study of imetelstat support a unique mechanism of action that deserves further laboratory-based investigation. Ayalew Tefferi, M.D. Mayo Clinic Rochester, MN Since publication of his article, the author reports no further potential conflict of interest.
1. Cassinat B, Verger E, Kiladjian JJ. Interferon alfa therapy in
CALR-mutated essential thrombocythemia. N Engl J Med 2014; 371:188-9. 2. Kuriakose ET, Gjoni S, Wang YL, et al. JAK2V617F allele burden is reduced by busulfan therapy: a new observation using an old drug. Haematologica 2013;98(11):e135-7. 3. Kiladjian JJ, Mass A, Cassinat B, et al. Clonal analysis of erythroid progenitors suggests that pegylated interferon alpha2a treatment targets JAK2V617F clones without affecting TET2 mutant cells. Leukemia 2010;24:1519-23. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMc1512663
Cell-free DNA Analysis for Noninvasive Examination of Trisomy
To the Editor: Norton et al. (April 23 issue)1 report near-perfect accuracy of detection for trisomy 21 (Downs syndrome) with the use of cellfree DNA (cfDNA) (sensitivity, 100% [38 of 38 cases of trisomy 21]; false positive rate, 0.06% [9 false positives among 15,841 women]) in the Noninvasive Examination of Trisomy (NEXT) study. These seemingly promising results may be misleading because they excluded 488 patients (3% of their sample) with indeterminate cfDNA results. The prevalence of aneuploidy was higher among these patients than in the overall cohort (2.7% vs. 0.4%); thus, their exclusion may introduce bias.2 Estimates of accuracy should consider indeterminate results to be either positives or negatives according to how they would be handled in clinical practice.2 Given their increased risk of aneuploidy, patients with indeterminate results would probably undergo additional testing. Thus, it may be appropriate to classify their cfDNA results as positives. This classification would result in a false positive rate of 3.0% and a positive predictive value of 7.6%, much lower than the reported positive predictive value of 80.9%. Alternatively, if indeterminate results were classified as negatives, sensitivity would be reduced to 38 of 41 cases (93%) (95% confidence interval [CI], 80 to 98). Assuming that no patients with indeterminate results on standard screening had trisomy 21, the sensitivity of cfDNA testing and standard screening (33 of 41 cases [81%]; 95% CI, 66 to 90) would not be significantly different (P=0.22 by McNemars test). Rebecca SmithBindman, M.D. University of California, San Francisco San Francisco, CA rebecca.smith-bindman@ucsf.edu
Diana Miglioretti, Ph.D.
University of California, Davis Davis, CA No potential conflict of interest relevant to this letter was reported. 1. Norton ME, Jacobsson B, Swamy GK, et al. Cell-free DNA analysis for noninvasive examination of trisomy. N Engl J Med 2015;372:1589-97. 2. Bossuyt PM, Reitsma JB, Bruns DE, et al. The STARD statement for reporting studies of diagnostic accuracy: explanation and elaboration. Ann Intern Med 2003;138:W1-12. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMc1509344
To the Editor: Norton and colleagues found
that cfDNA testing for trisomy 21, as compared with standard screening, had a better global performance during the first trimester of pregnancy. However, they did not provide information about the 14 fetal chromosomal abnormalities in the 15,841 screened pregnancies, other than for trisomies 13, 18, and 21. Were these 14 aneuploidies diagnosed prenatally because of abnormal features on follow-up ultrasonography or because of stillbirths or miscarriages? Or were they detected by standard screening or postnatally? The answers to these questions may help to determine whether a routine policy of general screening for aneuploidy with the use of ultrasonography and cfDNA testing rather than standard screening is the best strategy. Loc Sentilhes, M.D., Ph.D. Bordeaux University Hospital Bordeaux, France loicsentilhes@hotmail.com
LaurentJ. Salomon, M.D., Ph.D.
University of Paris Paris, France
n engl j med 373;26nejm.org December 24, 2015
The New England Journal of Medicine
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n e w e ng l a n d j o u r na l
Christophe Vayssire, M.D., Ph.D.
University Toulouse III Toulouse, France No potential conflict of interest relevant to this letter was reported. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMc1509344
of
m e dic i n e
and maximizing detection of all aneuploidies in
this group. Currently, screening by means of cfDNA is not designed to detect all aneuploidies, and trisomy 21 composed just over 50% of chromosomal abnormalities in the NEXT cohort. As we noted, Women who desire a comprehensive assessment may prefer diagnostic testing with karyotype or chromosomal microarray analysis. Although the introduction of cfDNA testing has rapidly reduced the use of chorionic-villus sampling and amniocentesis, the value to many patients of comprehensive fetal genetic analysis and the increasing safety of diagnostic procedures are key to informed decision making. A recent meta-analysis calculated the rate of pregnancy loss from amniocentesis at 1 loss in 1000 procedures; this rate was little different from the background risk.5 To our knowledge, from a population standpoint, no studies have evaluated the appropriate balance between cfDNA screening and diagnostic testing. As in all prenatal diagnosis, pretest counseling is key to ensuring that couples choose the appropriate test that is suited to their preferences.
The authors reply: Our study was designed
tocompare cfDNA testing with standard firsttrimester screening for trisomy 21 only in patients who had results from both tests and not to compare performance in actual clinical practice. The issue of no call results could be addressed by a comparative-effectiveness trial following an entire enrolled cohort, including patients who do not complete first-trimester screening or have no-call results on cfDNA screening. On secondary analysis of results from the NEXT cohort, the no-call group was found to have an increased risk of aneuploidy (odds ratio, 6.35; 95% CI, 3.48 to 11.57), particularly among samples with a low fraction of fetal cfDNA (odds ratio, 11.4; 95% CI, 5.6 to 23.2). This increased risk was present among patients with a no-call result after the first attempted analysis; a second sample was not obtained, as occurs in clinical MaryE. Norton, M.D. practice. Data from other publications and laboUniversity of California, San Francisco ratories support this finding, with an odds ratio San Francisco, CA from 4.2 to 9.2.1-4 To our knowledge, this group mary.norton@ucsf.edu has not been studied directly, and data are lackRonaldJ. Wapner, M.D. ing to clarify risks. University Medical Center A low fraction of fetal cfDNA is also associ- Columbia New York, NY ated with maternal weight; in the NEXT study, publication of their article, the authors report no furthe median maternal weight in women with a therSince potential conflict of interest. low fraction of fetal cfDNA was 93.7 kg, as compared with 65.8 kg in women with a successful 1. Palomaki GE, Kloza EM, Lambert-Messerlian GM, et al. sequencing of maternal plasma to detect Down syndrome: result (P<0.001). Ideally, a correction factor for DNA an international clinical validation study. Genet Med 2011;13: maternal weight might be applied to determine 913-20. how much a low fraction of fetal cfDNA in- 2. Palomaki GE, Kloza EM, Lambert-Messerlian GM, et al. Circulating cell free DNA testing: are some test failures informacreases the risk of aneuploidy. tive? Prenat Diagn 2015;35:289-93. Clearly, patients with assay failure for any 3. Pergament E, Cuckle H, Zimmermann B, et al. Single-nuclereason require follow-up with repeat cfDNA otide polymorphism-based noninvasive prenatal screening in a and low-risk cohort. Obstet Gynecol 2014;124:210-8. screening, traditional biochemical and ultraso- high-risk 4. Turocy JF, Norem C, Blumberg B, Norton ME. Chromosomal nographic screening, or invasive diagnostic test- abnormalities detected in patients with failure to obtain test ing. To wit, the status of Downs syndrome in results using non-invasive prenatal testing. Am J Obstet Gynecol 212:S45. abstract. the three fetuses in the low fetal fraction group 2015; 5. Akolekar R, Beta J, Picciarelli G, Ogilvie C, DAntonio F. was detected by means of standard first-trimes- Procedure-related risk of miscarriage following amniocentesis ter screening (with measurement of serum ana- and chorionic villus sampling: a systematic review and metalytes and nuchal translucency). Further studies analysis. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2015;45:16-26. may evaluate methods of combining approaches DOI: 10.1056/NEJMc1509344
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