AP Statistics

Unit 4 Linear Regression (Chps. 7-8)

Big Idea:

Scatterplots are useful for determining how strong of an association exists between two quantitative variables.
To describe the association, one should discuss the direction, form, and strength of the pattern. Also, any
unusual features should be noted. The correlation coefficient is a statistic that is used to describe the strength of
a linear pattern. The goal of linear regression is to fit the best line possible to the data. The best line is the one
that makes the total squared error as small as possible. The regression line can be used to make predictions and
its slope tells us the average rate of change of a linear pattern. The goodness of fit is described by the statistic
R2. Finally, the line of best fit can be calculated from formulas or with technology.

Skills:

Create and describe scatterplots. Interpret the meaning or r Lessons 1

Understand the properties of r Lesson 2
Explain what makes the regression line the best Lesson 3a
Calculate the total squared error for a line - Lesson 3b
Calculate the line of best fit and use it to make predictions and calculate residuals- Lesson 4
Report the units for slope and interpret its meaning Lesson 5
Calculate the formula for the line of best fit using formulas and computer read outs Lesson 6
Interpret the meaning of the statistic R2 Lesson 7

Project/Activities :

Sticker Activity Correlation

Pasta Bridges

Mastery:

Barrons Packet
AP Free Response Questions
Smoking Data one problem that includes all the concepts

Vocabulary:
Scatterplot, correlation, correlation coefficient, regression line, line of best fit, least squares line, residual, prediction,
coefficient of determination, total squared error

1. Monday 11/03/14

2. Tuesday 11/04/14

3. Wednesday 11/05/14

4. Thursday 11/06/14

Before class:
Have a nice weekend, chill, think happy stats thoughts
During class:
Warm Up Modeling Data with a Line
Lesson 1: The Correlation Coefficient
Before class:
Video 34 and journal assignment
During class:
Warm Up/Discussion
Correlation Sticky Activity
Before class:
Video 35 and journal assignment
During class:
Warm Up What Do You Know about r?
Lesson 2: Properties of r
Before class:
Video 36 and journal assignment
Homework Assignment
During class:
Warm Up / Discussion
Lesson 3a: What makes it the Best Line?

5. Friday 11/07/14

6. Monday 11/10/14

7. Tuesday 11/11/14

8. Wednesday 11/12/14

9. Thursday 11/13/14

10. Friday 11/14/14

11. Monday 11/17/14

12. Tuesday 11/18/14

13. Wednesday 11/19/14

14. Thursday 11/20/14

14. Friday 11/21/14

NO SCHOOL

Before class:
Video 37 and journal assignment
Homework Assignment Barrons Normal Distribution practice
During class:
Warm Up / Discussion
Follow Up Properties of r
Lesson 3a: What makes it the Best Line?

NO SCHOOL

Before class:
Video 38 and journal assignment
Homework Assignment AP Free Response problems
During class:
Warm Up / Discussion
Lesson 3b: Total Squared Error
Lesson 4: Predictions and Residuals

NO SCHOOL

Before class:
Video 39 and journal assignment
Homework Assignment
During class:
Warm Up - Using Slopes to Understand Rates of Change
Lesson 5: Interpreting Slope
Before class:
Video 40 and journal assignment
Homework Assignment
During class:
Warm Up / Discussion
Lesson 6: Printouts and Formulas
Before class:
Video 41 and journal assignment
Homework Assignment
During class:
Warm Up / Discussion
Lesson 7: What does R2 tell us?
Before class:
Video 42 and journal assignment
Homework Assignment
During class:
Warm Up / Discussion
Activity Pasta Bridges
Before class:
Video 43 and journal assignment
Review Packet
During class:
Warm Up / Discussion
Review/AP Problems
Before class:
Video 44 and journal assignment
Study for Quiz
During class:
Unit 4 Quiz
Turn in journals and binders