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• Bank Basel capital standards could wind up being higher than investor expectations – banks may
be required to hold common equity equivalent to 4.5‐5% of their assets and during strong economic
times, banks may have to accumulate an incremental 2‐2.5%. Tier‐1 capital would total 5.5‐6% w/an
additional 3% buffer. Expectations had been for total tier‐1 to be 7‐8%. WSJ
• Obama launching slew of new initiatives during speech in Cleveland today (the speech is due to
start at 2:10pmET according to Politico); however, Congress is unlikely to act soon on the new
proposals. Specifically, Obama will propose to expand and make permanent the R&D tax credit, allow
businesses to write‐off 100% of their capital investments through ’11, and spend an extra ~$50B on
infrastructure. Obama is against a compromise on extension of the Bush tax cuts. Obama on Wed will
make clear that he is against any extension of the Bush rates for the “wealthiest” Americans. WSJ& NYT
• Businesses told the WSJ that the new 100% depreciation write‐off idea may help accelerate
some investment plans but it won’t do much to boost longer‐term demand. Some CEOs likened the
depreciation idea to the “cash for clunkers” and homebuyers tax credit, which only accelerated demand
(rather than create new demand). – WSJ
• White House ‐ surprise decision by Chicago Mayor Daley not to seek reelection could mean that
R Emanuel leaves the White House to run ‐ Time/Washington Post
• Bloomberg News says homebuilders are finishing developments abandoned during the
recession as banks unload foreclosed projects at rock‐bottom prices.
Global equity performance map