: A CBS on climactic volume in an area of MS often provide a tradable bounce. The Play: Buy over the high made in the first 30-min of trading, with a stop under the 30-min low. Objective: $1.00 to $2.25 move. HIGH RISK Play Review:

JILL did not meet the entry criteria.

Bullish Breakout from Consolidation in Stage 2 Uptrend

Trading Strategy: Bullish Breakout from consolidation in Stage 2 Uptrend. PWR has made two impressive moves in May, and has been consolidating in a controller manner for most of June. Yesterday, the bulls had a clear victory, closing the stock out of the base with a bullish 10/10 bar, leaving a base of support underneath. Although not shown, the weekly chart was also a Buy Setup with a shallow retracement, suggesting higher prices.

chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

P.S. - Do you want to learn to swing trade stocks with up to 90% accuracy? Try the BestSwing Trader with master trader Shay Horowitz ... one of the most profitable swing trading system on the net for over 3 Years Running... Click To Get More Info! Tip: Breakouts that close outside of the base with a bullish 10/10 bar suggest continued upside. The Play: Buy stock over previous day's high, with a protective stop under previous day's low. Objective: A $1.00 to $2.00 move. HIGH RISK Play Review:

PWR gained a high of $.47 from entry and stopped out at $7.65 for a $.07 gain using trailing stop method (prior bar's low after two full days of trading).
Buy Setup and Doji bar after 100% Retracement

Trading Strategy: Buy Setup and Doji bar after 100% Retracement. Although the daily chart of HOV is neutral, there are a few things making for a good reward-risk trade. After the stock collapsed in late June, it made a 100% retracement of the break down, which is bullish. Two days before it was a Buy Setup, with yesterday being a neutral doji bar. However, if this area holds, it will be a higher pivot low from the June low. Additionally, the sector showed relative strength today, and the hourly chart of HOV is a Buy Setup on the 20MA with above average volume. New high is not seeked; however, there is not much resistance until the $62 area on the hourly chart.

chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

Tip: Buy Setups following a 100% retracement of a prior break down suggest a tradable bounce. The Play: Buy over the high made in the first 30-min of trading, with a stop under the lower of the 30min low or previous day's low. Objective: $1.00 to $2.25 move to the $62 area. MEDIUM RISK Play Review:

HOV did not meet the entry criteria.

The Double Top Play - A Rally into Resistance

Trading Strategy: The Double Top Play: A Rally into Resistance. CYMI has rallied very impressively over the past three days; however, this rally has brought the stock into an area of major price resistance. While another up day could very well materialize, the prior high formed in late November will serve as a troublesome area for the stock.

chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

Tip: Prior highs represent areas of pain for those who bought near the high previously, only to see the stock decline sharply before finally rebounding. The battered traders who suffered through the long wait in stock to get their money back are extremely likely to sell now that the stock has revisited their initial entry area. This is partly why prior highs often serve as major price resistance, which sets up the much talked about double tops. The Play: Look to sell short once it trades below the low established in its first 30-minutes of trading. Once entered, place a stop $.25 above previous day's high or above the day's high, whichever is higher. Note: Keep in mind that a gap up at the open will not necessarily invalidate this play. A gap up will be viewed as a "last hurrah" move to which you can apply 30-minute sell rule. A gap down, unless it is too excessive, will also only confirm expectation. Objective: A $2.50 plus move back toward the stock's 20-period moving average. Play Review:

CYMI hit 30-min. low entry and immediately reversed direction to trade back above the day's high resulting in a $1.86 loss. This has been the type of intra-day volatility within the market at this time.
Breakout From a Base

Trading Strategy: Breakout from a base. PALM is consolidating at the top of its trading range over the last five trading sessions and may be ready to break out above this area. What we like about this pattern is the fact that PALM moved to the top of the range in one bar or trading session verses 4 to 5 as it did in the past. This shows strength and a higher probability of continuation.

chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

Tip: Several bar rallies into resistance verse a single bar has a higher probability of experiencing profit taking. When traders have been buying over several days they often take profits more aggressively once that issue nears its prior highs. A single bar that moves into that area, as with the pattern in PALM is ignites momentum typically continuing in the direction of the wide range bar. PALM's ability to stay in the upper 50% of that wide range bar increases those odds. The Play: We will look to buy PALM once it trades above 18.80, which was last week's high. Once entered, our stop will be placed .25 cents below the low made on Friday at 17.08. Objective: Look for a move back toward the stock's $24 - $25 area. This is the base area that PALM gapped down from July 2002. If you refer to a weekly chart you will see this clearly, as well as the extensive base that has been built since the August low. Play Review:

PALM fell hard three days after entering with the overall market but the stop was not hit at that time. Next day's negative open caused that to happen. One option was to only exit half the position as PALM was nearing an area of support and could bounce from there, and the weekly chart still looked attractive, but in the end support did not held, and price proceeded down.
Relative Strength At Reversal Time

Relative strength is not referred to as the indicator known as RSI, but as a stock's strength or weakness at the moment when compared to the market as a whole, or the particular sector to which the stock belongs. The concept of relative strength can be used on any time frame, and is only valid in that time frame. For example, a NASDAQ stock showing great relative strength on a 5-minute chart is a stock which has a 5-minute chart that appears stronger than the NASDAQ 5-minute chart. It would be valid to look at this for a scalp or possibly to enter a day trade, but if it does not show any relative strength on the daily chart it would not be favored for a swing trade. "5-minute chart is stronger", means specifically that the bars making up the chart show greater strength for long play. Perhaps the down bars are not as long, or the stock stays in the upper half of the day's trading range while the market or sector does not. Or maybe the stock holds a support area while the similar support area in the market or sector does not hold. In extreme cases, the stock may be basing at the high of the day or making new highs while the market is pulling back or making new lows. Below is an example of a trade. It is a 5-minute chart of Express Scripts Inc. (ESRX). The relative strength became obvious between 9:50 and 11:00 A.M. EST. The red line is the 20 period moving average and the black line on the NASDAQ is the 200 period moving average.

chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

Notice where the arrows begin. The NASDAQ begins pulling back after a marginal new high, but ESRX pulls back only slightly from a substantial new high. It should be noted that 9:50 is also the beginning of a reversal time. Over the next half hour the NASDAQ makes a new daily low, but ESRX refused to move below the bottom of the last green bar of the rally, and bases in a very tight base at the high of the day. By the time the next reversal time comes along (10:30) the NASDAQ has pulled back to a support area and also finds the rising 200 period moving average. We know that as this moving average is rising, there must be at least a marginal uptrend on the 5-minute chart. During this time, ESRX is basing at the high of the day. At this point the trade looks very compelling. We now have the NASDAQ at support, at a reversal time, while in an uptrend. We have ESRX basing just under the high of the day. At the time ESRX breaks the high of the day it is not extended because it moves as the rising 20 period moving average raises up to meet the price bars. In the morning, the rising 20 period moving average is a good "timing indicator". Strong stocks should stay above the 20 period moving average on the 5-

minute chart in the morning. Notice that this stock breaks out as the 20 is about to come in contact with the price.
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Buy Setup at prior low

Trading Strategy: Buy Setup at prior low on increased volume. CGNX closed the previous week very oversold, near its low. Volume picked up in the area of the prior low set late January, before it exploded up on a bullish wide range bar. It also overshot its 200MA, which is watched by many traders as an area of support. Previous day it made a bullish Changing of the Guard (+COG), and also had a bottoming tail, showing that the bulls have taken back control of the stock for a bounce.

chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

Tip: Stocks that close strong after retesting a prior major low on increased volume are poised for a tradable bounce. The Play: Buy once it trades over previous day high ($18.95). Stop above $18.29 (close of two days ago open of the previous day). Move stop break even once $.50 in-the-money. Objective: A move to the $21.00 area. MEDIUM RISK Play Review:

CGNX did not trigger because of the excessive gap caused by positive earnings. If the gap was less than 50 cents, it would have still been considered as entry within play limits.
Climactic Buy Setup on Major Support (#2)

Trading Strategy: Climactic Buy Setup (CBS) on major support (MS). Until the previous day NBTY closed with 10 out of 11 daily red candlesticks. It is a CBS because it is down at least five days; is far from its 20MA; had a pick up in volume; and had a reversal bar on the previous day. It closed with a Bullish Changing of the Guard (+COG), since it closed over its opening price. It is in an area of a major prior low, which makes it more potent Buy Setup. Additionally, the last five trading days have been on increasing volume, suggesting that the last of longs have been shaken out, and demand was great enough to halt the stock and make it close over its opening price, and in the upper 50% of the days range. The far distance from its 20MA also suggests a snap back is at hand.

chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

Tip: A CBS with a +COG in an area of a prior major low often produces a tradable bounce as the relentless selling has come to a short-term end. The Play: Buy over the high made during the first 30 minutes of trading, with a protective stop under $16.30. Objective: Target in the area of $17.50 to $18.00. MEDIUM RISK Play Review:

NBTY triggered 30-min. high entry and its explosive move provided the target to the high $17s in a single trading day!
Buy Setup on trend line

Trading Strategy: Buy Setup on trend line and minor support. OVTI was in a powerful Stage 2 on the daily chart, as shown by the series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). It has sold off for three days, back to an area of minor support from the prior consolidation. Because of the deep retracement, one should not be looking for a new high right away, but a tradable bounce nevertheless. It is also considered to be a GuerrillaTM Bullish Setup because it was down at least two days, and previous days bar is a Bearish 20/20 bar (wide range bar with little tails). It closed at the low, on prior support. This also happens to correspond with trend line support, as shown on the chart.

chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

Tip: A BS on trend line and horizontal support, that is also a GuerrillaTM Long Setup, is a more powerful combination suggesting a tradable bounce once the bulls regain control of the stock. The Play: Buy over the high made during the first 30 minutes of trading (as the previous day's high is too far away), with a protective stop under the lower of the days low or yesterdays low. [NOTE: Because of the Long GuerrillaTM Setup, the Trading Strategy is valid for two trading days.] Objective: A move to the $25.00 area. MEDIUM RISK Play Review:

OVTI reached a high of $28.50 after five up days. Best results were achieved using trailing stops.
Multiple Bottoming Tails in the Buy Zone

Trading Strategy: Buy Setup (BS - at least 2 days down), Bottoming Tails (BT), and Bullish Changing of the Guard (+COG), in the Buy Zone (BZ - area between rising 20MA and 40MA, where 20MA is above 40MA). CEG is in a powerful Stage 2 on the daily chart, as shown by the series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). It has sold off for four days, before the bulls took over control as shown by the +COG. Also interesting are the three BT were all in the same general area, showing demand underneath. Although not shown, the hourly chart closed with a bullish bar on increased volume (+Vol.), a bullish sign. Finally, the BS and BT occurred in between the rising 20MA and 40MA (BZ), where strong snapbacks often happen.

chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

Tip: A Buy Setup with multiple Bottoming Tails, in the Buy Zone, is a powerful combination suggesting a tradable bounce over the +COG. The Play: Buy over previous day's high, with a protective stop under previous day's low. NOTE: If some economic news, that can cause additional volatility, are supposed to be out that day, raise the stop to the 30-min. low after the their announcement. Objective: Target in the area of $30. MEDIUM RISK Play Review:

CEG rallied 5 trading days in a row, surpassing the target.

Bottoming Tails on the Rising 20MA

Trading Strategy: Buy Setup and Bottoming Tails (BT) on the rising 20MA and trend line support. PAYX was actually a Buy Setup two days in a row. Second day it closed with a doji bar, and held first day's low by a penny, showing demand underneath. It is interesting how the stock has bounced off of its rising 20MA so many times after breaking to new highs in March. The steady advance of the 20MA is also why it is also acting as trend line support (see green line).

chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

Tip: A Buy Setup with multiple BTs, which has consistently bounced off of the rising 20MA, shows a strong reliable uptrend. The Play: Buy over previous day's high, with a protective stop under previous day's low. Objective: A move to the $32.50 area. MEDIUM RISK Play Review:

PAYX failed to trigger. However, it actually turned about to be a "Failed Pattern" and good Short Play.
Climatic Low

Trading Strategy: Climatic Low. PGR fell a distance from its 20-ma last week that suggests it's likely ready for a tradable rebound. Then the daily range expanded considerably wider than the prior trading sessions and volume became climatic. This also suggests a short-term reversal is close. Next day was the day that now tells us the turn is at hand as PGR closed above its opening price for the first time in eight trading sessions and held above the prior day's low.

chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

Tip: Daily price range expansion after a several bar decline suggest a reversal is most likely close at hand. When its pattern is accompanied by expanding volume it increases that likelihood. This combination of price and volume action suggests a capitulation to the selling pressure and a tradable reversal after a Change of Guards (COG). The Play: Buy once it trades above previous trading day's high ($47.17). Once entered, stop will be placed below the low made on previous day. Objective: A move of 1.50- 2.00 There is a small base of resistance in the 48.50 area that can been seen on the intra-day chart. A reaction there is likely. The significant resistance area is higher in the 49.50 area. Take it a step at a time and monitor along the way. Entering is the easy part. MEDIUM RISK Play Review:

PGR went up almost $2.00 dollars from entry, the objective has been hit. That said PGR looked like it can move higher if the market does not fall apart.
Anticipated breakout to Stage 2 from Major Support

Trading Strategy: Anticipated breakout to Stage 2 from Major Support (MS). CIN has been trying to bottom for a month and, in the process, has built a base of MS. There is also some interesting bar-bybar analysis that suggests that a bullish move might be at hand. On Aug. 22nd, at the most bearish time of the day, it was a very bearish 10/10 bar; however, it did not take out a prior low, and closed well off the low, leaving a Bottoming Tail (BT). Then 3 days later, it gapped down, creating a minor bearish mortgage play, but had no downside follow through and closed very bullish with a wide range body. The gap down also was a higher low than the mentioned BT candle. Then, CIN consolidated for two additional days in the upper part of the week's range, above its 20MA. These are all signs that buyers are stepping up to support the stock at these levels. Additionally, although not shown, the weekly chart is also on MS, threatening a similar break to Stage 2. There is little supply to halt a move out.

chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

Tip: Simultaneous breaks to Stage 2 out of bases on both the daily and weekly chart have higher odds of follow through. The Play: Buy above previous day's high ($34.32) with a protective stop under previous day's low. Objective: A move of $1.25 to $1.75. LOW TO MEDIUM RISK Play Review:

CIN traded well, and reached a high gain of $1.27 yesterday, meeting the minimum target. Trail stop to prior day's low.
Continuation of Bull Trap

Trading Strategy: On Day 1 "A" closed with a Bullish Wide Range Bar (+WRB) off a rough "W Formation." That was a bullish pattern, setting up for a move to the prior high. Next day, however, it opened relatively flat and closed under Day 1's low, constituting a Bull Trap. Because of the big advance in January, if the prior support area is overcome, there is little demand to halt a move down
chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

Tip: Trading under the low of a +WRB is a bear trap, trapping the bulls who did not sell, suggesting lower prices. The Play: Sell short under previous day's low ($33.62), with a protective stop over previous day's high ($35.00). Objective: A move of $1.75 to $3.00 . MEDIUM RISK Play Review: A triggered short and exceeded the higher $3.00 target. Nice trade
Bullish consolidation continued breakout

Trading Strategy: Bullish consolidation continued breakout at the high range of a Bullish Wide Range Bar (+WRB) out of an oversold buy setup. On Jan. 2nd, NTES closed with a +WRB out of an oversold buy setup on Major Support (MS). Ever since it has been moving up in a bullish manner, with shallow retracements. Because of the bullish consolidation near the prior December high, it has been effectively absorbing that supply; and, because of the prior fluid move down, there is not much supply to halt a move up until the area shown. Additionally, although not shown, the hourly chart closed with a +WRB out of a bullish base, also suggesting a new momentum move.

chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

Tip: A bulling consolidation following a +WRB from a base, which has been absorbing prior supply, provides for a very powerful continuation. The Play: Buy above previous day's high ($46.50), or the 30-Min. high, with a protective stop under previous day's low ($44.28). Objective: A move of $5.00 to $15.00. MEDIUM TO HIGH RISK Play Review:

NTES triggered entry, and then trail stopped out for a gain.
Breakout from Bullish Wide Range Bar

Trading Strategy: Breakout from Bullish Wide Range Bar (+WRB) off Major Support (MS) and Minor Support (mS). Last month, GE rallied to a new 52-week high, and pulled in to mS (the prior high in January), before closing with a +WRB. Subsequently, it consolidated for six trading days in a tight range, within the range of the prior +WRB, creating a large base of demand. Previous day, it closed with a +WRB off MS (the prior low), penetrating through the supply of the consolidation area. Although the prior high will act as resistance, the bullish consolidation over time has absorbed some of the prior supply, suggesting new highs.

chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

Tip: PBO caused by a +WRB off of MS and a prior 52-week high suggests another new high. The Play: Buy above previous day's high ($33.48), or the 30-Min. high if it triggers first, with a protective stop under previous day's low ($32.70). Objective: A move of $1.00 to $3.00 . MEDIUM RISK Play Review:

GE triggered and stopped at 32.69.

Bottoming Tails BT from a new monthly high at +40/60

Trading Strategy: Buy Setup with Bottoming Tails (BT) at 40/60 Retracement (+40/60) and Rising 20 period moving average (r20ma). SWKS has had a bullish run since the low set last December. Last week, it made a new high and pulled in, giving us a PBS. Also note the three BT, showing buyers (demand) underneath. This is also occurring at the +40/60 and r20ma, suggesting another leg up.

chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

Tip: A BS and BT from a new monthly high at +40/60 and the r20ma are usually buyable. The Play: Buy above previous day's high ($10.84), with a protective stop under previous day's low ($10.39). Objective: A move of $1.00 to $1.50 . MEDIUM RISK Play Review:

SWKS did not triggered.

Bullish 1-2-3 Continuation from a Wide Range Bar

Trading Strategy: Bullish 1-2-3 Continuation following Bullish Wide Range Bar (+WRB) from an oversold buy setup on Minor Support (mS). After making a new 52-week high, BMC retraced back to the breakout area, which is mS. After selling off for nine days, it closed with a +WRB last Friday out of the

oversold buy setup, which is bullish. Yesterday, it closed with an inside day, with relatively equal highs, and holding less than 1/3 retracement into the +WRB. This is a Bullish 1-2-3 Continuation if it trades over yesterday's high. If it clears this recent resistance, there is not much overhead resistance until the high $20s, giving us a favorable reward-risk play.

chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

Tip: A Bullish 1-2-3 Continuation from a +WRB out of a base has high odds of moving up to the prior supply area. The Play: Buy above previous day's high ($20.09), with a protective stop under previous day's low ($19.90). Objective: A move of $.75 to $1.25 LOW TO MEDIUM RISK Play Review:

SWKS reached a target price.

Breakdown following failed Buy Setup

Trading Strategy: Breakdown (BD) following failed Buy Setup (BS). FRX has been on an incredible run since its breakout late last year around $50. However, it is showing signs of tiring, with Topping Tails (TT) on the weekly chart, and the daily chart making lower highs, and rolling under its 20-period moving average. Also, note that last week FRX had a perfect Buy Setup (BS) above the 20ma, and it failed. The Buy Setup (BS) triggered and had no follow through. Instead, last Thursday's bar closed with a Topping Tails (TT) and was a bearish engulfing bar, with all of the bulls in the prior bar trapped. Last Friday, it also made a lower low, threatening to break Major Support (MS), and making Thursday's high a lower pivot high from the potential prior "M Formation."

chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

Tip: A Breakdown (BD) under the 20ma following a failed Buy Setup (BS) suggests a move to the prior demand area. The Play: Sell short on (1) Gap down, or (2) attempt to rally toward 20MA. Protective stop either (1) above $74 or (2) above $76. Objective: A move of $1.50 to $4.00 MEDIUM TO HIGH RISK Play Review:

FRX triggered on rally toward 20MA and made almost $4 in target price.
Breakdown following failed Buy Setup

Trading Strategy: Breakdown (BD) following failed Buy Setup (BS). FRX has been on an incredible run since its breakout late last year around $50. However, it is showing signs of tiring, with Topping Tails (TT) on the weekly chart, and the daily chart making lower highs, and rolling under its 20-period moving average. Also, note that last week FRX had a perfect Buy Setup (BS) above the 20ma, and it failed. The Buy Setup (BS) triggered and had no follow through. Instead, last Thursday's bar closed with a Topping Tails (TT) and was a bearish engulfing bar, with all of the bulls in the prior bar trapped. Last Friday, it also made a lower low, threatening to break Major Support (MS), and making Thursday's high a lower pivot high from the potential prior "M Formation."

chart courtesy of Mastertrader.com

Tip: A Breakdown (BD) under the 20ma following a failed Buy Setup (BS) suggests a move to the prior demand area.

The Play: Sell short on (1) Gap down, or (2) attempt to rally toward 20MA. Protective stop either (1) above $74 or (2) above $76. Objective: A move of $1.50 to $4.00 MEDIUM TO HIGH RISK Play Review:

FRX triggered on rally toward 20MA and made almost $4 in target price.
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