Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
BY HENRY O. (HANK) PRUDEN, PH.D. early 1900s. His principles and proce-
dures, which came to be known as “the
B
out time, who is left to take the other Wyckoff method,” are based on reading
side of the trade? The answer is the bet- chart patterns.
ter-informed professionals, who have Don’t expect to discover a set of pre-
efore the rudiments of tech- conditioned themselves to act in accor- cise mechanical rules with the Wyckoff
nical analysis were spread- dance with another old saying, “One method — instead, you’ll discover
ing like wildfire via the should fear to tread where fools rush in.” insights, general principles and guide-
Internet, bookstores and tel- Hence, if you want to trade like the pro- lines that will help you interpret market
evision, the general public or “the fessionals, and not count yourself behavior.
crowd,” would join a trend only after it among the fools, you may want to sell a
had been well underway. breakout rather than buy it — especially
Nowadays, however, “the crowd” when the popular stocks of the day are A spring is a price move below the sup-
often rushes into a stock, a sector or a under consideration. port level of a trading range that quickly
market at the first clue of a price break- To avoid being caught with the crowd, reverses and moves back into the range.
out from a congestion zone. But as you should contemplate buying springs A spring is an example of a “bear trap”
Joseph Granville, a famous technical and selling upthrusts — two insightful, because the drop below support appears
analyst and trader, once said, “[In the but often overlooked, principles of to signal resumption of the downtrend.
markets], whatever is obvious is obvi- Richard D. Wyckoff, an early advocate of In reality, though, the drop marks the end
ously wrong.” technical analysis who codified the best of the downtrend, thus “trapping” the
So, if the crowd is rushing in at break- practices of the famous traders of the late sellers, or bears. The extent of sup-
60
By dividing upthrusts and springs
into three separate categories, trad-
50
ers who study the Wyckoff method
will be better able to evaluate market
800,000 behavior around bear and bull traps.
700,000
The important thing to remem-
600,000
500,000 ber is that bottom fishing or top
Diminishing 400,000 picking should not always be
volume 300,000 avoided or considered dangerous.
200,000
100,000
Recognizing and understanding
springs and upthrusts can help you
Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 2000 Feb. Mar. Apr. May locate reasonably high-r eward,
low-risk opportunities near the bot-
Source: TradeStation by Omega Research
toms and tops of trading ranges. Ý