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TRADE AGGREMENT
NAFTA
AN INTRODUCTION
• After ten years, most tariffs have gone to zero, except for some
very sensitive (mostly agricultural) goods that have limited
protection for up to 15 years. Clearly, U.S.-Mexico trade and
investment have grown sharply over the past decade.
$700
$600
BI LLI ON DOLLARS
411.8
$500
412.2
$400
$300
$200
300.9
226.9
$100
$0
NAFTA
EU(25) & J apan
EXPORTS I MPORTS
U.S. – NAFTA TOTAL TRADE
1990-2004
800
713.0
700 657.1
612.3 627.0
602.1
561.9
BILLION DOLLARS
600
503.3
500 477.3
421.2
400 380.6
343.2
293.2
300 265.0
240.6
233.5
200
100
0
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004
EFFECTS OF NAFTA
BENEFITS
• Critics also argue that NAFTA has contributed to the rising levels
of inequality in both the U.S. and Mexico.
• Some economists believe that NAFTA has not been enough (or
worked fast enough) to produce an economic convergence, nor to
substantially reduce poverty rates
• NAFTA slightly increased growth in output and productivity –
The CBO study, which had a limited model for estimating the
trade effects on GDP, found that NAFTA increased annual GDP
growth in the United States by no more than .04%, and for
Mexico, no more than 0.8%.
• The study's indicates that the reduction in net exports to Mexico has
eliminated 227,663 U.S. job opportunities since 1993, and the
reduction in net exports to Canada has eliminated 167,172 job
opportunities in the same period. In total, NAFTA resulted in a net
loss of 394,835 jobs in its first three years.