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NAPOLEON HARRIS FOR SENATE

A Survey of Likely Democratic Primary Voters


February 8, 2016
Sample Size Total: 800

Gender
Men
Women

Total
45%
55%

1. I know its still a little ways off, but what are the chances of your voting in the
Democratic Primary Election this March for President, US Senate, and other local
offices? Please use a 0-10 scale, where a 10 means you will definitely be voting, and
a 0 means you definitely will not be voting.

Mean
Almost certain (9-10)
Probably (6-8)
Less likely (0-5)

Total
9.73
91%
6%
3%

2. Thinking about the direction Illinois is headed, generally speaking, are you very
satisfied, satisfied, dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied with the direction in which the
state is headed?

Very satisfied
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Very dissatisfied
(Dont know/ refused)

Total
2%
12%
38%
47%
2%

Methodology: 800 interviews among likely voters were conducted from February 4-7, 2016 by landline and
cell phone. Results were weighted to reflect likely turnout. The margin of error is 3.5 at the 95% confidence
level.

Below is a list of issues and concerns some people have in Illinois. Please rate on a scale
of 0 to 10 how concerned you are about each of the following. Use a 10 if it is something
you are extremely concerned about or a 0 if it is something you are not concerned about
at all. You can use any number between 0 and 10.

Mean

% Very
concerned

3. The economy and unemployment

7.97

65%

4. The quality of public education in your community

7.75

63%

5. Womens health and reproductive rights

7.82

64%

6. Climate change and the environment

7.60

62%

7. Attempts to change the rules for voter rights and voter


access

7.16

53%

8. Growing income inequality

7.98

67%

9. Crime in your community

6.71

47%

10. Unnecessary police violence

7.03

54%

Now I am going to read you a list of people and organizations that are often mentioned in
the news. I would like you to tell me whether, in general, you have a very favorable,
favorable, unfavorable, or very unfavorable opinion of each one. If you have no opinion
or have never heard of someone please say so.
No opinion
UnFam
fam

Very
fav

Fav

Unfav

Very
unfav

11. Barack Obama

54%

36%

6%

4%

1%

0%

0%

12. Napoleon Harris

1%

8%

5%

2%

4%

14%

68%

13. Tammy Duckworth

25%

43%

7%

2%

4%

4%

15%

14. Andrea Zopp

1%

10%

6%

1%

4%

14%

64%

15. John Cullerton

4%

23%

11%

4%

6%

12%

41%

16. Rahm Emanuel

6%

34%

28%

16%

4%

4%

9%

Lincoln Park Strategies 611 Pennsylvania Avenue SE, #112, Washington, DC 20003 (202) 548-0047

Never
heard

17. I know it is still a ways off, but if the primary election for the Democratic nominee
for President were held today and these were the candidates, for whom would you
vote?

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Other
(Undecided)
(Refused)

Total
54%
31%
2%
11%
1%

18. And if the primary election for the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate were held
today and these were the candidates, for whom would you vote?

Tammy Duckworth
Andrea Zopp
Napoleon Harris
Other
(Undecided)
(Refused)

Total
64%
6%
3%
2%
23%
2%

Tammy Duckworth
Andrea Zopp
Napoleon Harris
Other
(Undecided)
(Refused)

64%
6%
3%
2%
22%
3%

w/leaners

Lincoln Park Strategies 611 Pennsylvania Avenue SE, #112, Washington, DC 20003 (202) 548-0047

19. [ASK ONLY HARRIS VOTERS] And on a scale from zero to one hundred percent,
where 100 would mean you are absolutely certain and a 50 would mean you are
unsure, what would you say are the chances you will end up supporting Napoleon
Harris in the Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate this March?
Total
Mean Score

72.69

Very strong chance (90-100%)

35%

Strong chance (70-89%)

23%

Fair chance (51-69%)

4%

Even chance (50%)

35%

Dont know/refused (0-49%)

4%

20. [ASK ONLY DUCKWORTH VOTERS] And on a scale from zero to one hundred
percent, where 100 would mean you are absolutely certain and a 50 would mean you
are unsure, what would you say are the chances you will end up supporting Tammy
Duckworth in the Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate this March?
Total
Mean Score

86.28

Very strong chance (90-100%)

64%

Strong chance (70-89%)

18%

Fair chance (51-69%)

4%

Even chance (50%)

13%

Dont know/refused (0-49%)

2%

Lincoln Park Strategies 611 Pennsylvania Avenue SE, #112, Washington, DC 20003 (202) 548-0047

21. [ASK ONLY ZOPP VOTERS] And on a scale from zero to one hundred percent,
where 100 would mean you are absolutely certain and a 50 would mean you are
unsure, what would you say are the chances you will end up supporting Andrea Zopp
in the Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate this March?
Total
Mean Score

69.56

Very strong chance (90-100%)

33%

Strong chance (70-89%)

24%

Fair chance (51-69%)

4%

Even chance (50%)

27%

Dont know/refused (0-49%)

11%

23. Switching gears a bit, when it comes to your own political ideology, on a scale of 1 to
9, where a 9 means very liberal and a 1 means very conservative, and a 5 means
moderate, where would you place yourself when it comes to your political ideology?
You can use any number between 1 and 9.

Liberal (7-9)

Total
6.63
55%

Moderate (4-6)

39%

Conservative (1-3)

5%

(Dont know/ refused)

1%

Mean Score

Lincoln Park Strategies 611 Pennsylvania Avenue SE, #112, Washington, DC 20003 (202) 548-0047

And when it comes to these candidates, on a scale of 1 to 9 where a 9 means very


liberal, a one means very conservative and a five means moderate, where would you
place these candidates when it comes to their political ideology? You can use any
number between 1 and 9.

Liberal (7-9)

Total
6.55
52%

Moderate (4-6)

39%

Conservative (1-3)
(Dont know/refused)
25. Bernie Sanders

5%

24. Hillary Clinton

4%

Liberal (7-9)

6.92
60%

Moderate (4-6)

23%

Conservative (1-3)

9%

(Dont know/refused)

8%

Lincoln Park Strategies 611 Pennsylvania Avenue SE, #112, Washington, DC 20003 (202) 548-0047

I am now going to read a few descriptions of different characteristics a candidate for U.S.
Senate might have. Please rate each on a scale of 0 to 10, where 10 means that
characteristic is a very important characteristic for a candidate for Senate to have, and 0
means that characteristic is not important at all for a candidate for Senate to have. You
may use any other number between 0 and 10.
Mean

% Very
important

26. [SPLIT] A candidate who has served their community


at the local level.

7.07

50%

27. [SPLIT] A candidate who has served in the Illinois


State Senate.

5.47

27%

28. A candidate who supports gay marriage

6.52

49%

29. A candidate who has the support of Democratic Party


leadership in Washington.

6.73

46%

30. A candidate who has the endorsement of pro-choice


organizations.

6.68

47%

31. A candidate who has served in the military.

5.48

28%

32. A candidate who successfully owns and operates


multiple businesses across the state.

3.86

12%

33. A candidate who is a political outsider and can bring a


fresh view to Washington.

5.94

34%

34. A candidate who is known as a strong leader

8.24

71%

35. A candidate who understands the importance of


bringing people together

8.62

79%

36. A candidate who is from your community

5.78

33%

Lincoln Park Strategies 611 Pennsylvania Avenue SE, #112, Washington, DC 20003 (202) 548-0047

Now I am going to read you a series of statements supporters of candidates running for
U.S. Senate have made. Please rate each on a scale of 0 to 10, where 10 means that you
agree strongly with that statement, and 0 means you do not agree with that statement at
all. You may use any number between 0 and 10.

Mean

%
Strongly
agree

37. We have plenty of lawyers in Washington, what we need are more


people who understand what it is like to own a small business and how
to create jobs.

7.08

53%

38. Transparency and accountability are sorely needed in Washington. We


need a Senator who has a record of not just talking about bringing
these things to our government, but someone who has done something
about it.

8.56

76%

39. Access to a college education is the key to pulling students out of


poverty and into the middle class. We need a Senator that understands
the importance of increasing access to education for all of our
children.

8.80

83%

40. Washington is broken and if we just keep sending the same people
back there nothing is going to change. We need a Senator with a fresh
perspective to represent us and help change the way business is being
done.

7.54

58%

41. We need to send a candidate to Washington who doesnt think that


compromise is a four letter word. There are too many important issues
to be addressed these days and if we dig in on partisan lines, nothing
will get accomplished.

8.25

71%

42. Its appalling that employees in this country who work full-time still
live in poverty, experience food and housing insecurity, and cant
afford to send their kids to college. We need Senator who supports
increasing the federal minimum wage to ensure hard working families
can succeed.

8.71

79%

43. We need a Senator who believes that corporations arent the enemy,
but also thinks that they shouldnt be able to hijack the political
system and should pay their fair share in taxes.

8.51

77%

44. Illinois needs a leader who can articulate the needs of all its residents,
a leader who will envision a shared mission where all people have a
chance at achieving their dreams and no one is left behind.

8.84

81%

45. Its one things for a candidate to talk about reducing gun violence and
reforming our criminal justice system, but we dont have time to wait
for more speeches, we need a Senator who has done something about
these issues and will focus on them in Washington.

8.28

73%

Lincoln Park Strategies 611 Pennsylvania Avenue SE, #112, Washington, DC 20003 (202) 548-0047

Now I am going to read you some descriptions that opponents of the different candidates
for US Senate have used to describe the candidates. For each one, please tell me if it
would make you much less likely to vote for a candidate, somewhat less likely to vote for
a candidate, if it would make no difference to you, or if it would make you more likely to
vote for a candidate.
Much
less
likely

Smwt
less
likely

No
diff

More
likely

DK

46. A candidate who has a record of supporting antibusiness policies

24%

24%

26%

18%

8%

47. A candidate who is did not support gay marriage

45%

20%

18%

14%

2%

48. A candidate who has been accused of


underpaying their employees

62%

22%

8%

6%

2%

49. A candidate who has run for 3 different offices


in the past 4 years

21%

25%

40%

9%

5%

50. A candidate who has always been by Rahm


Emanuel side

22%

24%

35%

13%

6%

51. A candidate who opposes free trade agreements


with other countries such as Japan and Korea.

21%

28%

26%

20%

6%

52. A candidate who is part of the Chicago political


machine

34%

27%

25%

10%

4%

The last few questions are for statistical purposes only.


53. Do you have any children 18 years of age or younger living in your household?

Yes
No
(Dont know/refused)

Total
20%
80%
0%

Lincoln Park Strategies 611 Pennsylvania Avenue SE, #112, Washington, DC 20003 (202) 548-0047

54. What is the last year of schooling that you have completed?

1 11 grade
High school graduate
Non-college post H.S.
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate school
(Dont know/refused)
th

Total
3%
16%
1%
25%
25%
29%
0%

55. We want to make sure we are talking to a lot of different kinds of people. Could you
please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish-speaking
background? If no, what is your race--white, black, Asian, Native American, or
something else?

White
Black
Hispanic
Asian
Native American
(Other)
(Dont know/ refused)

Total
61%
22%
7%
2%
2%
5%
1%

Lincoln Park Strategies 611 Pennsylvania Avenue SE, #112, Washington, DC 20003 (202) 548-0047

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