Hidrologia Estadistica - Modelo Autorregresivo

Auccapia P.
, Edison
Alumno.
Cdigo:
ESTACIO
AO
1963
1961
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1981
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
ENE.
100.3
84.7
124.6
86.1
273.3
36.7
58
138.1
57.8
90.7
151.1
100.5
114
225.1
102.5
27.3
42.3
19.7
79.4
9.5
85.6
87.5
132.4
61.1
222.1
85.9
276.8
37.2
35.4
183.9
61.6
99.2
142.5
66.4
25.3
FEB
261.7
126.8
66.2
81.3
214.7
38
65.6
32.5
43.3
88.6
129.9
164.9
45.1
136.8
116.7
86.5
82.1
35.3
216
19.5
74.2
419.3
133.4
100.8
359.5
81.8
444.4
46.4
149.9
78.2
170.4
120.9
142.9
158.6
244.5
MAR.
497.5
198.9
240.5
207.5
126.1
83.8
241.2
139.1
359.9
432.3
240.6
18.1
245.8
125.4
30.7
121.8
198.7
89.2
78.9
28.4
191.2
307.3
208.8
143
177.7
128.6
480.9
96.9
324.1
318.3
385.9
261.7
113.5
166.2
129.6
ABR.
290.8
139
241.7
133
87.7
20.6
115.9
717.2
127.9
69.2
136
135.5
70.6
81
30.1
57.4
35.6
25.1
12.5
114.6
219
365.2
100.2
286.3
635.3
361.3
355.8
78
349.1
174.4
215.1
139
32.7
82.4
119.8
MAY.
72.2
57.3
35.5
35.5
36.7
10.8
36
116
40.2
56
107.3
33.7
5.5
67.6
27.7
25.3
2.5
1.5
0
24.5
112.1
309.1
51.4
26.8
33.1
207.6
69
5.2
265.3
246.7
0
96.1
25.1
32.9
21.1
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
MEDIA
D.EST.
416.3
124
65.9
131.8
13.6
98.3
30.6
68.3
138.4
61.8
145
104.9
77.5
627.5
295.8
216.3
99.1
226.4
98.1
109.7
131.9
312.3
51.1
351
158.6
124.8
783.9
124.6
268.6
403.4
383.8
89.3
119.4
231.8
371.3
230.6
345.7
228.1
146
423.5
221.4
185
207.2
186.2
84.5
100.7
77
58.2
116.4
208.7
174.4
148.1
112.3
100.3
83.5
31
21.4
55.9
52.2
5.6
14.9
54.4
41.2
62.4
68.8
ESTACIO
ANO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
ENE.
78.6
69.5
106
99.4
235.2
19.5
84.4
131.1
77.4
95.5
123.9
75.5
128.7
260.9
94.2
34.7
49
21.2
70.6
39.1
185.9
57.3
94.4
92.7
158.8
75
FEB
219.5
133.6
53.5
79.1
212.5
20.2
94.1
48.2
72.5
92.8
149.8
156.4
119.8
147.1
225.3
90.2
79
45.9
255.4
38.1
133.8
347.2
109.4
95.9
273.2
118.8
MAR.
388.1
172.6
202.9
148
134.1
95.9
256.9
165.4
413.3
512.9
261.6
35.5
266.2
110.8
159.4
221.7
246.9
111.1
126.4
56.7
319.3
300.8
182.3
161.5
149.4
77.6
ABR.
328.2
217
258.2
117.6
155.6
38.4
148.1
451.6
130.4
138.3
228
138.2
152.2
109.2
101.1
150.3
70.6
49.9
74.1
164.3
269.4
268
88.6
307.3
394.1
289.6
MAY.
97.7
49.8
47.6
18.9
50.8
12
77.7
143.6
79.7
72
113.1
67.1
133.9
63.7
32.4
51.9
46.1
20.3
23.9
51.5
91.1
226.2
53.5
44.2
21.7
152.1
1989
200.2
345.8
350.7
262.4
54.4
1990
28
66
131.3
102.6
20.1
1991
25.8
137.4
228.5
256
192.8
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
MEDIA
D.EST.
144.2
75.6
124
129.4
83.8
38
341.8
137.5
86.8
145.9
15.7
98.6
41.9
68.7
137.9
56.8
150.9
102
65.1
61.1
178.9
141.2
148.8
179.5
222.7
444.2
352.7
381.9
91.8
244.2
107.8
115.3
139.2
281.3
49.6
364.5
162.3
103.9
277.7
367.2
260.2
144.8
202.5
103
641.4
119.8
205
422.8
269.7
76
117.8
256.7
377
267.3
373.5
227.6
124.9
181
253
188.9
81
135.5
160.8
413.4
267.7
254.9
220.8
227.7
93.1
136
74.1
72.3
186.7
260.6
188.4
96.9
165.6
52
119.3
53
52.2
23.2
105.4
129.9
142.1
42.6
26.2
68.5
56
8.8
36.5
64.3
66.1
72.2
49.3
ESTACIO
ANO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
ENE.
46.8
45.4
73.7
99.6
166.8
0
99.5
107.1
86.6
87.8
80.7
41
126.4
262.1
73.7
FEB
149.1
122.9
33.9
66.5
182.5
0
110
57.3
91.8
84.8
149.8
127.5
177.8
138.1
303
MAR.
229.1
124
139.2
69.7
124.5
95.4
238.7
169.7
411.8
525.3
248
48
251.6
81.9
265.6
ABR.
322.1
265.6
240.8
86.9
202.3
50.9
160.5
129.9
115.8
188.4
289
122.9
212.9
122.9
158
MAY.
110.2
35.9
53.4
0
58
11.7
108.8
152.1
108.2
78.4
104.1
91.3
243.4
51.5
32.8
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
MEDIA
D.EST.
37.4
49.1
19.9
52.7
63.2
260.7
19.9
44.5
108.8
75.5
54.4
98.3
15.2
12.9
86
79.6
132.2
99.5
90.1
45.6
223.5
132.8
95.9
137.7
15.7
86
47.5
60
119.2
44.5
137
85.7
57.4
81.9
65.5
50.3
260.9
51.5
175.1
230.5
71.4
78.4
152.1
139.8
203
76.6
107.1
36.3
163.8
142.7
135.1
176.7
172
204.8
362.7
495.5
72.5
229.8
103.3
105.8
128.2
213.9
41.7
330.1
144.7
93.9
291.3
262.1
118.2
156.8
77.2
401
255.1
132.2
158.5
101.8
17
176.1
148
104.1
201.2
300.7
224.6
156.8
211.8
63.2
416.5
99.5
115.4
386.6
121.7
52.9
100.9
247.7
333.3
268.5
352.1
197.3
114.2
222.3
95.9
67.9
125.2
191.9
284
136.9
65.5
287.8
104.1
180.8
135.7
113.5
130.5
163.8
257.4
213.5
118.2
170.2
180.2
349.2
278.5
290.5
205.3
238.9
89.4
153
61.7
76.8
231.7
277.6
177.5
76.9
71.4
83.1
36.3
44.5
71.4
58.5
114.7
45.6
55.6
7.6
77.2
32.8
32.2
95.9
63.8
96.5
126.5
73.7
64.4
22.2
84.8
142.2
181.4
48.4
27.5
72
52.4
10.8
53
65.8
82
72.5
46
PREC
on
ESTACION 3002
JUN.
21.6
22.8
19.1
7.2
11.3
2.4
34.7
29.8
36.2
29.5
29.3
68.9
27.3
56.4
15
8.4
0
0
27.9
2.7
0
214.4
25
16.9
15.3
23.9
175.1
174.4
8.2
217.5
0
46.9
6
19.3
22.9
JUL.
25.8
26.5
31.4
7.5
33.8
34.6
0
10.9
28.2
0
14.9
8.1
0.3
2.5
4.5
19.4
3.3
6.3
20.9
12.5
0
97.7
31.3
28
22
0
0
44.5
0
0
21.8
0
45.3
0
0
AGO.
34.4
78.8
25.6
3.4
37.9
21.1
49.6
67
71.5
12
28
14.9
48.7
15.2
0
4.9
19.6
11.8
7.1
0
18.3
83.1
52
74
22
81.1
21.8
0
0
0
3.7
0
0
32.7
0
SET.
62.5
71.3
74.1
75.2
38.8
49.1
13.7
50.4
101.6
21.4
82.1
58.8
116.2
7.1
39.8
111.8
43.9
27.7
31.8
19.5
97.1
74.6
38.4
42.3
60.9
57.7
140.6
29.1
13.1
48.4
60.4
26.6
44.9
24.2
31.7
OCT.
69.3
90.3
60.7
84
59.7
65.1
30.8
87.7
73.9
37.8
17.8
24
134.6
25.5
52.5
23
19.6
192.7
90.5
90.6
53
91.7
56.8
64.5
146.5
190.4
281.9
116.3
64
40.3
332.7
19
56.5
88.3
55.8
NOV.
51.2
58.1
60.4
22.2
1.5
27.5
72.5
26.8
52.6
12.6
11.9
16.8
34.8
13.8
19.3
17.4
12.4
34.3
16.9
43.1
25.7
71.7
35
89.8
92.7
209.3
61.1
220.8
236.3
10.9
102.5
36
26.2
0
145.4
26.4
60.6
54.1
30.5
19
30.2
8.1
21.6
45.3
16.4
32.7
38.3
51.4
15
43.5
7.4
23.9
1.3
20.3
23.5
1.5
21.6
6.6
25.5
16.8
18.2
10.5
25.2
21.1
0
0
6.4
0
12.6
9.9
24.4
36.8
23.6
24.7
101.3
82.5
82.8
145.7
15.5
19.7
34.3
8.5
38.8
23.5
29.8
53.7
34
146.9
22.3
12.3
34.1
53.6
19
70.4
54.6
1.2
97.6
85.9
78
65.3
38.7
9.6
39
44.1
61.1
37.7
14.1
36.7
54.7
79.2
68.8
53.3
53.2
AGO.
22.9
79.1
13.6
16.9
52.1
46.5
55.4
67.7
152.7
6.4
38.2
17.4
150
16.3
0
6.7
40.1
9.4
21.4
1.3
9.7
58.7
43.4
90.1
44.8
107.4
SET.
91.1
76.6
93.9
108
48.5
67.4
9.8
57.7
138.2
20.8
97.9
71.6
214.3
7.6
50.8
137.6
41
14.7
43.4
42.5
92.6
95.1
48.1
29.4
86.3
43
OCT.
89.8
128.7
125.3
104
116.6
96.4
40.4
99
118.7
43.4
29
43.6
130.9
28.7
47.5
12.2
17.4
183.2
106.1
90.4
68.5
139.5
57.9
74.7
91.8
148.6
NOV.
56.9
59.3
72
33.9
7.7
43.6
92.1
39.5
50.7
20.6
71.2
23.4
27.3
18.7
53.7
49
19.2
72.5
31.7
56.9
13.7
42.6
28.7
98.8
55
173.1
ESTACION 2002
JUN.
49.3
18.9
10.2
7.5
31.2
1.3
43
35.4
57.4
42.2
30.1
72.6
50.4
114.4
30.7
4.5
0
14.5
65.2
3.3
53.6
204.8
16.4
9
8.1
29.4
JUL.
20.6
30.5
16.7
10.5
35.6
37.6
3.2
32.9
55.2
0
23.7
32.6
23.5
1.3
8.7
19.1
4.9
8.4
24.4
12.3
0
111.8
24.2
17.7
19.9
17.3
134.1
26.7
87.7
255.2
48.3
113.9
25.9
17.7
105.7
162.9
6.2
2.5
3.2
66.2
156.3
120.1
20.8
41.6
3.8
21.9
23.5
32.6
91.5
60
43.6
20.3
66.9
5.4
23.7
48.2
11.2
34
41.9
41
3.2
21.4
1.3
54.1
0
0
11.8
59.1
3.9
28.2
1
15.1
33.9
2
25.1
10.3
31.8
20.1
20.4
2.5
14.9
2.8
15.8
32.5
0
17.2
26.9
22.9
0
0
3.9
0
9.8
7.9
27.5
64
31.5
36.2
50.3
83.8
42.2
40.3
20.8
30.7
78.8
91.5
87.6
148.5
11.5
19.3
43.7
10.4
56.2
13.4
45.1
61.2
42.9
50.4
245.2
43.8
99
114.7
43.9
105.9
70.5
10.7
29.3
63.3
16.6
103.8
72.3
6.3
101.8
131.6
86.3
54
34.5
74.4
47.5
71.3
2.5
182.9
26.9
10.8
41
52.8
66.8
50.3
24
48.3
80.8
97.2
95.1
58.4
41.6
AGO.
8.5
69
0
28
59.2
65.5
53.8
59.6
212.9
0
43.3
17.6
230.5
15.2
0
SET.
107.5
71.8
101.1
126.2
51.7
76.6
4.7
57.3
156.2
17.6
100.6
74.9
283.1
7
55
OCT.
98.3
149.8
172.7
110.1
157.6
114.7
44.5
97.1
147.4
43.3
36.3
57.3
110
28.1
36.3
NOV.
55
52.7
74.1
41
12.8
53.8
99.5
46.8
42.1
25.7
120.5
26.9
16.4
21.1
80.7
ESTACION 1002
JUN.
70.3
12.5
0
6.8
46.7
0
45.6
36.3
70.8
49.1
26.9
66.7
66.7
156.8
42.1
JUL.
12.6
30.4
0
12.1
32.8
35.7
5.9
50.3
74.5
0
29.3
52.7
43.3
0
11.7
0
0
26.9
93.6
3.5
99.5
168.5
5.9
0
0
31
76.1
39.2
3.5
8.2
38.6
31
1.2
21.6
21.1
34.5
110
57.9
50.8
19
94.4
2
22.7
44.7
4.6
30.9
40
39.6
16.4
5.9
9.4
24.6
10.5
0
111.2
14
5.3
15.2
32.2
0
4.1
4.7
5.9
18.1
2.3
55.6
0
0
7
66.7
0
28.8
0.6
8
39.7
2.2
25.3
12.6
33.9
20.7
23.3
7.6
55
5.9
32.8
2.3
0
26.9
29.3
94.2
61.4
119.3
28.1
0
5.9
4.7
24
5.3
29.3
28.1
0
21.6
25.2
21.6
0
0
0.8
0
5.6
4.9
27
82.5
35
48.7
145.1
32.8
0
49.1
59.7
76.1
103
51.5
12.9
100
22.8
24
4.1
0
45.6
95.9
52.1
30.4
14.6
25.7
46.2
88.3
80.8
131.9
6.1
16.4
47.3
10.9
66
1.6
54.4
60.6
52.7
0
12.9
149.8
107.6
78.4
74.9
168.5
51.5
75
25.7
87.8
195.4
81.3
59.7
53.8
126.6
62.6
128.1
125.8
26.3
51.5
108.8
7.7
20.7
64.6
12.1
123.2
80.3
10.5
92.7
159.6
83.2
50.6
73.7
23.4
100.6
42.1
63.2
0
8.2
18.7
94.8
10.5
114.7
29.3
84.2
56.7
53.2
36.9
52.7
106.5
4.7
196
11.7
10.5
37.6
54.4
63.6
56.2
30.7
53.5
96.1
102.1
108.6
55.7
38.9
PRECIPITACION EN LA CUENCA DEL RIO ZAA ENTRE
DIC.
43.2
31.3
68.5
70
10.9
22
88.3
116.5
98.9
132.1
58.6
18.4
13.3
40.3
23.9
48.8
8.7
26.4
19.5
54.4
70.4
128.8
42.3
167.5
15.3
86.5
0
164.2
108.5
32.7
189.7
68.6
68.3
32.7
168
TOTAL
1530.5
985.8
1048.3
812.9
932.4
411.7
806.3
1532
1092
982.2
1007.5
662.6
856.2
796.7
462.7
552
468.7
470
601.4
419.3
946.6
2250.4
907
1101
1802.4
1514.1
2307.4
1013
1553.9
1351.3
1543.8
914
703.9
703.7
964.1
Estaciones Pluviometrica
Mapa de ubicacion de las es
58.5
68.2
76.3
104.4
65.1
100.4
72
24.2
33.4
48.1
2.8
65
47
2760.8
1178
1112.3
1255.2
1047
659.8
635
674.3
1100
810.1
1373.9
1057.1
859
DIC.
34.3
43.7
54
87.8
14.4
18.1
103.7
105.5
100.5
121.3
56.4
44.5
13.4
70.6
42.9
50.6
6.5
39.9
33.1
93.8
91
96.9
55.3
177.3
15.4
53.9
TOTAL
1477
1079.3
1053.9
831.6
1094.3
496.9
1008.8
1377.6
1446.7
1166.2
1222.9
778.4
1410.6
949.3
846.7
828.5
620.7
591
875.7
650.2
1328.6
1948.9
802.2
1198.6
1318.5
1285.8
1765.5
104
878.1
80.4
1162.3
25.6
137.1
88.1
92.4
30.6
164
75.6
72.2
94.7
98.3
83.6
119.1
89.9
37.9
45.8
47.2
2.8
67.7
41
1116.2
1524.3
1100.9
933.7
876.5
992.7
2295
1430.1
1391.5
1324.6
1030
735.2
767.7
751.9
1175.3
933.3
1620
1119.6
717.2
DIC.
21.1
50.3
32.6
94
16
11.9
105.3
80.7
88.9
94.8
46.8
64.4
11.7
91.3
56.2
TOTAL
1230.6
1030.3
921.5
740.9
1110.9
516.2
1076.8
1044.2
1607
1195.2
1275.3
791.2
1773.8
976
1115.1
Fuente:
http://www.ana.gob.pe/media/390356/evaluac
45.6
3.5
48
42.1
120.5
99.5
52.7
60.8
163.8
13.5
14.6
0
31
42.1
15.2
67.3
95.9
104.1
24.6
138.6
82.5
66.7
100.5
79.4
91
122
95.7
46.4
52.1
40.1
2.3
61.5
39
992.7
689.2
633.2
1032
793.3
1529.3
1396.1
590.9
1135.1
667.4
891.6
998.8
629.4
623.1
737.7
1305.4
1141.4
1038.5
932.6
890.9
1533.8
1491.9
1484.8
1216.5
878.5
713.5
798.2
730
1095.8
932.9
1651
1034.4
681.2
RIO ZAA ENTRE LOS AOS 1963 Y 2008
nes Pluviometricas
bicacion de las estaciones pluviometric
ob.pe/media/390356/evaluacion%20rh%20superficiales%20rio%20za%C3%B1a.pdf
1. Evaluando las estaciones, siendo la estacion 1002 la estacion a completar

Estacion 3002
AO
1963
1961
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1981
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
TOTAL
1530.5
985.8
1048.3
812.9
932.4
411.7
806.3
1532
1092
982.2
1007.5
662.6
856.2
796.7
462.7
552
468.7
470
601.4
419.3
946.6
2250.4
907
1101
1802.4
1514.1
2307.4
1013
1553.9
1351.3
1543.8
914
703.9
703.7
964.1
2760.8
1178
1112.3
x
S=
n=
1056.83043
504.222654
46
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
1255.2
1047
659.8
635
674.3
1100
810.1
1373.9
1. Analisis de la estructura de dependencia de la componte estocstica

Estacion 3002
n=
k=
46
9
AO
T+1
T+2
1963
1961
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1981
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
0.93940556
-0.14087117
-0.01691799
-0.48377524
-0.24677676
-1.27945547
-0.49686469
0.94238044
0.06975007
-0.14801087
-0.09783463
-0.78185784
-0.39790048
-0.5159039
-1.17830968
-1.00120538
-1.16641018
-1.16383195
-0.90323279
-1.26438277
-0.2186146
2.36714784
-0.29715133
0.08759933
1.47865146
0.90688025
2.48019313
-0.08692675
0.98581363
0.58400701
0.9657828
0.93940556
-0.14087117
-0.01691799
-0.48377524
-0.24677676
-1.27945547
-0.49686469
0.94238044
0.06975007
-0.14801087
-0.09783463
-0.78185784
-0.39790048
-0.5159039
-1.17830968
-1.00120538
-1.16641018
-1.16383195
-0.90323279
-1.26438277
-0.2186146
2.36714784
-0.29715133
0.08759933
1.47865146
0.90688025
2.48019313
-0.08692675
0.98581363
0.58400701
0.9657828
0.93940556
-0.14087117
-0.01691799
-0.48377524
-0.24677676
-1.27945547
-0.49686469
0.94238044
0.06975007
-0.14801087
-0.09783463
-0.78185784
-0.39790048
-0.5159039
-1.17830968
-1.00120538
-1.16641018
-1.16383195
-0.90323279
-1.26438277
-0.2186146
2.36714784
-0.29715133
0.08759933
1.47865146
0.90688025
2.48019313
-0.08692675
0.98581363
0.58400701
0.93940556
-0.14087117
-0.01691799
-0.48377524
-0.24677676
-1.27945547
-0.49686469
0.94238044
0.06975007
-0.14801087
-0.09783463
-0.78185784
-0.39790048
-0.5159039
-1.17830968
-1.00120538
-1.16641018
-1.16383195
-0.90323279
-1.26438277
-0.2186146
2.36714784
-0.29715133
0.08759933
1.47865146
0.90688025
2.48019313
-0.08692675
0.98581363
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
-0.28326858
-0.69994958
-0.70034623
-0.18390771
3.37939906
0.24030964
0.11001006
0.39341661
-0.01949622
-0.78741094
-0.83659556
-0.7586538
0.08561608
-0.48932834
0.62882848
-0.28326858
-0.69994958
-0.70034623
-0.18390771
3.37939906
0.24030964
0.11001006
0.39341661
-0.01949622
-0.78741094
-0.83659556
-0.7586538
0.08561608
-0.48932834
0.62882848
0.9657828
-0.28326858
-0.69994958
-0.70034623
-0.18390771
3.37939906
0.24030964
0.11001006
0.39341661
-0.01949622
-0.78741094
-0.83659556
-0.7586538
0.08561608
-0.48932834
0.58400701
0.9657828
-0.28326858
-0.69994958
-0.70034623
-0.18390771
3.37939906
0.24030964
0.11001006
0.39341661
-0.01949622
-0.78741094
-0.83659556
-0.7586538
0.08561608
r1
r2
0.29122978 0.18688652
k
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Lim Inf.
-0.31483135
-0.31865702
-0.32262199
-0.32673484
-0.3310049
-0.33544234
-0.34005828
-0.34486486
-0.34987545
r
0.29122978
0.18688652
0.14016002
0.07152929
0.0910134
-0.11671804
-0.11235861
-0.07558511
0.08230303
Lim. Sup.
Graficando:
0.2674659
0.26718807
0.26706393
0.26688193
0.26693356
0.26638466
0.26639615
0.26649308
0.26691048
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
Criterio de decision:
El
11.1111111 % de los puntos caen fuera de la bande de confianza
La serie es
DEPENDIENTE
2. Modelo Markoviano de primer Orden

n=
k=
Estacion 3002
AO
T 1
1963
1961
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1981
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
0.93940556
-0.14087117
-0.01691799
-0.48377524
-0.24677676
-1.27945547
-0.49686469
0.94238044
0.06975007
-0.14801087
-0.09783463
-0.78185784
-0.39790048
-0.5159039
-1.17830968
-1.00120538
-1.16641018
-1.16383195
-0.90323279
-1.26438277
-0.2186146
2.36714784
-0.29715133
0.08759933
1.47865146
0.90688025
2.48019313
-0.08692675
0.98581363
0.58400701
0.9657828
-0.28326858
-0.69994958
-0.70034623
-0.18390771
3.37939906
0.24030964
0.11001006
0.39341661
-0.01949622
-0.78741094
-0.83659556
-0.7586538
0.08561608
-0.48932834
1.02485572
-0.14210391
0.12958904
-0.43057037
0.13154064
-1.18617045
-0.80626291
0.96384688
0.11796882
-0.12493401
0.13574999
-0.69615344
-0.25887533
-0.18057228
-0.92690739
-0.69148575
-0.86496101
-0.94159903
-0.55924855
-1.25512126
-0.94914081
2.56486606
-0.33728303
-0.35857093
1.26957294
0.19293739
2.61903578
-0.39097246
0.85269506
0.31645985
1.09577756
-0.08302113
-0.51846159
-0.67609336
-1.22101658
3.45936643
0.21770841
-0.00477139
0.41717784
0.2193285
-0.56840811
-0.64354881
-0.81909286
0.23845953
-0.70293181
1 =
1.02485572
0.29122978 -0.14210391
0.12958904
-0.43057037
0.13154064
-1.18617045
-0.80626291
0.96384688
0.11796882
-0.12493401
0.13574999
-0.69615344
-0.25887533
-0.18057228
-0.92690739
-0.69148575
-0.86496101
-0.94159903
-0.55924855
-1.25512126
-0.94914081
2.56486606
-0.33728303
-0.35857093
1.26957294
0.19293739
2.61903578
-0.39097246
0.85269506
0.31645985
1.09577756
-0.08302113
-0.51846159
-0.67609336
-1.22101658
3.45936643
0.21770841
-0.00477139
0.41717784
0.2193285
-0.56840811
-0.64354881
-0.81909286
0.23845953
-0.70293181
2008
0.62882848
k
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Lim Inf.
-0.31865702
-0.32262199
-0.32673484
-0.3310049
-0.33544234
-0.34005828
-0.34486486
-0.34987545
-0.35510473
r
-0.01965164
0.08036524
0.09974168
0.018938
0.13291635
-0.14303541
-0.08363199
-0.07330786
0.13753769
Lim. Sup.
Graficando:
0.27214539
0.27500294
0.27795435
0.2810049
0.28416029
0.2874267
0.29081081
0.2943199
0.29796188
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
0
El
% de los puntos caen fuera de la bande de confianza
La serie es
INDEPENDIENTE
3. Modelo Markoviano de segundo Orden

n=
k=
Estacion 3002
AO
T 2
1963
1961
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
0.93940556
-0.14087117
-0.01691799
-0.48377524
-0.24677676
-1.27945547
-0.49686469
0.94238044
0.06975007
-0.14801087
-0.09783463
-0.78185784
-0.39790048
-0.5159039
1.02846176
-0.08681914
0.14282495
-0.29160342
0.146943
-1.32115049
-0.78731017
0.98964539
0.12513014
-0.03733598
0.1565696
-0.6535946
-0.13989157
-0.10450607
1.02846176
-0.08681914
0.14282495
-0.29160342
0.146943
-1.32115049
-0.78731017
0.98964539
0.12513014
-0.03733598
0.1565696
-0.6535946
-0.13989157
-0.10450607
1 = 0.29122978
2 = 0.18688652
R = 0.95068451
1 = 0.25874856
2 = 0.11153123
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1981
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
-1.17830968
-1.00120538
-1.16641018
-1.16383195
-0.90323279
-1.26438277
-0.2186146
2.36714784
-0.29715133
0.08759933
1.47865146
0.90688025
2.48019313
-0.08692675
0.98581363
0.58400701
0.9657828
-0.28326858
-0.69994958
-0.70034623
-0.18390771
3.37939906
0.24030964
0.11001006
0.39341661
-0.01949622
-0.78741094
-0.83659556
-0.7586538
0.08561608
-0.48932834
0.62882848
-0.83009459
-0.59914179
-0.80419073
-0.83003729
-0.58031157
-1.54817657
-0.83936262
2.56053952
-0.50987826
-0.41669458
1.01755997
0.28908528
2.5168563
-0.42825945
0.76469923
0.38467588
1.17509475
-0.02529457
-0.52406928
-1.08308163
-1.14141376
3.4763896
0.17667949
0.01092741
0.51150738
0.29194939
-0.51155714
-0.68355363
-0.76390374
0.14946605
k
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Lim Inf.
-0.32262199
-0.32673484
-0.3310049
-0.33544234
-0.34005828
-0.34486486
-0.34987545
-0.35510473
r
0.00709089
-0.03345863
0.05844792
0.01883138
0.12931308
-0.13891474
-0.12399927
-0.05606965
-0.83009459
-0.59914179
-0.80419073
-0.83003729
-0.58031157
-1.54817657
-0.83936262
2.56053952
-0.50987826
-0.41669458
1.01755997
0.28908528
2.5168563
-0.42825945
0.76469923
0.38467588
1.17509475
-0.02529457
-0.52406928
-1.08308163
-1.14141376
3.4763896
0.17667949
0.01092741
0.51150738
0.29194939
-0.51155714
-0.68355363
-0.76390374
0.14946605
Lim. Sup.
Graficando:
0.27500294
0.27795435
0.2810049
0.28416029
0.2874267
0.29081081
0.2943199
0.29796188
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
0
El
La serie es
INDEPENDIENTE
4. Modelo Markoviano de tercer Orden

n=
k=
Estacion 3002
AO
T 3
1963
1961
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1981
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
0.93940556
-0.14087117
-0.01691799
-0.48377524
-0.24677676
-1.27945547
-0.49686469
0.94238044
0.06975007
-0.14801087
-0.09783463
-0.78185784
-0.39790048
-0.5159039
-1.17830968
-1.00120538
-1.16641018
-1.16383195
-0.90323279
-1.26438277
-0.2186146
2.36714784
-0.29715133
0.08759933
1.47865146
0.90688025
2.48019313
-0.08692675
1.05835395
-0.05291405
0.21785114
-0.22245518
0.03966298
-1.38749112
-0.73679883
1.00756618
0.17612295
0.01429723
0.17020815
-0.57348479
-0.05197913
-0.04304952
-0.75606372
-0.5505278
-0.74056267
-0.81315893
-0.79749022
-1.62899858
-0.72412074
2.44703162
-0.62423213
-0.55259343
0.97762083
0.34249403
2.44201839
-0.47086731
T
1
2
3
1
2
3
=
=
=
=
=
=
0.29122978
0.18688652
0.14016002
0.21372844
0.14650186
0.06563633
1.05835395
-0.05291405
0.21785114
-0.22245518
0.03966298
-1.38749112
-0.73679883
1.00756618
0.17612295
0.01429723
0.17020815
-0.57348479
-0.05197913
-0.04304952
-0.75606372
-0.5505278
-0.74056267
-0.81315893
-0.79749022
-1.62899858
-0.72412074
2.44703162
-0.62423213
-0.55259343
0.97762083
0.34249403
2.44201839
-0.47086731
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
0.98581363
0.58400701
0.9657828
-0.28326858
-0.69994958
-0.70034623
-0.18390771
3.37939906
0.24030964
0.11001006
0.39341661
-0.01949622
-0.78741094
-0.83659556
-0.7586538
0.08561608
-0.48932834
0.62882848
0.77825447
0.49033325
1.23875409
-0.02002989
-0.785673
-1.23565814
-1.00021659
3.46487815
0.16916949
0.0848424
0.59874553
0.33862624
-0.53045203
-0.69050313
-0.78715409
k
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Lim Inf.
-0.32673484
-0.3310049
-0.33544234
-0.34005828
-0.34486486
-0.34987545
-0.35510473
-0.36056891
r
0.05264096
-0.05810111
0.00146032
0.01784136
0.1159623
-0.15547731
-0.14142503
-0.08104983
0.77825447
0.49033325
1.23875409
-0.02002989
-0.785673
-1.23565814
-1.00021659
3.46487815
0.16916949
0.0848424
0.59874553
0.33862624
-0.53045203
-0.69050313
-0.78715409
Lim. Sup.
Graficando:
0.27795435
0.2810049
0.28416029
0.2874267
0.29081081
0.2943199
0.29796188
0.30174538
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
El
0
La serie es
INDEPENDIENTE
tacion a completar
componte estocstica
T+3
T+4
T+5
T+6
T+7
T+8
0.93940556
-0.14087117
-0.01691799
-0.48377524
-0.24677676
-1.27945547
-0.49686469
0.94238044
0.06975007
-0.14801087
-0.09783463
-0.78185784
-0.39790048
-0.5159039
-1.17830968
-1.00120538
-1.16641018
-1.16383195
-0.90323279
-1.26438277
-0.2186146
2.36714784
-0.29715133
0.08759933
1.47865146
0.90688025
2.48019313
-0.08692675
0.93940556
-0.14087117
-0.01691799
-0.48377524
-0.24677676
-1.27945547
-0.49686469
0.94238044
0.06975007
-0.14801087
-0.09783463
-0.78185784
-0.39790048
-0.5159039
-1.17830968
-1.00120538
-1.16641018
-1.16383195
-0.90323279
-1.26438277
-0.2186146
2.36714784
-0.29715133
0.08759933
1.47865146
0.90688025
2.48019313
0.93940556
-0.14087117
-0.01691799
-0.48377524
-0.24677676
-1.27945547
-0.49686469
0.94238044
0.06975007
-0.14801087
-0.09783463
-0.78185784
-0.39790048
-0.5159039
-1.17830968
-1.00120538
-1.16641018
-1.16383195
-0.90323279
-1.26438277
-0.2186146
2.36714784
-0.29715133
0.08759933
1.47865146
0.90688025
0.9394055603
-0.140871169
-0.0169179919
-0.4837752382
-0.2467767636
-1.2794554728
-0.4968646937
0.9423804365
0.0697500695
-0.148010872
-0.0978346259
-0.7818578386
-0.3979004771
-0.5159039017
-1.1783096803
-1.0012053808
-1.1664101753
-1.1638319492
-0.9032327896
-1.2643827665
-0.2186146017
2.3671478357
-0.2971513347
0.0875993271
1.478651462
0.93940556
-0.14087117
-0.01691799
-0.48377524
-0.24677676
-1.27945547
-0.49686469
0.94238044
0.06975007
-0.14801087
-0.09783463
-0.78185784
-0.39790048
-0.5159039
-1.17830968
-1.00120538
-1.16641018
-1.16383195
-0.90323279
-1.26438277
-0.2186146
2.36714784
-0.29715133
0.08759933
0.93940556
-0.14087117
-0.01691799
-0.48377524
-0.24677676
-1.27945547
-0.49686469
0.94238044
0.06975007
-0.14801087
-0.09783463
-0.78185784
-0.39790048
-0.5159039
-1.17830968
-1.00120538
-1.16641018
-1.16383195
-0.90323279
-1.26438277
-0.2186146
2.36714784
-0.29715133
0.98581363
0.58400701
0.9657828
-0.28326858
-0.69994958
-0.70034623
-0.18390771
3.37939906
0.24030964
0.11001006
0.39341661
-0.01949622
-0.78741094
-0.83659556
-0.7586538
-0.08692675
0.98581363
0.58400701
0.9657828
-0.28326858
-0.69994958
-0.70034623
-0.18390771
3.37939906
0.24030964
0.11001006
0.39341661
-0.01949622
-0.78741094
-0.83659556
r3
r4
0.14016002 0.07152929
2.48019313
-0.08692675
0.98581363
0.58400701
0.9657828
-0.28326858
-0.69994958
-0.70034623
-0.18390771
3.37939906
0.24030964
0.11001006
0.39341661
-0.01949622
-0.78741094
0.9068802466
2.4801931332
-0.0869267463
0.9858136298
0.5840070108
0.9657827964
-0.2832685789
-0.6999495791
-0.7003462293
-0.1839077121
3.3793990614
0.2403096413
0.1100100615
0.3934166057
-0.019496218
1.47865146
0.90688025
2.48019313
-0.08692675
0.98581363
0.58400701
0.9657828
-0.28326858
-0.69994958
-0.70034623
-0.18390771
3.37939906
0.24030964
0.11001006
0.39341661
0.08759933
1.47865146
0.90688025
2.48019313
-0.08692675
0.98581363
0.58400701
0.9657828
-0.28326858
-0.69994958
-0.70034623
-0.18390771
3.37939906
0.24030964
0.11001006
r5
r6
r7
r8
0.0910134 -0.1167180449 -0.11235861 -0.07558511
Limites de confianza
0.4
0.3
0.2
Lim. Inf.
0.1
0
0.1
r(k)
Lim. Sup.
0
10
0.2
0.3
0.4
la bande de confianza
45
9
T+1
T+2
T+3
T+4
T+5
T+6
1.02485572
-0.14210391
0.12958904
-0.43057037
0.13154064
-1.18617045
-0.80626291
0.96384688
0.11796882
-0.12493401
0.13574999
-0.69615344
-0.25887533
-0.18057228
-0.92690739
-0.69148575
-0.86496101
-0.94159903
-0.55924855
-1.25512126
-0.94914081
2.56486606
-0.33728303
-0.35857093
1.26957294
0.19293739
2.61903578
-0.39097246
0.85269506
0.31645985
1.09577756
-0.08302113
-0.51846159
-0.67609336
-1.22101658
3.45936643
0.21770841
-0.00477139
0.41717784
0.2193285
-0.56840811
-0.64354881
-0.81909286
0.23845953
1.02485572
-0.14210391
0.12958904
-0.43057037
0.13154064
-1.18617045
-0.80626291
0.96384688
0.11796882
-0.12493401
0.13574999
-0.69615344
-0.25887533
-0.18057228
-0.92690739
-0.69148575
-0.86496101
-0.94159903
-0.55924855
-1.25512126
-0.94914081
2.56486606
-0.33728303
-0.35857093
1.26957294
0.19293739
2.61903578
-0.39097246
0.85269506
0.31645985
1.09577756
-0.08302113
-0.51846159
-0.67609336
-1.22101658
3.45936643
0.21770841
-0.00477139
0.41717784
0.2193285
-0.56840811
-0.64354881
-0.81909286
1.02485572
-0.14210391
0.12958904
-0.43057037
0.13154064
-1.18617045
-0.80626291
0.96384688
0.11796882
-0.12493401
0.13574999
-0.69615344
-0.25887533
-0.18057228
-0.92690739
-0.69148575
-0.86496101
-0.94159903
-0.55924855
-1.25512126
-0.94914081
2.56486606
-0.33728303
-0.35857093
1.26957294
0.19293739
2.61903578
-0.39097246
0.85269506
0.31645985
1.09577756
-0.08302113
-0.51846159
-0.67609336
-1.22101658
3.45936643
0.21770841
-0.00477139
0.41717784
0.2193285
-0.56840811
-0.64354881
1.0248557234
-0.142103905
0.1295890409
-0.4305703733
0.131540641
-1.1861704518
-0.8062629071
0.9638468815
0.1179688213
-0.1249340139
0.1357499936
-0.6961534423
-0.2588753342
-0.1805722807
-0.9269073931
-0.6914857478
-0.8649610074
-0.9415990344
-0.5592485529
-1.2551212587
-0.9491408143
2.5648660587
-0.3372830295
-0.3585709324
1.2695729402
0.1929373887
2.6190357844
-0.3909724593
0.852695058
0.3164598467
1.0957775647
-0.0830211258
-0.5184615894
-0.676093356
-1.2210165845
3.4593664333
0.2177084133
-0.0047713932
0.4171778368
0.2193284965
-0.568408114
1.02485572
-0.14210391
0.12958904
-0.43057037
0.13154064
-1.18617045
-0.80626291
0.96384688
0.11796882
-0.12493401
0.13574999
-0.69615344
-0.25887533
-0.18057228
-0.92690739
-0.69148575
-0.86496101
-0.94159903
-0.55924855
-1.25512126
-0.94914081
2.56486606
-0.33728303
-0.35857093
1.26957294
0.19293739
2.61903578
-0.39097246
0.85269506
0.31645985
1.09577756
-0.08302113
-0.51846159
-0.67609336
-1.22101658
3.45936643
0.21770841
-0.00477139
0.41717784
0.2193285
1.02485572
-0.14210391
0.12958904
-0.43057037
0.13154064
-1.18617045
-0.80626291
0.96384688
0.11796882
-0.12493401
0.13574999
-0.69615344
-0.25887533
-0.18057228
-0.92690739
-0.69148575
-0.86496101
-0.94159903
-0.55924855
-1.25512126
-0.94914081
2.56486606
-0.33728303
-0.35857093
1.26957294
0.19293739
2.61903578
-0.39097246
0.85269506
0.31645985
1.09577756
-0.08302113
-0.51846159
-0.67609336
-1.22101658
3.45936643
0.21770841
-0.00477139
0.41717784
r1
r2
r3
r4
r5
r6
-0.01965164 0.08036524 0.09974168 0.0189380026 0.13291635 -0.14303541
Limite de confianza
0.4
0.3
0.2
Lim. Inf.
0.1
0
-0.1
r(k)
Lim. Sup.
0
10
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
44
8
T+1
T+2
T+3
T+4
T+5
T+6
1.02846176
-0.08681914
0.14282495
-0.29160342
0.146943
-1.32115049
-0.78731017
0.98964539
0.12513014
-0.03733598
0.1565696
-0.6535946
-0.13989157
1.02846176
-0.08681914
0.14282495
-0.29160342
0.146943
-1.32115049
-0.78731017
0.98964539
0.12513014
-0.03733598
0.1565696
-0.6535946
1.02846176
-0.08681914
0.14282495
-0.29160342
0.146943
-1.32115049
-0.78731017
0.98964539
0.12513014
-0.03733598
0.1565696
1.0284617557
-0.0868191421
0.1428249541
-0.2916034242
0.1469429954
-1.3211504916
-0.7873101748
0.9896453927
0.1251301407
-0.0373359754
1.02846176
-0.08681914
0.14282495
-0.29160342
0.146943
-1.32115049
-0.78731017
0.98964539
0.12513014
1.02846176
-0.08681914
0.14282495
-0.29160342
0.146943
-1.32115049
-0.78731017
0.98964539
-0.10450607
-0.83009459
-0.59914179
-0.80419073
-0.83003729
-0.58031157
-1.54817657
-0.83936262
2.56053952
-0.50987826
-0.41669458
1.01755997
0.28908528
2.5168563
-0.42825945
0.76469923
0.38467588
1.17509475
-0.02529457
-0.52406928
-1.08308163
-1.14141376
3.4763896
0.17667949
0.01092741
0.51150738
0.29194939
-0.51155714
-0.68355363
-0.76390374
-0.13989157
-0.10450607
-0.83009459
-0.59914179
-0.80419073
-0.83003729
-0.58031157
-1.54817657
-0.83936262
2.56053952
-0.50987826
-0.41669458
1.01755997
0.28908528
2.5168563
-0.42825945
0.76469923
0.38467588
1.17509475
-0.02529457
-0.52406928
-1.08308163
-1.14141376
3.4763896
0.17667949
0.01092741
0.51150738
0.29194939
-0.51155714
-0.68355363
-0.6535946
-0.13989157
-0.10450607
-0.83009459
-0.59914179
-0.80419073
-0.83003729
-0.58031157
-1.54817657
-0.83936262
2.56053952
-0.50987826
-0.41669458
1.01755997
0.28908528
2.5168563
-0.42825945
0.76469923
0.38467588
1.17509475
-0.02529457
-0.52406928
-1.08308163
-1.14141376
3.4763896
0.17667949
0.01092741
0.51150738
0.29194939
-0.51155714
0.1565696018
-0.6535946048
-0.1398915743
-0.1045060657
-0.8300945878
-0.5991417873
-0.8041907299
-0.830037294
-0.5803115656
-1.5481765658
-0.8393626194
2.5605395243
-0.5098782556
-0.4166945805
1.0175599746
0.289085278
2.5168563026
-0.4282594517
0.7646992293
0.3846758792
1.1750947513
-0.0252945683
-0.5240692826
-1.0830816292
-1.1414137632
3.4763895984
0.1766794929
0.0109274096
0.5115073773
0.2919493927
-0.03733598
0.1565696
-0.6535946
-0.13989157
-0.10450607
-0.83009459
-0.59914179
-0.80419073
-0.83003729
-0.58031157
-1.54817657
-0.83936262
2.56053952
-0.50987826
-0.41669458
1.01755997
0.28908528
2.5168563
-0.42825945
0.76469923
0.38467588
1.17509475
-0.02529457
-0.52406928
-1.08308163
-1.14141376
3.4763896
0.17667949
0.01092741
0.51150738
0.12513014
-0.03733598
0.1565696
-0.6535946
-0.13989157
-0.10450607
-0.83009459
-0.59914179
-0.80419073
-0.83003729
-0.58031157
-1.54817657
-0.83936262
2.56053952
-0.50987826
-0.41669458
1.01755997
0.28908528
2.5168563
-0.42825945
0.76469923
0.38467588
1.17509475
-0.02529457
-0.52406928
-1.08308163
-1.14141376
3.4763896
0.17667949
0.01092741
r1
r2
r3
r4
r5
r6
0.00709089 -0.03345863 0.05844792 0.0188313818 0.12931308 -0.13891474
limite de confianza
0.4
0.3
0.2
Lim. Inf.
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
r(k)
Lim. Sup.
0
0.2
Lim. Inf.
0.1
0
-0.1
r(k)
Lim. Sup.
0
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
43
8
T+1
T+2
T+3
T+4
T+5
T+6
1.05835395
-0.05291405
0.21785114
-0.22245518
0.03966298
-1.38749112
-0.73679883
1.00756618
0.17612295
0.01429723
0.17020815
-0.57348479
-0.05197913
-0.04304952
-0.75606372
-0.5505278
-0.74056267
-0.81315893
-0.79749022
-1.62899858
-0.72412074
2.44703162
-0.62423213
-0.55259343
0.97762083
0.34249403
2.44201839
1.05835395
-0.05291405
0.21785114
-0.22245518
0.03966298
-1.38749112
-0.73679883
1.00756618
0.17612295
0.01429723
0.17020815
-0.57348479
-0.05197913
-0.04304952
-0.75606372
-0.5505278
-0.74056267
-0.81315893
-0.79749022
-1.62899858
-0.72412074
2.44703162
-0.62423213
-0.55259343
0.97762083
0.34249403
1.05835395
-0.05291405
0.21785114
-0.22245518
0.03966298
-1.38749112
-0.73679883
1.00756618
0.17612295
0.01429723
0.17020815
-0.57348479
-0.05197913
-0.04304952
-0.75606372
-0.5505278
-0.74056267
-0.81315893
-0.79749022
-1.62899858
-0.72412074
2.44703162
-0.62423213
-0.55259343
0.97762083
1.0583539472
-0.0529140534
0.2178511366
-0.2224551809
0.0396629806
-1.3874911165
-0.7367988281
1.0075661758
0.1761229483
0.0142972288
0.1702081531
-0.5734847896
-0.0519791256
-0.043049524
-0.756063724
-0.5505278004
-0.7405626704
-0.8131589254
-0.7974902203
-1.6289985755
-0.724120742
2.4470316244
-0.6242321313
-0.5525934287
1.05835395
-0.05291405
0.21785114
-0.22245518
0.03966298
-1.38749112
-0.73679883
1.00756618
0.17612295
0.01429723
0.17020815
-0.57348479
-0.05197913
-0.04304952
-0.75606372
-0.5505278
-0.74056267
-0.81315893
-0.79749022
-1.62899858
-0.72412074
2.44703162
-0.62423213
1.05835395
-0.05291405
0.21785114
-0.22245518
0.03966298
-1.38749112
-0.73679883
1.00756618
0.17612295
0.01429723
0.17020815
-0.57348479
-0.05197913
-0.04304952
-0.75606372
-0.5505278
-0.74056267
-0.81315893
-0.79749022
-1.62899858
-0.72412074
2.44703162
-0.47086731
0.77825447
0.49033325
1.23875409
-0.02002989
-0.785673
-1.23565814
-1.00021659
3.46487815
0.16916949
0.0848424
0.59874553
0.33862624
-0.53045203
-0.69050313
2.44201839
-0.47086731
0.77825447
0.49033325
1.23875409
-0.02002989
-0.785673
-1.23565814
-1.00021659
3.46487815
0.16916949
0.0848424
0.59874553
0.33862624
-0.53045203
0.34249403
2.44201839
-0.47086731
0.77825447
0.49033325
1.23875409
-0.02002989
-0.785673
-1.23565814
-1.00021659
3.46487815
0.16916949
0.0848424
0.59874553
0.33862624
0.977620833
0.3424940273
2.4420183886
-0.4708673056
0.778254472
0.490333247
1.2387540885
-0.0200298854
-0.7856729999
-1.2356581444
-1.0002165877
3.4648781531
0.1691694869
0.0848424005
0.5987455324
r1
r2
r3
r4
0.05264096 -0.05810111 0.00146032 0.0178413583
-0.55259343
0.97762083
0.34249403
2.44201839
-0.47086731
0.77825447
0.49033325
1.23875409
-0.02002989
-0.785673
-1.23565814
-1.00021659
3.46487815
0.16916949
0.0848424
-0.62423213
-0.55259343
0.97762083
0.34249403
2.44201839
-0.47086731
0.77825447
0.49033325
1.23875409
-0.02002989
-0.785673
-1.23565814
-1.00021659
3.46487815
0.16916949
r5
r6
0.1159623 -0.15547731
Limite de confianza
0.4
0.3
0.2
Lim. Inf.
0.1
0
-0.1
r(k)
Lim. Sup.
0
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
T+9
0.93940556
-0.140871169
-0.016917992
-0.483775238
-0.246776764
-1.279455473
-0.496864694
0.942380437
0.06975007
-0.148010872
-0.097834626
-0.781857839
-0.397900477
-0.515903902
-1.17830968
-1.001205381
-1.166410175
-1.163831949
-0.90323279
-1.264382766
-0.218614602
2.367147836
-0.297151335
0.087599327
1.478651462
0.906880247
2.480193133
-0.086926746
0.98581363
0.584007011
0.965782796
-0.283268579
-0.699949579
-0.700346229
-0.183907712
3.379399061
0.240309641
r9
0.082303025
Suma =
T+7
T+8
Criterio de
decision
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
T+9
1, si r cae fuera de la banda

de confianza
0, si cae dentro de la banda de
confianza
1.024855723
-0.142103905
0.129589041
-0.430570373
0.131540641
-1.186170452
-0.806262907
0.963846881
0.117968821
-0.124934014
0.135749994
-0.696153442
-0.258875334
-0.180572281
-0.926907393
-0.691485748
-0.864961007
-0.941599034
-0.559248553
-1.255121259
-0.949140814
2.564866059
-0.33728303
-0.358570932
1.26957294
0.192937389
2.619035784
-0.390972459
0.852695058
0.316459847
1.095777565
-0.083021126
-0.518461589
-0.676093356
-1.221016585
3.459366433
0.217708413
-0.004771393
1.0248557234
-0.142103905
0.1295890409
-0.4305703733
0.131540641
-1.1861704518
-0.8062629071
0.9638468815
0.1179688213
-0.1249340139
0.1357499936
-0.6961534423
-0.2588753342
-0.1805722807
-0.9269073931
-0.6914857478
-0.8649610074
-0.9415990344
-0.5592485529
-1.2551212587
-0.9491408143
2.5648660587
-0.3372830295
-0.3585709324
1.2695729402
0.1929373887
2.6190357844
-0.3909724593
0.852695058
0.3164598467
1.0957775647
-0.0830211258
-0.5184615894
-0.676093356
-1.2210165845
3.4593664333
0.2177084133
1.02485572
-0.14210391
0.12958904
-0.43057037
0.13154064
-1.18617045
-0.80626291
0.96384688
0.11796882
-0.12493401
0.13574999
-0.69615344
-0.25887533
-0.18057228
-0.92690739
-0.69148575
-0.86496101
-0.94159903
-0.55924855
-1.25512126
-0.94914081
2.56486606
-0.33728303
-0.35857093
1.26957294
0.19293739
2.61903578
-0.39097246
0.85269506
0.31645985
1.09577756
-0.08302113
-0.51846159
-0.67609336
-1.22101658
3.45936643
r7
r8
r9
-0.083631994 -0.0733078606 0.13753769
Lim. Inf.
r(k)
Lim. Sup.
Suma =
T+7
T+8
1.028461756
-0.086819142
0.142824954
-0.291603424
0.146942995
-1.321150492
-0.787310175
1.0284617557
-0.0868191421
0.1428249541
-0.2916034242
0.1469429954
-1.3211504916
Criterio de
decision
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1, si r cae fuera de la
de confianza
0, si r cae dentro de la
de confianza
0.989645393
0.125130141
-0.037335975
0.156569602
-0.653594605
-0.139891574
-0.104506066
-0.830094588
-0.599141787
-0.80419073
-0.830037294
-0.580311566
-1.548176566
-0.839362619
2.560539524
-0.509878256
-0.41669458
1.017559975
0.289085278
2.516856303
-0.428259452
0.764699229
0.384675879
1.175094751
-0.025294568
-0.524069283
-1.083081629
-1.141413763
3.476389598
0.176679493
-0.7873101748
0.9896453927
0.1251301407
-0.0373359754
0.1565696018
-0.6535946048
-0.1398915743
-0.1045060657
-0.8300945878
-0.5991417873
-0.8041907299
-0.830037294
-0.5803115656
-1.5481765658
-0.8393626194
2.5605395243
-0.5098782556
-0.4166945805
1.0175599746
0.289085278
2.5168563026
-0.4282594517
0.7646992293
0.3846758792
1.1750947513
-0.0252945683
-0.5240692826
-1.0830816292
-1.1414137632
3.4763895984
r7
r8
-0.123999267 -0.0560696493
Lim. Inf.
r(k)
Lim. Sup.
Criterio de
decision
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
de confianza
de confianza
Lim. Inf.
r(k)
Lim. Sup.
Suma =
T+7
T+8
1.058353947
-0.052914053
0.217851137
-0.222455181
0.039662981
-1.387491116
-0.736798828
1.007566176
0.176122948
0.014297229
0.170208153
-0.57348479
-0.051979126
-0.043049524
-0.756063724
-0.5505278
-0.74056267
-0.813158925
-0.79749022
-1.628998576
-0.724120742
1.0583539472
-0.0529140534
0.2178511366
-0.2224551809
0.0396629806
-1.3874911165
-0.7367988281
1.0075661758
0.1761229483
0.0142972288
0.1702081531
-0.5734847896
-0.0519791256
-0.043049524
-0.756063724
-0.5505278004
-0.7405626704
-0.8131589254
-0.7974902203
-1.6289985755
2.447031624
-0.624232131
-0.552593429
0.977620833
0.342494027
2.442018389
-0.470867306
0.778254472
0.490333247
1.238754088
-0.020029885
-0.785673
-1.235658144
-1.000216588
3.464878153
-0.724120742
2.4470316244
-0.6242321313
-0.5525934287
0.977620833
0.3424940273
2.4420183886
-0.4708673056
0.778254472
0.490333247
1.2387540885
-0.0200298854
-0.7856729999
-1.2356581444
-1.0002165877
r7
r8
-0.141425031 -0.0810498292
Lim. Inf.
r(k)
Lim. Sup.
Suma =
Criterio de
decision
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
de confianza
de confianza
banda
banda de

de confianza
0, si r cae dentro de la banda
de confianza

de confianza
de confianza

de confianza
de confianza

Estacion 2002
AO
1963
1961
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1981
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
TOTAL
1477
1079.3
1053.9
831.6
1094.3
496.9
1008.8
1377.6
1446.7
1166.2
1222.9
778.4
1410.6
949.3
846.7
828.5
620.7
591
875.7
650.2
1328.6
1948.9
802.2
1198.6
1318.5
1285.8
1765.5
878.1
1162.3
1116.2
1524.3
1100.9
933.7
876.5
992.7
2295
1430.1
1391.5
x
S=
n=
1119.42826
363.77463
46
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
1324.6
1030
735.2
767.7
751.9
1175.3
933.3
1620

Estacion 2002
n=
k=
46
9
AO
T+1
T+2
1963
1961
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1981
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
0.98294853
-0.11031077
-0.18013422
-0.79122687
-0.06907645
-1.71130203
-0.30411208
0.70970243
0.89965521
0.12857339
0.28443913
-0.93747126
0.80041794
-0.46767489
-0.74971765
-0.79974863
-1.37098143
-1.45262538
-0.66999796
-1.28988726
0.57500365
2.28018029
-0.87204614
0.21763953
0.5472392
0.45734838
1.77602198
-0.66340047
0.11785247
-0.00887434
1.11297409
0.98294853
-0.11031077
-0.18013422
-0.79122687
-0.06907645
-1.71130203
-0.30411208
0.70970243
0.89965521
0.12857339
0.28443913
-0.93747126
0.80041794
-0.46767489
-0.74971765
-0.79974863
-1.37098143
-1.45262538
-0.66999796
-1.28988726
0.57500365
2.28018029
-0.87204614
0.21763953
0.5472392
0.45734838
1.77602198
-0.66340047
0.11785247
-0.00887434
1.11297409
0.98294853
-0.11031077
-0.18013422
-0.79122687
-0.06907645
-1.71130203
-0.30411208
0.70970243
0.89965521
0.12857339
0.28443913
-0.93747126
0.80041794
-0.46767489
-0.74971765
-0.79974863
-1.37098143
-1.45262538
-0.66999796
-1.28988726
0.57500365
2.28018029
-0.87204614
0.21763953
0.5472392
0.45734838
1.77602198
-0.66340047
0.11785247
-0.00887434
0.98294853
-0.11031077
-0.18013422
-0.79122687
-0.06907645
-1.71130203
-0.30411208
0.70970243
0.89965521
0.12857339
0.28443913
-0.93747126
0.80041794
-0.46767489
-0.74971765
-0.79974863
-1.37098143
-1.45262538
-0.66999796
-1.28988726
0.57500365
2.28018029
-0.87204614
0.21763953
0.5472392
0.45734838
1.77602198
-0.66340047
0.11785247
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
-0.05093335
-0.51055859
-0.6677988
-0.34837026
3.23159353
0.85402256
0.7479129
0.56400783
-0.24583424
-1.05622611
-0.96688508
-1.01031856
0.15358888
-0.51165817
1.37604907
-0.05093335
-0.51055859
-0.6677988
-0.34837026
3.23159353
0.85402256
0.7479129
0.56400783
-0.24583424
-1.05622611
-0.96688508
-1.01031856
0.15358888
-0.51165817
1.37604907
1.11297409
-0.05093335
-0.51055859
-0.6677988
-0.34837026
3.23159353
0.85402256
0.7479129
0.56400783
-0.24583424
-1.05622611
-0.96688508
-1.01031856
0.15358888
-0.51165817
-0.00887434
1.11297409
-0.05093335
-0.51055859
-0.6677988
-0.34837026
3.23159353
0.85402256
0.7479129
0.56400783
-0.24583424
-1.05622611
-0.96688508
-1.01031856
0.15358888
r1
r2
0.19525889 0.09072833
k
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Lim Inf.
-0.31483135
-0.31865702
-0.32262199
-0.32673484
-0.3310049
-0.33544234
-0.34005828
-0.34486486
-0.34987545
r
0.19525889
0.09072833
-0.07192306
-0.15796071
-0.05724554
-0.14210818
-0.24146544
-0.03283772
0.10883862
Lim. Sup.
Graficando:
0.26721033
0.26693281
0.26650274
0.2662761
0.26654146
0.26631781
0.26605669
0.26660589
0.26698083
Lim
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
El
0 % de los puntos caen fuera de la bande de confianza
La serie es
INDEPENDIENTE

n=
k=
Estacion 2002
AO
T 1
1963
1961
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1981
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
0.98294853
-0.11031077
-0.18013422
-0.79122687
-0.06907645
-1.71130203
-0.30411208
0.70970243
0.89965521
0.12857339
0.28443913
-0.93747126
0.80041794
-0.46767489
-0.74971765
-0.79974863
-1.37098143
-1.45262538
-0.66999796
-1.28988726
0.57500365
2.28018029
-0.87204614
0.21763953
0.5472392
0.45734838
1.77602198
-0.66340047
0.11785247
-0.00887434
1.11297409
-0.05093335
-0.51055859
-0.6677988
-0.34837026
3.23159353
0.85402256
0.7479129
0.56400783
-0.24583424
-1.05622611
-0.96688508
-1.01031856
0.15358888
-0.51165817
1.0242018
-0.07661262
-0.02614336
-0.79300301
0.27027277
-1.6843421
-0.451376
0.54451778
0.89171406
0.0744675
0.47666368
-1.11522615
0.90923685
-0.32759142
-0.60520884
-0.54249439
-1.10868364
-1.34774406
-0.42634236
-1.42968071
0.1323252
2.49854776
-0.93249103
0.1129605
0.46692537
0.11273424
1.94295534
-0.69988376
0.12193225
-0.23063169
1.14495773
0.04971467
-0.38762606
-0.61154764
-0.99858873
3.12498864
0.72188087
0.65030256
0.62402046
-0.04037383
-0.88445747
-0.78471581
-1.06072528
0.25846979
-0.79565904
1 =
1.0242018
0.19525889 -0.07661262
-0.02614336
-0.79300301
0.27027277
-1.6843421
-0.451376
0.54451778
0.89171406
0.0744675
0.47666368
-1.11522615
0.90923685
-0.32759142
-0.60520884
-0.54249439
-1.10868364
-1.34774406
-0.42634236
-1.42968071
0.1323252
2.49854776
-0.93249103
0.1129605
0.46692537
0.11273424
1.94295534
-0.69988376
0.12193225
-0.23063169
1.14495773
0.04971467
-0.38762606
-0.61154764
-0.99858873
3.12498864
0.72188087
0.65030256
0.62402046
-0.04037383
-0.88445747
-0.78471581
-1.06072528
0.25846979
-0.79565904
2008
1.37604907
k
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Lim Inf.
-0.31865702
-0.32262199
-0.32673484
-0.3310049
-0.33544234
-0.34005828
-0.34486486
-0.34987545
-0.35510473
r
0.01339043
0.06538356
-0.030886
-0.12577011
0.03160614
-0.09945753
-0.25370549
-0.02774677
0.0913447
Lim. Sup.
Graficando:
0.27214539
0.27500294
0.27795435
0.2810049
0.28416029
0.2874267
0.29081081
0.2943199
0.29796188
Lim
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
0
El
La serie es
INDEPENDIENTE

n=
k=
Estacion 2002
AO
T 2
1963
1961
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
0.98294853
-0.11031077
-0.18013422
-0.79122687
-0.06907645
-1.71130203
-0.30411208
0.70970243
0.89965521
0.12857339
0.28443913
-0.93747126
0.80041794
-0.46767489
1.0345934
-0.03450624
-0.03095262
-0.69937847
0.26900056
-1.72981525
-0.49455433
0.54796368
0.87856819
0.13003295
0.42245714
-1.08205283
0.94736733
-0.29159607
1.0345934
-0.03450624
-0.03095262
-0.69937847
0.26900056
-1.72981525
-0.49455433
0.54796368
0.87856819
0.13003295
0.42245714
-1.08205283
0.94736733
-0.29159607
1 = 0.19525889
2 = 0.09072833
R = 0.97928407
1 = 0.18458071
2 = 0.0546873
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1981
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
-0.74971765
-0.79974863
-1.37098143
-1.45262538
-0.66999796
-1.28988726
0.57500365
2.28018029
-0.87204614
0.21763953
0.5472392
0.45734838
1.77602198
-0.66340047
0.11785247
-0.00887434
1.11297409
-0.05093335
-0.51055859
-0.6677988
-0.34837026
3.23159353
0.85402256
0.7479129
0.56400783
-0.24583424
-1.05622611
-0.96688508
-1.01031856
0.15358888
-0.51165817
1.37604907
-0.53827508
-0.47713606
-1.08876929
-1.28503697
-0.47315694
-1.55288828
0.20608545
2.48062961
-0.96207552
0.09355669
0.37343165
0.16931611
1.93205214
-0.69915204
0.05986512
-0.21599706
1.17463003
0.08151468
-0.37603428
-0.79672847
-1.01253998
3.09721785
0.69962151
0.67115556
0.68125916
0.00204339
-0.8399056
-0.8054855
-1.03206713
0.17643369
k
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Lim Inf.
-0.32262199
-0.32673484
-0.3310049
-0.33544234
-0.34005828
-0.34486486
-0.34987545
-0.35510473
r
0.03344926
0.00287596
-0.05719242
-0.14336027
0.03963987
-0.08322354
-0.25527045
-0.01412969
-0.53827508
-0.47713606
-1.08876929
-1.28503697
-0.47315694
-1.55288828
0.20608545
2.48062961
-0.96207552
0.09355669
0.37343165
0.16931611
1.93205214
-0.69915204
0.05986512
-0.21599706
1.17463003
0.08151468
-0.37603428
-0.79672847
-1.01253998
3.09721785
0.69962151
0.67115556
0.68125916
0.00204339
-0.8399056
-0.8054855
-1.03206713
0.17643369
Lim. Sup.
Graficando:
0.27500294
0.27795435
0.2810049
0.28416029
0.2874267
0.29081081
0.2943199
0.29796188
L
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
0
El
La serie es
INDEPENDIENTE

n=
k=
Estacion 2002
AO
T 3
1963
1961
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1981
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
0.98294853
-0.11031077
-0.18013422
-0.79122687
-0.06907645
-1.71130203
-0.30411208
0.70970243
0.89965521
0.12857339
0.28443913
-0.93747126
0.80041794
-0.46767489
-0.74971765
-0.79974863
-1.37098143
-1.45262538
-0.66999796
-1.28988726
0.57500365
2.28018029
-0.87204614
0.21763953
0.5472392
0.45734838
1.77602198
-0.66340047
0.95557244
-0.00963661
-0.24077685
-0.64902793
0.28968176
-1.68276319
-0.49708811
0.60835252
0.77056536
0.27314194
0.29492293
-1.105643
0.88133106
-0.42727888
-0.65614882
-0.53136232
-1.25110475
-1.18728034
-0.313199
-1.73591634
0.3655025
2.49262409
-0.93233384
0.280919
0.23322222
0.28722963
1.8985811
-0.57628035
T
1
2
3
1
2
3
=
=
=
=
=
=
0.19525889
0.09072833
-0.07192306
0.14473275
0.10358624
-0.10359565
0.95557244
-0.00963661
-0.24077685
-0.64902793
0.28968176
-1.68276319
-0.49708811
0.60835252
0.77056536
0.27314194
0.29492293
-1.105643
0.88133106
-0.42727888
-0.65614882
-0.53136232
-1.25110475
-1.18728034
-0.313199
-1.73591634
0.3655025
2.49262409
-0.93233384
0.280919
0.23322222
0.28722963
1.8985811
-0.57628035
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
0.11785247
-0.00887434
1.11297409
-0.05093335
-0.51055859
-0.6677988
-0.34837026
3.23159353
0.85402256
0.7479129
0.56400783
-0.24583424
-1.05622611
-0.96688508
-1.01031856
0.15358888
-0.51165817
1.37604907
-0.00145888
-0.22221699
1.12761293
0.0572424
-0.04395937
-0.88208486
-0.8447225
3.15486421
0.67600938
0.59475443
0.62182648
-0.09955248
-0.81270121
-0.90855835
-0.85485657
k
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Lim Inf.
-0.32673484
-0.3310049
-0.33544234
-0.34005828
-0.34486486
-0.34987545
-0.35510473
-0.36056891
r
0.05896249
-0.02591815
0.02642404
-0.14383699
0.05205523
-0.07408925
-0.28289539
-0.02180352
-0.00145888
-0.22221699
1.12761293
0.0572424
-0.04395937
-0.88208486
-0.8447225
3.15486421
0.67600938
0.59475443
0.62182648
-0.09955248
-0.81270121
-0.90855835
-0.85485657
Lim. Sup.
Graficando:
0.27795435
0.2810049
0.28416029
0.2874267
0.29081081
0.2943199
0.29796188
0.30174538
L
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
El
0
La serie es
INDEPENDIENTE
tacion a completar
componte estocstica
T+3
T+4
T+5
T+6
T+7
T+8
0.98294853
-0.11031077
-0.18013422
-0.79122687
-0.06907645
-1.71130203
-0.30411208
0.70970243
0.89965521
0.12857339
0.28443913
-0.93747126
0.80041794
-0.46767489
-0.74971765
-0.79974863
-1.37098143
-1.45262538
-0.66999796
-1.28988726
0.57500365
2.28018029
-0.87204614
0.21763953
0.5472392
0.45734838
1.77602198
-0.66340047
0.98294853
-0.11031077
-0.18013422
-0.79122687
-0.06907645
-1.71130203
-0.30411208
0.70970243
0.89965521
0.12857339
0.28443913
-0.93747126
0.80041794
-0.46767489
-0.74971765
-0.79974863
-1.37098143
-1.45262538
-0.66999796
-1.28988726
0.57500365
2.28018029
-0.87204614
0.21763953
0.5472392
0.45734838
1.77602198
0.98294853
-0.11031077
-0.18013422
-0.79122687
-0.06907645
-1.71130203
-0.30411208
0.70970243
0.89965521
0.12857339
0.28443913
-0.93747126
0.80041794
-0.46767489
-0.74971765
-0.79974863
-1.37098143
-1.45262538
-0.66999796
-1.28988726
0.57500365
2.28018029
-0.87204614
0.21763953
0.5472392
0.45734838
0.9829485346
-0.1103107738
-0.1801342247
-0.791226868
-0.0690764523
-1.7113020263
-0.3041120844
0.7097024313
0.8996552053
0.1285733949
0.2844391299
-0.9374712612
0.8004179384
-0.4676748926
-0.7497176511
-0.7997486277
-1.370981427
-1.4526253834
-0.669997963
-1.2898872615
0.5750036481
2.2801802861
-0.8720461379
0.2176395292
0.547239205
0.98294853
-0.11031077
-0.18013422
-0.79122687
-0.06907645
-1.71130203
-0.30411208
0.70970243
0.89965521
0.12857339
0.28443913
-0.93747126
0.80041794
-0.46767489
-0.74971765
-0.79974863
-1.37098143
-1.45262538
-0.66999796
-1.28988726
0.57500365
2.28018029
-0.87204614
0.21763953
0.98294853
-0.11031077
-0.18013422
-0.79122687
-0.06907645
-1.71130203
-0.30411208
0.70970243
0.89965521
0.12857339
0.28443913
-0.93747126
0.80041794
-0.46767489
-0.74971765
-0.79974863
-1.37098143
-1.45262538
-0.66999796
-1.28988726
0.57500365
2.28018029
-0.87204614
0.11785247
-0.00887434
1.11297409
-0.05093335
-0.51055859
-0.6677988
-0.34837026
3.23159353
0.85402256
0.7479129
0.56400783
-0.24583424
-1.05622611
-0.96688508
-1.01031856
-0.66340047
0.11785247
-0.00887434
1.11297409
-0.05093335
-0.51055859
-0.6677988
-0.34837026
3.23159353
0.85402256
0.7479129
0.56400783
-0.24583424
-1.05622611
-0.96688508
1.77602198
-0.66340047
0.11785247
-0.00887434
1.11297409
-0.05093335
-0.51055859
-0.6677988
-0.34837026
3.23159353
0.85402256
0.7479129
0.56400783
-0.24583424
-1.05622611
0.4573483843
1.776021983
-0.6634004716
0.1178524714
-0.0088743431
1.1129740947
-0.0509333509
-0.5105585869
-0.6677987992
-0.348370256
3.2315935288
0.8540225563
0.7479129025
0.564007829
-0.2458342435
0.5472392
0.45734838
1.77602198
-0.66340047
0.11785247
-0.00887434
1.11297409
-0.05093335
-0.51055859
-0.6677988
-0.34837026
3.23159353
0.85402256
0.7479129
0.56400783
0.21763953
0.5472392
0.45734838
1.77602198
-0.66340047
0.11785247
-0.00887434
1.11297409
-0.05093335
-0.51055859
-0.6677988
-0.34837026
3.23159353
0.85402256
0.7479129
r3
r4
r5
r6
r7
r8
-0.07192306 -0.15796071 -0.05724554 -0.1421081824 -0.24146544 -0.03283772
Limite de confianza
0.4
0.3
0.2
Lim. Inf.
0.1
r(k)
-0.1
Lim. Sup.
0
10
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
45
9
T+1
T+2
T+3
T+4
T+5
T+6
1.0242018
-0.07661262
-0.02614336
-0.79300301
0.27027277
-1.6843421
-0.451376
0.54451778
0.89171406
0.0744675
0.47666368
-1.11522615
0.90923685
-0.32759142
-0.60520884
-0.54249439
-1.10868364
-1.34774406
-0.42634236
-1.42968071
0.1323252
2.49854776
-0.93249103
0.1129605
0.46692537
0.11273424
1.94295534
-0.69988376
0.12193225
-0.23063169
1.14495773
0.04971467
-0.38762606
-0.61154764
-0.99858873
3.12498864
0.72188087
0.65030256
0.62402046
-0.04037383
-0.88445747
-0.78471581
-1.06072528
0.25846979
1.0242018
-0.07661262
-0.02614336
-0.79300301
0.27027277
-1.6843421
-0.451376
0.54451778
0.89171406
0.0744675
0.47666368
-1.11522615
0.90923685
-0.32759142
-0.60520884
-0.54249439
-1.10868364
-1.34774406
-0.42634236
-1.42968071
0.1323252
2.49854776
-0.93249103
0.1129605
0.46692537
0.11273424
1.94295534
-0.69988376
0.12193225
-0.23063169
1.14495773
0.04971467
-0.38762606
-0.61154764
-0.99858873
3.12498864
0.72188087
0.65030256
0.62402046
-0.04037383
-0.88445747
-0.78471581
-1.06072528
1.0242018
-0.07661262
-0.02614336
-0.79300301
0.27027277
-1.6843421
-0.451376
0.54451778
0.89171406
0.0744675
0.47666368
-1.11522615
0.90923685
-0.32759142
-0.60520884
-0.54249439
-1.10868364
-1.34774406
-0.42634236
-1.42968071
0.1323252
2.49854776
-0.93249103
0.1129605
0.46692537
0.11273424
1.94295534
-0.69988376
0.12193225
-0.23063169
1.14495773
0.04971467
-0.38762606
-0.61154764
-0.99858873
3.12498864
0.72188087
0.65030256
0.62402046
-0.04037383
-0.88445747
-0.78471581
1.0242018019
-0.0766126248
-0.0261433577
-0.7930030087
0.2702727664
-1.6843421013
-0.4513759995
0.5445177757
0.8917140554
0.0744674958
0.4766636782
-1.1152261494
0.9092368517
-0.3275914216
-0.6052088408
-0.5424943898
-1.1086836415
-1.3477440588
-0.4263423568
-1.42968071
0.1323252034
2.4985477584
-0.9324910258
0.1129605023
0.4669253698
0.112734239
1.9429553436
-0.6998837628
0.1219322501
-0.2306316912
1.1449577345
0.0497146741
-0.3876260628
-0.6115476403
-0.9985887273
3.1249886412
0.7218808663
0.650302555
0.6240204623
-0.0403738307
-0.8844574704
1.0242018
-0.07661262
-0.02614336
-0.79300301
0.27027277
-1.6843421
-0.451376
0.54451778
0.89171406
0.0744675
0.47666368
-1.11522615
0.90923685
-0.32759142
-0.60520884
-0.54249439
-1.10868364
-1.34774406
-0.42634236
-1.42968071
0.1323252
2.49854776
-0.93249103
0.1129605
0.46692537
0.11273424
1.94295534
-0.69988376
0.12193225
-0.23063169
1.14495773
0.04971467
-0.38762606
-0.61154764
-0.99858873
3.12498864
0.72188087
0.65030256
0.62402046
-0.04037383
1.0242018
-0.07661262
-0.02614336
-0.79300301
0.27027277
-1.6843421
-0.451376
0.54451778
0.89171406
0.0744675
0.47666368
-1.11522615
0.90923685
-0.32759142
-0.60520884
-0.54249439
-1.10868364
-1.34774406
-0.42634236
-1.42968071
0.1323252
2.49854776
-0.93249103
0.1129605
0.46692537
0.11273424
1.94295534
-0.69988376
0.12193225
-0.23063169
1.14495773
0.04971467
-0.38762606
-0.61154764
-0.99858873
3.12498864
0.72188087
0.65030256
0.62402046
r1
r2
0.01339043 0.06538356
r3
-0.030886
r4
r5
r6
-0.1257701082 0.03160614 -0.09945753
Limite de confianza
0.4
0.3
0.2
Lim. Inf.
0.1
r(k)
0
-0.1
Lim. Sup.
0
10
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
44
8
T+1
T+2
T+3
T+4
T+5
T+6
1.0345934
-0.03450624
-0.03095262
-0.69937847
0.26900056
-1.72981525
-0.49455433
0.54796368
0.87856819
0.13003295
0.42245714
-1.08205283
0.94736733
1.0345934
-0.03450624
-0.03095262
-0.69937847
0.26900056
-1.72981525
-0.49455433
0.54796368
0.87856819
0.13003295
0.42245714
-1.08205283
1.0345934
-0.03450624
-0.03095262
-0.69937847
0.26900056
-1.72981525
-0.49455433
0.54796368
0.87856819
0.13003295
0.42245714
1.0345933954
-0.0345062376
-0.0309526153
-0.6993784744
0.2690005565
-1.7298152456
-0.4945543313
0.5479636808
0.8785681863
0.130032945
1.0345934
-0.03450624
-0.03095262
-0.69937847
0.26900056
-1.72981525
-0.49455433
0.54796368
0.87856819
1.0345934
-0.03450624
-0.03095262
-0.69937847
0.26900056
-1.72981525
-0.49455433
0.54796368
-0.29159607
-0.53827508
-0.47713606
-1.08876929
-1.28503697
-0.47315694
-1.55288828
0.20608545
2.48062961
-0.96207552
0.09355669
0.37343165
0.16931611
1.93205214
-0.69915204
0.05986512
-0.21599706
1.17463003
0.08151468
-0.37603428
-0.79672847
-1.01253998
3.09721785
0.69962151
0.67115556
0.68125916
0.00204339
-0.8399056
-0.8054855
-1.03206713
0.94736733
-0.29159607
-0.53827508
-0.47713606
-1.08876929
-1.28503697
-0.47315694
-1.55288828
0.20608545
2.48062961
-0.96207552
0.09355669
0.37343165
0.16931611
1.93205214
-0.69915204
0.05986512
-0.21599706
1.17463003
0.08151468
-0.37603428
-0.79672847
-1.01253998
3.09721785
0.69962151
0.67115556
0.68125916
0.00204339
-0.8399056
-0.8054855
-1.08205283
0.94736733
-0.29159607
-0.53827508
-0.47713606
-1.08876929
-1.28503697
-0.47315694
-1.55288828
0.20608545
2.48062961
-0.96207552
0.09355669
0.37343165
0.16931611
1.93205214
-0.69915204
0.05986512
-0.21599706
1.17463003
0.08151468
-0.37603428
-0.79672847
-1.01253998
3.09721785
0.69962151
0.67115556
0.68125916
0.00204339
-0.8399056
0.4224571368
-1.0820528264
0.9473673332
-0.2915960664
-0.538275077
-0.4771360588
-1.0887692918
-1.2850369679
-0.4731569408
-1.5528882751
0.2060854541
2.4806296146
-0.9620755219
0.0935566935
0.373431651
0.1693161081
1.932052138
-0.6991520358
0.0598651162
-0.2159970643
1.1746300346
0.0815146819
-0.3760342817
-0.7967284702
-1.0125399803
3.0972178522
0.6996215067
0.6711555606
0.681259161
0.002043387
0.13003295
0.42245714
-1.08205283
0.94736733
-0.29159607
-0.53827508
-0.47713606
-1.08876929
-1.28503697
-0.47315694
-1.55288828
0.20608545
2.48062961
-0.96207552
0.09355669
0.37343165
0.16931611
1.93205214
-0.69915204
0.05986512
-0.21599706
1.17463003
0.08151468
-0.37603428
-0.79672847
-1.01253998
3.09721785
0.69962151
0.67115556
0.68125916
0.87856819
0.13003295
0.42245714
-1.08205283
0.94736733
-0.29159607
-0.53827508
-0.47713606
-1.08876929
-1.28503697
-0.47315694
-1.55288828
0.20608545
2.48062961
-0.96207552
0.09355669
0.37343165
0.16931611
1.93205214
-0.69915204
0.05986512
-0.21599706
1.17463003
0.08151468
-0.37603428
-0.79672847
-1.01253998
3.09721785
0.69962151
0.67115556
r1
r2
r3
r4
r5
r6
0.03344926 0.00287596 -0.05719242 -0.1433602691 0.03963987 -0.08322354
Limite de confianza
0.4
0.3
0.2
Lim. Inf.
0.1
r(k)
0.1
0.2
0.3
lim. Sup.
0
0.2
Lim. Inf.
0.1
r(k)
lim. Sup.
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
43
8
T+1
T+2
T+3
T+4
T+5
T+6
0.95557244
-0.00963661
-0.24077685
-0.64902793
0.28968176
-1.68276319
-0.49708811
0.60835252
0.77056536
0.27314194
0.29492293
-1.105643
0.88133106
-0.42727888
-0.65614882
-0.53136232
-1.25110475
-1.18728034
-0.313199
-1.73591634
0.3655025
2.49262409
-0.93233384
0.280919
0.23322222
0.28722963
1.8985811
0.95557244
-0.00963661
-0.24077685
-0.64902793
0.28968176
-1.68276319
-0.49708811
0.60835252
0.77056536
0.27314194
0.29492293
-1.105643
0.88133106
-0.42727888
-0.65614882
-0.53136232
-1.25110475
-1.18728034
-0.313199
-1.73591634
0.3655025
2.49262409
-0.93233384
0.280919
0.23322222
0.28722963
0.95557244
-0.00963661
-0.24077685
-0.64902793
0.28968176
-1.68276319
-0.49708811
0.60835252
0.77056536
0.27314194
0.29492293
-1.105643
0.88133106
-0.42727888
-0.65614882
-0.53136232
-1.25110475
-1.18728034
-0.313199
-1.73591634
0.3655025
2.49262409
-0.93233384
0.280919
0.23322222
0.9555724359
-0.0096366098
-0.2407768515
-0.6490279322
0.2896817642
-1.6827631926
-0.497088112
0.6083525203
0.7705653571
0.2731419378
0.2949229272
-1.105643004
0.8813310575
-0.4272788791
-0.6561488213
-0.5313623245
-1.251104751
-1.1872803427
-0.3131989994
-1.7359163359
0.3655024987
2.4926240868
-0.9323338403
0.2809190013
0.95557244
-0.00963661
-0.24077685
-0.64902793
0.28968176
-1.68276319
-0.49708811
0.60835252
0.77056536
0.27314194
0.29492293
-1.105643
0.88133106
-0.42727888
-0.65614882
-0.53136232
-1.25110475
-1.18728034
-0.313199
-1.73591634
0.3655025
2.49262409
-0.93233384
0.95557244
-0.00963661
-0.24077685
-0.64902793
0.28968176
-1.68276319
-0.49708811
0.60835252
0.77056536
0.27314194
0.29492293
-1.105643
0.88133106
-0.42727888
-0.65614882
-0.53136232
-1.25110475
-1.18728034
-0.313199
-1.73591634
0.3655025
2.49262409
-0.57628035
-0.00145888
-0.22221699
1.12761293
0.0572424
-0.04395937
-0.88208486
-0.8447225
3.15486421
0.67600938
0.59475443
0.62182648
-0.09955248
-0.81270121
-0.90855835
1.8985811
-0.57628035
-0.00145888
-0.22221699
1.12761293
0.0572424
-0.04395937
-0.88208486
-0.8447225
3.15486421
0.67600938
0.59475443
0.62182648
-0.09955248
-0.81270121
0.28722963
1.8985811
-0.57628035
-0.00145888
-0.22221699
1.12761293
0.0572424
-0.04395937
-0.88208486
-0.8447225
3.15486421
0.67600938
0.59475443
0.62182648
-0.09955248
0.2332222182
0.2872296266
1.8985811028
-0.5762803501
-0.0014588807
-0.2222169886
1.1276129285
0.057242395
-0.043959371
-0.8820848629
-0.8447224963
3.1548642058
0.6760093772
0.594754428
0.6218264801
0.280919
0.23322222
0.28722963
1.8985811
-0.57628035
-0.00145888
-0.22221699
1.12761293
0.0572424
-0.04395937
-0.88208486
-0.8447225
3.15486421
0.67600938
0.59475443
-0.93233384
0.280919
0.23322222
0.28722963
1.8985811
-0.57628035
-0.00145888
-0.22221699
1.12761293
0.0572424
-0.04395937
-0.88208486
-0.8447225
3.15486421
0.67600938
r1
r2
r3
r4
r5
r6
0.05896249 -0.02591815 0.02642404 -0.1438369859 0.05205523 -0.07408925
Limite de confianza
0.4
0.3
0.2
Lim. Inf.
0.1
r(k)
0.1
Lim. Sup.
0
0.2
0.3
0.4
T+9
0.982948535
-0.110310774
-0.180134225
-0.791226868
-0.069076452
-1.711302026
-0.304112084
0.709702431
0.899655205
0.128573395
0.28443913
-0.937471261
0.800417938
-0.467674893
-0.749717651
-0.799748628
-1.370981427
-1.452625383
-0.669997963
-1.289887262
0.575003648
2.280180286
-0.872046138
0.217639529
0.547239205
0.457348384
1.776021983
-0.663400472
0.117852471
-0.008874343
1.112974095
-0.050933351
-0.510558587
-0.667798799
-0.348370256
3.231593529
0.854022556
r9
0.10883862
Suma =
T+7
T+8
Criterio de
decision
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
T+9

de confianza
confianza
1.024201802
-0.076612625
-0.026143358
-0.793003009
0.270272766
-1.684342101
-0.451375999
0.544517776
0.891714055
0.074467496
0.476663678
-1.115226149
0.909236852
-0.327591422
-0.605208841
-0.54249439
-1.108683641
-1.347744059
-0.426342357
-1.42968071
0.132325203
2.498547758
-0.932491026
0.112960502
0.46692537
0.112734239
1.942955344
-0.699883763
0.12193225
-0.230631691
1.144957735
0.049714674
-0.387626063
-0.61154764
-0.998588727
3.124988641
0.721880866
0.650302555
1.0242018019
-0.0766126248
-0.0261433577
-0.7930030087
0.2702727664
-1.6843421013
-0.4513759995
0.5445177757
0.8917140554
0.0744674958
0.4766636782
-1.1152261494
0.9092368517
-0.3275914216
-0.6052088408
-0.5424943898
-1.1086836415
-1.3477440588
-0.4263423568
-1.42968071
0.1323252034
2.4985477584
-0.9324910258
0.1129605023
0.4669253698
0.112734239
1.9429553436
-0.6998837628
0.1219322501
-0.2306316912
1.1449577345
0.0497146741
-0.3876260628
-0.6115476403
-0.9985887273
3.1249886412
0.7218808663
1.0242018
-0.07661262
-0.02614336
-0.79300301
0.27027277
-1.6843421
-0.451376
0.54451778
0.89171406
0.0744675
0.47666368
-1.11522615
0.90923685
-0.32759142
-0.60520884
-0.54249439
-1.10868364
-1.34774406
-0.42634236
-1.42968071
0.1323252
2.49854776
-0.93249103
0.1129605
0.46692537
0.11273424
1.94295534
-0.69988376
0.12193225
-0.23063169
1.14495773
0.04971467
-0.38762606
-0.61154764
-0.99858873
3.12498864
r7
r8
r9
-0.253705488 -0.0277467698 0.0913447
Suma =
T+7
T+8
1.034593395
-0.034506238
-0.030952615
-0.699378474
0.269000556
-1.729815246
-0.494554331
1.0345933954
-0.0345062376
-0.0309526153
-0.6993784744
0.2690005565
-1.7298152456
Criterio de
decision
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
de confianza
de confianza
0.547963681
0.878568186
0.130032945
0.422457137
-1.082052826
0.947367333
-0.291596066
-0.538275077
-0.477136059
-1.088769292
-1.285036968
-0.473156941
-1.552888275
0.206085454
2.480629615
-0.962075522
0.093556694
0.373431651
0.169316108
1.932052138
-0.699152036
0.059865116
-0.215997064
1.174630035
0.081514682
-0.376034282
-0.79672847
-1.01253998
3.097217852
0.699621507
-0.4945543313
0.5479636808
0.8785681863
0.130032945
0.4224571368
-1.0820528264
0.9473673332
-0.2915960664
-0.538275077
-0.4771360588
-1.0887692918
-1.2850369679
-0.4731569408
-1.5528882751
0.2060854541
2.4806296146
-0.9620755219
0.0935566935
0.373431651
0.1693161081
1.932052138
-0.6991520358
0.0598651162
-0.2159970643
1.1746300346
0.0815146819
-0.3760342817
-0.7967284702
-1.0125399803
3.0972178522
r7
r8
-0.255270451 -0.0141296862
Lim. Inf.
r(k)
lim. Sup.
Criterio de
decision
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
de confianza
de confianza
Lim. Inf.
r(k)
lim. Sup.
Suma =
T+7
T+8
0.955572436
-0.00963661
-0.240776852
-0.649027932
0.289681764
-1.682763193
-0.497088112
0.60835252
0.770565357
0.273141938
0.294922927
-1.105643004
0.881331057
-0.427278879
-0.656148821
-0.531362324
-1.251104751
-1.187280343
-0.313198999
-1.735916336
0.365502499
0.9555724359
-0.0096366098
-0.2407768515
-0.6490279322
0.2896817642
-1.6827631926
-0.497088112
0.6083525203
0.7705653571
0.2731419378
0.2949229272
-1.105643004
0.8813310575
-0.4272788791
-0.6561488213
-0.5313623245
-1.251104751
-1.1872803427
-0.3131989994
-1.7359163359
2.492624087
-0.93233384
0.280919001
0.233222218
0.287229627
1.898581103
-0.57628035
-0.001458881
-0.222216989
1.127612929
0.057242395
-0.043959371
-0.882084863
-0.844722496
3.154864206
0.3655024987
2.4926240868
-0.9323338403
0.2809190013
0.2332222182
0.2872296266
1.8985811028
-0.5762803501
-0.0014588807
-0.2222169886
1.1276129285
0.057242395
-0.043959371
-0.8820848629
-0.8447224963
r7
r8
-0.28289539 -0.0218035151
Lim. Inf.
r(k)
Lim. Sup.
Suma =
Criterio de
decision
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
de confianza
de confianza
banda
banda de

de confianza
de confianza

de confianza
de confianza

de confianza
de confianza

Estacion 1002
AO
1963
1961
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1981
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
TOTAL
1230.6
1030.3
921.5
740.9
1110.9
516.2
1076.8
1044.2
1607
1195.2
1275.3
791.2
1773.8
976
1115.1
992.7
689.2
633.2
1032
793.3
1529.3
1396.1
590.9
1135.1
667.4
891.6
998.8
629.4
623.1
737.7
1305.4
1141.4
1038.5
932.6
890.9
1533.8
1491.9
1484.8
x
S=
n=
1034.3587
313.473848
46
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
1216.5
878.5
713.5
798.2
730
1095.8
932.9
1651

Estacion 1002
n=
k=
46
9
AO
T+1
T+2
1963
1961
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1981
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
0.62602129
-0.01294748
-0.36002587
-0.93615049
0.24417126
-1.65295669
0.13539026
0.03139434
1.82675942
0.51309321
0.76861692
-0.77569053
2.35886122
-0.18616767
0.25756951
-0.13289369
-1.10107653
-1.27971982
-0.00752438
-0.76899141
1.57889185
1.15397602
-1.4146593
0.32137068
-1.17061981
-0.45540863
-0.11343433
-1.29184204
-1.31193941
-0.94635867
0.86463769
0.62602129
-0.01294748
-0.36002587
-0.93615049
0.24417126
-1.65295669
0.13539026
0.03139434
1.82675942
0.51309321
0.76861692
-0.77569053
2.35886122
-0.18616767
0.25756951
-0.13289369
-1.10107653
-1.27971982
-0.00752438
-0.76899141
1.57889185
1.15397602
-1.4146593
0.32137068
-1.17061981
-0.45540863
-0.11343433
-1.29184204
-1.31193941
-0.94635867
0.86463769
0.62602129
-0.01294748
-0.36002587
-0.93615049
0.24417126
-1.65295669
0.13539026
0.03139434
1.82675942
0.51309321
0.76861692
-0.77569053
2.35886122
-0.18616767
0.25756951
-0.13289369
-1.10107653
-1.27971982
-0.00752438
-0.76899141
1.57889185
1.15397602
-1.4146593
0.32137068
-1.17061981
-0.45540863
-0.11343433
-1.29184204
-1.31193941
-0.94635867
0.62602129
-0.01294748
-0.36002587
-0.93615049
0.24417126
-1.65295669
0.13539026
0.03139434
1.82675942
0.51309321
0.76861692
-0.77569053
2.35886122
-0.18616767
0.25756951
-0.13289369
-1.10107653
-1.27971982
-0.00752438
-0.76899141
1.57889185
1.15397602
-1.4146593
0.32137068
-1.17061981
-0.45540863
-0.11343433
-1.29184204
-1.31193941
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
k
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0.34146805
0.013211
-0.32461622
-0.45764167
1.59324711
1.45958365
1.43693423
0.58104147
-0.4971984
-1.0235581
-0.75336012
-0.97092213
0.19600137
-0.3236592
1.967122
Lim Inf.
-0.31483135
-0.31865702
-0.32262199
-0.32673484
-0.3310049
-0.33544234
-0.34005828
-0.34486486
-0.34987545
0.34146805
0.013211
-0.32461622
-0.45764167
1.59324711
1.45958365
1.43693423
0.58104147
-0.4971984
-1.0235581
-0.75336012
-0.97092213
0.19600137
-0.3236592
1.967122
r
0.14644836
0.1820978
-0.1961555
-0.19307197
-0.17448313
0.00576828
-0.27710286
0.01526905
-0.12307607
0.86463769
0.34146805
0.013211
-0.32461622
-0.45764167
1.59324711
1.45958365
1.43693423
0.58104147
-0.4971984
-1.0235581
-0.75336012
-0.97092213
0.19600137
-0.3236592
-0.94635867
0.86463769
0.34146805
0.013211
-0.32461622
-0.45764167
1.59324711
1.45958365
1.43693423
0.58104147
-0.4971984
-1.0235581
-0.75336012
-0.97092213
0.19600137
r1
0.14644836
r2
0.1820978
Lim. Sup.
Graficando:
0.26708063
0.26717534
0.26617567
0.26618378
0.26623264
0.2667079
0.26596322
0.26673302
0.26636792
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
El
0 % de los puntos caen fuera de la bande de confianza
La serie es
INDEPENDIENTE

n=
k=
Estacion 1002
AO
T 1
1963
1961
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1981
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
0.62602129
-0.01294748
-0.36002587
-0.93615049
0.24417126
-1.65295669
0.13539026
0.03139434
1.82675942
0.51309321
0.76861692
-0.77569053
2.35886122
-0.18616767
0.25756951
-0.13289369
-1.10107653
-1.27971982
-0.00752438
-0.76899141
1.57889185
1.15397602
-1.4146593
0.32137068
-1.17061981
-0.45540863
-0.11343433
-1.29184204
-1.31193941
-0.94635867
0.86463769
0.34146805
0.013211
-0.32461622
-0.45764167
1.59324711
1.45958365
1.43693423
0.58104147
-0.4971984
-1.0235581
-0.75336012
-0.97092213
0.19600137
-0.3236592
0.63476123
0.04021127
-0.2253579
-0.98250199
0.49154373
-1.69101638
0.13221814
-0.23870523
1.77070898
0.40489599
0.89183097
-1.13336144
2.41213201
-0.2263285
0.28005099
0.02866624
-0.92362185
-1.29255379
0.10623858
-1.0111191
1.42526066
1.37598601
-1.47765512
0.49817722
-1.11595786
-0.44357889
0.07657948
-1.11169662
-1.18613527
-1.0846781
0.82350907
0.34323396
0.06141265
-0.26040293
-0.69850112
1.39452885
1.26276168
1.36657565
0.66098185
-0.35108528
-0.92318321
-0.61783143
-1.01052133
0.2460536
-0.61840848
1 =
0.63476123
0.14644836 0.04021127
-0.2253579
-0.98250199
0.49154373
-1.69101638
0.13221814
-0.23870523
1.77070898
0.40489599
0.89183097
-1.13336144
2.41213201
-0.2263285
0.28005099
0.02866624
-0.92362185
-1.29255379
0.10623858
-1.0111191
1.42526066
1.37598601
-1.47765512
0.49817722
-1.11595786
-0.44357889
0.07657948
-1.11169662
-1.18613527
-1.0846781
0.82350907
0.34323396
0.06141265
-0.26040293
-0.69850112
1.39452885
1.26276168
1.36657565
0.66098185
-0.35108528
-0.92318321
-0.61783143
-1.01052133
0.2460536
-0.61840848
2008
1.967122
k
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Lim Inf.
-0.31865702
-0.32262199
-0.32673484
-0.3310049
-0.33544234
-0.34005828
-0.34486486
-0.34987545
-0.35510473
r
-0.00292262
0.19411238
-0.16764676
-0.12563266
-0.11456789
0.09461845
-0.34272577
0.00622629
-0.21385195
Lim. Sup.
Graficando:
0.27214539
0.27500294
0.27795435
0.2810049
0.28416029
0.2874267
0.29081081
0.2943199
0.29796188
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
0
El
La serie es
INDEPENDIENTE

n=
k=
Estacion 1002
AO
T 2
1963
1961
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
0.62602129
-0.01294748
-0.36002587
-0.93615049
0.24417126
-1.65295669
0.13539026
0.03139434
1.82675942
0.51309321
0.76861692
-0.77569053
2.35886122
-0.18616767
0.70374538
0.18939519
-0.29260381
-0.7119003
0.43479902
-1.71622207
-0.17253064
-0.28330376
1.6783919
0.55990837
0.48812193
-1.05950905
2.39738906
-0.20073682
0.70374538
0.18939519
-0.29260381
-0.7119003
0.43479902
-1.71622207
-0.17253064
-0.28330376
1.6783919
0.55990837
0.48812193
-1.05950905
2.39738906
-0.20073682
1 = 0.14644836
2 = 0.1820978
R = 0.97579638
1 = 0.12240569
2 = 0.16417169
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1981
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
0.25756951
-0.13289369
-1.10107653
-1.27971982
-0.00752438
-0.76899141
1.57889185
1.15397602
-1.4146593
0.32137068
-1.17061981
-0.45540863
-0.11343433
-1.29184204
-1.31193941
-0.94635867
0.86463769
0.34146805
0.013211
-0.32461622
-0.45764167
1.59324711
1.45958365
1.43693423
0.58104147
-0.4971984
-1.0235581
-0.75336012
-0.97092213
0.19600137
-0.3236592
1.967122
0.46587798
0.21723601
-0.96659126
-1.18114003
-0.17688609
-1.18027384
1.71130541
1.30598803
-1.29311226
0.55280632
-1.1234439
-0.23513074
0.26652876
-1.00009378
-1.37123767
-1.13574374
0.84102708
0.40289527
0.13125452
-0.54331453
-0.91441874
1.20791783
1.21777882
1.48333954
0.83003038
-0.25438572
-0.79109189
-0.6832282
-0.96513796
-0.0894927
k
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Lim Inf.
-0.32262199
-0.32673484
-0.3310049
-0.33544234
-0.34005828
-0.34486486
-0.34987545
-0.35510473
r
0.06609991
0.05247356
-0.18584275
-0.19628906
-0.05895559
0.11898687
-0.30287391
0.00081771
0.46587798
0.21723601
-0.96659126
-1.18114003
-0.17688609
-1.18027384
1.71130541
1.30598803
-1.29311226
0.55280632
-1.1234439
-0.23513074
0.26652876
-1.00009378
-1.37123767
-1.13574374
0.84102708
0.40289527
0.13125452
-0.54331453
-0.91441874
1.20791783
1.21777882
1.48333954
0.83003038
-0.25438572
-0.79109189
-0.6832282
-0.96513796
-0.0894927
Lim. Sup.
Graficando:
0.27500294
0.27795435
0.2810049
0.4
0.28416029
0.3
0.2874267
0.2
0.29081081
0.1
0.2943199
0.29796188
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
0
El
La serie es
INDEPENDIENTE

n=
k=
Estacion 1002
AO
T 3
1963
1961
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1981
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
0.62602129
-0.01294748
-0.36002587
-0.93615049
0.24417126
-1.65295669
0.13539026
0.03139434
1.82675942
0.51309321
0.76861692
-0.77569053
2.35886122
-0.18616767
0.25756951
-0.13289369
-1.10107653
-1.27971982
-0.00752438
-0.76899141
1.57889185
1.15397602
-1.4146593
0.32137068
-1.17061981
-0.45540863
-0.11343433
-1.29184204
0.47931677
0.27922386
-0.75221059
-0.6555014
0.44409676
-1.27143624
-0.08079098
-0.08846145
1.49873222
1.22663613
0.39409516
-1.00327624
2.41677915
-0.49651129
0.1596032
0.24493858
-1.20269611
-0.77147902
0.0884105
-1.60849573
1.87833773
1.01273936
-1.42036991
0.54183448
-1.49754662
-0.56364389
0.04407781
-0.77866253
T
1
2
3
1
2
3
=
=
=
=
=
=
0.14644836
0.1820978
-0.1961555
0.11825219
0.1856873
-0.25466649
0.47931677
0.27922386
-0.75221059
-0.6555014
0.44409676
-1.27143624
-0.08079098
-0.08846145
1.49873222
1.22663613
0.39409516
-1.00327624
2.41677915
-0.49651129
0.1596032
0.24493858
-1.20269611
-0.77147902
0.0884105
-1.60849573
1.87833773
1.01273936
-1.42036991
0.54183448
-1.49754662
-0.56364389
0.04407781
-0.77866253
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
-1.31193941
-0.94635867
0.86463769
0.34146805
0.013211
-0.32461622
-0.45764167
1.59324711
1.45958365
1.43693423
0.58104147
-0.4971984
-1.0235581
-0.75336012
-0.97092213
0.19600137
-0.3236592
1.967122
-1.33875124
-1.16533854
0.77693348
0.29814124
0.57005517
-0.20459096
-0.57931704
1.36836946
1.10910837
1.26124051
0.67066992
-0.50825867
-0.74028282
-0.79609593
-0.45518457
k
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Lim Inf.
-0.32673484
-0.3310049
-0.33544234
-0.34005828
-0.34486486
-0.34987545
-0.35510473
-0.36056891
r
0.02242057
0.02295601
0.07555346
-0.25216167
0.01967583
0.07959707
-0.37950399
0.01193756
-1.33875124
-1.16533854
0.77693348
0.29814124
0.57005517
-0.20459096
-0.57931704
1.36836946
1.10910837
1.26124051
0.67066992
-0.50825867
-0.74028282
-0.79609593
-0.45518457
Lim. Sup.
Graficando:
0.27795435
0.2810049
0.28416029
0.2874267
0.29081081
0.2943199
0.29796188
0.30174538
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
-0.5
El
12.5
La serie es
DEPENDIENTE
tacion a completar
componte estocstica
T+3
T+4
T+5
T+6
T+7
T+8
0.62602129
-0.01294748
-0.36002587
-0.93615049
0.24417126
-1.65295669
0.13539026
0.03139434
1.82675942
0.51309321
0.76861692
-0.77569053
2.35886122
-0.18616767
0.25756951
-0.13289369
-1.10107653
-1.27971982
-0.00752438
-0.76899141
1.57889185
1.15397602
-1.4146593
0.32137068
-1.17061981
-0.45540863
-0.11343433
-1.29184204
0.62602129
-0.01294748
-0.36002587
-0.93615049
0.24417126
-1.65295669
0.13539026
0.03139434
1.82675942
0.51309321
0.76861692
-0.77569053
2.35886122
-0.18616767
0.25756951
-0.13289369
-1.10107653
-1.27971982
-0.00752438
-0.76899141
1.57889185
1.15397602
-1.4146593
0.32137068
-1.17061981
-0.45540863
-0.11343433
0.62602129
-0.01294748
-0.36002587
-0.93615049
0.24417126
-1.65295669
0.13539026
0.03139434
1.82675942
0.51309321
0.76861692
-0.77569053
2.35886122
-0.18616767
0.25756951
-0.13289369
-1.10107653
-1.27971982
-0.00752438
-0.76899141
1.57889185
1.15397602
-1.4146593
0.32137068
-1.17061981
-0.45540863
0.6260212946
-0.0129474777
-0.3600258722
-0.9361504866
0.2441712594
-1.6529566929
0.1353902553
0.0313943393
1.8267594167
0.513093214
0.7686169217
-0.7756905303
2.3588612201
-0.186167669
0.2575695063
-0.1328936875
-1.1010765252
-1.2797198165
-0.0075243778
-0.7689914069
1.5788918501
1.1539760215
-1.4146593026
0.3213706817
-1.1706198064
0.62602129
-0.01294748
-0.36002587
-0.93615049
0.24417126
-1.65295669
0.13539026
0.03139434
1.82675942
0.51309321
0.76861692
-0.77569053
2.35886122
-0.18616767
0.25756951
-0.13289369
-1.10107653
-1.27971982
-0.00752438
-0.76899141
1.57889185
1.15397602
-1.4146593
0.32137068
0.62602129
-0.01294748
-0.36002587
-0.93615049
0.24417126
-1.65295669
0.13539026
0.03139434
1.82675942
0.51309321
0.76861692
-0.77569053
2.35886122
-0.18616767
0.25756951
-0.13289369
-1.10107653
-1.27971982
-0.00752438
-0.76899141
1.57889185
1.15397602
-1.4146593
-1.31193941
-0.94635867
0.86463769
0.34146805
0.013211
-0.32461622
-0.45764167
1.59324711
1.45958365
1.43693423
0.58104147
-0.4971984
-1.0235581
-0.75336012
-0.97092213
-1.29184204
-1.31193941
-0.94635867
0.86463769
0.34146805
0.013211
-0.32461622
-0.45764167
1.59324711
1.45958365
1.43693423
0.58104147
-0.4971984
-1.0235581
-0.75336012
-0.11343433
-1.29184204
-1.31193941
-0.94635867
0.86463769
0.34146805
0.013211
-0.32461622
-0.45764167
1.59324711
1.45958365
1.43693423
0.58104147
-0.4971984
-1.0235581
-0.4554086295
-0.113434329
-1.2918420398
-1.3119394101
-0.9463586747
0.8646376908
0.341468052
0.0132110043
-0.3246162198
-0.4576416706
1.5932471146
1.459583652
1.4369342347
0.5810414659
-0.4971983994
-1.17061981
-0.45540863
-0.11343433
-1.29184204
-1.31193941
-0.94635867
0.86463769
0.34146805
0.013211
-0.32461622
-0.45764167
1.59324711
1.45958365
1.43693423
0.58104147
0.32137068
-1.17061981
-0.45540863
-0.11343433
-1.29184204
-1.31193941
-0.94635867
0.86463769
0.34146805
0.013211
-0.32461622
-0.45764167
1.59324711
1.45958365
1.43693423
r3
r4
r5
r6
r7
r8
-0.1961555 -0.19307197 -0.17448313 0.0057682818 -0.27710286 0.01526905
TtLimite de confianza
0.4
0.3
0.2
Lim. Inf.
0.1
0
r(k)
Lim. Sup.
0
10
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
45
9
T+1
T+2
T+3
T+4
T+5
T+6
0.63476123
0.04021127
-0.2253579
-0.98250199
0.49154373
-1.69101638
0.13221814
-0.23870523
1.77070898
0.40489599
0.89183097
-1.13336144
2.41213201
-0.2263285
0.28005099
0.02866624
-0.92362185
-1.29255379
0.10623858
-1.0111191
1.42526066
1.37598601
-1.47765512
0.49817722
-1.11595786
-0.44357889
0.07657948
-1.11169662
-1.18613527
-1.0846781
0.82350907
0.34323396
0.06141265
-0.26040293
-0.69850112
1.39452885
1.26276168
1.36657565
0.66098185
-0.35108528
-0.92318321
-0.61783143
-1.01052133
0.2460536
0.63476123
0.04021127
-0.2253579
-0.98250199
0.49154373
-1.69101638
0.13221814
-0.23870523
1.77070898
0.40489599
0.89183097
-1.13336144
2.41213201
-0.2263285
0.28005099
0.02866624
-0.92362185
-1.29255379
0.10623858
-1.0111191
1.42526066
1.37598601
-1.47765512
0.49817722
-1.11595786
-0.44357889
0.07657948
-1.11169662
-1.18613527
-1.0846781
0.82350907
0.34323396
0.06141265
-0.26040293
-0.69850112
1.39452885
1.26276168
1.36657565
0.66098185
-0.35108528
-0.92318321
-0.61783143
-1.01052133
0.63476123
0.04021127
-0.2253579
-0.98250199
0.49154373
-1.69101638
0.13221814
-0.23870523
1.77070898
0.40489599
0.89183097
-1.13336144
2.41213201
-0.2263285
0.28005099
0.02866624
-0.92362185
-1.29255379
0.10623858
-1.0111191
1.42526066
1.37598601
-1.47765512
0.49817722
-1.11595786
-0.44357889
0.07657948
-1.11169662
-1.18613527
-1.0846781
0.82350907
0.34323396
0.06141265
-0.26040293
-0.69850112
1.39452885
1.26276168
1.36657565
0.66098185
-0.35108528
-0.92318321
-0.61783143
0.6347612262
0.0402112667
-0.2253579045
-0.9825019933
0.4915437285
-1.6910163778
0.1322181399
-0.2387052293
1.7707089802
0.4048959853
0.8918309687
-1.1333614367
2.4121320147
-0.2263285037
0.2800509903
0.0286662363
-0.9236218529
-1.2925537898
0.106238585
-1.0111190984
1.4252606616
1.375986005
-1.4776551227
0.4981772242
-1.1159578633
-0.4435788851
0.0765794773
-1.1116966236
-1.1861352676
-1.0846781044
0.8235090682
0.3432339621
0.0614126497
-0.2604029288
-0.6985011189
1.3945288485
1.2627616841
1.3665756502
0.6609818543
-0.3510852832
-0.923183211
0.63476123
0.04021127
-0.2253579
-0.98250199
0.49154373
-1.69101638
0.13221814
-0.23870523
1.77070898
0.40489599
0.89183097
-1.13336144
2.41213201
-0.2263285
0.28005099
0.02866624
-0.92362185
-1.29255379
0.10623858
-1.0111191
1.42526066
1.37598601
-1.47765512
0.49817722
-1.11595786
-0.44357889
0.07657948
-1.11169662
-1.18613527
-1.0846781
0.82350907
0.34323396
0.06141265
-0.26040293
-0.69850112
1.39452885
1.26276168
1.36657565
0.66098185
-0.35108528
0.63476123
0.04021127
-0.2253579
-0.98250199
0.49154373
-1.69101638
0.13221814
-0.23870523
1.77070898
0.40489599
0.89183097
-1.13336144
2.41213201
-0.2263285
0.28005099
0.02866624
-0.92362185
-1.29255379
0.10623858
-1.0111191
1.42526066
1.37598601
-1.47765512
0.49817722
-1.11595786
-0.44357889
0.07657948
-1.11169662
-1.18613527
-1.0846781
0.82350907
0.34323396
0.06141265
-0.26040293
-0.69850112
1.39452885
1.26276168
1.36657565
0.66098185
r1
r2
r3
r4
r5
r6
-0.00292262 0.19411238 -0.16764676 -0.1256326558 -0.11456789 0.09461845
Limite de confianza
0.4
0.3
0.2
Lim. Inf.
0.1
r(k)
Lim. Sup.
0
10
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
44
8
T+1
T+2
T+3
T+4
T+5
T+6
0.70374538
0.18939519
-0.29260381
-0.7119003
0.43479902
-1.71622207
-0.17253064
-0.28330376
1.6783919
0.55990837
0.48812193
-1.05950905
2.39738906
0.70374538
0.18939519
-0.29260381
-0.7119003
0.43479902
-1.71622207
-0.17253064
-0.28330376
1.6783919
0.55990837
0.48812193
-1.05950905
0.70374538
0.18939519
-0.29260381
-0.7119003
0.43479902
-1.71622207
-0.17253064
-0.28330376
1.6783919
0.55990837
0.48812193
0.7037453793
0.189395195
-0.2926038084
-0.7119003006
0.4347990193
-1.716222072
-0.1725306414
-0.2833037581
1.6783919018
0.5599083666
0.70374538
0.18939519
-0.29260381
-0.7119003
0.43479902
-1.71622207
-0.17253064
-0.28330376
1.6783919
0.70374538
0.18939519
-0.29260381
-0.7119003
0.43479902
-1.71622207
-0.17253064
-0.28330376
-0.20073682
0.46587798
0.21723601
-0.96659126
-1.18114003
-0.17688609
-1.18027384
1.71130541
1.30598803
-1.29311226
0.55280632
-1.1234439
-0.23513074
0.26652876
-1.00009378
-1.37123767
-1.13574374
0.84102708
0.40289527
0.13125452
-0.54331453
-0.91441874
1.20791783
1.21777882
1.48333954
0.83003038
-0.25438572
-0.79109189
-0.6832282
-0.96513796
2.39738906
-0.20073682
0.46587798
0.21723601
-0.96659126
-1.18114003
-0.17688609
-1.18027384
1.71130541
1.30598803
-1.29311226
0.55280632
-1.1234439
-0.23513074
0.26652876
-1.00009378
-1.37123767
-1.13574374
0.84102708
0.40289527
0.13125452
-0.54331453
-0.91441874
1.20791783
1.21777882
1.48333954
0.83003038
-0.25438572
-0.79109189
-0.6832282
-1.05950905
2.39738906
-0.20073682
0.46587798
0.21723601
-0.96659126
-1.18114003
-0.17688609
-1.18027384
1.71130541
1.30598803
-1.29311226
0.55280632
-1.1234439
-0.23513074
0.26652876
-1.00009378
-1.37123767
-1.13574374
0.84102708
0.40289527
0.13125452
-0.54331453
-0.91441874
1.20791783
1.21777882
1.48333954
0.83003038
-0.25438572
-0.79109189
0.4881219301
-1.0595090462
2.3973890641
-0.2007368165
0.465877978
0.2172360057
-0.9665912564
-1.1811400287
-0.1768860873
-1.1802738394
1.7113054145
1.3059880287
-1.293112259
0.5528063203
-1.1234438995
-0.2351307424
0.2665287561
-1.0000937759
-1.3712376702
-1.1357437383
0.8410270832
0.4028952666
0.1312545172
-0.5433145289
-0.9144187363
1.2079178295
1.2177788206
1.4833395387
0.8300303793
-0.2543857162
0.55990837
0.48812193
-1.05950905
2.39738906
-0.20073682
0.46587798
0.21723601
-0.96659126
-1.18114003
-0.17688609
-1.18027384
1.71130541
1.30598803
-1.29311226
0.55280632
-1.1234439
-0.23513074
0.26652876
-1.00009378
-1.37123767
-1.13574374
0.84102708
0.40289527
0.13125452
-0.54331453
-0.91441874
1.20791783
1.21777882
1.48333954
0.83003038
1.6783919
0.55990837
0.48812193
-1.05950905
2.39738906
-0.20073682
0.46587798
0.21723601
-0.96659126
-1.18114003
-0.17688609
-1.18027384
1.71130541
1.30598803
-1.29311226
0.55280632
-1.1234439
-0.23513074
0.26652876
-1.00009378
-1.37123767
-1.13574374
0.84102708
0.40289527
0.13125452
-0.54331453
-0.91441874
1.20791783
1.21777882
1.48333954
r1
r2
r3
r4
r5
r6
0.06609991 0.05247356 -0.18584275 -0.1962890631 -0.05895559 0.11898687
Limite de confianza
Lim. Inf.
r(k)
Lim. Sup.
1
Lim. Inf.
r(k)
Lim. Sup.
43
8
T+1
T+2
T+3
T+4
T+5
T+6
0.47931677
0.27922386
-0.75221059
-0.6555014
0.44409676
-1.27143624
-0.08079098
-0.08846145
1.49873222
1.22663613
0.39409516
-1.00327624
2.41677915
-0.49651129
0.1596032
0.24493858
-1.20269611
-0.77147902
0.0884105
-1.60849573
1.87833773
1.01273936
-1.42036991
0.54183448
-1.49754662
-0.56364389
0.04407781
0.47931677
0.27922386
-0.75221059
-0.6555014
0.44409676
-1.27143624
-0.08079098
-0.08846145
1.49873222
1.22663613
0.39409516
-1.00327624
2.41677915
-0.49651129
0.1596032
0.24493858
-1.20269611
-0.77147902
0.0884105
-1.60849573
1.87833773
1.01273936
-1.42036991
0.54183448
-1.49754662
-0.56364389
0.47931677
0.27922386
-0.75221059
-0.6555014
0.44409676
-1.27143624
-0.08079098
-0.08846145
1.49873222
1.22663613
0.39409516
-1.00327624
2.41677915
-0.49651129
0.1596032
0.24493858
-1.20269611
-0.77147902
0.0884105
-1.60849573
1.87833773
1.01273936
-1.42036991
0.54183448
-1.49754662
0.4793167653
0.2792238596
-0.7522105892
-0.655501403
0.4440967593
-1.2714362402
-0.0807909796
-0.0884614548
1.4987322157
1.2266361333
0.3940951638
-1.0032762412
2.4167791516
-0.4965112888
0.1596031982
0.244938582
-1.2026961103
-0.7714790165
0.0884104955
-1.6084957339
1.8783377261
1.0127393553
-1.4203699073
0.5418344818
0.47931677
0.27922386
-0.75221059
-0.6555014
0.44409676
-1.27143624
-0.08079098
-0.08846145
1.49873222
1.22663613
0.39409516
-1.00327624
2.41677915
-0.49651129
0.1596032
0.24493858
-1.20269611
-0.77147902
0.0884105
-1.60849573
1.87833773
1.01273936
-1.42036991
0.47931677
0.27922386
-0.75221059
-0.6555014
0.44409676
-1.27143624
-0.08079098
-0.08846145
1.49873222
1.22663613
0.39409516
-1.00327624
2.41677915
-0.49651129
0.1596032
0.24493858
-1.20269611
-0.77147902
0.0884105
-1.60849573
1.87833773
1.01273936
-0.77866253
-1.33875124
-1.16533854
0.77693348
0.29814124
0.57005517
-0.20459096
-0.57931704
1.36836946
1.10910837
1.26124051
0.67066992
-0.50825867
-0.74028282
-0.79609593
0.04407781
-0.77866253
-1.33875124
-1.16533854
0.77693348
0.29814124
0.57005517
-0.20459096
-0.57931704
1.36836946
1.10910837
1.26124051
0.67066992
-0.50825867
-0.74028282
-0.56364389
0.04407781
-0.77866253
-1.33875124
-1.16533854
0.77693348
0.29814124
0.57005517
-0.20459096
-0.57931704
1.36836946
1.10910837
1.26124051
0.67066992
-0.50825867
-1.4975466161
-0.5636438934
0.044077813
-0.7786625277
-1.338751245
-1.1653385401
0.7769334758
0.2981412371
0.570055165
-0.2045909616
-0.5793170375
1.3683694556
1.1091083667
1.2612405109
0.670669921
0.54183448
-1.49754662
-0.56364389
0.04407781
-0.77866253
-1.33875124
-1.16533854
0.77693348
0.29814124
0.57005517
-0.20459096
-0.57931704
1.36836946
1.10910837
1.26124051
-1.42036991
0.54183448
-1.49754662
-0.56364389
0.04407781
-0.77866253
-1.33875124
-1.16533854
0.77693348
0.29814124
0.57005517
-0.20459096
-0.57931704
1.36836946
1.10910837
r1
r2
r3
r4
r5
r6
0.02242057 0.02295601 0.07555346 -0.2521616706 0.01967583 0.07959707
Limite de confianza
0.4
0.3
0.2
Lim. Inf.
0.1
0
0.1
r(k)
0
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
Lim. Sup.
T+9
0.626021295
-0.012947478
-0.360025872
-0.936150487
0.244171259
-1.652956693
0.135390255
0.031394339
1.826759417
0.513093214
0.768616922
-0.77569053
2.35886122
-0.186167669
0.257569506
-0.132893688
-1.101076525
-1.279719816
-0.007524378
-0.768991407
1.57889185
1.153976022
-1.414659303
0.321370682
-1.170619806
-0.455408629
-0.113434329
-1.29184204
-1.31193941
-0.946358675
0.864637691
0.341468052
0.013211004
-0.32461622
-0.457641671
1.593247115
1.459583652
r9
-0.12307607
Lim. Inf.
r(k)
Lim. Sup.
Suma =
T+7
T+8
Criterio de
decision
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
T+9

de confianza
confianza
0.634761226
0.040211267
-0.225357905
-0.982501993
0.491543729
-1.691016378
0.13221814
-0.238705229
1.77070898
0.404895985
0.891830969
-1.133361437
2.412132015
-0.226328504
0.28005099
0.028666236
-0.923621853
-1.29255379
0.106238585
-1.011119098
1.425260662
1.375986005
-1.477655123
0.498177224
-1.115957863
-0.443578885
0.076579477
-1.111696624
-1.186135268
-1.084678104
0.823509068
0.343233962
0.06141265
-0.260402929
-0.698501119
1.394528849
1.262761684
1.36657565
0.6347612262
0.0402112667
-0.2253579045
-0.9825019933
0.4915437285
-1.6910163778
0.1322181399
-0.2387052293
1.7707089802
0.4048959853
0.8918309687
-1.1333614367
2.4121320147
-0.2263285037
0.2800509903
0.0286662363
-0.9236218529
-1.2925537898
0.106238585
-1.0111190984
1.4252606616
1.375986005
-1.4776551227
0.4981772242
-1.1159578633
-0.4435788851
0.0765794773
-1.1116966236
-1.1861352676
-1.0846781044
0.8235090682
0.3432339621
0.0614126497
-0.2604029288
-0.6985011189
1.3945288485
1.2627616841
0.63476123
0.04021127
-0.2253579
-0.98250199
0.49154373
-1.69101638
0.13221814
-0.23870523
1.77070898
0.40489599
0.89183097
-1.13336144
2.41213201
-0.2263285
0.28005099
0.02866624
-0.92362185
-1.29255379
0.10623858
-1.0111191
1.42526066
1.37598601
-1.47765512
0.49817722
-1.11595786
-0.44357889
0.07657948
-1.11169662
-1.18613527
-1.0846781
0.82350907
0.34323396
0.06141265
-0.26040293
-0.69850112
1.39452885
r7
r8
r9
-0.342725771 0.0062262914 -0.21385195
Lim. Inf.
r(k)
Lim. Sup.
10
Suma =
T+7
T+8
0.703745379
0.189395195
-0.292603808
-0.711900301
0.434799019
-1.716222072
-0.172530641
0.7037453793
0.189395195
-0.2926038084
-0.7119003006
0.4347990193
-1.716222072
Criterio de
decision
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
de confianza
de confianza
-0.283303758
1.678391902
0.559908367
0.48812193
-1.059509046
2.397389064
-0.200736816
0.465877978
0.217236006
-0.966591256
-1.181140029
-0.176886087
-1.180273839
1.711305415
1.305988029
-1.293112259
0.55280632
-1.1234439
-0.235130742
0.266528756
-1.000093776
-1.37123767
-1.135743738
0.841027083
0.402895267
0.131254517
-0.543314529
-0.914418736
1.207917829
1.217778821
-0.1725306414
-0.2833037581
1.6783919018
0.5599083666
0.4881219301
-1.0595090462
2.3973890641
-0.2007368165
0.465877978
0.2172360057
-0.9665912564
-1.1811400287
-0.1768860873
-1.1802738394
1.7113054145
1.3059880287
-1.293112259
0.5528063203
-1.1234438995
-0.2351307424
0.2665287561
-1.0000937759
-1.3712376702
-1.1357437383
0.8410270832
0.4028952666
0.1312545172
-0.5433145289
-0.9144187363
1.2079178295
r7
r8
-0.302873908 0.0008177079
Lim. Inf.
r(k)
Lim. Sup.
9
Criterio de
decision
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
de confianza
de confianza
Lim. Inf.
r(k)
Lim. Sup.
9
Suma =
T+7
T+8
0.479316765
0.27922386
-0.752210589
-0.655501403
0.444096759
-1.27143624
-0.08079098
-0.088461455
1.498732216
1.226636133
0.394095164
-1.003276241
2.416779152
-0.496511289
0.159603198
0.244938582
-1.20269611
-0.771479017
0.088410496
-1.608495734
1.878337726
0.4793167653
0.2792238596
-0.7522105892
-0.655501403
0.4440967593
-1.2714362402
-0.0807909796
-0.0884614548
1.4987322157
1.2266361333
0.3940951638
-1.0032762412
2.4167791516
-0.4965112888
0.1596031982
0.244938582
-1.2026961103
-0.7714790165
0.0884104955
-1.6084957339
1.012739355
-1.420369907
0.541834482
-1.497546616
-0.563643893
0.044077813
-0.778662528
-1.338751245
-1.16533854
0.776933476
0.298141237
0.570055165
-0.204590962
-0.579317038
1.368369456
1.8783377261
1.0127393553
-1.4203699073
0.5418344818
-1.4975466161
-0.5636438934
0.044077813
-0.7786625277
-1.338751245
-1.1653385401
0.7769334758
0.2981412371
0.570055165
-0.2045909616
-0.5793170375
r7
r8
-0.379503993 0.0119375629
Lim. Inf.
r(k)
9
Lim. Sup.
Suma =
Criterio de
decision
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
de confianza
de confianza
banda
banda de

de confianza
de confianza

de confianza
de confianza

de confianza
de confianza

Hidrologia Estadistica - Modelo Autorregresivo

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Auccapia P.

PRECIPITACION EN LA CUENCA DEL RIO ZAA ENTRE

Mapa de ubicacion de las es

RIO ZAA ENTRE LOS AOS 1963 Y 2008

bicacion de las estaciones pluviometric

1. Evaluando las estaciones, siendo la estacion 1002 la estacion a completar

1. Analisis de la estructura de dependencia de la componte estocstica

2. Modelo Markoviano de primer Orden

3. Modelo Markoviano de segundo Orden

4. Modelo Markoviano de tercer Orden

1, si r cae fuera de la banda

1, si r cae fuera de la banda

1, si r cae fuera de la banda

1, si r cae fuera de la banda

1. Evaluando las estaciones, siendo la estacion 1002 la estacion a completar

1. Analisis de la estructura de dependencia de la componte estocstica

2. Modelo Markoviano de primer Orden

3. Modelo Markoviano de segundo Orden

4. Modelo Markoviano de tercer Orden

1, si r cae fuera de la banda

1, si r cae fuera de la banda

1, si r cae fuera de la banda

1, si r cae fuera de la banda

1. Evaluando las estaciones, siendo la estacion 1002 la estacion a completar

1. Analisis de la estructura de dependencia de la componte estocstica

2. Modelo Markoviano de primer Orden

3. Modelo Markoviano de segundo Orden

4. Modelo Markoviano de tercer Orden

1, si r cae fuera de la banda

1, si r cae fuera de la banda

1, si r cae fuera de la banda

1, si r cae fuera de la banda

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