C4

C5
C6
C7
C8
C9

H2S
CO2
N2
C1
C2
C3
i
n
i
n

0.53
71.33
0.41
26.38
0.51
0.16
0.04
0.04
0.02
0.02
0.05
0.04
0.02
0.01

0.094
0.224
0.038
0.012
0.1
0.152
0.2
0.2
0.252
0.252
0.301
0.35
0.4
0.492
SUM

99.56

0.0004982
0.1597792
0.0001558
0.0031656
0.00051
0.0002432
0.00008
0.00008
0.0000504
0.0000504
0.0001505
0.00014
0.00008
0.0000492
0.1650325

Tahun

Demand BBM

1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024

299,300,000
324,120,000
351,495,000
363,610,000
377,700,000
383,995,995
395,668,315
398,806,832
403,190,759
415,494,636
417,493,997
429,845,435
431,302,814
444,205,000
464,854,000
483,448,160
457,142,857
485,714,286
491,428,571
500,000,000
514,285,714
542,857,143
585,714,286
614,285,714
657,142,857
685,714,286
742,857,143
785,714,286
828,571,429
885,714,286

2025

942,857,143

2026
2027
2028
2029
2030

2010
2011

1,000,000,000
1,060,000,000
1,114,285,714
1,200,000,000
1,257,142,857
AVERAGE
x6
x5
-1961.3
6.59442E+19
6.61413E+19

% Growth

Tahun

8.292682927
8.445945946
2.15
3.446706212
0.7
3.87503094
1.666930103
3.03969837
0.793219189
1.099260757
3.051626736
0.481200195
2.958470802
0.339047221
2.991444892
3.051626736
3.051626736
4 ESTIMASI
6.25
1.18
1.74
2.86
5.56
7.89
4.88
6.98
4.35
8.33
5.77
5.45
6.90

614285714
200000000

2.3
2.4
2.6
2.75
2.9
3.1

6.45

3.3

6.06
6.00
5.12
7.69
4.76
5.49

2025
3.5
3.71
3.9
4.2
4.4

x4
2.00E+07
3.2808E+16
3.28897E+16

1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024

2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
x3

-1.00E+11
3.00E+14
1.63224E+13 8120601000
1.63549E+13 8132727331

x2
-5.00E+17
4040100
4044121

6.63388E+19
6.65369E+19
6.67355E+19
6.69345E+19
6.71341E+19

2012
2013
2014
2015
2016

Years

%GDP Growth
4.63
5.32
5.45
5.55
5.78
6.22
6.26
6.49

2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016

Place
UP I P. Brandan
P. Brandan
UP II DumaiDumai
S. Pakning
UP III PlajuMusi
UP IV Cilacap
Cilacap
UP V Balikpapan
Balikpapan
UP VI Balongan
Balongan
UP VII Sorong
Kasim

3.29716E+16
3.30536E+16
3.31358E+16
3.32181E+16
3.33006E+16

1.63875E+13
1.64201E+13
1.64527E+13
1.64854E+13
1.65182E+13

%Gasoline
Demand Growth
3.051626736
3.446706212
3.958470802
4.648529395
4.958470802
5.87503094
6.121444892
6.648529395

Gasoline
Demand
457760478.5
473538137.4
492283006.3
515166926.6
540711328.2
572478286
607522228.8
647913522.8

Capacity (tbpd)
120
50
118
348
260
125
10

8144865728
8157016197
8169178744
8181353375
8193540096

Production (tbpd)
BBM
Non BBM
36103
5523
4007
7896
23642
12288
80020
19676
61481
21118
31712
22141
3236968
236.968.000

4048144
4052169
4056196
4060225
4064256

Supply BBM

% Growth

299,300,000
324,120,000
351,495,000
363,610,000
377,700,000
383,995,995
395,668,315
398,806,832
403,190,759
415,494,636
417,493,997
429,845,435
431,302,814
444,205,000
464,854,000
464,854,000
257,142,857
257,142,857
257,142,857
257,142,857
257,142,857
264,285,714
278,571,429
371,428,571
371,428,571
371,428,571
371,428,571
377,142,857
385,714,286
385,714,286

3
5
33
2
2
-

514,285,714

33

517,142,857
517,142,857
517,142,857
517,142,857
517,142,857

1
-

0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.925 ada biomassa
0.975
1.3 ada kilang baru
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.32 biomassa tambah
1.35
1.35
ada kilang baru, batubara cair dan
1.8
penambahan biomassa
1.81
1.81
1.81
1.81
1.81

c
4.00E+20
2010
2011

-1.00E+23
-1.00E+23
-1.00E+23

-6.89E+23

Delta Demand vs Delta GDP

2012
2013
2014
2015
2016

Delta Demand

6
5
4

-1.00E+23
-1.00E+23
-1.00E+23
-1.00E+23
-1.00E+23

Delta Demand vs Delta GDP

3
2
1
0
4

4.5

5.5
Delta GDP

6.5

Tahun

14
2.50
4
6
8
10
(21)
18
10
18
10
8
13

1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024

Production
Capacity
299,300,000
324,120,000
351,495,000
363,610,000
377,700,000
383,995,995
395,668,315
398,806,832
403,190,759
415,494,636
417,493,997
429,845,435
431,302,814
444,205,000
464,854,000
464,854,000
28,571,429
34,285,714
42,857,143
57,142,857
78,571,429
107,142,858
42,857,143
85,714,286
114,285,714
171,428,572
208,571,429
242,857,143
300,000,000

428,571,429

(14)

2025

228,571,429

482,857,143
542,857,143
597,142,857
682,857,143
740,000,000

13
12
10
14
8

2026
2027
2028
2029
2030

282,857,143
342,857,143
397,142,857
482,857,143
540,000,000

Impor BBM

1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024

299,300,000
324,120,000
351,495,000
363,610,000
377,700,000
383,995,995
395,668,315
398,806,832
403,190,759
415,494,636
417,493,997
429,845,435
431,302,814
444,205,000
464,854,000
464,854,000
200,000,000
228,571,429
234,285,714
242,857,143
257,142,857
278,571,429
307,142,857
242,857,143
285,714,286
314,285,714
371,428,571
408,571,429
442,857,143
500,000,000

2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030

% Growth

Tahun

y = 449.54x6 - 5E+06x5 + 3E+10x4 - 7E+13x3 + 1E+17x2 - 9E+19x + 3E+22

R = 0.9978

Chart Title

Chart Title

R = 0.9978
500,000,000
y = 2.0816x - 7.0527
R = 0.9381
450,000,000

Series1
Linear (Series1)

400,000,000

7
350,000,000

Axis Title

300,000,000

250,000,000

200,000,000

150,000,000

100,000,000

50,000,000

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Axis Title

% Growth

kapasitas maksimum
kemampuan pabrik nampung berapa

GDP

#DIV/0!
20.00
25
33
38
36
(60)
100
33 Estimasi plant
50
22
16
24
(24)
24
21
16
22
12

9E+19x + 3E+22

Chart Title

BUAT DI ANALISIS KALO INDONESIA MAMPU MEM

Chart Title

Series1

Poly. (Series1)

2002

Axis Title

2004

2006

2008

2010

I ANALISIS KALO INDONESIA MAMPU MEMBELI BUTANOL SEPERTI BBM

Kriteria
Kandungan ion NH4+
Kandungan ion ClKandungan ion SO42Kandungan ion FKandungan ion Fe2+ dan Fe3+
Kandungan logam terlarut
Kandungan O2 terlarut
Kandungan silica terlarut
pH (25oC)

BBM Production

Nilai Batas
0 mg/l
< 10 mg/l
< 30 mg/l
< 0.1 mg/l
0 mg/l
< 5 mg/l
< 5 mg/l
< 1 mg/l
7 s/d 8