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MES
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
DEMANDA
REAL
62
65
67
68
71
73
76
78
78
80
84
85
DEMANDA
REAL
62
65
67
68
71
73
76
78
78
80
84
85
PRONOSTICO
MESES
65+67+68/3= 66,6666667
67+68+71/3= 68,6666667
68+71+73/3=70,6666667
71+73+76/3=73,3333333
73+76+78/3=75,6666667
76+78+78/3=77,3333333
78+78+80/3=78,6666667
78+80+84/3=80,6666667
b) Calcule el promedio mvil ponderado a tres meses con pesos de 0.25, 0.35
y 0.40 para los perodos 4 a 12
MES
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
DEMANDA
REAL
62
65
67
68
71
73
76
78
78
80
84
85
DEMANDA
REAL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Prximo periodo
62
65
67
68
71
73
76
78
78
80
84
85
0.25*62 + 0.70*63
0.25*65 + 0.70*59.6
0.25*67 + 0.70*57.97
0.25*68 + 0.70*57.32
0.25*71 + 0.70*57.12
0.25*73 + 0.70*57.73
0.25*76 + 0.70*58.66
0.25*78 + 0.70*60.06
0.25*78 + 0.70*61.54
0.25*80 + 0.70*62.57
0.25*84 + 0.70*63.79
0.25*85 + 0.70*65.65
59.6
57.97
57.32
57.12
57.73
58.66
60.06
61.54
62.57
63.79
65.65
67.20
sumatoria
MES
(X)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
78
DEMANDA
REAL (Y)
62
65
67
68
71
73
76
78
78
80
84
85
887
X^2
X*Y
1
2
3
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
642
62
130
201
272
355
438
532
624
702
800
924
1020
6060
16= 94.62
17= 96.8
18= 98.98
19= 101.16
20= 103.34
Esto genera una nueva tabla
MES
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
DEMANDA
REAL
62
65
67
68
71
73
76
78
78
80
84
85
88.08
90.26
92.44
94.62
96.8
98.98
101.16
103.34