Esercitazione

Previsione della Domanda

Sulla base dei seguenti dati storici prevedere la relativa domanda di mercato per il periodo
successivo
Month
gen-95
feb-95
mar-95
apr-95
mag-95
giu-95
lug-95
ago-95
set-95
ott-95
nov-95
dic-95
gen-96
feb-96
mar-96
apr-96
mag-96
giu-96
lug-96
ago-96
set-96
ott-96
nov-96
dic-96

Time
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21

Quarter
Q1-86
Q2-86
Q3-86
Q4-86
Q1-87
Q2-87
Q3-87
Q4-87
Q1-88
Q2-88
Q3-88
Q4-88
Q1-89
Q2-89
Q3-89
Q4-89
Q1-90
Q2-90
Q3-90
Q4-90
Q1-91

Vendite mensili (in 1,000s)

Sales
Month
226
gen-97
254
feb-97
204
mar-97
193
apr-97
191
mag-97
166
giu-97
175
lug-97
217
ago-97
167
set-97
192
ott-97
127
nov-97
148
dic-97
184
gen-98
209
feb-98
186
mar-98
188
apr-98
129
mag-98
162
giu-98
210
lug-98
183
ago-98
186
set-98
229
ott-98
217
nov-98
195
dic-98

Sales
174,52
215,57
289,06
240,25
281,77
358,79
408,42
340,22
453,98
462,03
539,36
330,57
488,49
431,48
524,51
377,61
554,40
527,23
588,89
488,72
695,27

Reebok quarterly sales

Time
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42

Sales
144
186
154
127
154
167
109
141
185
148
192
215
240
207
168
165
218
168
179
181
175
185
245
177

Quarter
Q2-91
Q3-91
Q4-91
Q1-92
Q2-92
Q3-92
Q4-92
Q1-93
Q2-93
Q3-93
Q4-93
Q1-94
Q2-94
Q3-94
Q4-94
Q1-95
Q2-95
Q3-95
Q4-95
Q1-96
Q2-96

Sales
688,30
764,29
586,61
797,37
701,98
863,21
660,06
825,22
657,61
808,49
602,57
857,37
776,75
937,15
709,15
935,48
788,69
1005,98
751,30
902,92
817,57

Time
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21

Quarterly data on Intel sales ($ millions)

Date
Sales
01/01/1986
280,05
22 01/04/1991
01/04/1986
305,18
23 01/07/1991
01/07/1986
324,14
24 01/10/1991
01/10/1986
355,64
25 01/01/1992
01/01/1987
394,53
26 01/04/1992
01/04/1987
438,96
27 01/07/1992
01/07/1987
501,13
28 01/10/1992
01/10/1987
572,49
29 01/01/1993
01/01/1988
635,81
30 01/04/1993
01/04/1988
726,68
31 01/07/1993
01/07/1988
784,94
32 01/10/1993
01/10/1988
727,34
33 01/01/1994
01/01/1989
713,08
34 01/04/1994
01/04/1989
747,34
35 01/07/1994
01/07/1989
771,44
36 01/10/1994
01/10/1989
894,97
37 01/01/1995
01/01/1990
894,46
38 01/04/1995
01/04/1990
968,30
39 01/07/1995
01/07/1990 1012,44
40 01/10/1995
01/10/1990 1046,07
41 01/01/1996
01/01/1991 1132,78
42 01/04/1996

week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21

Date

1252,69
1187,70
1205,45
1241,29
1319,69
1426,17
1856,83
2023,56
2129,56
2239,85
2389,03
2660,00
2770,00
2863,00
3228,00
3557,00
3894,00
4171,00
4580,00
4644,00
4621,00

Sales (units purchased) of hammers

Sales
115
22
33
125
23
28
116
24
27
130
25
34
82
26
42
81
27
14
69
28
35
50
29
55
67
30
44
47
31
70
43
32
74
69
33
71
56
34
79
67
35
83
54
36
73
77
37
70
82
38
74
69
39
71
64
40
84
72
41
102
69
42
107

Monthly Dow Jones average closing index, Jan 88 to Mar 92

Dow
Date

Dow

gen-88
feb-88
mar-88
apr-88
mag-88
giu-88
lug-88
ago-88
set-88
ott-88
nov-88
dic-88
gen-89
feb-89
mar-89
apr-89
mag-89
giu-89
lug-89
ago-89
set-89
ott-89
nov-89
dic-89
gen-90
feb-90

1947,35
1980,65
2044,31
2036,13
1988,91
2104,94
2104,22
2051,29
2080,06
2144,31
2099,04
2148,58
2234,68
2304,3
2283,11
2348,91
2439,55
2494,9
2554,03
2691,11
2693,41
2692,01
2642,49
2728,47
2679,24
2614,18

Quarter
Q1-86
Q2-86
Q3-86
Q4-86
Q1-87
Q2-87
Q3-87
Q4-87
Q1-88
Q2-88
Q3-88
Q4-88
Q1-89
Q2-89
Q3-89
Q4-89
Q1-90
Q2-90
Q3-90
Q4-90
Q1-91

mar-90
apr-90
mag-90
giu-90
lug-90
ago-90
set-90
ott-90
nov-90
dic-90
gen-91
feb-91
mar-91
apr-91
mag-91
giu-91
lug-91
ago-91
set-91
ott-91
nov-91
dic-91
gen-92
feb-92
mar-92

Sales
1734,83
2244,96
2533,80
2154,96
1547,82
2104,41
2014,36
1991,75
1869,05
2313,63
2128,32
2026,83
1910,60
2331,16
2206,55
2173,97
2148,28
2739,31
2792,75
2556,01
2480,97

Coca Cola quarterly sales

Quarter
Q2-91
Q3-91
Q4-91
Q1-92
Q2-92
Q3-92
Q4-92
Q1-93
Q2-93
Q3-93
Q4-93
Q1-94
Q2-94
Q3-94
Q4-94
Q1-95
Q2-95
Q3-95
Q4-95
Q1-96
Q2-96

2700,13
2708,26
2793,81
2894,82
2934,23
2681,89
2550,69
2460,54
2518,56
2610,92
2587,6
2863,04
2920,11
2925,54
2928,42
2968,14
2978,19
3006,09
3010,35
3019,74
2986,12
2958,64
3227,06
3257,27
3247,42

Sales
3039,52
3172,12
2879,00
2772,00
3550,00
3508,00
3243,86
3056,00
3899,00
3629,00
3373,00
3352,00
4342,00
4461,00
4017,00
3854,00
4936,00
4895,00
4333,00
4194,00
5253,00