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FOREX Magnates QUARTERLY market REPORT for Q3 2012 this publication is the sole property of Forex Magnates. It has been provided to you based on your statement and agreement that it will be viewed by your eyes only and will not be distributed and / or reproduced in any way. Any person whose publication is found distributed will be traced and charged with copyright infringement.
FOREX Magnates QUARTERLY market REPORT for Q3 2012 this publication is the sole property of Forex Magnates. It has been provided to you based on your statement and agreement that it will be viewed by your eyes only and will not be distributed and / or reproduced in any way. Any person whose publication is found distributed will be traced and charged with copyright infringement.
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FOREX Magnates QUARTERLY market REPORT for Q3 2012 this publication is the sole property of Forex Magnates. It has been provided to you based on your statement and agreement that it will be viewed by your eyes only and will not be distributed and / or reproduced in any way. Any person whose publication is found distributed will be traced and charged with copyright infringement.
Copyright:
Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
Formati disponibili
Scarica in formato PDF, TXT o leggi online su Scribd
This publication is the sole property of Forex Magnates. It has been provided to you based on your statement and agreement that it will be viewed by your eyes only and will not be distributed and/or reproduced in any way. Each pub- lication has been uniquely marked and any person whose publication is found distributed will be traced and charged with copyright infringement. All materials contained in this publication are protected by United States and international copyright laws and may not be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, displayed, published or broadcast without the prior written permission of Forex Magnates. You may not alter or remove any trademark, copyright or other notice from copies of the content. All information in this publication is subject to change. Information presented in this publication is of Forex Magnates only and does not necessarily represent the opinion of any Forex broker and/or any other company mentioned in this publication and/or its management. Forex Magnates does its best to verify the accuracy or basis-in-fact of any claim or statement made in this publication, however errors and omissions may occur. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained in this publication or on the Forex Magnates website, by Forex Magnates, its employees, partners or contributors, is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. Forex Magnates will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of prot, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information or of its accuracy. 3 www.forexmagnates.com Content Index 1. Q3 2012 Forex Market Overview page 5 2. Media Forex Websites Trafc Survey: Q3 2012 page 14 3. Articles: Regu|atory Roundup - page 16 Focus on lsrae| - page 18 A Perfect Storm of R|sk, Mu|t|-Assets, and lnnovat|on - page 20 Mob||e F Trad|ng, W|re|ess Trends To The Future - page 26 S|ng|e Dea|er P|atforms - Putt|ng the|r Foot Down |n lnst|tut|ona| F - page 29 Market Data - Gett|ng Access to lnformat|on- page 33 Market Mak|ng vS EON: When & Why? - page 39 Eastern Europe Oountry Reports - page 46 N|ger|a`s F Market- page 55 New Zea|and a 'Safe Haven` for Forex Brokers- page 58 The |at|n Amer|can F Market - page 61 Devexperts - the new phase |n p|atform deve|opment - page 65 N|njaTrader - Wor|d`s Most Popu|ar Futures Trad|ng P|atform - page 69 Tradab|e: Appstore Meets F Trad|ng - page 72 Hotspot F |aunches a Who|esa|e ||qu|d|ty D|v|s|on - page 75 One Page P|atform Snapshots: cTrader and vertexF - page 77 4. Major News of the Ouarter - page 80 5. Deta||ed broker |nformat|on for the |argest brokers |n terms of vo|ume - page 103 6. Recommended Serv|ce Prov|ders - page 120 7. Forex lndustry B|ggest M&As and lnvestments - page 130 5 www.forexmagnates.com Q3 2012 Forex Market Overview O3 2012 |s go|ng to be a quarter that most brokers wou|d ||ke to forget. vo|umes for the |arger |nst|tut|ona| and reta|| forex brokers p|um- meted |n O3, somet|mes |n doub|e d|g|ts. |ack of vo|at|||ty |n Ju|y-August due to range trad|ng, the seasona| s|ow-down as we|| as ho||days |n severa| reg|ons severe|y |mpacted brokers` performance. The numbers espec|a||y stand out when compar|ng to the same per|od |n 2011 when volatility was much higher. September brought some relief to the markets as volumes picked up, but not enough to make up for the lost two months. In general, with the exception of May and a few weeks in September, volatility was extremely low in 2012 affecting even those frms cons|dered |mpregnab|e. FOM reported a quarter|y |oss |n O2 2012, |ts frst s|nce |t started report|ng. Th|s |n turn may have prompted |ts dec|s|on to |aunch a dea||ng desk mode| |n Austra||a and the K. A|so, react|ng to dec||n|ng vo|umes, EBS |ntroduced changes to its trading platform, hoping to lure back traders. The b|ggest news of the quarter was w|thout a doubt the PFG co||apse, wh|ch took the market and regu|ators} by comp|ete surpr|se. Not only did clients lose hundreds of millions of dollars but the aftershock was felt across the nancial industry with consumer condence in the|r brokers deter|orat|ng dramat|ca||y affect|ng vo|umes and depos|ts |n the past few months, espec|a||y |n the S. Hotspot parent com- pany Kn|ght Oap|ta|`s techn|ca| g||tch cost|ng |t $400 m||||on was another factor contr|but|ng to p|ummet|ng consumer confdence |eve|s |n the fnanc|a| system as a who|e. FDD and FOM too were under regu|atory spot||ght |n the S and Japan respect|ve|y. Oonso||dat|on cont|nued |n the markets w|th Reuters acqu|r|ng Fa|| and Japanese brokers GMO, DMM and lnvast do|ng some |oca| shopp|ng. 20 If you have any questions or comments please contact us at report@forexmagnates.com A Perfect Storm of Risk, Multi-Assets, and Innovation W|th the BlS report|ng that F vo|umes have r|sen from a ||tt|e over $1 tr||||on a day |n 2001 to over $4 tr||||on |n 2010 they even est|mated a peak of $5 tr||||on |n 2011}, there |s no argu- ing that currency trading has experienced explosive growth in the past decade. What is lesser known is the even faster growth |n vo|umes of exchange traded F futures. For exam- p|e, vo|umes of the OME`s F products rose 10 fo|d from 2002 to 2011, h|tt|ng $120 b||||on Average Da||y vo|ume ADv}. A|so, the lntercont|nenta|Exchange saw |ts F vo|umes exp|ode from 2007 to 2011 as |ts Do||ar lndex futures contract became more popu|ar among traders. The Do||ar lndex |s current|y the most heav||y traded currency based contract on the lOE w|th tota| contracts r|s|ng from near|y 1.1 m||||on |n 2007 to 7.75 million in 2011. One of the common themes to exp|a|n the r|se |n F futures volumes has been the added credit safety of trading with a central clearing exchange. After the 2008/09 nancial crisis and subsequent bankruptcy of dea|ers ||ke |ehman Brothers, evaluating counter party risk became a bigger issue among traders. By us|ng a centra| c|ear|ng framework, exchanges have benefted from the overa|| f|ght to safety. Th|s advantage is most apparent in exchange traded products that have an OTO equ|va|ent, where exchanges have been qu|ck to market these benets. One of the best examp|es has been |n the ODS market wh|ch suffered during the crisis as dealers went bankrupt and liquid- |ty dr|ed up. ln response to the r|sks of the ODS OTO mar- ket, the OBOE began to market |ts Deep Out Of the Money" DOOM} Put opt|ons as a ODS equ|va|ent. Even |n F, |n a report pub||shed by Morten Bech for the BlS, |t was est|mated that F OTO vo|umes dropped to $3 tr||||on a day |n Apr|| 2009 after peak|ng at $4.5 tr||||on a day |n September 2008. The dec||ne was c|ear|y seen at EBS where vo|umes dropped from 2008 h|ghs of $250 b||||on ADv to around $100 b||||on |n 2009. As the crisis hit, traders using inter-dealer platforms suddenly had to worry about the solvency of the market-maker banks. Th|s contrasted w|th the OME wh|ch saw much sma||er de- c||nes |n F trad|ng vo|umes. Wh||e there |s no quest|on that F futures have beneftted from a f|ght to qua||ty fo||ow|ng the fnanc|a| cr|s|s, vo|umes were actually picking up steam much earlier. In addition to the credit safety of exchanged based trading, the rise in automated trad- ing and the existence of a multi-asset offering at exchanges has driven higher volume levels. For example, computers have helped popularize active trading strategies such as spread trading and correlations. As a result, automation of these strat- egies that for years were limited to rms with large IT budgets suddenly became available for a wider audience of traders. One such platform that took off as a result of the new popu- |ar|ty of futures was _TRADER from Trad|ng Techno|og|es. Within its futures trading interface, the platform also includ- ed an add-on for spread trading. Traders were able to easily watch multiple legs of a product and determine if one contract date was becoming more expensive than another. On such situations, spread traders would simultaneously enter long and short trades, and capture the spread. While spreading was specically popular with xed income traders, the strategy migrated along all asset classes and paved the way for corre|at|on trad|ng. Rather than app|y|ng a spread trade w|th|n one product`s d|fferent dated futures or within the same asset class, correlation trading involves strat- egies that benet from deviations among tightly correlated as- sets. The strategy ga|ned tract|on dur|ng the m|d 2000`s as market neutra|" hedge funds ga|ned |n popu|ar|ty. Rather than open directional trades, where traders would need to pre- dict the future moves of an asset, market neutral strategies were based on nding correlated baskets of products and buying the underperformers while selling the outperform- ers. Due to the d|verse set of futures assets, exchanges became an |dea| env|ronment for corre|at|on traders. But, as more and more traders were entering similar trades, it led to a crowded market and diminishing returns. To boost prots, traders began to increase leverage of what they had deemed as safe strategies. This is Where FX Comes In With the abundance of cheap money, traders found excellent terms that a||owed them to |everage up" the|r pos|t|ons. Due to the S do||ar`s |ow |nterest rates and ava||ab|||ty, the green- back quickly became the funding currency of choice. As trad- ers borrowed and so|d do||ars, |t |ed to the currency`s overa|| weakening relative to all asset classes. The result was a tighter correlation between currencies and other asset classes. As such, suddenly betas of forex pairs, commodities, equities, etc became more or |ess |n ||ne F|gure 1}. Ourrenc|es spec|f- ca||y sh|ned |n th|s env|ronment as the ex|stence of 24 hour markets, tight spreads, and massive liquidity made it easier to act|ve|y trade corre|at|on |neffc|enc|es, thereby |ead|ng to more traders |nc|ud|ng F futures |n the|r strateg|es. 25 If you have any questions or comments please contact us at report@forexmagnates.com 29 If you have any questions or comments please contact us at report@forexmagnates.com Single Dealer Platforms Putting their Foot Down in Institutional FX S|ng|e dea|er p|atforms SDP`s} are an a|| |n one" p|atforms that banks provide for their clients to disseminate their servic- es. P|atform offer|ngs |nc|ude execut|on fac|||t|es on the bank`s liquidity, post trade analysis and proprietary research. While the platforms have been around since the early e-trading days, banks were initially marketing them as a means to distribute their research to clients. As trading has evolved over the last ten years, as well as volatile periods that included the global - nancial crisis and greater sensitivity to liquidity and credit lines, serv|ces prov|ded by SDP`s have a|so been bo|stered. The re- sult has been an increase in trading tools with more efcient features to provide clients with full working capabilities on their single dealer platforms. The |argest F banks ||ke DB, BS and Barc|ays have |n- vested heavily in their own bespoke trading platforms for clients over the last twenty years. After the rst multi dealer p|atforms MDP`s} were |aunched |n 2001, banks were s|de- lined by clients who were looking at high-tech terminals with a wide range of features, but most importantly competitive pr|c|ng. The SDP was endangered as the mu|t| bank porta|s were proving to ll the all important gap of competitive pricing and deep ||qu|d|ty w|th a soph|st|cated term|na|. However, as the F markets have matured, c||ent needs and requ|rements have a|tered, pr|ce |s |mportant, but users are a|so seek|ng new too|s to add va|ue to the|r trad|ng. Oonsequent|y, th|s has led to a new phase of single dealer platforms with advanced offerings including aggregated pricing, which banks internalize to offer liquid contracts, pre and post trade services and most importantly research and trading ideas. A SDP can offer banks numerous advantages, most |mportant|y all the hard work that goes into research and creating the trade ideas is complemented with a sophisticated executing venue, whereby the bank actua||y takes on board c||ent fow. Banks have faced numerous cha||enges when compet|ng aga|nst the mu|t| dea|er porta|s, w|th the ||kes of Fa|| and Ourrenex, EON`s have been gett|ng more of the coverage as the depth of their products and features have favoured the F trad|ng commun|ty. The mu|t| dea|er p|atforms a|so offer users fex|b|||ty when work|ng w|th automated and a|gor|thm|c trading systems, while simultaneously providing favoured pric- |ng. As such, MDP`s were bu||t w|th soph|st|cat|on and c|ass |n m|nd, |ntu|t|ve Gl, robust aggregat|on too|s and d|verse order types such as sweeps, triggers, and time varying orders. For the mu|t| dea|er p|ayers, the ear|y 2000`s were the boom years, as volumes migrated from voice to electronic markets, and p|atforms ||ke Ourrenex, Fa|| and |ava were be|ng pushed by banks and non-bank nancial institutions. Another reason for the growth |n MDP`s are the costs as- sociated with the development of a full single bank trading so|ut|on for frms |ook|ng to offer the|r own SDP. However, |n response to the expenses, third party vendors have sprung up to provide nancial institutions with their own branded products. The ma|n techno|ogy prov|ders are frms ||ke Oap- ||n, |ab49 and Eurobase. lntegrat|on serv|ces are prov|ded by compan|es such as So|ace Systems and Dea|Hub, both offer banks the fu|| capab|||t|es to |ntegrate a bank`s pre-trade en- vironment, pricing engine, client position keeping, margin lev- e|s, trade execut|on and c||ent report|ng system. Nonethe|ess, costs can still be high due to all of the integration aspects involved with con- nect|ng a bank`s fu|| slate of services to its platform. Another advantage of the multi dealer plat- form is the ability for traders to work with fewer applications at once. Rather than run multiple software packages from vari- ous banks, in a multi dealer offering, trad- ers can consolidate their platforms. In re- sponse, single dealer p|atforms have begun to use r|ch |nternet app||cat|ons RlAs} that enable users to call up only specic windows and termi- nals that they need. As a result of staying competitive, single dealer platforms have been increasing their volumes, along with the overall gains in the F market. Over the |ast s|x years, F has attracted par- t|c|pants who weren`t trad|t|ona||y exposed to currency trad- ing, such as pension funds and money managers. The Technical Infrastructure Managing Data and Latency Most single dealer platforms are web-based and are built with rich internet applications. As technologies have been advancing and development frameworks such as Silverlight Mark Briant Evans 52 If you have any questions or comments please contact us at report@forexmagnates.com Poland Forex Country Report Key Facts: Popu|at|on: 38,501,000 2011 F|gure} Ourrency: Z|oty P|N} Membersh|p: E & NATO Regu|ator: Po||sh F|nanc|a| Superv|s|on Author|ty PFSA} Economic Overview After the co||apse of the Sov|et n|on, Po|and qu|ck|y put ef- forts in expanding its trade with the West. The result was that by 1996, 70% of |ts |mport/export was w|th the E, w|th |ts ne|ghbor Germany be|ng |ts b|ggest trad|ng partner. Po|and`s government |s cons|dered pro-bus|ness as |ts 19% corporate income tax level is one of the lowest in the region. S|nce 1992, Po|and has exper|enced steady GDP growth. Even dur|ng the g|oba| fnanc|a| cr|s|s of 2008/2009, Po|and saw economic growth and averted a recession, due to the size of its population, as well as the economic diversity. Ourrent|y, Po|and rema|ns an attract|ve |ocat|on for fore|gn |n- vestment, with many rms opening up industrial manufactur- ing plants in the country. Forex Landscape Hav|ng a deve|oped cap|ta| market |n the form of the War- saw Stock Exchange has led to a thriving Forex industry in Po|and. The |oca| market |s |ed by Po||sh broker TB wh|ch has been an aggressive marketer in the country as well as in other Eastern European countries. The company has ofces |n 10 European countr|es. After TB, |t |s est|mated that TMS |s the second b|ggest Po||sh broker, however Adm|ra| Markets recently entered the local market and is aggressively increas- ing market share at the expense of the local players. The large population has also led to a multitude of foreign brokers enter- |ng the market |nc|ud|ng Saxo Bank and O|ty lndex. TB |s a re|at|ve|y estab||shed Forex broker as |t began of- fer|ng F trad|ng |n 2002. The company advert|ses heav||y |n Po|and, and |ts ads are seen on||ne, |n pr|nt, and on te|ev|s|on. They are a|so a sponsor of an F1 rac|ng team. One of TB`s market|ng methods |s the use of demo trad|ng contests. TB offers Forex trad|ng through the MT4 p|atform and has sepa- rate platforms for its equity and options products. TMS also began offering Forex trading in 2002, and currently markets the product w|th two brands: TMS and GO4. W|th|n the |oca| market, TMS |sn`t cons|dered to be an aggress|ve marketer. However, they do offer an on||ne currency exchange serv|ce ca||ed GOOash wh|ch he|ps ra|se awareness for the broker. lnterest|ng|y, Po||sh banks haven`t been very |nvo|ved w|th of- fering Forex trading. This is due to the existence of healthy trading volumes from traditional trading products such as stocks and futures. However, due to the |ncrease |n Forex |n- Average ination rate in 2000-2011 0,0% 2,0% 4,0% 6,0% 8,0% 10,0% 12,0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 terest as well as seeing foreign institutions begin to market |n Po|and, more banks have begun to offer a Forex trad|ng product. Market|ng |n Po|and, Forex compan|es have var|ous on||ne media outlets to advertise with. They include general news portals like www.waluty.onet.pl and www.biznes.interia.pl, and nancial sites like www.stooq.pl. Forex only portals include www.fxone.pl. Expanded Report is available in Forex Magnates web- sites Research section GDP and ination levels have remained steady in Poland since the 1990s. However, unemployment remains a concern for the country. This is partially due to the coun- trys historically large agricultural workforce. With the sec- tor becoming less important to the overall economy, it has led to job losses. Unemployment rate in 2000-2011 0,0% 5,0% 10,0% 15,0% 20,0% 25,0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 65 If you have any questions or comments please contact us at report@forexmagnates.com Devexperts - the new phase in platform development The online Foreign Exchange trading market has been domi- nated by a handfu| of trad|ng p|atforms. Brokers who entered the market |n the ear|y 2000`s started off w|th the|r own un|que proprietary platforms, but as the market grew and expanded the wh|te |abe| concept four|shed and new frms were set- ting up using existing off the shelf technology which was the standard |n the market. Devexperts a fnanc|a| techno|ogy frm, had developed its trading platform exclusively for a couple of c||ents |n fnanc|a| der|vat|ves outs|de Russ|a}. The p|atform has been very successful and came with a wide range of use- ful features from a trader and broker perspective. Forex Magnates team caught up w|th Devexpert`s vP of F Products Stan|s|av Sto|yar to fnd out about the frm and |ts products as they prepare to release a new trading platform aimed at the masses. Please provide background of the company, projects you have worked on in the past, company registration, directors and their expertise. Devexperts |s a fnanc|a| software-deve|opment company w|th headquarters |n St. Petersburg, Russ|a. Our R&D centers are |ocated |n St. Petersburg and Rostov-on-Don, wh||e our sa|es offces are |n Japan and the SA. Devexperts |s |ed by a team of dedicated professionals, each with 10+ years in nancial software industry. Ten years ago, we made a decision to have a very clear focus and become experts in a specic area. Even though from time to time there were multiple opportunities to engage in various projects not related to nancial industry, we were able to stick to this decision maintaining our focus and grow|ng expert|se. We||, actua||y, one of Devexperts so|ut|ons, monitoring system, is not directly related to nancial indus- try, but the core of this system is the same high-performance message bus that has been created in-house for our trading platforms. Why has the company only worked with two non-Rus- sian companies in the past? For quite some time we have two major clients, at the same time we also have enjoyed working with nancial companies |n the Russ|an market for over 8 years. Major secur|t|es bro- kers |nc|ude, K|t F|nance, BFA and OS|. Add|t|ona||y Russ|a`s exchanges, RTS and MlOE, recent|y underwent an M&A |nto Moscow Exchange} have been our c||ents s|nce 2006. Ourrent|y MlOE-RTS uses Devexperts FAST and Fl gate- ways as we|| as mon|tor|ng system MARS. Over the |ast two years our sa|es & market|ng |nterests have expanded geo- graphically, we opened representative ofces in Tokyo and Shanghai, in addition to our presence in USA. Dur|ng |ast year we have been work|ng w|th another European client on one of the most intriguing projects yet to come out of the company. It is scheduled for launch this autumn. We are also working on an exciting project for equities and derivatives in Asia. It is working with a partner rm in India and is looking at a solution to launch high frequency trading on the |ead|ng stock exchange NSE Nat|ona| Stock Exchange |n Mumba|}. Devexperts |s a|so a market data vendor, we prov|de market data for all US-traded instruments as well as historical data, corporate actions and fundamentals. We be||eve Devexperts |s becom|ng a better-ba|anced ser- vice/solutions vendor for the nancial industry. We feel that we have not spent enough resources on sales and marketing in the past, as per our new growth strategy this will be changing. What are the main reasons why you decided to offer your platform to the wider market? For the past several years we were regularly receiving leads suggest|ng some brokers were w||||ng to work w|th us as a software vendor, system prov|der} based on our exper|ence and proven record |n th|s doma|n. However we found that c||- ents weren`t ready to make substant|a| |nvestments |n an ex- pensive project of developing their system from scratch. Nowadays c||ents rather favor an opt|on of hav|ng a ready to use system to jump-start their business, which may be further developed and customized according to their needs as they go. So, one day we realized we have enough experience and domain knowledge to build a generic online-trading sys- tem and offer it as a simple, yet powerful turnkey solution or substantial parts of it as building blocks for more complex environments. What makes your platform different? Over the last decade we have built platforms that were tested in the most difcult market conditions, the rapid price move- ments of 9/11, and the May 2010 F|ash Orash", our systems 80 www.forexmagnates.com Major News of the Quarter NFA hits FXDD with multiple charges including asymmetric slippage, ne will cost it over $3.5m The NFA revea|ed that |ts 2011 aud|t of FDD showed defc|enc|es |n the broker`s record keep|ng, ant|-money |aunder|ng program and other areas of the frms operat|ons. NFA may fne FDD at |east $3.5 m||||on due to order execut|on process wh|ch wou|d award slippage to the broker when it was in its favor, as opposed to when the price favored the customer. Read the entire article FXCM Japan gets away without business suspension After be|ng charged by the Japan FSA for severa| accounts of v|o|at|ons of procedures, FOM escapes w|thout a bus|ness suspen- s|on or fne. The fna| verd|ct was for FOM to de||ver to the Japan FSA a p|an on how |t wou|d amend a|| of |ts defc|enc|es. The app||cat|on of the p|an w||| be tracked quarter|y, and the fa||ure to de||ver on the p|an cou|d |ead to a suspens|on. For FOM, the dec|s|on was v|ewed pos|t|ve|y, as the |anguage of the not|ce was so harsh that many |n the market expected that FOM may face a bus|ness suspens|on. ln |t O2 2012 f||ng FOM revea|ed that |t pa|d about $2.3 m||||on |n 'trad|ng system matters` to Japanese clients probably to settle this case. Read the entire article July 103 www.forexmagnates.com Detailed broker information for the largest brokers in terms of volume FXCM Saxo Bank Alpari IG Group OANDA Gain Capital GFT CMC FxPro GMO Click Securities DMM.com CyberAgent FX Money Partners Gaitame.com 120 www.forexmagnates.com Recommended Service Providers Saving you Google time Br|dges and Custom|zed Deve|opment B|nary Opt|on P|atform Prov|ders VPS Prov|ders Ca|endar/data/market commentary Mob||e P|atform Prov|ders Charts/Patterns P|atforms Autotrad|ng/Soc|a| Networks Regu|atory Agenc|es Regu|at|on Lawyers Payment so|ut|ons mt4v|deos+educat|on Outsourced Dea|ers Forex Spec|a||zed Market|ng Agenc|es Advert|s|ng channe|s