Pt= 1+ 2*At+3*NBt+*4*NHt+1

Datos
t
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

Pt
199
228
235
285
239
293
285
365
295
290
385
505
425
415

At
1065
1254
1300
1577
1600
1750
1800
1870
1935
1948
2254
2600
2800
3000

NBt
3
3
3
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
4
4

NHt
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
2
3
3

Pt: Precio de la casa en miles de dlares. (Variable endgena)

At: Nmero de pies cuadrado del rea habitable. (Variable predeterminada)
NBt: Nmero de baos (Variable predeterminada)
NHt: Nmero de habitaciones. (Variable predeterminada)
Interpretacin de los coeficientes:
El coeficiente 1 es el valor medio esperado de aquellas viviendas que no tienen ningn
pie cuadrado de area habitable, ni habitaciones ni baos.
El coeficiente 2:
Considerando dos casas con el mismo nmero de habitaciones y de baos, para aquella
casa que tenga un pie cuadrado ms de rea habitable se espera que cambie en media
su precio de venta en 2 miles de dolares.
El coeficiente 3:
Considerando dos casas con el mismo nmero de pies cuadrados de rea habitable y
nmero de baos, para aquella casa que tenga una habitacin ms se espera que cambie
en media su precio de venta en 3 miles de dlares.
El coeficiente 4:
Considerando dos casas con el mismo nmero de pies cuadrados de rea habitable y
nmero de habitaciones, para aquella casa que tenga un bao ms se espera que cambie
en media su precio de venta en 4 miles de dlares.

SE PIDE:
1.- Elabore los modelos necesarios hasta llegar al mejor modelo. Y explique lo que quiere estudiar con el modelo.
2.- Aplique criterio Econmico, estadstico y economtrico para validar el modelo. Realizando las interpretaciones correspon
3- Realice todos los clculos en excel.
4.- Cada modelo calculado lo debe correr en eviews y luego copiarlo debajo de todos los clculos.

nota sea ordenado mostrando e interpretando los resultados. Puede seguir el formato dado en clase-

= 1+ 2*At+3*NBt+*4*NHt+1

e estudiar con el modelo.

zando las interpretaciones correspondientes.

ado en clase-

Datos
t
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
total

Pt
199
228
235
285
239
293
285
365
295
290
385
505
425
415
4,444

n=

14

X`X

x`x

x`x

At
1,065
1,254
1,300
1,577
1,600
1,750
1,800
1,870
1,935
1,948
2,254
2,600
2,800
3,000
26,753

n
At
Nbt
Nht

NBt
3
3
3
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
4
4
51

NHt
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
2
3
3
30

At

Nbt

Nht

At
At
Nbt * At
Nht*At

Nbt
At*Nbt
Nbt
Nht*Nbt

Nht
At*Nht
Nbt*Nht
Nht

14
26,753
51
30

26,753
55,462,515
99,193
60,495

51
99,193
189
111

30
60,495
111
68

DET X`X

55,462,515
99,193
60,495

99,193
189
111

60,495
111
68

55,462,515
99,193
60,495

DET X`X

26,753
51
30

99,193
189
111

60,495
111
68

26,753
51
30

DETX`X

26,753
51
30

55,462,515
99,193
60,495

60,495
111
68

26,753
51
30

DET XX

26,753
51
30

55,462,515
99,193
60,495

99,193
189
111

26,753
51
30

DET XX

202,593,752
14
26,753
51
30

26,753
55,462,515
99,193
60,495

51
99,193
189
111

30
60,495
111
68

X11

55,462,515
99,193
60,495

99,193
189
111

60,495
111
68

55,462,515
99,193
60,495

X12

26,753
51
30

99,193
189
111

60,495
111
68

26,753
51
30

X13

26,753
51
30

55,462,515
99,193
60,495

60,495
111
68

26,753
51
30

X14

26,753
51
30

55,462,515
99,193
60,495

99,193
189
111

26,753
51
30

X21

26,753
99,193
60,495

51
189
111

30
111
68

26,753
99,193
60,495

X22

14
51
30

51
189
111

30
111
68

14
51
30

X23

14
51
30

26,753
99,193
60,495

30
111
68

14
51
30

X24

14
51
30

26,753
99,193
60,495

51
189
111

14
51
30

X31

26,753
55,462,515
60,495

51
99,193
111

30
60,495
68

26,753
55,462,515
60,495

X32

14
26,753
30

51
99,193
111

30
60,495
68

14
26,753
30

x`x

X33

14
26,753
30

26,753
55,462,515
60,495

30
60,495
68

14
26,753
30

X34

14
26,753
30

26,753
55,462,515
60,495

51
99,193
111

14
26,753
30

X41

26,753
55,462,515
99,193

51
99,193
189

30
60,495
111

26,753
55,462,515
99,193

X42

14
26,753
51

51
99,193
189

30
60,495
111

14
26,753
51

X43

14
26,753
51

26,753
55,462,515
99,193

30
60,495
111

14
26,753
51

X44

14
26,753
51

26,753
55,462,515
99,193

51
99,193
189

14
26,753
51

COFX`X

859,679,578
27,246
-224,968,058
-36,282,054

27,246
126
-14,242
-100,866

-224,968,058
-14,242
85,219,918
-27,188,226

-36,282,054
-100,866
-27,188,226
153,100,546

ADJX`X

859,679,578
27,246
-224,968,058
-36,282,054

27,246
126
-14,242
-100,866

-224,968,058
-14,242
85,219,918
-27,188,226

-36,282,054
-100,866
-27,188,226
153,100,546

(X`X)-1

x`x=

4.2433666858591 0.0001344858848 -1.1104392696178 -0.1790877242848

0.0001344858848 0.0000006219343 -0.0000702983180 -0.0004978732019
-1.1104392696178 -0.0000702983180 0.4206443543234 -0.1342007131592
-0.1790877242848 -0.0004978732019 -0.1342007131592 0.7557022094146
4,444
9,095,027
16,370
9,914
4.243366685859
0.000134485885
-1.110439269618
-0.179087724285

0.000134485885
0.000000621934
-0.000070298318
-0.000497873202

-1.110439269618
-0.000070298318
0.420644354323
-0.134200713159

-0.179087724285
-0.000497873202
-0.134200713159
0.755702209415

B1=
B2=
B3=
B4=

127
0.167465983847
-18.675004301219
-28.870031164632

ANALISIS DE LA VARIANZA
B`X`Y

127.307763459557

0.167465983847 -18.675004301219 -28.870031164632

Y MEDIA AL

B`X`Y=

1,496,936

317

Q1=

1,496,936

-1,410,653

86,283

Q2=

1,512,680

1,496,936

15,744

SCMR

Q1
K-1

86,283

SCME

Q2
N-K

15,744

FC

SCMR
SCME

Q1
Q3

0.84569

= Desviacin estandar

TC

TC

125

0.000788628102

0.167465983847
0.098953074242

1.692377777346

125

0.648571009469

-18.675004301219
81.379417084132

-0.229480684064

TC

125

-28.870031164632
109.076799992172

-0.264676183815

Datos
t
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
total

Pt
199
228
235
285
239
293
285
365
295
290
385
505
425
415
4,444

At
1,065
1,254
1,300
1,577
1,600
1,750
1,800
1,870
1,935
1,948
2,254
2,600
2,800
3,000
26,753

NBt
3
3
3
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
4
4
51

D=
Deteccin de autocorrelacin

Datos
t
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13

EN TABLA
DURBIN -WATSON

DL
DU

UT (PT-PT ESTIMADA)

At
-22
4
4
26
-42
5
-11
57
-24
-31
42
56
-10

NHt
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
2
3
3
30

1.99

0.767
1.779

NBt
1,065
1,254
1,300
1,577
1,600
1,750
1,800
1,870
1,935
1,948
2,254
2,600
2,800

NHt
3
3
3
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
4

1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
2
3

14
total

-53
0

3,000
26,753

4
51

3
30

At
At*Nbt
1,134,225
1,572,516
1,690,000
2,486,929
2,560,000
3,062,500
3,240,000
3,496,900
3,744,225
3,794,704
5,080,516
6,760,000
7,840,000
9,000,000
55,462,515

At*Nht
3,195
3,762
3,900
6,308
4,800
7,000
7,200
7,480
7,740
7,792
9,016
7,800
11,200
12,000
99,193

Nbt
1,065
2,508
2,600
3,154
3,200
3,500
3,600
3,740
3,870
3,896
6,762
5,200
8,400
9,000
60,495

Nbt*Nht
9
9
9
16
9
16
16
16
16
16
16
9
16
16
189

1
At
Nbt
Nht

99,193
189 =
111

2,044,955,321,550 2,044,095,641,972 =

99,193
189 =
111

1,016,604,441

55,462,515
99,193 =
60,495

551,784,373,597

1,016,631,687 =

552,009,341,655

3
6
6
8
6
8
8
8
8
8
12
6
12
12
111

55,462,515
99,193 =
60,495

99,193
189
111

915,069,013,854

915,032,731,800

2,044,955,321,550 2,044,095,641,972

99,193
189
111

1,016,604,441

1,016,631,687

55,462,515
99,193
60,495

551,784,373,597

552,009,341,655

55,462,515
99,193
60,495

915,069,013,854

915,032,731,800

51
189
111

1,016,604,441

1,016,631,687

51
189
111

519,588

519,462

26,753
99,193
60,495

276,076,576

276,062,334

26,753
99,193
60,495

463,182,927

463,283,793

51
99,193
111

551,784,373,597

552,009,341,655

51
99,193
111

276,076,576

276,062,334

26,753
55,462,515
60,495

149,905,678,380

149,820,458,462

26,753
55,462,515
60,495

248,339,617,665

248,312,429,439

51
99,193
189

915,069,013,854

915,032,731,800

51
99,193
189

463,182,927

463,283,793

26,753
55,462,515
99,193

248,339,617,665

248,312,429,439

26,753
55,462,515
99,193

417,432,268,248

417,279,167,702

1
202,593,752

4,444
9,095,027
16,370
9,914

4,444
9,095,027
16,370
9,914
100,761

100

85

0.098953074242

B2

81.379417084132

B3

109

B4

Y`Y

UT (PT-PT ESTIMADA)

UT (PT-PT ESTIMADA)
221
224
231
259
281
288
296
308
319
321
343
449
435
468
4,444

RUT

-22
4
4
26
-42
5
-11
57
-24
-31
42
56
-10
-53
0

RAT
6
1
2
8
10
3
5
14
7
9
11
13
4

UT-1
474
20
14
678
1,805
26
128
3,246
572
967
1,725
3,141
98
2,851
15,744

RNBt
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13

UT - UT-1
-22
4
4
26
-42
5
-11
57
-24
-31
42
56
-10
53

RNHt
1
2
3
6
4
7
8
9
10
11
12
5
13

26
-1
22
-69
48
-16
68
-81
-7
73
15
-66
-43
-32

DI (RUT-RAT)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
12
11
13

5
-1
-1
4
5
-3
-2
6
-2
-1
0
1
-9

12

14

14

14

RS

208
2,730

RS

280
2,730

RS

212
2,730

-2

Nht

PT*At
1
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
4
9
9
68

PT*NBt
211,935
285,912
305,500
449,445
382,400
512,750
513,000
682,550
570,825
564,920
867,790
1,313,000
1,190,000
1,245,000
9,095,027

PT*NHt
597
684
705
1,140
717
1,172
1,140
1,460
1,180
1,160
1,540
1,515
1,700
1,660
16,370

199
456
470
570
478
586
570
730
590
580
1,155
1,010
1,275
1,245
9,914

Y`Y
39,601
51,984
55,225
81,225
57,121
85,849
81,225
133,225
87,025
84,100
148,225
255,025
180,625
172,225
1,512,680

859,679,578 *

14

12,035,514,092

-27,246 *

26,753

-728,912,238

-224,968,058 *

51

-11,473,370,958

221
224
231
259
281
288
296
308
319
321
343
449
435
468
4,444

36,282,054 *

30

859,679,578

-27,246

27,246

-224,968,058

36,282,054

-36,282,054

-27,246

27,246

126

14,242

-14,242

-100,866

-224,968,058

14,242

-14,242

1,088,461,620

85,219,918

27,188,226

-27,188,226

36,282,054

-36,282,054

-100,866

27,188,226

153,100,546

-27,188,226

(UT - UT-1)
687
0
497
4,696
2,261
268
4,662
6,542
52
5,274
211
4,349
1,892
31,392

DI (RUT-RNBt)

DI (RUT-RNHt)
5
-1
-1
2
6
-4
-3
5
-3
-2
-1
8
-9

DI (RUT-RAT)
5
-1
-1
4
5
-3
-2
6
-2
-1
-1
2
-9

DI (RUT-RNBt)
25
1
1
16
25
9
4
36
4
1
0
1
81

DI (RUT-RNHt)
25
1
1
4
36
16
9
25
9
4
1
64
81

25
1
1
16
25
9
4
36
4
1
1
4
81

-2

-2

4
208

4
280

0.076190476190

0.542857142857

0.102564102564

0.384615384615

0.077655677656

0.534065934066

4
212

4,444

9,095,027

16,370

82,719,902,144,161.00

9,914

4,444
9,095,027
16,370
9,914