RANDI MAWARDI Tugas Model Hydro-Climate

BMKG
BMKG Sultan Mahmud Badarudin

2001
2002
11.40
10.27
Jan
6.91
6.50
Feb
11.16
13.12
Mar
12.51
8.93
Apr
2.10
3.77
Mei
6.36
1.31
Jun
1.16
9.40
Jul
2.30
0.10
Agu
4.52
0.93
Sep
19.16
2.16
Okt
15.05
9.20
Nov
17.98
8.13
Des
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
5.36
8.77
6.99
6.41
4.19
1.48
1.65
3.42
3.67
13.31
13.11
11.00
7.23
7.61
11.51
4.39
5.31
2.29
7.84
0.03
1.71
9.78
6.53
9.10
10.45
8.34
14.69
10.30
9.58
6.34
5.20
2.84
4.43
9.34
9.99
9.79
10.47
10.88
14.93
12.35
6.04
3.99
3.92
1.89
0.11
0.88
5.99
5.43
15.78
6.39
4.47
17.41
4.84
4.15
2.80
0.09
1.51
5.40
6.34
9.18
2008
2009
2010
8.11
4.78
10.58
9.68
0.88
0.35
3.30
4.44
3.73
6.46
21.07
8.67
6.16
4.95
18.09
8.30
1.69
6.15
1.15
1.30
0.70
5.18
6.33
10.56
7.25
9.15
16.15
10.75
10.71
6.88
5.98
3.99
13.94
10.73
19.31
7.50
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
35330
31830
16610
22420
32400
32470
48920
25150
19110
22490
21420
20160
27180
23600
25860
33720
19810
14810
15350
28350
2001
35330
21420
34610
38770
6510
19730
3590
7130
2002
31830
20160
40660
27690
11680
4070
29140
310
2003
16610
27180
21680
19880
13000
4590
5110
10610
2001
21551.3
13066.2
21112.1
23649.7
3971.1
12035.3
2002
7124.8
2003
34610
40660
21680
35670
45540
46270
13850
32790
56080
50070
38770
27690
19880
13600
31930
38280
53980
30020
25720
33320
6510
11680
13000
16460
29710
18730
15000
2740
5240
33210
19730
4070
4590
7090
19650
12380
12850
1100
19050
21340
2004
22420
23600
35670
13600
16460
7090
24310
90
2005
32400
25860
45540
31930
29710
19650
16110
8810
2006
32470
33720
46270
38280
18730
12380
12150
5860
2007
48920
19810
13850
53980
15000
12850
8670
270
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
Mei
Jun
Jul
Agu
Sep
Okt
Nov
Des
14000
59390
46650
55750
2880
6700
28520
25210
11370
41270
40630
34090
5290
30330
20230
28210
13720
28960
30960
30340
350
2730
18560
16830
4690
16740
19660
28470
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
3590
29140
5110
24310
16110
12150
8670
10220
3550
18540
7130
310
10610
90
8810
5860
270
13750
4020
12370
14000
2880
11370
5290
13720
350
4690
11550
2170
43210
59390
6700
41270
30330
28960
2730
16740
20020
16050
33250
46650
28520
40630
20230
30960
18560
19660
65310
19610
59860
55750
25210
34090
28210
30340
16830
28470
26870
32740
23250
2008
25150
14810
32790
30020
2740
1100
10220
13750
2009
19110
15350
56080
25720
5240
19050
3550
4020
2010
22490
28350
50070
33320
33210
21340
18540
12370
2010
11550
20020
65310
26870
2170
16050
19610
32740
43210
33250
59860
23250
DATA PROYEKSI IKLIM GLOBAL

Koordinat Peta Geologi Lembar Palembang
200'
LS
300'
LS
10330'
BT
10500'
BT
Konversi
2
0
3
0
2.000
0.000
3.000
0.000
103 103.500
30
0.500
105 105.000
0
0.000
Data Proyeksi Iklim Global Model CGCM 3.1 (mm/day)

sresa1b mm/day
2001
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
Mei
Jun
Jul
Agu
Sep
Okt
Nov
Des
7.073625
7.736822
6.547616
5.766856
4.562703
1.861025
2.246739
4.918763
3.689887
5.992318
10.76423
5.904388
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
9.297329 6.684125 13.25019

5.945405 2.155272 5.921099
5.742895 3.716175 4.47518
4.948774 7.126679 5.415146
3.715765 4.440325 1.678742
2.653222 2.593358 2.260052
2.924278 2.090989 2.369643
3.254172 1.522197 1.405941
5.148253 0.9798182 2.446083
6.542226 3.034785 4.21825
5.668078 4.492517 4.108922
4.011119 5.506575 6.883579
6.082602
3.822691
4.861382
7.510995
3.04166
2.388143
2.779424
3.160887
2.477051
4.015594
5.189709
4.8477
7.532868
3.657141
4.632686
7.297453
3.811871
2.674921
4.254401
2.669173
3.174711
3.930379
5.908829
11.00996
6.252579
12.90003
4.850132
6.154993
2.225793
2.214803
2.465613
2.233383
3.732617
3.401894
10.58721
15.78054
2005
2006
2007
sresa2 mm/day
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
Mei
2001
2002
2003
21.35569
7.332175
3.740746
4.053802
3.782188
4.798059
5.443813
4.264179
5.744597
1.489534
11.50427
4.870425
6.81882
3.208882
1.663526
2004
9.639219 6.504686 2.90101 4.217173

4.06949 6.685272 8.570595 8.221232
4.532075 5.83843 3.238155 5.566339
4.255742
5.1171 4.914573 5.460114
3.817718 2.941292 4.611798 2.911644
Jun
Jul
Agu
Sep
Okt
Nov
Des
2.690671
2.275432
2.464015
2.206397
6.242911
5.312185
5.592618
2.532106
2.304716
2.824098
2.064589
2.417742
5.487791
5.982137
2.425178
1.997074
2.55667
3.064538
4.806802
5.15234
5.220968
2.781442
1.773798
2.417781
2.766854
6.55651
6.089226
9.968685
1.527306
2.809935
1.70497
1.567195
0.789779
5.945874
6.054036
1.844044
2.586593
2.432918
2.917351
3.912585
6.667847
7.968848
2.430976
1.807869
1.608704
2.053279
2.602693
5.558323
8.062616
sresb1 mm/day
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
Mei
Jun
Jul
Agu
Sep
Okt
Nov
Des
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
13.74379
9.959324
6.621911
6.036207
4.323463
1.467559
2.817468
2.003108
1.995503
3.259694
8.122564
6.102218
6.542616
5.443881
7.482267
6.33689
3.428472
2.72332
1.680446
1.091166
2.097208
4.251318
6.585105
4.504223
5.392731
4.79792
6.092988
6.268364
3.030187
1.800651
2.32309
1.487093
2.352166
6.29572
5.035816
8.486403
2.505238
3.067997
5.481438
5.64356
3.297052
3.431865
3.185416
3.877146
3.950921
5.959749
11.90431
6.349941
2.048301
3.58469
4.803581
5.733894
3.530648
1.688135
2.750776
3.832772
3.099865
10.16928
7.421451
5.852265
6.850812
0.996945
4.677845
5.801061
3.916873
1.574065
3.200038
1.094401
1.300053
2.741705
4.640762
12.17471
13.74466
4.991753
5.200117
5.822673
0.976286
1.629561
2.975887
2.619453
3.369331
4.541735
4.248568
17.52617
2008
2009
2010
5.635749
5.735289
4.489207
4.049236
3.543404
3.439187
3.470453
2.538488
4.610541
4.343121
8.28198
3.083648
3.159769
2.585677
5.743195
7.154235
5.674772
5.565161
2.537528
2.099676
2.562079
3.53714
5.079164
3.559057
3.614345
6.950234
6.627942
8.429958
3.255306
3.105668
3.732294
1.198112
5.048336
2.878693
8.04328
6.239998
2008
2009
2010
9.910424
8.717417
6.012639
5.702282
3.991983
3.256791
7.53653
6.100965
5.772582
1.860618
6.123665
4.965747
4.951123
6.858536
4.416756
2.878616
3.82588
3.196499
2.973801
7.464055
9.841305
5.474775
2.902985
2.034602
2.456741
1.855396
4.150867
5.830971
5.177921
5.640105
2.65035
2.141909
1.842654
2.067381
8.066834
7.286556
2008
2009
2010
4.474491
6.297082
3.562461
4.364233
2.62258
1.217692
1.977414
1.17885
1.215685
2.69114
4.636605
4.923395
5.111832
4.467504
6.75387
5.376797
3.390268
2.137025
2.768533
1.450929
1.289942
3.32793
3.877911
10.14228
5.916563
10.01954
5.673175
5.404085
2.207074
3.273887
3.029589
3.50771
3.742007
5.713468
8.96284
4.355483
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS
Data Proyeksi Iklim Global
sresa1b
2001
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
Confidence Level(95.0%)
5.588748
0.701679
5.835622
Err:512
2.430687
5.908237
0.826839
0.421168
8.903205
1.861025
10.76423
67.06497
12
10.76423
1.861025
1.544385
sresa2
2001
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
5.587403
1.511963
3.917995
Err:512
5.237595
27.4324
9.006628
2.870504
19.14929
2.206397
21.35569
67.04883
12
21.35569
2.206397
3.327809
sresb1
2001
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
5.537734
1.069497
5.179835
Err:512
3.704847
13.72589
0.679574
1.004207
12.27623
1.467559
13.74379
66.45281
12
13.74379
1.467559
2.353947
BMKG
2001
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
9.217204
1.800787
9.037097
Err:512
6.23811
38.91402
-1.261313
0.248694
18
1.158065
19.15806
110.6065
12
19.15806
1.158065
3.963506
TATISTICS
2002
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
2002
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
2003
4.987626 Mean
0.538315 Standard Error
5.048514 Median
Err:512
Mode
1.864777 Standard Deviation
3.477393 Sample Variance
1.342998 Kurtosis
0.937539 Skewness
6.644107 Range
2.653222 Minimum
9.297329 Maximum
59.85152 Sum
12 Count
9.297329 Largest(1)
2.653222 Smallest(1)
1.184823 Confidence Level(95.0%)
3.695235
0.576506
3.37548
Err:512
1.997077
3.988316
-0.858293
0.469499
6.146861
0.979818
7.126679
44.34282
12
7.126679
0.979818
1.268882
2003
3.779447 Mean
3.544139 Median
Err:512
Mode
-1.895162 Kurtosis
0.08204 Skewness
4.492603 Range
1.489534 Minimum
5.982137 Maximum
45.35336 Sum
12 Count
5.982137 Largest(1)
4.440791
0.786681
4.007842
Err:512
2.725144
7.426411
3.544076
1.678886
9.840744
1.663526
11.50427
53.28949
12
11.50427
1.663526
1.731474
2002
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
2002
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
2003
4.347243 Mean
4.377771 Median
Err:512
Mode
-1.417977 Kurtosis
-0.088637 Skewness
6.391101 Range
1.091166 Minimum
7.482267 Maximum
52.16691 Sum
12 Count
7.482267 Largest(1)
4.446927
0.638395
4.916868
Err:512
2.211465
4.890576
-0.958996
0.179064
6.99931
1.487093
8.486403
53.36313
12
8.486403
1.487093
1.405098
2003
6.151882 Mean
7.317742 Median
Err:512
Mode
-1.412733 Kurtosis
-0.074236 Skewness
13.01613 Range
0.1 Minimum
13.11613 Maximum
73.82258 Sum
12 Count
13.11613 Largest(1)
0.1 Smallest(1)
6.613441
1.194588
5.885484
Err:512
4.138173
17.12448
-0.970392
0.518597
11.83226
1.480645
13.3129
79.36129
12
13.3129
1.480645
2.62927
2004
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
2004
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
2005
4.536069 Mean
4.163586 Median
Err:512
Mode
4.421259 Kurtosis
1.873153 Skewness
11.84425 Range
1.405941 Minimum
13.25019 Maximum
54.43283 Sum
12 Count
13.25019 Largest(1)
4.181487
0.453993
3.919143
Err:512
1.572679
2.47332
0.161135
0.823024
5.122852
2.388143
7.510995
50.17784
12
7.510995
2.388143
0.999233
2005
4.889045 Mean
4.162616 Median
Err:512
Mode
0.044081 Kurtosis
0.997423 Skewness
8.194887 Range
1.773798 Minimum
9.968685 Maximum
58.66854 Sum
12 Count
9.968685 Largest(1)
3.957156
0.652721
4.029196
Err:512
2.261092
5.112536
-1.962628
-0.109602
5.895493
0.789779
6.685272
47.48587
12
6.685272
0.789779
1.436629
2004
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
2004
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
2005
4.887886 Mean
3.914034 Median
Err:512
Mode
5.171774 Kurtosis
2.070105 Skewness
9.399072 Range
2.505238 Minimum
11.90431 Maximum
58.65463 Sum
12 Count
11.90431 Largest(1)
4.542972
0.703115
3.708731
Err:512
2.435662
5.932449
1.328853
1.178334
8.481145
1.688135
10.16928
54.51566
12
10.16928
1.688135
1.547546
2005
6.110215 Mean
6.879032 Median
Err:512
Mode
-0.692391 Kurtosis
-0.333472 Skewness
11.47742 Range
0.029032 Minimum
11.50645 Maximum
73.32258 Sum
12 Count
11.50645 Largest(1)
8.440591
0.934598
9.462903
Err:512
3.237542
10.48168
0.180309
-0.053312
11.84839
2.841935
14.69032
101.2871
12
14.69032
2.841935
2.057036
2006
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
2006
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
2007
5.046199 Mean
4.09239 Median
Err:512
Mode
1.822745 Kurtosis
1.422616 Skewness
8.340787 Range
2.669173 Minimum
11.00996 Maximum
60.55439 Sum
12 Count
11.00996 Largest(1)
6.066632
1.328052
4.291375
Err:512
4.600508
21.16468
0.33079
1.207578
13.56574
2.214803
15.78054
72.79959
12
15.78054
2.214803
2.923023
2007
4.380526 Mean
3.57537 Median
Err:512
Mode
-0.425215 Kurtosis
0.914083 Skewness
6.726551 Range
1.844044 Minimum
8.570595 Maximum
52.56632 Sum
12 Count
8.570595 Largest(1)
4.208414
0.678543
3.564409
Err:512
2.350543
5.525053
-0.889406
0.633757
6.612528
1.608704
8.221232
50.50096
12
8.221232
1.608704
1.493464
2006
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
2006
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
2007
4.080772 Mean
3.558456 Median
Err:512
Mode
3.02667 Kurtosis
1.549878 Skewness
11.17777 Range
0.996945 Minimum
12.17471 Maximum
48.96927 Sum
12 Count
12.17471 Largest(1)
5.637183
1.430106
4.395152
Err:512
4.954032
24.54244
2.557835
1.781436
16.54988
0.976286
17.52617
67.64619
12
17.52617
0.976286
3.147642
2007
6.40672 Mean
5.708065 Median
Err:512
Mode
-0.884141 Kurtosis
0.451821 Skewness
14.8129 Range
0.112903 Minimum
14.92581 Maximum
76.88065 Sum
12 Count
14.92581 Largest(1)
6.529839
1.522077
5.119355
Err:512
5.27263
27.80063
0.862366
1.20938
17.32581
0.087097
17.4129
78.35806
12
17.4129
0.087097
3.350069
2008
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
2008
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
2009
4.435025 Mean
4.196179 Median
Err:512
Mode
2.676528 Kurtosis
1.446768 Skewness
5.743492 Range
2.538488 Minimum
8.28198 Maximum
53.2203 Sum
12 Count
8.28198 Largest(1)
4.104788
0.478381
3.548099
Err:512
1.65716
2.746181
-1.121016
0.488704
5.054559
2.099676
7.154235
49.25745
12
7.154235
2.099676
1.052909
2009
5.832473 Mean
5.588529 Median
Err:512
Mode
-1.228856 Kurtosis
0.481601 Skewness
7.031808 Range
2.878616 Minimum
9.910424 Maximum
69.98968 Sum
12 Count
9.910424 Largest(1)
4.078081
0.563601
3.703829
Err:512
1.95237
3.811747
-1.27591
0.357236
5.681134
1.855396
7.53653
48.93697
12
7.53653
1.855396
1.240477
2008
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
2008
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
2009
3.263469 Mean
3.126801 Median
Err:512
Mode
-1.069834 Kurtosis
0.210029 Skewness
5.118232 Range
1.17885 Minimum
6.297082 Maximum
39.16163 Sum
12 Count
6.297082 Largest(1)
1.17885 Smallest(1)
4.174568
0.717549
3.63409
Err:512
2.485663
6.178521
2.000579
1.248164
8.852338
1.289942
10.14228
50.09482
12
10.14228
1.289942
1.579315
2009
6.836828 Mean
5.617742 Median
Err:512
Mode
3.350382 Kurtosis
1.518163 Skewness
20.7129 Range
0.354839 Minimum
21.06774 Maximum
82.04194 Sum
12 Count
21.06774 Largest(1)
5.878763
1.420529
5.66129
Err:512
4.920857
24.21484
2.610711
1.393579
17.39032
0.7
18.09032
70.54516
12
18.09032
0.7
3.126564
sresa1b
2010
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
4.927014
0.663266
4.390315
Err:512
2.29762
5.279059
-1.162451
0.122227
7.231846
1.198112
8.429958
59.12417
12
8.429958
1.198112
1.459838
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2001
2002
1
0.617213
0.402822
0.449529
0.597368
0.369114
0.622124
0.793766
0.102579
0.571896
1
0.422339
0.811953
0.559081
0.286115
0.248479
0.600571
-0.089415
0.220869
2001
2002
1
0.366929
0.886329
0.703808
0.497826
0.063909
0.237441
0.701313
0.116235
0.310298
1
0.516389
0.583544
0.870198
0.684858
0.877567
0.647156
0.825907
0.786471
sresa2
2010
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
4.750968
0.625339
4.958435
Err:512
2.166239
4.692589
-1.347288
-0.05971
6.22418
1.842654
8.066834
57.01162
12
8.066834
1.842654
1.376362
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
sresb1
2010
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
5.150452
0.682471
4.879784
Err:512
2.364147
5.589193
0.471863
1.00934
7.812466
2.207074
10.01954
61.80542
12
10.01954
2.207074
1.502108
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2001
2002
1
0.771879
0.529791
0.089482
-0.031468
0.406837
0.578638
0.827006
0.491891
0.668511
1
0.736791
0.424544
0.323307
0.439058
0.406679
0.775717
0.616747
0.667966
2001
2002
1
0.327821
0.855971
0.563556
0.604444
0.181258
0.498284
0.629848
0.575776
0.358004
1
0.246685
0.703057
0.729872
0.785717
0.524959
0.574295
0.658098
0.330471
BMKG
2010
Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum
Count
Largest(1)
Smallest(1)
10.19516
1.284117
9.929032
Err:512
4.448312
19.78748
0.153511
0.77489
15.31935
3.990323
19.30968
122.3419
12
19.30968
3.990323
2.826323
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2003
1
0.662383
0.868817
0.783202
0.347274
0.19352
0.571295
0.429606
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
1
0.661708
1
0.649009 0.694924
1
0.469567 0.41546 0.689772
1
0.354306 0.349904 0.096092 0.397868
1
-0.070573 0.460212 0.16923 -0.076179 0.089824
1
0.239017 0.61388 0.476037 0.652525 0.556881 0.453556
2003
2004
1
0.755677
0.621985
0.100699
0.394081
0.748978
0.344708
0.372842
1
0.547261
0.427868
0.540386
0.643225
0.332546
0.545245
2005
2006
2007
1
0.63759
1
0.859086 0.867952
1
0.686478
0.5102 0.570892
0.722653 0.721976 0.873648
0.755975 0.532996 0.701441
2008
2009
1
0.63797
1
0.50395 0.573502
2010
2003
2004
2005
1
0.420653
0.594234
0.768366
0.736734
0.742506
0.882879
0.439635
1
0.697535
0.29028
0.080107
0.2987
0.249997
0.451458
1
0.210203
0.092298
0.254847
0.253903
0.352048
2003
2004
2005
1
0.568812
0.509364
0.097622
0.242355
0.691235
0.369095
0.493584
1
0.758231
0.46262
0.244475
0.354775
0.622376
0.295131
1
0.758733
0.530592
0.504539
0.823392
0.53228
2006
2007
2008
1
0.862601
1
0.492305 0.561127
1
0.885431 0.805577 0.692679
-0.015937 0.175112 0.780888
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
1
0.23355
2009
1
0.595813
1
0.331223 0.334589
1
0.701853 0.33869 0.456022
1
0.240925 0.004526 0.674727 0.378901
2010
UJI NORMALITAS
DATA PROYEKSI IKLIM GLOBAL
sresa1b
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
Mei
Jun
Jul
Agu
Sep
Okt
Nov
Des
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
7.073625
7.736822
6.547616
5.766856
4.562703
1.861025
2.246739
4.918763
3.689887
5.992318
10.76423
5.904388
9.297329
5.945405
5.742895
4.948774
3.715765
2.653222
2.924278
3.254172
5.148253
6.542226
5.668078
4.011119
6.684125
2.155272
3.716175
7.126679
4.440325
2.593358
2.090989
1.522197
0.979818
3.034785
4.492517
5.506575
13.25019
5.921099
4.47518
5.415146
1.678742
2.260052
2.369643
1.405941
2.446083
4.21825
4.108922
6.883579
6.082602
3.822691
4.861382
7.510995
3.04166
2.388143
2.779424
3.160887
2.477051
4.015594
5.189709
4.8477
7.532868
3.657141
4.632686
7.297453
3.811871
2.674921
4.254401
2.669173
3.174711
3.930379
5.908829
11.00996
6.252579
12.90003
4.850132
6.154993
2.225793
2.214803
2.465613
2.233383
3.732617
3.401894
10.58721
15.78054
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
sresa2
Jan
Feb
21.35569 4.798059 11.50427 9.639219 6.504686 2.90101 4.217173

7.332175 5.443813 4.870425 4.06949 6.685272 8.570595 8.221232
Mar
Apr
Mei
Jun
Jul
Agu
Sep
Okt
Nov
Des
3.740746
4.053802
3.782188
2.690671
2.275432
2.464015
2.206397
6.242911
5.312185
5.592618
4.264179
5.744597
1.489534
2.532106
2.304716
2.824098
2.064589
2.417742
5.487791
5.982137
6.81882
3.208882
1.663526
2.425178
1.997074
2.55667
3.064538
4.806802
5.15234
5.220968
4.532075
4.255742
3.817718
2.781442
1.773798
2.417781
2.766854
6.55651
6.089226
9.968685
5.83843
5.1171
2.941292
1.527306
2.809935
1.70497
1.567195
0.789779
5.945874
6.054036
3.238155
4.914573
4.611798
1.844044
2.586593
2.432918
2.917351
3.912585
6.667847
7.968848
5.566339
5.460114
2.911644
2.430976
1.807869
1.608704
2.053279
2.602693
5.558323
8.062616
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
13.74379
9.959324
6.621911
6.036207
4.323463
1.467559
2.817468
2.003108
1.995503
6.542616
5.443881
7.482267
6.33689
3.428472
2.72332
1.680446
1.091166
2.097208
5.392731
4.79792
6.092988
6.268364
3.030187
1.800651
2.32309
1.487093
2.352166
2.505238
3.067997
5.481438
5.64356
3.297052
3.431865
3.185416
3.877146
3.950921
2.048301
3.58469
4.803581
5.733894
3.530648
1.688135
2.750776
3.832772
3.099865
6.850812
0.996945
4.677845
5.801061
3.916873
1.574065
3.200038
1.094401
1.300053
13.74466
4.991753
5.200117
5.822673
0.976286
1.629561
2.975887
2.619453
3.369331
sresb1
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
Mei
Jun
Jul
Agu
Sep
Okt
Nov
Des
3.259694 4.251318 6.29572 5.959749 10.16928 2.741705 4.541735

8.122564 6.585105 5.035816 11.90431 7.421451 4.640762 4.248568
6.102218 4.504223 8.486403 6.349941 5.852265 12.17471 17.52617
BMKG
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
Mei
Jun
Jul
Agu
Sep
Okt
Nov
Des
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
11.40
6.91
11.16
12.51
2.10
6.36
1.16
2.30
4.52
19.16
15.05
17.98
10.27
6.50
13.12
8.93
3.77
1.31
9.40
0.10
0.93
2.16
9.20
8.13
5.36
8.77
6.99
6.41
4.19
1.48
1.65
3.42
3.67
13.31
13.11
11.00
7.23
7.61
11.51
4.39
5.31
2.29
7.84
0.03
1.71
9.78
6.53
9.10
10.45
8.34
14.69
10.30
9.58
6.34
5.20
2.84
4.43
9.34
9.99
9.79
10.47
10.88
14.93
12.35
6.04
3.99
3.92
1.89
0.11
0.88
5.99
5.43
15.78
6.39
4.47
17.41
4.84
4.15
2.80
0.09
1.51
5.40
6.34
9.18
2008
2009
2010
5.635749
5.735289
4.489207
4.049236
3.543404
3.439187
3.470453
2.538488
4.610541
4.343121
8.28198
3.083648
3.159769
2.585677
5.743195
7.154235
5.674772
5.565161
2.537528
2.099676
2.562079
3.53714
5.079164
3.559057
3.614345
6.950234
6.627942
8.429958
3.255306
3.105668
3.732294
1.198112
5.048336
2.878693
8.04328
6.239998
2008
2009
2010
9.910424 3.256791 6.123665

8.717417 7.53653 4.965747
Median
Mean
Mode
SD
Minimum
Maximum
Median
Mean
Mode
4.2363255
4.7568822517
#VALUE!
2.52956202
0.9798182
15.78054
4.18402
4.59043
#VALUE!
6.012639
5.702282
3.991983
2.878616
3.82588
3.196499
2.973801
7.464055
9.841305
5.474775
6.100965
5.772582
1.860618
2.902985
2.034602
2.456741
1.855396
4.150867
5.830971
5.177921
4.951123
6.858536
4.416756
5.640105
2.65035
2.141909
1.842654
2.067381
8.066834
7.286556
2008
2009
2010
4.474491
6.297082
3.562461
4.364233
2.62258
1.217692
1.977414
1.17885
1.215685
5.111832
4.467504
6.75387
5.376797
3.390268
2.137025
2.768533
1.450929
1.289942
5.916563
10.01954
5.673175
5.404085
2.207074
3.273887
3.029589
3.50771
3.742007
SD
Minimum
Maximum
2.72663
0.78978
21.35569
Median
4.09974
4.60692
#VALUE!
2.88729
0.97629
17.52617
Mean
Mode
SD
Minimum
Maximum
2.69114 3.32793 5.713468

4.636605 3.877911 8.96284
4.923395 10.14228 4.355483
2008
2009
2010
8.11
4.78
10.58
9.68
0.88
0.35
3.30
4.44
3.73
6.46
21.07
8.67
6.16
4.95
18.09
8.30
1.69
6.15
1.15
1.30
0.70
5.18
6.33
10.56
7.25
9.15
16.15
10.75
10.71
6.88
5.98
3.99
13.94
10.73
19.31
7.50
Median
Mean
Mode
SD
Minimum
Maximum
6.44
7.24
#VALUE!
4.7543337823
0.03
21.07
Bin
Curah Hujan
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
sresa1b
Percentage
Frequency
Curah Hujan
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
Total
0
6
49
38
17
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
5
40.8333333333
31.6666666667
14.1666666667
3.3333333333
2.5
1.6666666667
0.8333333333
0
0
0
120
100
sresa2
Bin
Curah Hujan
0
Curah Hujan
Frequency
0
14
Percentage
11.6666666667
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
Total
35.8333333333
29.1666666667
14.1666666667
7.5
0.8333333333
0
0
0
0
0.8333333333
0
0
0
0
120
100
43
35
17
9
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
sresb1
Bin
Curah Hujan
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Curah Hujan
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Percentage
Frequency
0
19
41
33
15
4
4
3
0
15.8333333333
34.1666666667
27.5
12.5
3.3333333333
3.3333333333
2.5
16
18
20
22
0
1
0
0
0
0.8333333333
0
0
120
100
16
18
20
22
Total
Data BMKG
Bin
Curah Hujan
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
Curah Hujan
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
Total
Percentage
Frequency
0
19
14
18
20
18
14
6
4
3
3
1
0
15.8333333333
11.6666666667
15
16.6666666667
15
11.6666666667
5
3.3333333333
2.5
2.5
0.8333333333
120
100
Curah Hujan Ske

45
Normal Distribution
0.0269127476
0.087083482
0.0251711352
0.1397724747
0.0017013582
0.018405517
0.00
0.0001988451
8.09214209156883E-006
1.76247206392957E-007
2.05442886387643E-009
40
35
30
25
Percentage
20
15
10
0
0
10
12
14
16
18
Cu
Normal Distribution
0.03547
40
35
Curah Hujan Sken
Curah Hujan Sken
40
0.09317
0.14292
0.12801
0.06695
0.02044
0.00365
0.00038
0.00002
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
35
30
25
20
Percentage
15
10
0
0
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Cu
Normal Distribution
0.03869
0.09192
0.13515
0.12299
0.06927
0.02414
0.00521
0.00070
40
35
30
25
20
Percentage
Curah Hujan Ske
30
25
0.00006
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
20
Percentage
15
10
0
0
10
12
14
16
18
Cu
KG
Normal Distribution
0.02633
0.04573
0.06654
0.08111
0.08284
0.07088
0.05081
0.03052
0.01536
0.00647
0.00229
0.00068
18
16
14
12
10
Percentage
8
Curah Hujan D
0
0
10
12
14
16
18
Cu
h Hujan Skenario SRESA1B (mm/day)

0.14
0.12
0.1
0.08
Normal Distribution
0.06
0.04
0.02
12
14
16
18
20
22
Curah Hujan
Hujan Skenario SRESA2 (mm/day)
0.16000
0.14000
Hujan Skenario SRESA2 (mm/day)
0.16000
0.14000
0.12000
0.10000
0.08000
Normal Distribution
0.06000
0.04000
0.02000
0.00000
14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28
Curah Hujan
h Hujan Skenario SRESB1 (mm/day)
0.16000
0.14000
0.12000
0.10000
0.08000
Normal Distribution
10
0.12000
0.10000
0.08000
Normal Distribution
0.06000
0.04000
0.02000
0.00000
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
Curah Hujan
rah Hujan Data BMKG (mm/day)
0.09000
0.08000
0.07000
0.06000
0.05000
Normal Distribution
0.04000
0.03000
0.02000
0.01000
10
0.03000
0.02000
0.01000
0.00000
12
14
16
18
20
22
Curah Hujan
ANALISA VARIAN
sresa1b
Anova: Single Factor
SUMMARY
Groups
Count
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
ANOVA
Source of Variation
SS
Between Groups
55.30909
Within Groups
706.13431
Total
761.4434
Sum
67.06497
59.85152
44.34282
54.43283
50.17784
60.55439
72.79959
53.2203
49.25745
59.12417
df
Average
5.588748
4.987626
3.695235
4.536069
4.181487
5.046199
6.066632
4.435025
4.104788
4.927014
Variance
5.908237
3.4773931
3.9883165
10.602607
2.4733201
6.1667238
21.164676
2.3875147
2.7461806
5.2790587
MS
F
P-value
9 6.145454 0.9573249 0.479294
110 6.419403
119
sresa2
SUMMARY
Groups
Count
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
12
12
12
12
12
12
Sum
67.04883
45.35336
53.28949
58.66854
47.48587
52.56632
Average
5.587403
3.779447
4.440791
4.889045
3.957156
4.380526
Variance
27.4324
2.75971
7.4264108
7.2448433
5.1125359
5.0274732
2007
2008
2009
2010
12
12
12
12
ANOVA
Source of Variation
SS
Between Groups 50.222251
Within Groups
834.48258
Total
50.50096
69.98968
48.93697
57.01162
df
884.70483
4.208414
5.832473
4.078081
4.750968
5.5250526
6.8292902
3.8117473
4.6925893
MS
F
P-value
9 5.58025 0.7355786 0.675523
110 7.586205
119
sresb1
SUMMARY
Groups
Count
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
ANOVA
Source of Variation
SS
Between Groups
56.01557
Within Groups
936.0187
Total
992.03427
Sum
66.45281
52.16691
53.36313
58.65463
54.51566
48.96927
67.64619
39.16163
50.09482
61.80542
df
Average
5.537734
4.347243
4.446927
4.887886
4.542972
4.080772
5.637183
3.263469
4.174568
5.150452
Variance
13.72589
4.6462715
4.890576
6.5343371
5.9324485
10.168588
24.542437
2.8843466
6.1785214
5.5891933
MS
F
P-value
9 6.223952 0.7314328 0.679282
110 8.509261
119
BMKG
SUMMARY
Groups
Count
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
ANOVA
Source of Variation
SS
Between Groups 241.81063
Within Groups
2448.0284
Total
2689.8391
Sum
110.6065
73.82258
79.36129
73.32258
101.2871
76.88065
78.35806
82.04194
70.54516
122.3419
df
Average
9.217204
6.151882
6.613441
6.110215
8.440591
6.40672
6.529839
6.836828
5.878763
10.19516
Variance
38.914018
18.726023
17.124476
12.076609
10.481677
22.566602
27.800626
30.855691
24.214838
19.78748
MS
F
P-value
9 26.86785 1.207283 0.297828
110 22.2548
119
F crit
1.9660537247
F crit
1.9660537247
F crit
1.9660537247
F crit
1.9660537247

RANDI MAWARDI Tugas Model Hydro-Climate

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BMKG

BMKG Sultan Mahmud Badarudin

DATA PROYEKSI IKLIM GLOBAL

Data Proyeksi Iklim Global Model CGCM 3.1 (mm/day)

9.297329 6.684125 13.25019

9.639219 6.504686 2.90101 4.217173

21.35569 4.798059 11.50427 9.639219 6.504686 2.90101 4.217173

3.259694 4.251318 6.29572 5.959749 10.16928 2.741705 4.541735

9.910424 3.256791 6.123665

2.69114 3.32793 5.713468

Curah Hujan Ske

Curah Hujan Sken

Curah Hujan Sken

Curah Hujan Ske

h Hujan Skenario SRESA1B (mm/day)

Hujan Skenario SRESA2 (mm/day)

Hujan Skenario SRESA2 (mm/day)

h Hujan Skenario SRESB1 (mm/day)

rah Hujan Data BMKG (mm/day)

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