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Valuation of Bond
Learning Goals
Describe the key inputs and basic model used in
the valuation process.
Review the basic bond valuation model.
Discuss bond value behavior, particularly the
impact that required return and time to maturity
have on bond value.
Explain yield to maturity and the procedure used
to value bonds that pay interest annually.
Copyright 2001 Addison-Wesley
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Valuation Fundamentals
i)
ii)
iii)
with a given cash flow can significantly affect its value. In general, the
greater the risk (or the less certain) a cash flow, the lower its value.
- Required return the interest rate used to discount the future cash
flows to a present value. The selection of the required return allows the
level of risk to be adjusted; the higher the risk, the higher the required
return (discount rate).
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Valuation Fundamentals
The (market) value of any investment asset is simply the present
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CF1
(1 + k)
CF2
(1 + k)
+...+
CFn
(1 + k)n
Where:
V0 = value of the asset at time zero
CFt = cash flow expected at the end of year t
k = appropriate required return
(discount rate)
n = relevant time period
Copyright 2001 Addison-Wesley
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Example
Nina Diaz, a financial analyst for King industries, a
diversified holding company, wishes to estimate the
value of three of its assets:
1. common stock in Unitech
2. an interest in an oil well, and
3. an original painting by a well-known artist.
Forecasted cash flows, required returns, and the
resulting present values are shown in Table 1 on the
following two slides.
Copyright 2001 Addison-Wesley
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Table 1 (Panel 1)
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Table 1 (Panel 2)
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Bond Fundamentals
A bond is a long-term debt instrument that pays the
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Bond Fundamentals
Par value = the face value of a stock or bond.
Face value = the stated value of an asset. In the case of
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Bond Fundamentals
The bonds yield to maturity is the yield (expressed
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B0 I
B0
t 1
1
1
n
(1 k d ) t
(1 k d )
The basic bond valuation equation for a bond that pays annual interest is:
where:
B0
=
value of a bond at time zero
I
n
M
kd
=
=
=
=
To find the value of bonds paying interest semiannually, the basic bond valuation equation is
adjusted as follows to account for the more frequent payment of interest:
1. The annual interest must be converted to semiannual interest by dividing by 2
2. The number of years to maturity must be multiplied by 2; and
3. The required return must be converted to a semiannual rate by dividing it by 2
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interest rate, the bonds value will differ from its par value.
A bond sells at a discount when the required return exceeds the coupon rate
(M B0). It sells at a premium when the required return is less than the coupon
rate. It sells at par value when the required return equals the coupon rate (B0
M).
The coupon rate is generally a fixed rate of interest, whereas the required
return fluctuates with shifts in the cost of long-term funds due to economic
conditions and/or risk of the issuing firm. The disparity between the required
rate and the coupon rate will cause the bond to be sold at a discount or
premium.
If the required return on a bond is constant until maturity and different from the
coupon interest rate, the bonds value approaches its $1,000 par value as the
time to maturity declines.
To protect against the impact of rising interest rates, a risk-averse investor
would prefer bonds with shorter periods until maturity. The responsiveness of
the bonds market value (price) to interest rate fluctuations is an increasing
function of the time to maturity.
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B0 =
I1
(1 + i)
I2
(1 + i)
+...+
(In + Pn)
(1 + i)n
B0 =
100
(1 + .10)1
100
(1 + i)2
(100 + 1,000)
(1 + .10)3
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Coupon Effects
on Price Volatility
The amount of bond price volatility depends on three basic factors:
Length of time to maturity
Risk
Amount of coupon interest paid by the bond
First, we already have seen that the longer the term to maturity,
price volatility.
Specifically, the lower the coupon rate, the greater will be the bonds
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Coupon Effects
on Price Volatility
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Price Converges
on Par at Maturity
It is also important to note that a bonds price will
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Price Converges
on Par at Maturity
It is also important to note that a bonds price will approach par
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Yields
The current yield measures the annual return
$100
$1,150
= 8.7%
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Yields
The yield to maturity measures the compound annual
I1
(1 + i)1
I2
(1 + i)2
+...+
(In + Pn)
(1 + i)n
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maturity.
The yield to maturity measures the compound annual return to an investor and considers all bond cash flows.
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Example
Required:
1) Assuming that interest on the Northern Company bond issue is paid
annually and that the required return is equal to the bonds coupon interest
rate, I = $100, kd = 10%, M = $1,000 and n = 10 years, calculate the bond
value.
2) Assuming that the Northern Company bond pays interest semiannually and
that the required return, kd, is 12% for similar-risk bonds that also pay
semiannual interest, calculate the bond value.
Copyright 2001 Addison-Wesley
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