Sei sulla pagina 1di 52

2006 Gann Managament Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

Gann Management Limited is authorised and


Regulated by the Financial Services Authority

Gann Made Easy


The Treatise

A Man Who Never Changes His Mind


Will Have No Change To Mind
William. D. Gann

Telephone 0161 285 4488 || Email: info@gann.co.uk || Web: http://www.gann.co.uk

William. D Gann.
He was one of the most successful traders that ever lived.
Born in Lufkin, Texas on June 6, 1878, William D Gann started commodity
trading and stock market trading in 1902, and moved to New York City in
1908, opening his own brokerage firm, W.D. Gann & Co., at 18th and
Broadway.
William D Gann took more than 50 million dollars in profits out of the
markets! In todays markets that would be closer to 500 million dollars!
After many decades of incredible trading success, W D Gann moved to
Miami, Florida where he continued his writings and studies up until his
death on June 14, 1955.
So accurate were W.D. Ganns techniques that in the in the presence of
representatives of a major financial publication, he made 286 trades in a
period of 25 market days, on both the long and short sides of the market.
Of these, 264 trades were profitable! Read articles on W.D. Gann in our
Trading Resources Articles. In 1933 Mr. Gann made 479 trades during the
year. 422 were winners and 57 were losers. The return on his capital was a
staggering 4000%.
Mr. Gann consistently repeated these incredible trading feats, issuing
amazing forecasts in a number of markets one year in advance.
His use of Natural Law and geometric proportions based on the circle,
square, and triangle are as effective today in the Stock Market and
Commodities Markets as they were 50 years ago. His techniques work in
any market. His methods seem a bit unusual and even mystical to many
traders, but they have proven themselves time and again over the past
century.
Since his death, W.D. Gann has become something of a legend in
financial circles. His capacity to make big financial gains (both on the
market, the Cuban lottery and horse racing) gave him a reputation for
uncanny knowledge of market trends.

THE PROGRAMME
INTRODUCTION

Preplanning

1:

FINDING THE DECISION LEVELS

A: The 1st Check -The Major Gann Levels

10

i) The G1 Level
ii) The G2 Level
iii) The G3 Level
iv) The G4 Level
Rules To Apply

B: The 2nd Check C: The 3rd Check D: The 4th Check E: The 5th Check F: The 6th Check G: The 7th Check -

2:

11
12
13
14

Percentages
50% Retracements
The Lesser Levels
Past Tops and Bottoms
Triple Tops and Fourth Attempts
Natural Number Levels

TRIGGERING THE SIGNAL

29

A: The Trend Indicator Line

30

A New High & Low on the Same Day


A 'Within' Day
The Application of a Trend Indicator Line

30
30

31
32

B: The Trigger To Buy


i) The Action on Prices Rising to a Decision Level
ii) The Action on Prices Falling to A Decision Level

C: The Trigger To Short


i) The Action on Prices Rising to a Decision Level
ii) The Action on Prices Falling to A Decision Level

3:

TAKING PROFITS
A: Taking Profits After Buying

4:

15
18
20
22
24
26
27

33

34
35
36
37

39
40

i) Taking Profits After a Fast Rise

41

B: Taking Profits After Shorting

42

ii) Taking Profits After a Fast Fall

43

LIMITING LOSSES
A: Cutting Losses After Buying
B: Cutting Losses After Shorting

IN CONCLUSION
THE CASE STUDY
The Japanese Nikkei Index

45
46
47

50

16,17,19,21,23,25,28,48-49

INTRODUCTION

t was on a hot, sunny, Spanish day in August 1972 that I found myself
wandering my weary way down a back street of the historic Majorcan
city of Palma. Normally I would have found the weather and the
environment exhilarating. However, on this occasion I was walking with a
heavy heart for I was returning from the local hospital where my three year
old son was suffering from a very badly crushed foot after an accident in
the hotel in which we were staying. In order to while away some time and
relieve my anxiety, I decided to call into a small bookshop which I had
noticed on the far side of the narrow street in which I was walking. I entered.
The step I was about to take would change the rest of my life.

Eight years previously I had set up an


Insurance Brokerage which had developed
from a generalised insurance service to
become a specialised pensions adviser for
small to medium sized companies. The
unitised pension contracts we sold gave
companies the option to direct their capital
into general areas of investments such as
the stock market, the bond markets, cash
and the property markets. As there were
considerable amounts of money involved
it was obvious that a sound advisory
service to assist in the switching of funds
would be of great value to our clients.

was badly affecting my ability to run my


business. When my capital was halved I
took a deep breath and sold all my
holdings. The relief was incredible.
My excursion into an area in which I had
no knowledge had ended in disaster, as
indeed it should have done. Ignorance is
bliss perhaps, but ignorance of the financial
markets is almost always disastrous for
your financial health. I was on my way to
the realisation that there are very few who
have the right to call themselves specialists
or professionals. Most are totally unaware
as to how the markets truly work. They
guess, and they guess, and they guess
again ~ until their ignorance is exposed.
Idiots can sure play bull markets but bear
markets sure destroy them.

The UK stock market prior to the Spring of


1972 had had a good rise and it seemed
fairly easy to make money, especially to a
young naive investor from the industrial
North of England. I decided to give the
opportunity of investing my capital of
100,000 to my local Broker, with the
promise that if his recommendations were
satisfactory then the opportunity to manage
the pension monies under our control
would be granted to him.
My nightmare soon began. As soon as I
entered the stock market it topped out and
my capital dived in value. I was confidently
assured at regular intervals that all would
be well, we were just experiencing a short
term correction. (Things never change, do
they?) However, matters went from bad to
worse. I could not sleep and suffered from
cold sweats, & I soon found that the worry

I entered the market in the third guess


stage with the onslaught of the worst bear
market in Britain ever just ready to happen.
The market collapsed by 80% in less than
three years.

After my ignominious exit from the market


there were decisions to be taken: Should I
run away and leave my clients to their own
devices? Should I attempt to find a more
competent adviser? But where would this
saviour be found, and how would I
recognise his ability? Or perhaps I should
teach myself to do the job, despite my total
ignorance. Yet where would I find the
knowledge & experience to find success?

t was to recover emotionally from my ill-fated market experience and to consider my


dilemma that I found myself in Palma walking into a minute second-hand bookshop
down a tiny back alley with not a person in sight. Hardly a scene to trigger a set of
circumstances that would eventually give me a knowledge which would change my life so
completely and pave the way for an experience full of satisfaction and contentment. My
life as a technical analyst and investment adviser was almost on its way!
A little sun streamed in through the tiny
shuttered windows of the bookshop, just
allowing me, after a brief adjustment, to
note that the books were written in
Spanish. Being English, and therefore
devoid of any talent in foreign languages,
my interest rapidly diminished. I was about
to leave when I noticed the back of a book,
the faded drawing of the Wall Street Stock
Exchange just peeking out from under a
large book on the life of the Spanish painter
Goya.

whole method of calculation". What a


remarkable statement to make. How was
it possible to so accurately determine tops
of markets? The proof of a lifetime's work
apparently depended upon the price of
wheat before the close of trading on that
day being at the 120 level. This statement
I found astonishing, and still do.
I opened the book and was confronted with
figures, comments, statistics, charts and
prices in what could only be described as
an assortment of ideas in no apparently
logical order. The writing style was
confused and showed no fluency but my
interest was still, surprisingly, aroused.

The cover was a bleached orange with


appallingly small white print, almost
impossible to read in the half-light. If I were
to duplicate the circumstances with my
present flawed eyesight, I would probably
have left and my life would have taken a
much less rewarding path. The author was
a severe looking man named William D.
Gann. Despite the poor print I was able to
read the following :

Excited, I bought the book immediately. I


couldnt wait to get back to the hotel pool
where I read, and read, and read. Yet in
spite of my original excitement, I couldnt
come to terms with the proposition put
forward by Gann that market movements
are mathematically based and that the en
masse judgements of the world's investors
can be assessed by simple mathematical
principles. A mistake that took me over 5
years to correct!

Oneofthemostastonishingpredictionsmadeby
Mr. Gann was during last summer [1909] when
hepredictedthatSeptemberwheatwouldsellat$1.20.
Thismeantthatitmusttouchthatfigurebeforethe
endofSeptember.AttwelveoclockChicagotime,on
September30th(thelastday),theoptionwasselling
below$1.08anditlookedasthoughtheprediction
wouldnotbefulfilled.Mr.Gannsaid."Ifitdoesnot
touch$1.20bythecloseofthemarket,itwillprove
thatthereissomethingwrongwithmywholemethod
ofcalculation.Idonotcarewhatthepriceisnow,it
mustgothere."ItiscommonhistorythatSeptember
wheatsurprisedthewholecountrybysellingat$1.20
andnohigherintheverylasthouroftrading,closing
at that figure.
After my experience of the sheer ignorance
of some market operators and my own
nightmare, this was a bolt from the blue.:
"Ifitdoesnottouch$1.20bythecloseofthemarket,
itwillprovethatthereissomethingwrongwithmy

My interest in technical analysis


stimulated, I got down to work to
accumulate data, and I commenced my
onslaught by reading every book I could
lay my hands on on this fascinating study.
I read 135 different books over the next
few years and came to the conclusion that
most were written by intellectuals in order
to satisfy their egos or were the
meanderings of amateurs. I decided that
the fundamental approach was not for me.
There was far too much guesswork and I
found it difficult to believe in the accounts
as presented by the auditors.There were
far too many accountants' deceptions to
be considered before taking a view.

resolved to leave the guessing game to others and I am delighted to have done so as
I know of only a few using this approach who have been successful. The performance
of funds managed on fundamentalist principles, this being the vast majority, fail in the
main to keep ahead of the averages.
At the end of a 5 year period I had consumed much and thrown most away. I was left with
an interest in Joe Granville's moving averages; the pattern principles of R. N. Elliott; and
the mathematical assessments of W. D. Gann. During that time I had found the bottom of
the 1972/1975 bear market and had delighted my pension clients by keeping them liquid
in the frightful fall of 1974 and then entering the market in the last week in December
1974. (SEE CHART 1)

CHART 1

FINANCIAL TIMES (1972 - 1977)

I entered the market


just before the top.
Buy Signal
Mon 3 Jan 1972 to Fri 30 Dec 1977

Monthly

Nevertheless, all was not well. Overall, the practice of combining a number of differing
principles had, like mixing the primary colours together, produced a murky grey mixture of
success and failure.
Granville's moving average techniques had a detrimental psychological effect, being by
nature late in triggering buy and sell signals. More importantly, the technique is doomed
to failure when floundering in trading ranges, where a series of damaging losses are
inevitable.
The Elliott wave principle was an interesting intellectual exercise but with, for me,
severe inherent problems. In the corrective stages there are a myriad of alternatives to
come to terms with and there is always doubt as to where the waves commence, thus
leaving many questions unanswered. Doubt is one of the trading curses, and a luxury the
investor can do without.
My breakthrough occurred when I realised that I had had the answer back in 1972 when my
son's misadventure directed me to that small second-hand bookshop where, by chance, fate
had placed 45 Years in Wall Street by W. D. Gann, with just a little of the book peeping out
from under a testament to that great painter Goya.
The purpose of this treatise is to introduce the basic principles of one of the worlds great
traders, W. D. Gann, and so supplement the Gann books that have just been translated into
the Japanese language.

erhaps the predominant reason for Ganns methods not being used more widely is
that practitioners in the early stages of development generally concentrate on the
sophisticated aspects of the techniques which, whilst having a magical fascination,
require long and concentrated study. This can be a very rewarding intellectual exercise
but it complicates the issue and does not provide early practical assistance in making
profits on the markets.
Above all, it should be realised that Gann made most of his fortune in the early part of
his life before he discovered the sophisticated aspects of his analysis. A further
constraint on appreciating the genius of Gann is that his most rewarding techniques
were not disclosed to the general public in his books, reserved as they were for those
who paid for his exclusive courses. It is therefore difficult for the student to both fully
absorb and then practice the method without an extensive period of study.
In my case it took me several years to first absorb the information and then place it
into its historical context. It was then necessary to analyse it before coming eventually
to the realisation that, by simplification, the discoveries could provide a discipline to
open up a comparatively easy route to profitable investment. In fact, the less
sophisticated the investor, the better the chance of success. Consequently, the following
method has been developed to eliminate the need, at least in the early stages, to
delve into the more academic aspects. New students, even without any previous
knowledge of technical analysis, can commence trading profitably within a few months
of study.
My 15 years' experience of teaching thousands of Gann students has taught me that
the simpler the chart the more profitable the results. My endeavour will be to be as
clear and as precise as possible with the help of simple but helpful charts.
In this essay I will submit the step-by-step procedure I teach which I have discovered
over the past few years has the maximum impact on new Gann students without
assaulting their intellectual capabilities. Perhaps a more comprehensive book will follow,
but I am certain that an understanding of the basics and their application will be much
more helpful than diving in the deep end at the outset.

PRE-PLANNING
The biggest advantage Gann's rules bestow upon his students is that the system is the
only one I know which allows advance planning of trades and is not laggard in nature.
It allows the investor to isolate decision areas both above and below the current value of
the analysed investment. The levels can be identified weeks, months or even years in
advance! (SEE CHART 2). If and when these pre-determined areas are reached, a buy, sell
or hold decision process based upon the daily moves is followed.

CHART 2

MITSUBISHI HEAVY IND.

300%

200%

66.66%

The lows of 1990 & 1991 were


calculated from information
dating as far back as 1982 and
finally confirmed from the 1989
top (also the absolute high).

-50%
25%

Mon 1 Mar 1982 to Mon 25 Oct 1993

Monthly

However, there is no certainty that the levels will be reached :

Never anticipate that the signal will be a buy or a sell.

A pragmatic approach at this point is vital.

Let the market tell you what to do.

1:
FINDING
THE DECISION LEVELS

ne of the most important discoveries Gann made was that there is a relationship
between every low price and every future high price. Also, for every high price
there is a relationship to every future low price.

If this claim is true, then by studying historical data the investor can establish all important
future highs and lows. That this is possible is clearly demonstrated by CHART 3, the weekly
variant of which was published in the Euromoney training manuals early in 1992 and
which isolated nine months in advance the exact top of the British Pounds rally against
the US Dollar.

CHART 3

POUND/US DOLLAR SPREAD (X 100)


25%

33.33%

Thu 1 May 1986 to Thu 21 Oct 1993

Monthly

This is an exciting prospect which, as a Gann student of 20 years, I now take for granted
but which most find difficult to accept. It is now my challenge to put before you the rules
which will enable you to establish these turning points for yourself, perhaps even decades
in advance as evidenced by CHART 4.
CHART 4

MITSUBISHI BANK LTD

The lows of '90 & '92


were foreseen from data
as far back as 1983.

-66.66%

200%
75%

Mon 3 Jan 1983 to Fri 22 Oct 1993

10

Monthly

h e following approach introduces a procedure which leads the investor through


a series of tests and then ultimately provides the levels at which to consider
buying, selling or shorting. It would be beneficial if you were to take each step at
a time in a logical fashion rather than skip from one step to another in a haphazard
way.

A word of warning :
Due to the nature of Ganns techniques it is vital that you use accurate and regularly
corrected data.

Traded prices must be used, not quoted prices.

As much back data as possible should be to hand with an absolute minimum


of five years.

Do not assume that data from the providers is necessarily accurate. Check it
out for Gann will not work on inaccurate data.

The chief reason why I did not realise the real significance of Gann in my early years was
that I was using inaccurate quoted prices. A mistake that wasted several years of profitable
trading & resulted in the unnecessary checking out of other, inferior methods of analysis.

11

A: THE 1ST CHECK - THE MAJOR GANN LEVELS


Gann considered one of his greatest discoveries to be the calculable relationship between
historic highs and lows and future levels of intermediate highs and lows. I call these the
MAJOR Gann levels, being the first levels to place on the chart.
(The levels are established by referring to the historical highs and lows, after adjustments
for rights and scrip issues.)
For ease of reference the levels are coded as follows :

G1

G2

12

G3

G4

I)

THE G1 LEVEL

This G1 level is the most important of all Gann levels and is found by simply taking the
extreme high price and dividing it by two. It is therefore 50% down from the extreme high
price.

Example If the historical high price is 2,200,


then dividing 2,200 by 2
results in the G1 level being put at 1,100.
(This G1 level of 1,100 would then be placed on the chart, provided it is in reasonable
proximity to the current price. If it is not, then it should not be placed on the chart as it
would detract from the clear picture we are attempting to create.)
The power of this level can be judged by CHARTS 5 & 6.

CHART 5

HONG KONG HANG SENG INDEX

Historical High

The G1 Level
Mon 2 Dec 1985 to Thu 21 Oct 1993

Monthly

CHART 6

DOLLAR YEN SPREAD


The 'G1 level here is
based on the 'All Time
High' of Jan 1972
The G1 Level

Mon 1 Nov 1983 to Thu 21 Oct 1993

13

Monthly

II)

THE G2 LEVEL

This is the second most important level and is found by adding the historical high and low
together and then calculating the mid point by dividing the result by 2.

Example If the historical high is 2,200


and the historical low is 1,100,
then the total is 3300
which, if divided by 2,
results in the G2 level being placed at 1,650.
(Only place the G2 level on the chart if it is in reasonable proximity to the current price.)

Note the power of this level on CHARTS 7 & 8.

SPAIN MADRID SE

CHART 7
Historical High

The G2 Level

Historical Low

Mon 3 Sep 1979 to Thu 21 Oct 1993

Monthly

CHART 8

AUSTRALIA METALS & MINERALS


Absolute
low: Jan
1975

Note that the levels are as


effective as selling levels as
they are as buying levels.
The G2 Level
G1
G4

Mon 1 Jul 1985 to Fri 22 Oct 1993

14

Monthly

III)

THE G3 LEVEL

The third most important level is found by dividing the historical high price by 4.

Example If the historical high is 2,200


then, having divided by 4,
the G3 level is placed at 550.
(This level should be placed on the chart only if it is in reasonable proximity to the
current price.)

Note the power of the level on CHARTS 9 & 10.

CHART 9

YEN INTEREST RATES (3 MTHS)


Historical High

G2
G1
G4

The G3 Level
Mon 3 Sep 1979 to Thu 21 Oct 1993

Monthly

CHART 10

FUJI BANK
Historical High

The G3 Level
Mon 1 Jul 1985 to Fri 22 Oct 1993

15

Monthly

IV)

THE 'G4' LEVEL

This level is 25% of the difference between the historical high and low added to the historical
low, and is calculated as follows :

Example Historical High


2,200
Less Historical Low
1,100
Difference
1,100
Divide by 4
275
Add to the Historical Low
275 + 1100 = 1375 = the G4 Level
Note the power of this level on CHARTS 11 & 12.

CHART 11

MITSUBISHI BANK LTD

Historical High

The G4 Level
Historical Low
Mon 1 Jan 1979 to Fri 22 Oct 1993

Monthly

CHART 12

MITSUBISHI CHEMICAL IND.


Historical High

The G4 level supplied


support in 1990 and
resistance in 1992.

The G4 Level

Historical Low

Tue 1 Jan 1980 to Fri 22 Oct 1993

16

Monthly

hese then are the most important levels to influence future prices and are the first
calculations to make when anticipating future highs and lows. They should not be
used in isolation but should become the first and most important of the series of
checks which will direct your attention to an important turning point in the future.
The first step has been taken. Now it is important to adhere to the following rules in order
to interpret the current price in the context of these levels. Very often the rules will have a
profound effect on your assessment of the current position and of possible future
developments.

RULES TO APPLY
TO THE MAJOR' GANN LEVELS
RULE 1
The first time the level is hit is always the strongest and safest point to buy
against the trend. Each subsequent test is less safe but still a strong point for a
change in trend. (SEE CHART 5).
RULE 2
The levels are both support and resistance points and are equally effective in
reversing both falls and rises to the levels. (SEE CHARTS 8 & 9).
RULE 3
If the G1 & G2 levels are far apart there will often be a trading range within the
levels. (SEE CHART 9).
RULE 4
If the G1 level is broken on the down side, in the vast majority of cases the fall
will only be reversed when it hits the G3 level. (SEE CHART 9).
RULE 5
If the G1 level is broken and the G4 is between the G1 & G3 levels there will
often be a rally from the G4, but this will be only temporary in nature as the
likelihood is that the rally will reverse & finally fall to the G3 level. (SEE CHART 8).
RULE 6
If the G1 & G2 levels are wide apart the midpoint between the two levels often
proves to be a support and resistance level.

TO SUMMARISE
The G1 Level = 50% of the extreme high & zero.
The G2 Level = 50% of the total of the extreme high & extreme low.
The G3 Level = 25% of the extreme high & zero.
The G4 Level = 25% of the extreme high & extreme low added to the extreme low.
These then are the first calculations to place on your chart, from which the major
turning points of the future can be determined . Rules 1 to 6 will give you an
insight as to where you stand when you first make your analysis & will allow you
to reassess your position as time passes. If, for instance, you are below the G1
level, you will probably see a fall, firstly to the G4 level & then to the G3 level.

17

THECASESTUDY-TheJapaneseNikkeiIndex
The Japan Nikkei has been chosen as our case study in which we will follow each
check to the final conclusion. The study should anticipate all the major turning points
of the index. Each step will be taken after the relevant section has been explained.
Using this procedure will help to develop the analysis in a logical manner. The analysis
should be looked at as a jigsaw puzzle and the aim is ultimately to place all the pieces
correctly to construct a complete and clear picture.
CHART 13

JAPAN NIKKEI SPREAD (X 10)


The object of this case
study will be to prove that
the path of the Nikkei is
not random but follows
the rules laid down by
W.D. Gann.

Mon 3 Mar 1975 to Fri 22 Oct 1993

Monthly

I have every confidence that the techniques will achieve this purpose to your total
satisfaction. The same exercise can be applied to all financial indices and instruments
anywhere in the world, whether they be individual shares, commodities, currencies,
interest rates, bonds etc.
In the dozens of seminars and workshops I run each year I challenge the delegates to
pick any investment to test whether or not it is ruled by the Gann principles laid down
in this treatise. Over the last decade the Gann analysis has never let me down.
Despite the lack of preparation I know of no other technique in which proponents are
prepared to take on this task. Gann techniques once mastered are magical in their
application to the whole of the speculative markets. I hope the following case study
will go some way to proving the point.

18

CASESTUDYNO1
JapanNikkeiIndex-THEMAJORGANNLEVELS
ThemajorGannlevelscomputeasfollows:theG2(21,375);theG1(19,475);theG4(12,588)
&theG3(9,738).
JAPAN NIKKEI
SPREAD (X 10)

January 1990 :
All Time High

July 1975 :
All Time Low
Mon 3 Mar 1975 to Fri 22 Oct 1993

Monthly

The January 90/ October 90 fall was arrested by the G1 level.


The March 91/August 91 fall was arrested by the G2 level.
The break of the G1 level in April 92 suggests that the index will fall to
the G4 level, where a rally can be expected, but that eventually the
index is likely to fall to the 9738 level.
The rally under the G1 level was thwarted by the upside resistance
caused by the G1 level.

Up to the time of writing the index has acted strictly in accordance with the major
Gann rules and levels.
CHART 14

JAPAN NIKKEI SPREAD (X 10)


The break through the
'G1' level suggests an
eventual fall to the 'G3'
level.
G2

G1
G4

G3

Mon 1 Jul 1985 to Tue 26 Oct 1993

19

Monthly

B: THE 2ND CHECK - PERCENTAGES


This is the second most important check and the one on which I place most emphasis
when determining the decision levels.
Certain predetermined percentages calculated from past significant tops and bottoms (or
highs and lows) are placed on the chart and will help to identify future tops and bottoms.
Decision levels will be established when the calculations fall within a series of close bands.
The rules assert that all future tops and bottoms have a mathematical relationship with
past tops and bottoms. Here this means that future rises and falls will be controlled by the
following percentages calculated from important past tops and bottoms:
The base percentages are 25% and 33.33%. To this base the following multiples and
divisions from tops and bottoms are added :

25%**
50%*****
75%
100%*
125%
150%
etc

25%**
12.5%
6.25%
3.125%
etc

33.33%**
66.66%*
100*
133.33%
166.66%
200%*
etc

33.33%**
16.66%
8.33%
4.165
etc

Note - * indicates degree of strength ie. importance.

The most important percentage is the 50% level from past important highs and
lows.
The next in order of importance are the 100/200/300% etc.
If the 25% and 33.33% levels occur at the same level, this is as important as the
50% level.
The 25% & 33.33% in isolation are next in importance.
The rest follow.
First identify the significant highs and lows, then apply the 25% percentages followed by
the other percentages calculable from these levels. Next find the levels which fall into
groups above and below the current price. The objective is to find a series of percentages
which group around the other checks especially the Major Gann levels and the 50%
retracements. (SEE NEXT CHECK).
When the bands of upper resistance and down side support have been established, take
off all the other levels to leave an uncluttered chart with which to assess your future
trades.

20

CASESTUDYNO2
JapanNikkeiIndex-PERCENTAGEMOVES
Now we turn to look at how the top of each rally could have been anticipated by applying
the set percentages as provided by the 2nd check.

CHART 15

JAPAN NIKKEI SPREAD (X 10)


12.5% 12.5%
16.66%

16.66%
25%
33.33%

-25%

Mon 1 Jan 1988 to Tue 26 Oct 1993

33.33%

Monthly

The January 1990 extreme high at 38,950 :


a) 16.66% from the June 89 low was 38,393;
b) 12.5% from the September 89 low was 38,378;
c) 12.5% from the October 89 low was 38,779.
The July 1990 high at 33,190 :
a) 16.66% from the April 90 low was 32,291.
The March 1991 high at 27,270 :
a) 33.33% from the October 90 low was 26,373;
b) 25% from the December 90 low was 27,037.
The September 1992 high at 19,280 :
a) -25% from the November 91 high at 18,876;
b) 33.33% from the August 92 low at 18,920.

21

C: THE 3RD CHECK - 50% RETRACEMENTS


The half way point, or 50% point, of any move is always a good level at which to expect a
reversal.
The longer in time and the wider the rise or fall, the more significant the level. For instance,
the G2 level is the 50% retracement of the historical high and low and is therefore the
most important, especially if the period between these two levels is a long one.
However, the 50% level of a move only lasting a few weeks can be significant, especially
when it falls in line with the other checks. If you are a short term trader then the 50% level
of daily or hourly moves becomes significant.
Leave the 50% levels on the chart where and when they support the levels formed by the
first two checks. Remove all the others.

22

CASESTUDYNO3
JapanNikkeiIndex-50%RETRACEMENTS
CHART 16

JAPAN NIKKEI SPREAD (X 10)


r.5
r.5

r.5

Mon 1 Jul 1985 to Fri 22 Oct 1993

The July 1990 high was at 32,840 :


the 50% retracement of
the January 90 top (38,710)
and the April 90 low (27,680)
is 33,195.

TheMarch1991highwasat27,270:
the 50% retracement of
the July 90 high (32,420)
and October 90 low (19,780)
is 26,100.

TheSeptember1992highwasat19,260:
the 50% retracement of
the January 92 high (22,200)
and the Aug 92 low (14,190)
is 18,195.

23

Monthly

D: THE 4TH CHECK - THE LESSER LEVELS


(Note only - Do not place them on the chart) :

In our first check we looked at the G1, G2, G3 & G4 levels, which we calculated by reference
to the extreme highs and lows. Gann also divided the extreme high and zero and the
extreme high and the extreme low by eighths and thirds. The results are then used as
levels of lesser importance, in support of the main levels of the 1st Check.

The 3/ 4 level, however, should be considered as being of equal value to


the G4 level.
These remaining calculations should be looked at to see if they support the previous
checks, then noted but not placed on the chart.

Example : where the extreme high is 100 and the extreme low is 20.
EXTREME HIGH 100
7/8
3/4
5/8
1/2 (G1)
3/8
1/4 (G3)
1/8

87.5
75 *
62.5
50 ****
37.5
25 **
12.5
0

EXTREME HIGH
7/8
3/4
5/8
1/2 (G2)
3/8
1/4 (G4)
1/8
EXTREME LOW

Note - * signifies degree of strength

24

100
90
80 *
70
60 ***
50
40 *
30
20

CASESTUDYNO4
JapanNikkeiIndex-THELESSERLEVELS
The levels found by using Checks 2 & 3 (Percentages and 50 % Retracements) should
then be inspected to see if the lesser levels provide support but make a mental note
only of their presence. Do not leave them on the chart.

CHART 17

JAPAN NIKKEI SPREAD (X 10)

G1

G2
G4

G3

Fri 1 Sep 1989 to Fri 22 Oct 1993

25

Monthly

E: THE 5TH CHECK - PAST TOPS AND BOTTOMS


(Note only - Do not place them on the chart)

Look to see whether there have been significant tops and bottoms in the past to support
the levels that have emerged from Checks 1 to 3.

Buy when prices advance above these old tops and sell when prices fall below
these levels.
An important level at which to buy is on a break into new high ground, while the significant
level at which to sell is when the price falls below an historic low.

26

CASESTUDYNO5
JapanNikkeiIndex-PASTTOPSANDBOTTOMS
Make a note of the previous important tops and bottoms which support your calculated
levels as per Checks 1,2,3 & 4. If there is no support from past highs and lows treat
your progress to date with some suspicion. It would be prudent to start again as your
decision levels should normally reflect past tops and bottoms.
CHART 18

JAPAN NIKKEI SPREAD (X 10)


Oct '87 top supported
the lows of Sept '88 &
April '90 & the March
'91 top

October 1986
low supported
1992 lows
November 1987
lows supported
1990 and 1992
lows
Mon 1 Aug 1986 to Thu 21 Oct 1993

27

Monthly

F: THE 6TH CHECK - TRIPLE TOPS & 4TH ATTEMPTS


(Note only - Do not place them on the chart)

Special note should be taken of any triple bottom or top formations which develop at
support or resistance levels.
A TRIPLE BOTTOM will normally advance faster and further than the previous two moves.
Should the move not rise rapidly from the triple early in its rise but climb slowly, the
advance will be usually reversed at the 50% retracement of the previous fall and then
attack the lows again. This 4th attempt usually goes through.
A TRIPLE TOP has the reverse effect, with the fall faster and heavier than the previous
two falls. Again, if the move from the triple top is slow and sluggish, expect a fourth
attempt at the triple top level with a break into new high ground.

Most large moves emanate from triple tops and bottoms.

Weekly High/Low
1

AN EXAMPLE OF A TRIPLE TOP

28

G: THE 7TH CHECK - NATURAL NUMBER LEVELS


(Note only - Do not place them on the chart)

This is a further check to establish that an important decision level has indeed been
located and to establish whether the price is on a natural Gann number. These numbers,
multiples and divisions of 360, are calculated as follows :

360
315 ( 7/ 8)

45 ( 1/ 8)

270 ( 3/ 4)

90 ( 1/ 4)

240 ( 2/ 3)

120 ( 1/ 3)
135 ( 3/ 8)

225 ( 5/ 8)
180 ( 1/ 2)
Some interesting features are:

If a half or full circle (180/360/540/720 etc) is broken on the upside,


the rally will usually rise at least to the fifth circle or half circle (216/432/648/864).
If a half or full circle (180/360/540/720 etc) is broken on the downside,
the fall can be expected to drop to at least fifth under the circle or half circle
(144/288/432/572 - these are also multiples of 144 i.e. the square of 12).
The full circles are always important levels to look for a change in trend.
You will also find that many moves coincide with these natural numbers. For
instance, on a rise of 360 or its multiples, look for a change in trend if the level
falls in line with the other checks.
CHART 19 shows that the Nikkei has been dominated by trend changes on full, half &
quarter circle moves. As the price lowers, smaller divisions of 360 will become more
important. This could be observed when the quarter divisions became dominant during
1992. The reason is that percentage moves increase at lower levels, therefore, on
occasions, terminating on the quarter divisions. On a fall to very low numbers, eighths &
sixteenths will become evident.

29

CASESTUDYNO6
JapanNikkeiIndex-THENATURALLEVELS
The Nikkei index has stuck remarkably rigidly to movements associated with full and
partial circles as follows :
CHART 19

JAPAN NIKKEI SPREAD (X 10)

3
1
2
4

6 7
8

Fri 1 Sept 1989 to Thu 21 Oct 1993


12-

10

The January '90 to April '90 move equals


a FALL of 3 circles (1080 points).
The April 90 to June 90 move equals
a RISE of 11/2 circles (540 points).

3-

The July 90 to October 90 move equals


a FALL of 4 circles (1260 points).

4-

The October 90 to March 91 move equals


a RISE of 1 circle (360 points).
The March 91 to August 91 move equals
a FALL of 1 1/ 2 circles (540 points).
The August 91 to October 91 move equals
a RISE of 1 circle (360).
The October 91 to August 92 move equals
a FALL of 3 circles (1080).

567-

89-

10-

Monthly

The January 92 to April 92 move equals


a FALL of 1 circle (360).
The May 92 to August 92 move equals
a FALL of 11/4 circles (450).
The August 92 to September 92 move equals
a RISE of 11/4 circles (450), etc.

30

2:
TRIGGERING
THE SIGNAL
Now that the decision levels have been established, only patience is required as you wait
for your investment to approach the upper or lower decision level.
To trigger the buy, sell or short signal it is necessary to refer to Ganns trend indicator line.

31

A: THE TREND INDICATOR LINE


The Trend Indicator Line, commonly referred to as TIL, is obtained by referring to the daily
chart of highs and lows.
Provided the chart shows higher tops and bottoms, the trend indicator line moves up each
day to the highest price, continuing to do so as long as the market makes higher tops and
bottoms.

As soon as the chart shows a lower bottom, move the trend indicator line to the
lower bottom.

Continue to move it down as long as lower bottoms are made.

Move the line back up to the top when a higher bottom and higher top is recorded.

A new high and low on the same day


IF a higher top is formed in the early part of the day but the price then goes
down and makes a bottom lower than that formed on the previous day,

move the trend indicator line to the higher top and then move it down to
the bottom of the day.

CONVERSELY, IF a lower bottom is formed in the early part of the day but the
price later goes up to a new high, then

move the line to the low for the day and then to the top for that day.

32

A within day
A WITHIN DAY occurs when a share makes a higher or identical low and a lower or
identical high to those of the previous day.
In other words, the spread for the day has remained within the previous day's
parameters.
IN THESE CIRCUMSTANCES,

keep the trend line at the low for the day if the previous moves show the
trend line on the lows.

SIMILARLY,

keep the trend line at the high for the day if the previous moves show the
line to have been on the highs.

THE APPLICATION OF A TREND INDICATOR LINE


If the trend indicator line is forming higher tops and bottoms, the short term trend is up. If
the trend indicator line is forming lower bottoms, only the short term trend is down.
A BOTTOM on the trend indicator line is when the TIL has gone from a high price on a
price spread to a low price and then back up to a high again. (There may be more than
3 days making up this formation.)
A TOP on the trend indicator line is when the TIL has gone from a low price on a price
spread to a high, then back down to a low again. (There may be more that 3 days making
up this formation.)

Top

Top
Top

Bottom

Bottom

33

B: THE TRIGGER TO BUY


When the price rises or falls to decision bands, watch the trend indicator line at these
levels and, when the trend is established at the decision area, go with the trend.
The decision levels can be predetermined well in advance of any action you might wish to
take. This grants you sufficient time to prepare yourself emotionally and financially to take
action at the appropriate time. It also means that arrangements with your broker, banker
or financial advisor need not be rushed.
You will find with experience that the majority of major turning points in price will start from
the selected levels. However, they are not infallible. You must at all times protect yourself
with an exit or stop loss level. (SEE SECTION 4 - LIMITING LOSSES).

All investors, including the greatest of traders, experience losses on a fairly


regular basis.

Keep losses small and you will survive even after a losing spell.

Allow your losses to grow and you will almost certainly fail.

Your chart should show :


i) The decision level below the current price
and/or
ii) the decision level above the current price.
A fall to a decision level would be a level at which to consider a purchase. However,
some of the best upward moves will emanate from a break upwards over the decision
level shown above the current price.
You should not be deterred by the view that the price is too high. The price is never too
high to buy provided that the trend is up. It will probably be helpful in these circumstances
to remember the old saying:-

Bull [rising] markets climb a wall of worry.

34

I)

THE ACTION ON PRICES

rising

TO A DECISION LEVEL

When the current price reaches the upper decision level,

a purchase could be considered on strength higher than the decision level


band.

To verify strength you may find the following hints useful in deciding the day of your
purchase once the price has risen to a decision level. When you see a higher trend line
bottom form on or over the top level of the band of resistance this should alert you to
strength above the level of resistance, which implies higher prices.
BUY SIGNAL
Highest
level of
the band

DECISION LEVEL

This is a higher
trend line bottom
than the previous
one

Lowest
level of
the band

Buy on
strength
over this
high.

Notes A higher trend line bottom means one which is higher than the previous bottom.
'Band' means the area created by close percentage calculations.

When the chart shows that a higher trend line bottom has formed on or over the previous
bottom, higher prices are indicated. In this event, after the first hour of trading ask your
broker for the current price, & EITHER :

If the price is above the high of the previous day, then higher prices are indicated
and a buy will be triggered; or

If the price is below the previous day's high, do not buy; or

If the chart continues to show a higher trend line bottom,


(i)

Give the Broker instructions to buy over the high of the previous day

(ii)

Keep a check on the prices during the day and only buy if you see the
price strengthen above the high of the previous day.

or

REPEAT this process for every day that the higher trend line bottom persists, and has not
produced a price lower than the previous day's low.

35

I I ) THE ACTION ON PRICES

falling

TO A DECISION LEVEL.

After the price has fallen to the decision area,

wait for a higher trend line bottom to form on or over the highest decision level
before considering a purchase.

To verify strength follow the procedure is as described above for buying but this time the
signal will be provided by a fall to the level of support followed by a higher trend line
bottom forming.
Buy on strength
over this high

BUY SIGNAL

Highest
level of
the band
Lowest
level of
the band

This is a higher
trend line bottom
than the previous
one.

DECISION LEVEL

Notes A higher trend line bottom means one which is higher than the previous bottom.
'Band' means the area created by close percentage calculations.

When the chart shows that a higher trend line bottom has formed on or over the previous
bottom, higher prices are indicated. In this event, after the first hour of trading ask your
broker for the current price, & EITHER :

If the price is above the high of the previous day, then higher prices are indicated
and a buy will be triggered; or

If the price is below the previous day's high, do not buy; or

If the chart continues to show a higher trend line bottom,


(i)

Give the Broker instructions to buy over the high of the previous day

(ii)

Keep a check on the prices during the day and only buy if you see the
price strengthen above the high of the previous day.

or

REPEAT this process for every day that the higher trend line bottom persists, and has not
produced a price lower than the previous day's low.

36

C: THE TRIGGER TO SHORT


You should be just as willing to sell short as you are to buy.
Your chart should show :
i) The decision level below the current price
and/or
ii)the decision level above the current price.

37

I)

THE ACTION ON PRICES

rising

TO A DECISION LEVEL

If the price rises to the upper decision area,

wait for a lower trend line top to form on or under the lowest level of the decision
band before considering a short.

To verify weakness, you may find the following hints useful in deciding the day of your
short when the price has risen to a decision level. When you see a lower trend line top
form on or under the band of resistance this should alert you to weakness below the level,
implying lower prices.
Highest
level of
the band
Lowest
level of
the band

This is a lower trend line top


than the previous one.
DECISION LEVEL

Short on
weakness
SHORT SIGNAL
Note A lower trend line top means one which is lower than the previous top.

When the chart shows that a lower trend line top has formed on or under the lowest level
of the decision level band, this implies that lower prices are indicated. In this event, after
the first hour of trading ask your broker for the price, & EITHER :

If the price is below the lowest price of the previous day, then lower prices are
indicated and a short should be considered; or

If the price is above the low of the previous day, do not short; or

If the chart continues to show a lower trend line top


(i)

Give the broker instructions to short under the low of the previous day

(ii)

Keep a personal check on the prices during the day and short if the price
weakens below the low of the previous day.

or

REPEAT this process for every day that the lower trend line top persists, and has not
produced a price higher than the high of the previous day.

38

I I ) THE ACTION ON PRICES

falling

TO A DECISION LEVEL

When the current price reaches the lower level,

a short could be considered on weakness below the bottom level of the decision
level band.

To verify weakness after a fall to a decision level, you may find the following hints useful in
deciding the day of your short. When you see a lower trend line top form on or under the
lower level of the band this should alert you to weakness below the level of support, which
implies lower prices.
SHORT SIGNAL

This is a lower
trend line top than
the previous one.

Highest
level of
the band
Lowest
level of
the band

DECISION LEVEL

Short on
weakness

Note A lower trend line top means one which is lower than the previous top.

When the chart shows that a lower trend line top has formed on or under the lowest level
of the decision band, this indicates lower prices. In this event, after the first hour of trading,
ask your broker for the price, & EITHER :

If the price is below the bottom price of the previous day, then lower prices are
indicated and a short should be considered; or

If the price is above the previous day's low, do not 'short'; or

If the chart continues to show a lower trend line top,


(i)

Give the broker instructions to short under the low of the previous day

(ii)

Keep a check on the prices during the day and short if you see the price
weaken under the low of the previous day.

or

REPEAT this process for every day that the lower trend line top persists, and has not
produced a price higher than the previous day's high.

39

40

3:
TAKING PROFITS
It is generally acknowledged that most investors have great difficulty in determining the
time to take profits. However, if strict rules are followed, taking profits can become one of
the easier aspects of successful trading.

41

A: TAKING PROFITS AFTER BUYING


Your daily chart should show the trend line. This trend line will enable you to see clearly
when the short term trend has turned down. The trend turns down when the last trend line
bottom is broken by one percentage point.
A TREND LINE BOTTOM occurs when the trend line which joins up the daily prices goes
from the top of a daily spread to the bottom of a daily spread, and then to the top of a daily
spread. (There may be 2, 3 or more days making up this formation.)

TO PLACE A STOP LOSS subtract 1% from the lowest point of the last trend line bottom.
Daily High/Low

Daily High/Low
TREND LINE STOP LOSS after buying

24.1 is the price of the


last trend line bottom.
The Stop Loss is 23.8
(ie. 1% below).
THEN, if the chart shows that the spread for the previous day was on or below the stop
loss level,

note the lowest price of the spread for that day.

After the first hour of trading, ask your broker for the current price, & EITHER :

If the price is below the low of the previous day, then lower prices are indicated
and profits should be taken; or

If the price is above the low of the previous day and the stop loss, do not sell; or

If the price is still on the stop loss but above the low of the previous day,
(i)

Give your broker instructions to sell under the low of the previous day

(ii)

Keep a check on the prices during the day and close the position if the
price weakens below the low of the previous day.

or

REPEAT this process for every day that the last price on the chart is on the stop loss.

42

I)

TAKING PROFITS AFTER A FAST RISE

If the price is rising FAST to a decision level then consider the use of the Signal Day or
Day After Rule when the price hits the decision level area.
These rules are formulated to take into account that a sharp rise is often followed by a
sharp fall. The reason for applying them is that prices tend to fall far faster than they rise.
This could result in your profits being quickly eroded before the trend line triggers the sell
signal.
THE SIGNAL DAY' (SELL)
On the day that the price hits the decision level area, telephone your broker an hour
before the close of the market to ascertain the highest and lowest traded prices for the
day so far. From this information calculate the mean (middle or halfway) price. If the price
at the time of enquiry is below this level, this suggests lower prices and profits should be
taken.
THE DAY AFTER RULE (SELL)
If the Signal Day was not triggered, then the Day After Rule should be operated. After
the first hour of trading (on the day after the Signal Day), ask your broker for the last
traded price. If this is below the closing price of the previous day, then this indicates
lower prices and profits should be taken.
Highest
level of
the band
Lowest
level of
the band

DECISION LEVEL

100
95
90

Take profits on Signal Day


(below the mean) or Day After
Rule (below the Signal Day
close)
SIGNAL DAY & DAY AFTER RULE (SELL)
Notes It is only when you use the Signal Day or Day After Rule that we would recommend
that you know about the price movements during the same day. Normally, you should
make your decisions from your charts the FOLLOWING day. This will help you to avoid
making emotional decisions and will save you from unnecessary traumas caused by
wide daily fluctuations.

43

B: TAKING PROFITS AFTER SHORTING


When looking to close a short position, your daily charts should show the trend line.
The trend line on the DAILY chart will enable you to see clearly when the short term trend
has turned bullish. This occurs when the price breaks above the last trend line top by 1
percentage point or more on the chart.
A TREND LINE TOP occurs when the line which joins up the daily prices goes from the
bottom of a daily spread to the top of a later daily spread, and then down to the bottom of
a later daily spread. (There may be more than three days making up this formation.)
TO PLACE A STOP LOSS, add 1% to the highest point of the the last trend indicator line
top on your chart.
TREND LINE STOP LOSS after shor ting
Place stop loss 1% above
the last trend line bottom.

THEN, if the chart shows that the spread for the previous day was on or above the stop
loss level,

note the highest price of the spread for that day.

After the first hour of trading ask your broker for the current price, & EITHER :

If the price is above the high of the previous day, then higher prices are indicated
and profits should be taken; or

If the price is below the high of the previous day and the stop loss, do not sell; or

If the price is still on the stop loss but below the high of the previous day,
(i)

Give your broker instructions to cover above the high of the previous day

(ii)

Keep a personal check on the prices during the day and close the position
if the price strengthens above the high of the previous day.

or

REPEAT this process for every day that the last price on the chart is on the stop loss.

44

I)

TAKING PROFITS AFTER A FAST FALL

If the price is falling FAST to a decision level then consider the use of a Signal Day or
Day After Rule when the price hits the decision level area.
These rules are formulated to take into account that a sharp fall is often followed by a
sharp rise. This could result in your profits being quickly eroded before the trend line
triggers the signal to close your position.
THE SIGNAL DAY SHORT POSITION CLOSE
On the day that the price hits the decision level area, telephone your broker an hour before
the close of the market to ascertain the highest and lowest traded prices for the day so
far. From this information calculate the mean (middle or halfway) price. If the last traded
price is above this level, this indicates higher levels and profits should be taken.

THE DAY AFTER RULE SHORT POSITION CLOSE


If the signal day was not triggered, then the Day After Rule should be used. After the first
hour of trading on the day after the Signal Day ask your broker for the last traded price. If
this is above the closing price of the previous day, then this indicates higher prices and
profits should be taken.
SIGNAL DAY & DAY AFTER RULE
CLOSE OF 'SHORT'

Take profits on
Signal Day

Highest
level of
the band
Lowest
level of
the band

100

or Day After Rule

95
DECISION LEVEL

Notes It is only when you use the Signal Day or Day After Rule that we would recommend that you
know about the price movements during the same day. Normally, you should make your decisions
from your charts the following day. This will help you to avoid making emotional decisions and
will save you from unnecessary traumas caused by wide daily fluctuations.

45

46

4:
LIMITING LOSSES

47

A: CUTTING LOSSES AFTER BUYING


Losses must be strictly limited and quantified before buying. Once a limit has been set it
must NEVER be overruled or adjusted. This is perhaps the most important of all rules as
failure to follow the rule WILL result in large losses.

Place the trend line on the daily chart. When you buy, your stop loss should be
placed 1% below the lowest point of the last trend line bottom.

CUTTING LOSSES WHEN BUYING

Buy
signalled

Highest level
of the band
Place stop loss 1%
below the low

Lowest level
of the band

THEN, if the chart shows that the spread for yesterday was on or below the stop loss,

note the lowest price of the spread for that day.

After the first hour of trading ask your broker for the price, & EITHER :

If the price is below the low of yesterday, then lower prices are indicated and
losses should be taken; or

If the price is above the low of the previous day & the stop loss, do not sell; or
If the price is still on the stop loss but above the low of the previous day,
i)

Give your broker instructions to sell (close the position) under the low of
the previous day

ii)

Keep a check on the prices during the day and close the position if the
price weakens below the low of the previous day.

or

REPEAT this process for every day that the price is on the stop loss.

48

B: CUTTING LOSSES AFTER SHORTING


Losses must be strictly limited and quantified before shorting. Once a limit has been set
it must NEVER be overruled or adjusted. This is especially true when shorting, as your
losses can be unlimited.

Place the trend line on the daily chart. When you short, your stop loss should
be placed 1% above the last high of the trend line top.

Highest level
of the band
Lowest level
of the band

Place stop loss 1%


above the top

Short
signalled
CUTTING LOSSES WHEN SHORTING

THEN, if the chart shows that the spread for the day was on the stop loss level,

note the highest price of the spread for that day.

After the first hour of trading ask the broker for the price, & EITHER :

If the price is above the high of the previous day, then higher prices are indicated
and losses should be taken; or

If the price is below the high of the previous day and the stop loss, do not sell; or

If the price is still on the stop loss but below the high of the previous day,
i)

Give your broker instructions to close the position above the high of the
previous day

ii)

Keep a check on the prices during the day and close the position if the
price strengthens above the high of the previous day.

or

REPEAT this process for every day that the last price on the chart is on the stop loss.

49

THECASESTUDY-THEJAPANESENIKKEIINDEX
THEFINALPICTURE
CHARTS 20 AND 21 bring the various features discussed in the previous case studies
together to provide an analysis of the September 1992 decision level.
The features which created the decision level at 1900 were
the 'G1' level;
a50%retracement;
the 33.33% level from the 1992 low;
25%downfromtheNov1991high;
a rise of 11/4 circles;
the low of 1990;
a double top.

The 2 charts show the Index before and after the price hit the decision level.
The final chart is a daily chart showing the exact day to sell or go 'short' of the market
by using the trend line rules.

50

CHART 20

JAPAN NIKKEI (X 10)

The G1 Level

33.33%
The 1990 Low

-25%

r.5

Mon 30 Oct 1989 to Week beginning 24 Aug 1992

Weekly

CHART 21

JAPAN NIKKEI ( X 10)

The G1 level
-25%

The 1990 Low

33.33%

r.5

Mon 30 Sept 91 to Week beginning 5 Oct 92

Weekly

CHART 22

JAPAN NIKKEI (X 10)

Sell triggered on lower trend


line top if the signal day was
not used at 1900.

Fri 24 July 1992 to Wed 6 Jan 1993

51

Daily

IN CONCLUSION

n this short introduction to the works of W. D. Gann I have attempted to do no more


than take the first step to enable you to appreciate the methods of the greatest of Wall
Street traders. It has not been possible to cover all the discoveries made during Gann's
lifetime. My challenge has been to present a clear and explicit method to isolate, in advance,
future price turning points.
The study of the TIME factor in anticipating major moves is one of the more perplexing of
Gann's discoveries, as is his method of predicting future events. In my view, such studies
should come after that of price levels. Other important future studies are those on Gann's
money management and trading rules whilst investors' psychology is an area which has
been receiving my special attention of late.
You now have the basic rules with which to calculate where you can expect changes in
trend. It will be time to take the next step when these rules have been fully tested, proven
and then appreciated.
I leave you with the comments of W. D. Gann.

"IwanttoimpressuponyoustronglythatifyouexpecttomakesuccessintheStock
Marketyoumustputinplentyoftimestudying,becausethemoretimeyouputin,
themoreknowledgeyougain,themoreprofitsyouwilltakeoutlater.Ihavegiventhe
ruleswhichwillwork;youmustdoyourpart:youmustlearntherules,actonthem
attherighttimeandputthemintoexecution."
Good hunting.

52

Potrebbero piacerti anche