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Heren Global
LNG Markets
Energy Prices News Analysis
Market Report
1
News
2
project in uncertainty, just a year before operations at the regasification terminal were
set to begin. The Uruguayan government is
understood to remain committed to the project, however, a decision over the next steps
has yet to be taken.
State oil company ANCAP and utility UTE,
the main shareholders in Gas Sayago and the
LNG projects sole offtakers, are understood
to have already begun evaluating a possible
new tender for the provision of regasification
infrastructure.
The companies may also consider a separate option involving the formation Page 9
4
5
6
7
13
18
$/MMBtu
Week-onWeek-onweek diff Nov '15 week diff
Location
Oct '15
EAX
7.500
-0.219
7.425
-0.244
Japan
7.500
-0.225
7.425
-0.250
India
7.350
-0.150
7.250
-0.300
Spain
6.536
0.067
6.601
0.112
Britain
6.080
-0.031
6.415
-0.077
Argentina
7.350
-0.300
7.490
-0.280
$/MMBtu
09 Sep
Change 09 Sep Change
15
2 Sep 15 on week
14
on year
Oct '15
6.333
Jan '16
6.932
Feb '16
6.960
in Singapore. A supplier involved in the discussions with Pavilion Energy confirmed with
ICIS that both companies see huge potential
for the LNG truck-delivery market.
However, it will be a tricky process because of Singapores strict safety regulations
on delivering inflammable products, the
source said.
Singapores downstream market is huge
because there are many power generators,
large petrochemical factories and manufacturers in Tuas and Jurong Island that do not
have access LNG, the source told ICIS.
According to Seah, Pavilion Energy currently supplies gas to more than 30% of
industrial users in the power generation, petrochemicals, biotechnology, pharmaceutical
and manufacturing industries.
Pavilion Energy is also working on an LNG
bunkering trial and license, as it foresees
Singapore becoming a strategic location for
LNG-fuelled vessels to refuel when they head
through the Straits of Malacca, Seah said.
Over the long term, Seah expects LNG
demand from southeast Asia to rise, when
traditional LNG exporters such as Malaysia and
Indonesia become net importers to meet rising
domestic consumption. xieli.lee@icis.com
$/MMBtu
09 Sep
Change 09 Sep Change
15
2 Sep 15 on week
14
on year
Oct '15
2.651
2.648
0.003
3.984 -1.333
2.720
0.016
4.035 -1.299
Dec '15
2.896
2.857
0.039
4.110 -1.214
Jan '16
3.007
2.969
0.038
4.173 -1.166
Feb '16
3.011
2.972
0.039
4.160 -1.149
2.939
0.039
4.094 -1.116
$/MMBtu
Japan
Import
October '15
10.288
9.542
November '15
10.299
9.888
December '15
10.309
9.125
January '16
10.273
8.462
February '16
10.346
8.247
March '16
10.332
8.231
ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on the content of this report. Unauthorised reproduction, onward transmission or copying of Global LNG Markets in either its electronic or hard copy format is illegal.
Should you require a licence or additional copies, please contact ICIS at energysales@icis.com.
Market Report
Back to
contents
October to
November spot
prices in Asia
are currently in
backwardation
ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on the content of this report. Unauthorised reproduction, onward transmission or copying of Global LNG Markets in either its electronic or hard copy format is illegal.
Should you require a licence or additional copies, please contact ICIS at energysales@icis.com.
Market Report
Aside from
India... Pakistan,
Jordan, Egypt all
have outstanding
demand
Back to
contents
ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on the content of this report. Unauthorised reproduction, onward transmission or copying of Global LNG Markets in either its electronic or hard copy format is illegal.
Should you require a licence or additional copies, please contact ICIS at energysales@icis.com.
$/MMBtu
10
Back to
contents
8
6
4
2
0
Middle East
North Africa
West Africa
Isle of Grain
Far East
Huelva
Hazira
Trinidad
Bahia Blanca
Northeast Asia
Australia
Tokyo
$/MMBtu
West Africa
Far East
Trinidad
Northeast Asia
Australia
Tokyo
Middle East
0.638
1.208
1.004
0.298
1.251
0.162
0.400
N Europe
1.448
Pyeong Taek
0.606
1.176
0.975
0.272
1.222
0.201
0.392
1.415
Guangdong
0.513
1.081
0.884
0.188
1.130
0.271
0.318
1.320
Yung An
0.536
1.097
0.894
0.193
1.149
0.239
0.322
1.343
Singapore
0.391
0.957
0.769
0.138
1.015
0.383
0.226
1.195
Map Ta Phut
0.454
1.021
0.830
0.166
1.076
0.378
0.283
1.259
Hazira
0.194
0.760
0.733
0.356
1.075
0.604
0.409
0.996
Jebel Ali
0.106
0.737
0.803
0.427
1.053
0.676
0.481
0.974
Mina Al Ahmadi
0.111
0.770
0.835
0.460
1.086
0.709
0.513
1.006
Aliaga
0.660
0.205
0.502
0.917
0.514
1.170
0.971
0.438
Revithoussa
0.661
0.193
0.490
0.919
0.502
1.172
0.973
0.426
Rovigo
0.721
0.209
0.506
0.979
0.518
1.233
1.033
0.442
Huelva
0.784
0.121
0.366
1.043
0.374
1.297
1.098
0.297
Sines
0.794
0.131
0.365
1.053
0.365
1.307
1.108
0.283
Rotterdam
0.889
0.223
0.455
1.150
0.431
1.405
1.205
0.198
Zeebrugge
0.884
0.218
0.450
1.144
0.425
1.399
1.200
0.201
Montoir
0.855
0.189
0.422
1.115
0.403
1.370
1.170
0.239
Isle of Grain
0.883
0.216
0.449
1.143
0.424
1.398
1.198
0.202
Sabine Pass
1.181
0.507
0.605
1.446
0.272
1.430
1.170
0.522
Quintero
1.056
0.771
0.654
0.927
0.655
0.860
0.828
0.932
Guanabara Bay
0.888
0.462
0.375
0.865
0.348
1.100
0.796
0.622
Bahia Blanca
0.928
0.581
0.483
0.899
0.466
0.991
0.830
0.741
$/MMBtu
Trinidad
Northeast Asia
Tokyo
Middle East
6.862
North Africa
6.292
West Africa
6.496
7.202
6.249
7.338
7.100
Australia
N Europe
6.052
Pyeong Taek
6.894
6.324
6.525
7.228
6.278
7.299
7.108
6.085
Guangdong
6.987
6.419
6.616
7.312
6.370
7.229
7.182
6.180
Yung An
6.964
6.403
6.606
7.307
6.351
7.261
7.178
6.157
Singapore
Map Ta Phut
Hazira
7.009
6.996
7.156
6.443
6.429
6.590
6.631
6.620
6.617
7.262
7.284
6.994
6.385
6.374
6.275
7.017
7.072
6.746
7.174
7.167
6.941
6.205
6.191
6.354
Jebel Ali
6.814
6.183
6.117
6.493
5.867
6.244
6.439
5.946
Mina Al Ahmadi
6.909
6.250
6.185
6.560
5.934
6.311
6.507
6.014
Aliaga
6.140
6.595
6.298
5.883
6.286
5.630
5.829
6.362
Revithoussa
6.239
6.707
6.410
5.981
6.398
5.728
5.927
6.474
Rovigo
5.399
5.911
5.614
5.141
5.602
4.887
5.087
5.678
Huelva
5.752
6.415
6.170
5.493
6.162
5.239
5.438
6.239
Sines
5.742
6.405
6.171
5.483
6.171
5.229
5.428
6.253
Rotterdam
5.175
5.842
5.609
4.915
5.634
4.659
4.859
5.866
Zeebrugge
5.137
5.803
5.571
4.877
5.595
4.621
4.821
5.820
Montoir
5.162
5.827
5.595
4.902
5.614
4.647
4.846
5.777
Isle of Grain
5.197
5.864
5.631
4.937
5.656
4.682
4.882
5.878
Sabine Pass
5.549
6.223
6.125
5.284
6.458
5.300
5.560
6.208
Quintero
6.374
6.659
6.776
6.503
6.775
6.570
6.602
6.498
Guanabara Bay
6.492
6.918
7.005
6.515
7.032
6.280
6.584
6.758
Bahia Blanca
6.422
6.769
6.867
6.451
6.884
6.359
6.520
6.609
Blue shade denotes transit through Suez. For further explanation of ICIS Shipping costs see the methodology
ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on the content of this report. Unauthorised reproduction, onward transmission or copying of Global LNG Markets in either its electronic or hard copy format is illegal.
Should you require a licence or additional copies, please contact ICIS at energysales@icis.com.
News
charter rates
$/d
Steam
TFDE
Data used
Atlantic prompt
21000
31000
5000
Pacific prompt
21000
30000
5000
Mid-term
17000
24000
Long-term
25000
55000
$/MMBtu
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1 Apr
2015
1 May
2015
1 Jun
2015
1 Jul
2015
NBP
3 Aug
2015
1 Sep
2015
Henry Hub
20
20
16
16
12
12
Jun
2014
Aug
2014
Oct
2014
Dec
2014
Feb
2015
Apr
2015
Jun
2015
$/MMBtu
LNG volume
Market Report
Back to
contents
25
$/MMbtu
20
15
10
5
0
5 Sep
2014
7 Oct
6 Nov
5 Dec
7 Jan
6 Feb
9 Mar
EAX
SOURCE: ICIS
8 Apr
11 May
10 Jun
10 Jul
$/tonne
IFO 380
Location
10 Aug
NBP
IFO 180
MDO
10/09/2015
03/09/2015
Change %
10/09/2015
03/09/2015
Change %
10/09/2015
03/09/2015
ROTTERDAM
231.00
239.00
-3.35
255.00
274.50
-7.10
n/a
n/a
n/a
HOUSTON
238.00
241.00
-1.24
376.00
380.00
-1.05
n/a
n/a
n/a
FUJAIRAH
244.00
250.50
IFO 380
-2.59
264.50
283.50
IFO 180
-6.70
n/a
n/a
MDO
n/a
10/09/2015
03/09/2015
Change %
10/09/2015
03/09/2015
Change %
10/09/2015
03/09/2015
Change %
235.00
250.00
-6.00
248.00
259.00
-4.25
441.00
439.00
0.46
Location
SINGAPORE
Change %
ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on the content of this report. Unauthorised reproduction, onward transmission or copying of Global LNG Markets in either its electronic or hard copy format is illegal.
Should you require a licence or additional copies, please contact ICIS at energysales@icis.com.
Tenders
Buy/
sell
Tenderer
Shipping
basis
Buy
DES
Port Qasim
25/12/2015
27/12/2015
16/07/2015
15/10/2015
Open
15/07/2015
Buy
DES
Port Qasim
25/11/2015
27/11/2015
16/07/2015 23/09/2015
Open
15/07/2015
04/09/2015
Location
Tender
open
Tender
close
Status
Information
updated
Sell
BP
DES/FOB
Tangguh
25/10/2015
05/11/2015
31/08/2015
11/09/2015
Open
Sell
Gladstone LNG
DES or FOB
Gladstone
01/10/2015
31/12/2015
24/08/2015 14/09/2015
Open
25/08/2015
Sell
NLNG
FOB
Bonny
22/09/2015
24/09/2015
07/09/2015 14/09/2015
Open
08/09/2015
Buy
NEPCO
DES
Aqaba
76
01/01/2016
31/12/2019
23/07/2015 02/09/2015
Closed
03/09/2015
Buy
GAIL
DES
Dahej/Dabhol
12
01/01/2016
31/12/2016
11/08/2015 26/08/2015
Awarded
09/09/2015
Sell
CNOOC
DES/FOB
Gladstone
15/10/2015
15/11/2015
02/09/2015 08/09/2015
Closed
08/09/2015
Buy
DES
Port Qasim
06/10/2015
18/10/2015
16/07/2015 26/08/2015
Closed
27/08/2015
Sell
PNG LNG
FOB
Port Moresby
21/09/2015
30/09/2015
24/08/2015 03/09/2015
Closed
03/09/2015
Buy
EGAS
DES
Aqaba
01/09/2015
31/10/2015
21/08/2015 25/08/2015
Awarded
03/09/2015
Sell
Pertamina
FOB
Bontang
15/09/2015
30/09/2015
31/08/2015 03/09/2015
Awarded
08/09/2015
Sell
Trinling
FOB
Point Fortin
23/09/2015
23/09/2015
14/08/2015 27/08/2015
Awarded
28/08/2015
Sell
ADGAS
FOB
Das Island
18/09/2015
20/09/2015
17/08/2015 24/08/2015
Closed
24/08/2015
Buy
ENARSA/YPF
DES
Escobar
01/10/2015
15/10/2015
12/08/2015 20/08/2015
Closed
20/08/2015
Buy
ENARSA/YPF
DES
Bahia Blanca
01/10/2015
15/10/2015
12/08/2015 20/08/2015
Awarded
24/08/2015
Sell
BHP Billiton
FOB
Dampier
12/10/2015
12/10/2015
12/08/2015 17/08/2015
Awarded
24/08/2015
Buy
NEPCO
DES
Aqaba
06/10/2015
13/10/2015
12/08/2015 18/08/2015
Closed
18/08/2015
Sell
Pertamina
FOB
Bontang
20/10/2015
30/10/2015
24/08/2015 27/08/2015
Closed
27/08/2015
Sell
Sakhalin Energy
DES
Sakhalin
01/10/2015
31/12/2015
14/08/2015 19/08/2015
Closed
19/08/2015
Buy
GAIL
DES
Dahej/Dabhol
01/10/2015
31/12/2015
11/08/2015 14/08/2015
Awarded
26/08/2015
Buy
EGAS
DES
Ain Sukhna
45
01/10/2015
06/12/2016
08/07/2015 02/08/2015
Closed
05/08/2015
Sell
Galp Energia
FOB
Bonny
01/10/2015
30/09/2016
22/07/2015
Awarded
28/07/2014
01/10/2015
31/12/2016
23/03/2015 27/03/2015
Closed
05/06/2015
Awarded
25/08/2015
28/07/2015
Buy
GAIL
DES
Dahej, Dabhol,
Hazira
Sell
FOB
Point Fortin
24/09/2015
24/09/2015
24/08/2015 27/08/2015
Buy
NEPCO
DES
Aqaba
21/09/2015
24/09/2015
16/07/2015
27/07/2015
Closed
03/08/2015
Sell
FOB
Point Fortin
20/09/2015
20/09/2015
07/08/2015
11/08/2015
Closed
03/08/2015
Buy
ENARSA/YPF
DES
Escobar
09/09/2015
10/09/2015
30/07/2015 05/08/2015
Closed
05/08/2015
Awarded
17/08/2015
Buy
DES
Hadera/Limasol
07/09/2015
14/09/2015
10/08/2015 17/08/2015
Buy
DES
Port Qasim
07/09/2015
19/09/2015
16/07/2015
17/08/2015
Closed
17/08/2015
Buy
ENARSA/YPF
DES
Escobar
04/09/2015
06/09/2015
30/07/2015 05/08/2015
Closed
06/08/2015
Sell
PNG LNG
DES
Port Moresby
04/09/2015
05/09/2015
06/07/2015
Buy
GAIL
DES
Dahej
01/09/2015
31/10/2015
20/07/2015 03/08/2015
13/07/2015
Buy
CFE
DES
Altamira
01/09/2015
31/12/2015
24/07/2015
Sell
Pertamina
FOB
Bontang
12
01/09/2015
31/12/2015
16/06/2015 18/06/2015
28/07/2015
Closed
28/07/2015
Awarded
07/08/2015
Closed
29/07/2015
Awarded
07/07/2015
Buy
NEPCO
DES
Aqaba
01/09/2015
04/09/2015
16/07/2015
27/07/2015
Closed
16/07/2015
Buy
ENARSA/YPF
DES
Bahia Blanca
21/08/2015
26/09/2015
07/07/2015
16/07/2015
Awarded
20/07/2015
Buy
ENARSA/YPF
DES
Escobar
18/08/2015
10/09/2015
07/07/2015
16/07/2015
Awarded
31/07/2015
Buy
DES
Port Qasim
17/08/2015
19/08/2015
16/07/2015
28/07/2015
Closed
30/07/2015
Buy
CPC
DES
Yung An
15/08/2015
30/09/2015
20/07/2015
24/07/2015
Closed
20/07/2015
Back to
contents
Additional fields and history are available via the ICIS FTP service. These include additional delivery/lifting details and tender participants
ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on the content of this report. Unauthorised reproduction, onward transmission or copying of Global LNG Markets in either its electronic or hard copy format is illegal.
Should you require a licence or additional copies, please contact ICIS at energysales@icis.com.
Trades
Seller
Transaction
date
Delivery
period
Price
$/MMBtu
Vessel
Origin
Destination
Information
updated
TBC
31/08/201504/09/2015
15/10/201531/10/2015
$7.50-$7.70
TBC
TBC
Hachinohe
07/09/2015
Petrobras
Statoil
TBC
TBC
TBC
Golar Glacier
Snohvit
TBC
04/09/2015
TBC
Kyushu
29/08/2015
TBC
TBC
Echigo Maru
Bontang
TBC
03/09/2015
IEC
BP
18/08/201525/08/2015
11/09/2015
TBC
British Trader
Point Fortin
Limassol
09/09/2015
BG Group
17/08/201521/08/2015
01/10/201531/12/2015
$7.50-7.99/
MMBtu
TBC
TBC
Dahej
26/08/2015
Statoil
20/08/2015
01/10/201515/10/2015
$7.70-$7.90
TBC
TBC
Bahia Blanca
24/08/2015
BG Group
TBC
03/09/201504/09/2015
$7.60-$7.99
Methane
Princess
QCLNG
Dahej
24/08/2015
ENARSA
Gas Natural
Fenosa
18/10/201322/10/2013
14/09/2015
$7.00-7.50
Iberica Knutsen
Point Fortin
Escobar
08/09/2015
ENARSA
Gas Natural
Fenosa
18/10/201322/10/2013
13/09/2015
$7.00-7.50
Arctic Spirit
Point Fortin
Escobar
08/09/2015
Petrobras
BG Group
TBC
12/09/2015
TBC
Gaslog
Singapore
Punta Europa
Salvador
08/09/2015
ENARSA
Statoil
17/07/2015
12/09/2015
$7.80-$8.00
Arctic Aurora
Snohvit
Bahia Blanca
24/08/2015
ENARSA
Statoil
17/07/2015
05/09/2015
$7.75-$8.00
Arctic Princess
Snohvit
Bahia Blanca
24/08/2015
TBC
LNG River
Orashi
Bonny
Manzanillo
24/08/2015
GAIL
ENARSA
GAIL
CFE
Trafigura
23/01/2015
14/09/201530/09/2015
CFE
Trafigura
23/01/2015
09/09/201515/09/2015
TBC
Gaslog Seattle
Point Fortin
Manzanillo
24/08/2015
CFE
Trafigura
23/01/2015
02/09/201515/09/2015
TBC
Sevilla Knutsen
Point Fortin
Manzanillo
24/08/2015
Gas Natural
Fenosa
18/10/201322/10/2013
31/08/2015
$7.00-7.50
Castillo De
Villalba
Point Fortin
Escobar
24/08/2015
Trafigura
23/01/2015
29/08/2015
7.80-8.00
Gallina
Point Fortin
Manzanillo
24/08/2015
Ras Laffan
Dahej
03/09/2015
ENARSA
CFE
Petronet
RasGas
TBC
28/08/2015
$7.73-7.75
Maran Gas
Asclepius
Reliance
Industries
Oman LNG/
Union Fenosa
Gas
TBC
27/08/2015
$6.39-6.40
Ibra LNG
Qalhat
Hazira
03/09/2015
Petrobras
BG Group
TBC
27/08/2015
TBC
Gaslog
Shanghai
Bonny
Salvador
28/08/2015
ENARSA
Gas Natural
Fenosa
18/10/201322/10/2013
27/08/2015
$7.00-7.50
Polar Spirit
Point Fortin
Escobar
24/08/2015
Petronet
RasGas
TBC
19/08/2015
$7.24-$7.30
Al Sahla
Ras Laffan
Dahej
04/09/2015
Petronet
RasGas
TBC
17/08/2015
$7.58-$8.00
Al Marrouna
Ras Laffan
Dahej
04/09/2015
Petronet
RasGas
TBC
17/08/2015
$7.60-$7.70
Murwab
Ras Laffan
Dahej
04/09/2015
Petronet
RasGas
TBC
04/08/2015
$7.38-$7.40
Al Sahla
Ras Laffan
Dahej
04/09/2015
Kyushu
Electric
BG Group
TBC
19/07/2015
$7.48
Galog Savannah
Punta Europa
Oita
02/09/2015
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The information in this table is the most accurate obtainable by ICIS at the time of publication. It does not necessarily represent deals confirmed by counterparties. The information may be amended or updated in subsequent issues.
ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on the content of this report. Unauthorised reproduction, onward transmission or copying of Global LNG Markets in either its electronic or hard copy format is illegal.
Should you require a licence or additional copies, please contact ICIS at energysales@icis.com.
Trades
Seller
Transaction
date
Lifting period
Price
$/MMBtu
KOGAS
Pertamina
04/09/201507/09/2015
15/09/201530/09/2015
$7.00-$7.40
TBC
Bontang
09/09/2015
Trinling
27/08/2015
23/09/2015
$7.00-$7.40
TBC
Point Fortin
28/08/2015
BHP Billiton
24/08/2015
12/10/2015
TBC
GasLog
Chelsea
09/09/2015
PFLE
14/08/2015
20/09/2015
$7.40-$7.60
Golar Snow
Point Fortin
19/08/2015
Gas Natural
Fenosa
Mitsui
Shell
Vessel
Load Port
Information
updated
06/09/2015
TBC
Esshu Maru
Ras Laffan
08/09/2015
TBC
14/08/2015
$7.20-$7.50
Asia Vision
Rotterdam
10/08/2015
EconGas
TBC
06/08/201507/08/2015
$7.20-$7.50
SCF Melampus
Rotterdam
05/08/2015
BG Group
BHP Billiton
05/06/2015
05/08/201506/08/2015
$7.00
Methane
Mickie Harper
05/08/2015
Total
Pertamina
TBC
07/07/201510/07/2015
$7.40-$7.60
Seri Balhaf
Bontang
05/08/2015
Trafigura
NLNG
TBC
08/11/2015
TBC
LNG Port
Harcourt
Bonny
19/08/2015
Trafigura
TBC
TBC
08/06/2015
TBC
SCF Melampus
Gate
19/08/2015
Petrobras
TBC
TBC
02/08/2015
TBC
Golar Celsius
Sines
19/08/2015
Petrobras
Vitol
Shell
TBC
EconGas
Trafigura
Shell
TBC
30/07/2015
TBC
Gallina
Point Fortin
19/08/2015
Trafigura
NLNG
TBC
19/07/2015
TBC
LNG Lagos
Bonny
19/08/2015
Trafigura
EconGas
TBC
19/07/2015
TBC
Galicia Spirit
Rotterdam
30/07/2015
Petrobras
TBC
TBC
16/07/2015
TBC
Cool Runner
Ras Laffan
03/08/2015
Trafigura
NLNG
TBC
15/07/2015
TBC
Madrid Spirit
Bonny
19/08/2015
Petrobras
TBC
TBC
15/07/2015
TBC
Grace Dahlia
Ras Laffan
06/08/2015
Punta Europa
20/08/2015
Trafigura
BG Group
TBC
11/07/2015
TBC
Maran Gas
Coronis
Trafigura
Centrica
TBC
04/07/201512/07/2015
TBC
Magellan Spirit
Isle of Grain
30/07/2015
ConocoPhillips
05/06/2015
30/06/201501/07/2015
$7.00-$7.10
Clean Planet
Darwin
08/06/2015
TBC
TBC
28/06/201530/06/2015
TBC
WilPride
Huelva
30/07/2015
Qatargas
TBC
03/07/2015
TBC
Exquisite
Ras Laffan
09/07/2015
Trafigura
TBC
TBC
30/06/2015
TBC
Golar Seal
Ras Laffan
03/07/2015
Trafigura
Pavilion
01/05/201508/05/2015
30/06/2015
$7.50
Yari LNG
Dampier
03/07/2015
Petrobras
TBC
TBC
27/06/2015
TBC
Excelsior
Ras Laffan
30/06/2015
PetroChina
Gunvor
Pakistan State
Oil
Trafigura
NLNG
TBC
26/06/2015
TBC
LNG Edo
Bonny
19/08/2015
Trafigura
NLNG
TBC
21/06/2015
TBC
Hispania Spirit
Bonny
06/07/2015
Trafigura
TBC
TBC
19/06/2015
TBC
Golar Bear
Ras Laffan
19/06/2015
Petrobras
TBC
TBC
16/06/2015
TBC
Grace Dahlia
Ras Laffan
17/06/2015
Trafigura
NLNG
04/06/2015
15/06/2015
TBC
Excelerate
Bonny
17/06/2015
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The information in these tables is the most accurate obtainable by ICIS at the time of publication. It does not necessarily represent deals confirmed by counterparties. The information may be amended or updated in subsequent issues.
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News
Indian imports in 22% monthly fall in August
Indian buyers received approximately
1.17m tonnes of LNG in August, a fall of
22% compared with July.
The August 15 intake represented the
biggest month on month drop in imports so
far this year and a drop of 14% compared to
the same period in 2014, according to data
compiled by ICIS.
Ample availability of cheap coal and fuel
oil for power generation, in addition to plentiful monsoon rains during July and August
led to the decrease in imports. Like previous
months, Qatar continued to provide most of
the volumes with Indian LNG buyer Petronet
receiving the bulk of those at its 10mtpa Dahej LNG terminal.
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Flurry of BG deliveries
BG Group increased its deliveries to India last
month by delivering three shipments. Two
cargoes from Australias Queensland Curtis
LNG (QCLNG) were sent to Dahej capacity
holders, GSPC and IndianOil. The delivery
for GSPC is understood to be the first from
a 1.25mtpa long-term contract agreed by
the two companies in 2013. BG Group
also delivered a Trinidad cargo to Kochi for
Petronet, ICIS understands. While Kochi can
re-export, the volumes are expected to be
regasified and used by domestic industry,
in spite of limited pipeline connectivity.
ranjana.kaushal@icis.com
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News
Excelerate formally
withdraws floating
LNG project
US-based LNG shipping and transportation provider Excelerate Energy has formally
notified federal regulators of its intent to
withdraw plans for a floating LNG export
project.
The filing was made on 2 September to
US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
(FERC) that Excelerate was no longer pursuing the proposed two-train, Port Lavaca
floating liquefaction project and associated
pipeline in Texas.
Excelerate was once seeking to export
up to 10mtpa under a 20-year licence from
the US Department of Energy (DOE) to sell
to countries that do not have a free trade
agreement with the US, which are known as
non-FTA nations.
Having a non-FTA export licence is key in
order to sell to major LNG importers such as
Japan and countries in Europe.
However, Excelerate also stated in its 2
September filing that the company will provide a notice to withdraw separately to the
DOE.
The filing is a formal procedure that follows the initial suspension made in December
2014, once Excelerate informed FERC that
the project was being postponed due to
uncertain economic conditions, particularly
given the plunge in crude oil commodity pricing and how that has changed the perspective of prospective buyers.
The Lavaca Bay project is one of several
US LNG projects expected to fall off from the
permitting process.
UK-based BG Group announced its
intent to defer making a final investment
decision (FID) on the brownfield expansion
of the proposed 15mtpa Lake Charles export
project. US-based Energy Transfer is developing Lake Charles.
First LNG exports are expected to start
up by the end of this year or early next year
from the first four-train, 18mtpa phase of
US-based Chenieres Sabine Pass liquefaction
plant in Louisiana, which is currently under
construction.
Four other US brownfield export projects
are currently under construction: Freeport
LNG, Cameron LNG, Cove Point, and
Chenieres second complex, Corpus Christi
LNG. ruth.liao@icis.com
Perth-headquartered
LNG
exporter,
Woodside announced its bid to acquire Australia-listed producer Oil Search on 8 September.
The offer to Oil Search shareholders of
one Woodside share for every four of Oil
Search valued the latter at about $8bn at the
closing share price listed the Australian Stock
Exchange on 7 September.
Oil Search which is focused on LNG
production and development in Papua New
Guinea has said it is reviewing the non-binding proposal and has appointed US-based
bank, Morgan Stanley as its financial adviser.
Crude and LNG prices at cyclically low
levels are said to be encouraging merger and
acquisition activity.
With oil prices at current levels, Australian energy companies like Woodside may
see the feasibility in acquiring a profitable
company like Oil Search, especially with its
PNG LNG already producing cargoes, Singapore-based gas analyst at Wood Mackenzie,
Chong Zhi Xin said.
However, if the amount offered is not
attractive enough, the proposal may be
rejected, or possibly spark interest from competitors, Zhi Xin added.
Oil Search reported a net profit after tax
of $227.5m for the first half of 2015, a 49%
increase compared to the same period in
2014. The improvement has been attributed
to the Exxon-led PNG LNG plant which only
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10
News
Eneco extends Gate
capacity; focuses on
small-scale LNG
Dutch utility Eneco has extended its
capacity at the Gate terminal for a further
four years from 1 September but will now
dedicate this to the small-scale LNG market
as opposed to the conventional regasified
markets.
Although focusing on small scale and
lowering its regasification capacity from the
previous 1 billion cubic metre (bcm)/year,
Eneco will continue to use regasification, but
the new capacity is tailor-made for Enecos
ambitions in the small scale market.
A fresh LNG supply agreement from a
new supplier has also come into effect replacing Enecos previous mid-term 0.5bcm/year
LNG procurement contract which expired on
1 September.
Enecos small scale re-export contract
with Swedens AGA Gas has also expired
but the company has small-scale agreements
for truckloads to Prima LNG as well as to a
marine LNG buyer.
The Eneco extension comes amid various
capacity changes at the Netherlands Gate
terminal. Enecos initial four-year capacity was
derived from the release of DONG Energy but
the Danish company has now recovered this
to expand its current position from 2bcm/year
back to 3bcm/year.
From 1 October, the terminal will count
Anglo-Dutch major Shell as a new capacity
holder which, like Eneco, will also focus on
the small-scale market.
Shell has contracted to take 2bcm/year by
effectively replacing RWE as a primary capacity holder at Gate. RWE, however, will still be
able to receive volumes at the terminal and is
understood to have an agreement with Shell
equivalent for about 1bcm/year of receiving
slots.
Shell has taken capacity in order to feed
its position as the anchor customer for the
break-bulk facility that will open in 2016.
Breaking bulk involves breaking up a
larger LNG cargo to distribute in smaller
lots, such as through the small-scale truck or
barge sector or for use as a marine fuel.
German E.ON and Austrian Econgas are
also capacity holders at Gate.
ludovic.aldersley@icis.com
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11
News
Gazprom expects auction gas prices to be above long term
Russian producer Gazprom expects prices
in its current 3.24 billion cubic metre (bcm)/
year gas auction to be above its long-term
European contract prices, the company said
on Tuesday.
Gazprom has recently engaged more
closely with European companies to sell
additional gas and boost cooperation over
infrastructure projects.
However, the company would not confirm
to ICIS reports that no gas at all had been sold
in Mondays auction or discuss the situation
on Tuesday, saying it would comment once
all the auctions were over.
Between 7-9 September Gazprom Export
is auctioning 3.24bcm of gas for winter delivery in Europe in what it calls an attempt to
test a new mechanism for gas sales. Last
week Gazprom said 39 firms had registered
to participate.
The current average long-term contract
price of Russian gas has been falling because
oil-indexation in the pricing formula reflects
dropping oil prices.
It is currently around $230 per thousand
cubic metres (kcm, $6.40/MMBtu), according
to Gazprom, slightly below the GASPOOL
German hub price for Winter 16, according
to ICIS data.
However, the average Russian contract
price also includes contracts lower than $230/
kcm, so Gazproms expectation of the auction
price may mean a price that is lower than the
average.
The reduction in long-term contract
prices, with some at a discount to spot, creates an additional floor price as competition
for potential LNG imports over the winter.
Whether Gazprom repeats the auction if
there is little interest from European buyers
remains to be seen.
Some sources doubt the market needs all
the gas in the first place and believe Gazprom
will not sell significantly under contract price.
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12
Stocks
EUROPEAN stocks
Back to
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Year on year
% Full
Weekon-week
Change
Week-onweek %
Change
Maximum
Technical
Capacity*
% Fullness
1 year ago
Year on Year
% Full diff
2,407
59.62
70
2.91
4,037
97.78
-36.43
44.44
354
42.43
17
4.72
835
86.57
-42.13
2,508
85.56
2,417
82.46
91
3.77
2,931
97.96
-12.40
760
72.11
733
69.57
27
3.64
1,054
90.79
-18.68
5,209
82.98
5,012
79.84
197
3.93
6,277
81.43
1.55
France - TRS
4,799
77.26
4,654
74.92
146
3.13
6,212
92.68
-15.42
Germany - NCG
7,395
72.08
7,211
70.28
184
2.55
10,260
91.62
-19.54
Germany - Gaspool
9,660
67.61
9,365
65.55
294
3.14
14,287
94.47
-26.86
Hungary
1,388
27.06
1,252
24.40
137
10.91
5,130
42.91
-15.85
Italy
10,346
86.67
10,035
84.06
311
3.10
11,938
92.92
-6.25
Netherlands - TTF
1,276
69.27
1,273
69.11
0.23
1,842
84.97
-15.70
Poland
1,729
86.84
1,651
82.92
78
4.72
1,991
93.87
-7.03
Hub Area
Stock
Level
Austria
Belgium Zeebrugge
Czech Republic
Denmark
% Full
Stock
Level
2,477
61.35
371
Portugal
0.00
0.00
38.92
0.00
0.00
Slovakia
2,047
61.03
1,963
58.55
84
4.26
3,354
99.69
-38.66
520
39.54
483
36.76
37
7.56
1,314
88.26
-48.72
3,815
68.59
3,750
67.43
65
1.73
5,561
91.98
-23.39
Total
54,299
70.46
52,560
68.21
1,739
2.26
77,062
88.90
-18.44
Spain
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13
Stocks
uS stocks
90
3600
80
3200
70
2800
60
2400
50
2000
40
1600
30
1200
20
800
10
400
5
2015
10
15
2014
20
25
Weeks
30
35
40
45
50
Percentage fullness
Back to
contents
SOURCE: US DOE BA
Week 34
Change
%
Year ago
week
East
1,630
1,581
3.10
West
487
482
1.04
Producing
1,144
1,130
Total
3,261
3,193
Region
Change
%
5-Year
Average
Change
%
1,513
7.70
1,667
-2.20
436
11.70
469
3.80
1.24
838
36.50
997
14.70
2.13
2,788
17.00
3,134
4.10
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14
News Briefs
The US-based firm Venture Global has progressed in its regulatory permitting with the
Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC)
for the proposed Calcasieu Pass LNG project,
the company stated.
The project has submitted its FERC joint
application with the TransCameron Pipeline,
two proposed natural gas pipelines that would
connect the planned export project to the gas
grid.
The proposed 10mtpa project would
include construction of an on-shore liquefaction project, two LNG storage tanks and a
combined-cycle gas turbine power plant.
FERC will release either a draft environmental impact statement or an environmental
statement, which is available for public comment, before finalising that document and
issuing a final notice to proceed.
According to Venture Globals 8 September
statement, construction could begin in late
2016, pending approval from FERC.
First LNG could start by late 2019.
Arbitration looms as
TurkStream stalls
Turkeys natural gas incumbent BOTAS is
waiting for approval from the government to
initiate arbitration proceedings against Russias
Gazprom following a nine-month delay in
reaching an agreement over this years import
price.
The paperwork is ready for arbitration.
They [BOTAS] are just waiting for the green
light from the government, a source close to
the discussions has told ICIS.
The current political uncertainty in Turkey
however, means that no decision is likely to be
taken until a new government is formed after
elections in November.
A spokeswoman at Gazprom Export,the
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15
Focus
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Shippers used to
take advantage of
diversion clauses
away from Spain
and Portugal
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16
Focus
Nominated gas
flows from Spain
to France have
increased and are
likely to go higher
lesser degree Portugal have made a name
for themselves as the go-to markets for LNG
reloads. Spain alone exported around 4.4
million tonnes of LNG in 2014: a figure that
qualified the country as the biggest exporter
of LNG in Europe that year.
However, this option is likely to be difficult
for much the same reason that apply to LNG
diversions with limited demand in receiving
markets and increasing new production in
both Atlantic and Pacific basins.
I dont think reloads are viable at the
moment, another trader said.
Looking beyond the spot market, as a
country in which practically all of the gas imported is under long-term contracts indexed
to oil, Spain has been a beneficiary of lower
gas prices in recent months.
However, many of the markets to which
Spanish shippers had reloaded when supplies
were tight and prices high Asian markets
such as Japan and South Korea were also
linked to oil and so have enjoyed similar advantage.
As a result, they would presumably utilise
contract flexibility themselves first before
resorting to the spot market, the trader argued, further reducing potential markets for
Iberian shippers with long-term take-or-pay
contracts.
The market is potentially very long, he
said. I would expect that in Summer 2016
we will see a lot of LNG coming to Europe.
This theory is borne out by the current
situation on the Spanish gas price curve, data
from ICIS shows.
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Italian PSV
Spanish AOC
16
12
Reloads
Aside from its LNG diversions, the number of
which are hard to quantify as the information
tends to be confidential, Spain and to a
Jan
2014
Mar
2014
May
2014
Jul
2014
Sep
2014
Nov
2014
Jan
2015
Mar
2015
May
2015
Jul
2015
Sep
2015
SOURCE: ICIS
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Should you require a licence or additional copies, please contact ICIS at energysales@icis.com.
17
Back to
contents
35
sia
lay
ea
Ma
in
4% e
nc
Gu
Fra % rial
4 to %
4
ua
Eq
Number of shipments
2015
2014
30
Egy
pt
4%
25
Brunei
7%
20
Australia
8%
Norway
7%
Oman
8%
Qatar
8%
Ye
m
4% en
Algeria
27%
15
SOURCE: ICIS LNG Edge
10
Nigeria
15%
August
July
June
May
April
Kuwait <1%
Malaysia <1%
Thailand <1%
India <1%
Singapore 1%
Exports
More than 60% of Malaysias exports
head to Japan, underpinned by longterm contracts.
Up until May, the remainder has
gone exclusively to China, Taiwan
and South Korea. Between May and
July, Kuwait, Singapore, Thailand,
and India all received Bintulu-sourced
cargoes. These are considered as
spot, sold either through FOB or DES
agreements. Year on year, Bintulu
shipments recorded their largest falls
in April, June and August.
South Korea
15%
Japan
61%
Taiwan
11%
China
12%
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18
GLM Comment
Open land and shale gas in south Texas have
attracted LNG export developers but the
outlook for greenfield sites is still muted
US greenfield
export projects
face greater
opposition than
brownfield sites
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While the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) approved construction permits
for Sabine Pass and the four other brownfield
projects in the Gulf, the Brownsville projects
have received more mixed feedback from the
local residents who have commented directly
to FERC - part of the public scoping process.
Those in support foresee economic development in the Rio Grande Valley while others
want to protect the tourism industry and
keep wildlife and natural areas preserved,
particularly around Port Isabel and South
Padre Island.
The Brownsville projects have all sought
for approval to export to non-free trade
agreement (non-FTA) nations, which include
key importers such as Japan, China and India.
The DOE has determined that LNG export
project applications for non-FTA licences will
not be granted until a project receives its
FERC permitting first.
FERC permitting typically can take
anywhere from 18 months to more than two
years and is considered a more accurate barometer of a projects stamina and committed
investment, considering the time, expertise
and capital required to develop front-end engineering and design (FEED) for the projects
to be approved by FERC.
Of the Brownsville projects, only Annova
LNG, Texas LNG and Rio Grande LNG have
started the FERC process. Both Annova LNG
and Texas LNG were eyeing potential final
investment in 2017. But this is expected to
slip back.
With more than 60mtpa in long-term
contracts already in place with the forerunner
export projects, further sales and purchase
agreements with long-term buyers in the
US have been difficult to sign given the size
and scope of some of the prospective buyers.
ruth.liao@icis.com
Heren Global
LNG Markets
Editor, GLM
Edward Cox
Head of Gas
Ben Wetherall
Richard Haddrell
+44 20 7911 1957
simon.platt@icis.com
kirsty.fleck@icis.com
Global LNG Markets is published weekly by ICIS, 110 High Holborn, London WC1V 6EU, United Kingdom. ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on the content of this report. Unauthorised reproduction, onward transmission or
copying of Global LNG Markets in either its electronic or hard copy format is illegal. Should you require a licence or additional copies, please email us at energysales@icis.com.
ISSN 1747-8499. 2015 ICIS
19
News
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20