A=l WORLD FORUM PROGRAM MARCH 3-6, 2016 | SEA ISLAND, GEORGIAThursday, March 3 Noon 6:00 p.m. Registration The Colonial Lounge, The Cloister 6:00-6:45 pm. Reception The Beach Club 6:30-6:45 pm. Welcome Arthur Brooks 6:45-8:00 pm. Dinner 8:00-8:45 pm. Starlight Chat The Cloiser A Conversation with Michael Froman, US Trade Representative Inlerviewer: Paul Gigot Paul Gigot interviews the US Trade Representative Michael Froman on the current climate of intemational trade and relevant policy. ‘A Conversation with Peggy Noonan Interviewer: Ramesh Ponnuru Ramesh Ponnuru of AEI and Peggy Noonan of the Wall Street Journal will discuss: the current ste and future of the conservative movement; ‘and what prioities matter most fo working-class American households 9:00-11:15 pm. Debating the Debate Karin Bowman Join us fo waich the Fox News debate. Rich Lowry Norm Omstein Bill Kristol moderator Friday, March 4 7:30-8:30a.m. Early Bird Breakfasts Assassination, Imprisonment, or Exile: The Challenge of Striking Back at Putin’s Empire Vladimir KaraMurza, Inerviewer: leon Aron Money in Polit John Bolton Lawrence Lessig Karfyn Bowman (moderator 2 it the Root of Our Problems and Can it be Fixed? 8:45 - 10:15am, Breakout Sessions The Closer Millennials: How Much De They Matter and What Do they Want? Karlyn Bowenan ‘The millennial generation is disincive in many ways, This large ond Corrie Hunt important demographic group will have an enormous impact on Ben Sasso ‘economic and social poly os it ages. What do we know about their Kristn Solis Anderson ‘attitides® How do they feel about government and business? Are they Campbell Brown (moderator) limisic about their Fulures and about America? ‘The Refugee Crisis and the Human Cost of the Middle East Conflagration David Mitband ‘Over ihe las five yoars, the Middl Eas hat axisted for most of the Ede von Kleaden postwar era disappeared. Borders are gone, leaders are gone, terror Teald Young iss hold substantial tettories, and proxy armies roam the region. More Hisham Mlhom (moderator) than 10 milion refugees have spiled cu of conflict zones from li to Syria to lag, and substontal numbers have flooded Europe. What ‘exactly led fo this criss? Is there any end insight I this realy ‘Amorice’s problem? The State of Work: Jobs, Wages, and Mobility Kevin Brady ‘The rate at which Americans participate in the workforce isa its lowest John Delaney level since the 1970s, And the workforce participation rate for Amer Doug Ducey icans of prime working age is cso at a decades low. Wage growth Charles Murray has been flat for yecrs. Many are concerned about economic mobility Paul Ryan ‘and the prospects for low-income Americans fo rie. What is the current Tim Seot sate of work? What can be done to improve the labor market and to Michael Strain botier the forlunes of American wotkers and their families? Fred Upton Robert Doar (moderator) -1-8:45 ~ 10:15 a.m 10:30. am, ~ Noon 12:15 - 1:00 p.m. 1:15 = 2:00 p.m 3:30 ~ 6:00 p.m. 3:30 ~ 5:00 p.m. As of March 7, 2016 Seminar The Politics of Well-Being in an Age of Victimology with Martin Seligman [This session isa graduate siyle seminar and requires advance reading. Participants must sign up in Seder recelve Sading maori} ” “ee oe Social sciance, medicine, and government ry to idenlify and undo what is wrong, rather than build what is right. The best you can do by correcting only what is wrong isto got to zero. Positive Peychology, in coniras!, builds positive experience, posilve character, and positive insiulions. Measuring and increas ing wellbeing, not ust undoing ilbbeing, will become a focus of American poliics. Martin Seligman, director ofthe Penn Positive Psychology Center a the University of Pennsylvania, will lead this seminar exploring the concept of Positive Psychology as it applies to policymaking inthe US. General Session The Cloister Ballroom The Challenge Abroad and Implications for the United States Turki AlFoisal The clouds of financial esis are again gathering, and geostratoge risks Hernando de Soto have proliferated, threatening both peace and prosperiy. The threat of Thomas Farley terrorism, nuclear proliferation, the adventurism of Russia and China, Deb Fischer the insabilty of Syria and the Middle Eas, the financial instability of Michael Fromen jovernments, and the greatest European refugee cis in a generation oll lindsey Groham recien fo undermine world order. What are the potential consequences Glenn Hubbard ofthese threats? How seriously should we tcke predicions about conflict Sajid Jovie ‘and altacks® Could those threals affect financial markels ond the global Fred Kogan ‘economy? How should policymakers weigh the relative risks, and what Derek Scissors measures can they take to ensure global stability? Radek Sikorski Daniele Pletka (moderator) luncheon Black Banks Terrace, The Cloister and Human Potential e1, anhur Brooks wil interview His Holiness the Dalai Lama on Interviewer: Arthur Brooks arety of topics ranging rom the morality of democratic capitalism, the necessity of religious pluralism in building free and open societies, and his recommendations for building « happy and fulling life Afternoon Activities Movie: Free Enterprise on Film: Making a Movie That Persuades and Entertains* Arthur Brooks. Film is one of the best ways to change public opinion, yet it has almost John Papola never been deployed to defend the hes enterprise system. How con free enterprise advocates share their vales in compelling and arfisic ways? AEI is grappling with these questions as we produce our fiskever feature-length fin. In this conversation, Arthur Brooks and filmmaker John Papola wil describe the motivations behind their new project, discuss the filmmaking process that will span 18 months and three. continents, and share preliminary clips from the documentary. *Congressioncl participation Is not expacted at this session.3:30 - 6:00 p.m, 6:00 - 6:45 p.m. 6:45 7:30 pam 7:30 - 9:00 p.m 9:00 ~ 10:00 pm. War Game: Terror in the Homelan Wargaming the Next Attack on the United States Dan Blumenthal ‘On the evening of November 13, 2015, ferorists conducted a series Michoel Downing of coordinated attacks in Pris kiling 130. On December 2, 2015, Michoel Hayden {errorst couple aocked in San Bernardino, California, king 14. The Fred Kagan firs attack was claimed by, and the socond inspired by, SIS. In this sim- Kirsten Madison ulation, it is December of 2016, and a new president has been elacied. Malt Mayer Terror strikes an American city. Suicide bombers attack multiple sites, and Mike Mazza ISIS not only takes credit forthe highcasualy bombings, but also adds Hisham Melher that thas vied weapons of mats dasucton chemical, biologie, of Kevin O'Prey rclear_-agains the cy. Unconfirmed hijacking veats ore circulating, Gory Schmit vwith 5,000 domestic fights curently in air. As panic ripples across the Mate Thiessen Unied Stas, cy, sl, lca, and federal autres mus oc. But what vill they do? Can they work together? How wil he president react? Ina deperture from previous AE! Word Forum war games, we will have experienced former officials guide our game fables and then jin in an affercction discussion with participants, Reception Black Banks Terrace, The Cloister Dinner Conversation The Cloister A Conversation with Paul Ryan, Speaker of the House Iniorviewer: Hugh Hewitt Hugh Hewit ofthe Salem Radio Network will engage Speaker Paul D. fyan in conversation about the Speaker's policy priorities forthe next sessions of Congress; his approach to building consensus amongst a diverse centerright coalition of lawmakers; and his experiences searching for commen ground with a President of the other party. Dinner Stotlight Chat The Cloister ‘A Conversation with Lindsey Graham and Scott Waller ‘Marc Thiessen (moderator) Senator Lindsey Graham and Governor Scott Welker will discuss the curtent legislative climate a he State and Federal level Isn't it Romantic? A Short Guide to All That's Wrong in the World Jonah Goldberg Saturday, March 5 7:90 - 8:30 a.m, 8:45 - 10:15 a.m, As of March 7, 2016 Early Bird Broakfas!s The Closter A Conversation with Tim Cook Interviewer: hur Brooks Ets Arthur Brooks will interview Apple's Tim Cook on subjecs includ ing: is aon he cre! pol imate and he sof chelogy prospect ‘or ulinaltencl trode pacts and their impact on American prosporiy Four Myths About the Future of War with General H. R. McMaster Interviewer: Fred Kagan Breakout Sessions The Clostr 2016: Countdown to November Michael Borone In eight months, Amrica wil elect a now president. What are thee Rich Lov export election onayss watching most clotaly 0 his point nthe Norm Orestein erepaign’ Wher Ne “carly primories and cavcuses tel Us about the Romesh Ponruts ‘GOP nominee? Will Republicans hold the Senate? How mony seats Kasten Solis Anderson ‘ean Democrats pick up in the House? Will the GOP continue to make Karlyn Bowman moderator) gains in state legislative contests? What do we know about the voters! mood, and how much af a factor will it be atthe ballot box? What keeps these strotegiss up at night?8:45 - 10:15 am, 10:30 a.m. ~ Neon As of March 7, 2016 Income Inequality: How te Think about It, and What Can Diane Black ‘There is evidence that income inequality is shrinking across the globe, as Ed Conard the free enterprise system is increasingly adopted by developing nations ‘Angus Deaton ‘and the global poor are lied out of poverty. At the same fe, income Jason Furman inequalily has been increasing in he United States ond other developed Glenn Hubbard rations, fo the concen of many. How should we think about income Mike Lee inequality How much inequaliy is 20 much® And what should be done Michael Stain ‘about i? Jomes Pethokoukis (moderator) Is China Headed for a Crisis? Dan Blumenthal Consensus is growing hat China's busting economy is sipping into Coty Gardner stagnation. Foreign reserves are flooding out ofthe county a clear sign Yasheng Huang tha the nation’s (and the Parl’) lites are voting with their pocketbooks. Mirxin Pei Then there ore murmurs about Xi inping himsel— complains that he is Larry Summers isoloted, surrounded by only cronies, ond in a bubble. X's anficoruplion Nick Ebert (mederatn)__ campaign ard cocongeryng purges have chile an ready fig isionmaking process, cnd repors indicate a growing parelyss within the Chinese leadership and the Chinese Communist Party. What are the economic and pelial implications of hese problems Is China in for @ hard landing, a soft landing, or simple ansiion? And how will the world go from managing China's rapid rsa to managing Chinese decline? ‘The Next President's Economic Agenda Brian Deose (Our panel of expert economists and policymakers wil discuss the Thomas Fanning ‘economic policy plans ofthe leading presidential candidates. Which Scott Gotieb ‘are the most important ofthe candidates’ plans? What are the similar Kevin McCarthy ities and differences across the candidates? Which plans—and which Rob Portman ccandidates—will lake the country in he direction itneeds to go ‘Gone Sperling Stan Vouger Paul Gigot (moderator) Seminar ‘The Political Economy of Progressive Policy with Larry Lindsey [This session is « graduate style seminar and requites advance reading. Participants mus! sign up in order to receive reading materials) ‘The public is angry .. . and with good reason. Activist government has filed Io achieve many of its promises and in the process has run up large debts and an infiaied money stock. Lary Lindsey, a former Harvard economics professor, Fed governor, and assistant fo three presidents, will discuss the rationale for ‘government intervention, trace its expansion, and explore the evidence of government's effets on our lives. Gonaral Sexton The Chister Balloom Hope for America’s Future and the Risks That Cloud the Herizen John Boton The recovery fom the Great Recesion hat been weak, Wage growh has John Comyn been fat. By some measures, household income hes been stagnant. The Matin Fesoin eel ary ceed ie eth ay Sc Jason Furman thet Sled immigrants are in shor suppl, but ankimnigraion measures Phil Gramm have proved poliicaly popular on the right and le, The Federal Reserve's larry tndsey rep ten lino mes ming sep ncn Matt Mayer poliy logilation a grecter post than thas been in recent decades. Mike Milken Fiummeting ol pices have increased the demand for ol, even while Tom Price climate acts appeal for action fo redvee carbon emissions. New cyber larry Summers threats appear every doy. The rk of a ero cock ot home i very evi Hoste (moderator) red: The really is tht he Unie Soles remains the work's mos! poet ‘economic and military force. Our problems are manageable. But we need to respond fo the challenges we face at home and anicipate and mitigate threats with real plars. Can policy reforms accelerate the tepid recovery ‘and improve the lives of American citizens? -4-12:15-1:45 p.m. 2:00-3:15 pm. 3:30 ~ 4:30 pm. As of March 7, 2016 Luncheon The Beach Club A Conversation with Erie Schmidt Inierviewer: Campbell Brown Erie Schmidt of Google will discuss hot topics including: his toke on the current policy climate ond the state of technology regulation; Google's ‘approach to international commerce and doing business in closed societies; and whether ony tension exists between individual liberty and collecive security as viewed through he prism of online communica tions and personal privacy. Breakout Sessions The Cloister Have Central Banks Gone Too Far {Job Hensarting The US central bank has taken extraordinary actions over he past “Glenn Hubbard decade, including « massive program of purchasing longterm assets Lemry lindsey cand keeping the shorter inorest rate near zero for years. Other contal Paul Ryan banks have followed ihe Fed's lead. Will he Fed be able to “unwind” Larry Summers its asset purchases without creating significant problems? Have low rotes Kevin Warsh fueled asset bubbles that will haunt he American economy in the coming Merk Zandi ‘years® Wat isthe legacy ofthe Fed's exraordinary measuresé Were Paul Gigot (moderator) they the leastbad option given the depih and severity of he Great Reces: sion? Or will we come to view the Fed's actions as a serious mistake? How to Fight and Win the War Against Islamist Extremism Turki Aaisal It has been said again and again: the United States hos no strategy Tor Cotton te win agains ISIS, to win in Syria, of to combat the resurgence of ol lindsey Grahom ‘Qaeda. Is the secret simply subcontracting tothe Shittes® Allowing Iran HER McMaster to keep the peace in the Middle Easf? Or Russia? Or should we restore Hisham Melhem the Assads ofthe region fo power? Is enother major war needed or in Fred Kagan (moderator the offing? Reinventing Education: Radical Ideas for a New Century CChatles Boker Inthe great debates about edueation policy, many Americans have ‘Campbell Brown boon loft out. In the next year, AEI wll begin an exploration of education ce hawtons Rogers programs thet have received scant ction in recent years and deserve Charles Murray more. We will explore policy approaches fo vocational education, Gerard Robinson ‘apprenticeships, and prison reenry programs. We will provide fresh Tim Seott thinking on gited and talented programs and on programs that serve Rick Hess (moderator) students wih special needs. A great notion should view alli citzens as ‘assets, This panel is designed to help start the discussion. The Collapse of Europe? Russia, Greece, and Brexit Sajid Javid Europe is facing challenges unprecedented in the post-Cold War era. Viedimir KaraMurza illions of refugees are crowding its shores: economies from Greece Tim Monigomerie to taly and beyond are suffering under crippling debt and negative David Perdue ‘growih; Russa sill occupies Crimea, is threatening Ukraine and other Radek Sikorski Reighbors, and is Funding extremists of let and right across old and Gary Schmit (moderator new Europe; and Britain will vote this year in a referendum choosing ‘whether to ext the European Union. Can Europe weather these chal lenges, os is postwar union finished? Will Putin succeed in dominating vital European capitals via proxies® ‘Alornoon Remarks The Closter ‘A Conversation with Mitch McConnell, Senate Majority Leader Inverviwer: Hugh Hewit Senator Mitch McConnell wl be interviewed by the Salem Radio Network's Hugh Hewit on topics ranging from the Senator's policy priorities for the current and next sessions of Congress; his approach to building consensus amongst a diverse centersight coalition of lawmak- ‘rs; and his experiences searching for common ground with a President cof the other party.3 6:00-6:30 pm. _Receplion Black Banks Terrace, The Closter 6:30-7:15 pm. Dinner Conversation Can We Bring America Back Together Again? ‘Ahr Brooks 7:30-9:00 pm. Dinner 9:00 -10:00 pin Chat The Cloister A Conversation with Elon Musk Inroduction: Kevin McCarthy In carverzation AEs Mare Tiassen, the businessman Elon Musk wll Inverviewer: Mare Thiessen discuss topics ranging from: the five oF innovation and mesningful work ina tventyfirst century economy: the policies that best promote economic dynamism; ond fture prospects for mulinational rade pacts ond their impact on American prosper. Sunday, March 6 8:00-8:30am. Breakfast The Cloister 8:30- 10:00am. Early Bird Brockfosts The Cloister A Conversation with Ben Sasze and Cory Gardner Bill Kristol (moderator) Senctors Ben Sasse and Cory Gardner will discuss topes incuding: Their ‘Views on the cument sate of politics cooperation and partisan rancor in ‘Washington; their proposal for heding the partisan divide given their unique experiences; and their predictions and priorities inthe upcoming months of Congress's work. ‘The Triumph of William MeKinley Karl Rove 10:00 a.m. ‘Adjournment As of March 7, 2016 ‘CONFIDENTIAL