Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
Agenda
Climate Change and its effects
Renewable Energy Policies in America, Eu, and Thailand
Work in Renewable Energy Area
Renewable Energy (RE) Reviews
RE Case Studies (Tesco Lotus)
Background
Achievements &
Current Holding
Project
World energy consumption and CO2 increase corresponded with population increasing.
Explanation
This PowerPoint slide is used for academic use only in university or analyst lecture
1971
91
29
33
CECD Countries
Developing Countries
1990
104
2010
133
64
100
46
139
46
200
300
100
CO2 100
50
200
This PowerPoint slide is used for academic use only in university or analyst lecture
1992
2002
2005
1992
2002
2005
This PowerPoint slide is used for academic use only in university or analyst lecture
11
To move 20 M people
in Beijing
from land under the sea
before
after
Source : Dr. Wattanapong R
This PowerPoint slide is used for academic use only in university or analyst lecture
12
Million ( )
12,000
30
6,000
+ Peak Oil
2010
3,000
OIL
1,500
1850
1900
1950
2000
2050
13
20% 2020
Sign Feb,2007
15% 2020
Sign June, 2007
15
17
Micro-Grid
-Distributed Generation
-Customer Electrification
Community Grid
-Small Power Producer
transmission
-Village Community
Electrification
National Grid
-High Capacity transmission
-Nation balance of supply & Demand
18
A dramatic rise of world renewable in 2007, developing world, EU and top six countries
Explanation
20
21
23
Renewable Energy
1.4%
Coal 8.2%
Natural Gas
70.0 %
Heavy Oil
1.0%
Lignite
12.6%
Hydro
4.7%
Laos 1.6%
Diesel
0.2 %
Malaysia
0.3 %
148,197
Mega kW-h/year
24
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
25
.. 2551-2565
ESCO Fund
Target 5,608 MW
Existing 1,750 MW
CDM
BOI/
2.4%
Adder cost
R&D
7.6%
6.4%
15.6%
19.1%
4,237 ktoe/
99,500 /
13 /
2551*
2554
2559
2551 94.45
20.3%
4.1%
19,800 ktoe/
461,800 /
42 /
6.2%
Target
9.0 /
Existing 1.24 /
Target
4.5 /
Existing 1.56 /
Target
0.1 ..
NGV
2565
: * .. 52
26
1. Adder Cost
: www.eppo.go.th
27
(2)
2. (BOI)
3. ( 50 )
4. CDM
5. (ESCO Venture Capital)
ESCO Fund
Investor
Investor
Equity Investment
Investment
Committee
Investor
Equipment Leasing
Investor
Investor
1.
1,250
2.
10 ktoe
250 /
51-52 500 /
/
Technical Assistance
Fund Manager
28
15
15 3
(2551 2554)
(proven
technologies)
NGV
(2555 2559)
,
Green City
(2560 2565)
Green City
29
(1) (RE)
RE
/, Adder Cost,
ESCO FundRE
CDM
(2)
RE
(3)
RE
RE
,
30
>50,000 MW
32 MW
-
- Solar Home/On Grid
-
-. 0.1%
56 MW
1,601 MW
154 ktoe
2.3 ktoe
-
( )
-
()
600 ktoe
224 ktoe
-
(,
, ,
, ,
)
190 MW
46 MW
1,600 MW
5.0 MW
-
-
320 MW
5 MW
-
- /
4,400 MW
700 MW
7,400 ktoe
2,781 ktoe
- (,
,
,)
- (
)
78 ktoe
1 ktoe
(
)
* 3.0 /
1.24 /
-
* 4.2 /
1.59 /
-
DME
* ( )
31
20
(Development Framework) 3
Proven
-
2nd-Gen & Non-Food
Biofuels
-
(Green Community)
- Green Community
-
-
-
RE
- Biofuels
New
- Battery
- Geothermal
2554
2559
2565
2573
15.6%
19.1%
20.3%
25%
(R&D)
(Demonstrator)
-
(Deployment)
(Competition)
3232
Tree
Tree
1)
.,,,,
2) .
Tree
-
-
-
3) .
Tree
Tree
Tree
Tree
Tree
Tree
-
-
Offshore Potentials
3333
PV Boom PV
PV 1-2 USD/watt
PV
(Giant Solar Farm)
()
,,,,,
Solar Pricing
Proven
- Parabolic Trough Steering Engine
. R+D+D
Solar Map
Parabolic Trough
Steering Engine
3434
(Hydro)
1. (Small-Mini
Hydro)
2.
3. (Pico-Micro
Hydro)
( 324 MW)
15
5 4
3 3
7 2 1
9 43 14
0
4
3 154 8 4
181
0 2 43 4 5 5
7
3
1
21 5
3 3 3 33 9 4 0 1
2
4
1
61 1 2902 2 23 68
4 7 1 31 2 21
1 829 24 6 222
0 78
3
5
5
3
2
4.
- R&D
91
10
5
2
13
3535
12,000,000.00
10,000,000.00
8,000,000.00
6,000,000.00
4,000,000.00
2,000,000.00
800-1,000
- 1,200-1,600
-
1,200-1,600
0.00
()
(
)
36
36
MW.
Existing = 1,648MW
= 3,341 ktoe
(MW)
Actual/Expect
52
53
54
59
65
2,100
2,454
2,800
3,220
3,600
1,644
2,000
2,800
3,220
3,600
:
CDM PPA
High light
()
156 mw
1,931 mw
222ktoe
2,743ktoe
365 mw
92 mw
518ktoe
131ktoe
1.
37
53
2. / 37
3
5
1. .
LFG
1 MW
2. .
AD
0.6 MW
3. . .
LFG
1.5 MW
4. . .
1.5 MW
5. .
1 MW
- (
)
.
.(.) . (PPP)
key Player .
1.
2.
3.
- Parolysis
3838
5
1.. LPG
2. //
- .
.
8,800
/
100 /
25
50-100 /
37
3. LPG
4. LPG
-
5. -
- RDF
10-50 /
162
LPG
5-10 /
639
< 5 /
6,622
3939
5 .
District Subsidy 10-30%
2
1)
2)
Quick Fact
1 = 3 = 10
1/
1 0.05 ./
1 ktoe =
1.76 .. 0.55 MW
1 ktoe 90,000
1 MW 160,000
-
-
40
40
2.93 ./
- 4
-
+ 4
Demand
- 8
1.64 ./
0.63 ./
0.85 ./
FFV
- 1,681 @ ..53
- 53 7,308
- .
> 1,800 cc 22%
- Volvo Mitsu
- GM E85 53
FFV
Flexible
+
Supply-Demand
4141
5.91 ./
- CPO/RBD 4 1.76 ./
-
5 1.75 ./
- CPO/RBD 4 0.95 ./
/
/
Demand
CPO
Supply-Demand
(CPO)
72
400
A 9
14
100
300
B 15 C 16
D 8
10
65%
.. 53
B5 B2 B3
B100 ()
.(/
/)
HUB
yield 2.8 3.2 // (.)
R&D
. .
4242
4343
44
45
46
.. (.)
3.02 kW
(.)
3.02 kW
(.)
3.12 kW
(.)
47
650,000 Baht
Energy Output
7,000 kw.h/year
Income
77,000 Baht/year
O&M
750 Baht/year
Net Income
76,250Baht/year
Payback Period
8-9 Year
Working Period
25 Year
48
49
100,000,000 Baht
Energy Output
1,400,000 kw.h/year
Income
15,000,000 Baht/year
O&M
200,000 Baht/year
Net Income
14,800,000Baht/year
Payback Period
8-9 Year
Working Period
25 Year
50
51
52
PV Solar Cell
CSP
ParabolicTrough
Solar
Thermal
Technology wises
Energy Sources
Solar Radiation 5
kWh/m2-day
Solar Radiation 5
kWh/m2-day
Solar Radiation 5
kWh/m2-day
Investment
120-140 Bt/Wp
100-110 Bt/Wp
140-150 Bt/Wp
12,000 Bt/m2
Cost of electricity
8-10 Bt/unit(kWh)
3-5 Bt/kWh
IRR/Payback
8-10 years(sell to
grid)
6.5-7.5 years
Up 10-15 years
2 -3 years
Proven/local (small
WT 6 kW)
Proven/local
Research/import
Proven/local
Existing Vendors
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
Wind Turbine in Europe Project with Prof. Dr. -Ing. Jurgen Schmid (ISET)
64
65
66
67
68
Wind Turbine in Europe at farm along the road to the north of Germany
69
70
Agenda
Nowadays Renewable Energy Business in Thailand
Solar PV Power Plant
Future of PV Solar Power Plant
Potential, Configuration, Investment and project cost portion
Model and Pre Feasibility of 1 MW PV power Plant and Action Plan
Back Ground Work of Consulting and Implemented Project of Ensol and Partners
SERT Partner as International Research Institution
71
PV Solar Cell
CSP
ParabolicTrough
Solar
Thermal
Technology wises
Energy Sources
Solar Radiation 5
kWh/m2-day
Solar Radiation 5
kWh/m2-day
Solar Radiation 5
kWh/m2-day
Investment
120-140 Bt/Wp
100-110 Bt/Wp
140-150 Bt/Wp
12,000 Bt/m2
Cost of electricity
8-10 Bt/unit(kWh)
3-5 Bt/kWh
IRR/Payback
8-10 years(sell to
grid)
6.5-7.5 years
Up 10-15 years
2 -3 years
Proven/local (small
WT 6 kW)
Proven/local
Research/import
Proven/local
Existing Vendors
72
Photovoltaic technology
Crystalline silicon solar cells (Thick film)
Single-crystal silicon
Power tower or Central receiver
Polycrystalline silicon
Dish engine
Thin film solar cells
Amorphous silicon
Cadmium telluride (CdTe)
Copper indium diselenide (CIS)
73
74
MO48:BruneiTSB20
India
Philippines
Thailand
Indonesia
Malaysia
Japan
Germany
500
2000
75
MO48:BruneiTSB21
MO48:AsiaPVinstal
Photovoltaic
in Asia
(2006~2007)
W / capita
3.5
3.5 3.35
3.35
Brunei
1,200,000 W
383,000
3.0
3.0
= 3.13 W/capita
2.5
2.5
MW
120
120
105
105
100
100
100
2.00
2.00
2.0
2.0
1.5
1.5
8080
1.0
1.0
70
70.3
0.73
0.73
0.57
0.57
0.5
0.5
Sri Lanka
Vietnam
Laos
10
11
12
13
10
11
12
13
14
Vietnam
Cambodia
Bangladesh
1
1.0
Philippines
Mongolia
Bangladesh
Indonesia
Korea
Thailand
Australia
00
China
8
8.0
Indonesia
1
1.3
2020
Philippines
3
3.0
6
5.5
China
Nepal
3
3.0
6
6.0
India
Cambodia
4
4.0
6
6.0
Sri Lanka
Malaysia
5
5.0
Laos
Thailand
Nepal
35
34.7
Korea
36
36
Malaysia
4040
Mongolia
0.0 0
0.21 0.21
0.18 0.17
0.17 0.15
0.21
0.21 0.18
0.15 0.10
0.09 0.08
0.08 0.06 0.04 0.04
0.02
0.06 0.04 0.04 0.02
Australia
6060
India
Cumulative PV
Installed (MW)
100
Cumulative PV
Installed (W per capita)
15
Brunei
14
1.2
15
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
84
Given
Adder
Duration
(Years)
Old Adder
(Baht/kWh)
New Adder
(Baht/kWh)
Adder special
plus
(Baht/kWh)
0.30
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.30
0.30
1.00
1.00
0.30
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.30
0.30
1.00
1.00
1. Biomass
2.50
2.50
1.00
1.00
- (Thermal Process)
2.50
3.50
1.00
1.00
3.50
4.50
1.50
1.50
10
3.50
3.50
1.50
1.50
10
0.40
0.80
1.00
1.00
0.80
1.50
1.00
1.00
8.00
8.00
1.50
1.50
10
4. Wind Energy
85
86
87
8. If the Investment cost of PV Plant decrease to 108 MB per 1 MW the Pay back period will be down to 7 years
Feasibility
1. > 5 Mega Watt
2. 30%-40%. 1.4-1.8 US dollar per watt
peak
3. Solar PV Power plant project 1 MW 110-120
4. PV power plant 1 MW 110-120 (+)
5.
1 kW 1,400-1,500 kW-hr (Unit) .
PV 1 MW
= 1,500 x 1,000 = 1,500,000 kWh (unit)
6. PEA adder = 11.2 Baht per kW-hr (unit),
1 MW PV Power Plant= 1,500,000 x 11.2 = 16-17
8. feasible assumption
A. The Adder duration should be longer than 10 years to be 15-20 years
B. Site location should be very potential with yield of solar radiation more than 5-5.5 kWh per m2 per day
C. Getting As Lowest Price of PV Cost as possible to minimize capital investment
D. Getting source of found for low interest loan
9. If the Investment cost of PV Plant decrease to 108 MB per 1 MW the Pay back period will be down to
7 years
FIRR =7 8% 108 1 MW
89
90
91
Technology
Capacity
Area Requirement
(Rai)
Wind Farm*
50 kW
1.5-2 Rais
PV Solar Farm
(Crystalline PV)
1 MW
10-13 Rais
1 MW
20-25 Rais
PV Solar Farm
(Amorphous PV)
Remark:* 1. Small Wind farm consist of 8 units of 6 kW Wind Turbine in total plant at 48 kW (approx 50kW)
2. 6 kW wind turbine has blade radius 3.25 meter, distance of each turbine = 10-12 meter
3. Small Wind farm 50 kW require area 1.5- Rais
4. Small Wind Farm 1 MW consists of 20 plants of 50 kW = 1MW require area = 20 *1.5=30 Rais
92
MARKET
MINI-GRID.
URBAN GRID
CONNECTED
93
94
95
PROMISING
Thank you
96
97
AGENDA
Wind Resource in Thailand and Potential Site
Wind Development Project With TESCO Green Store
Compared Wind HAWT & VAWT
Model and Pre Feasibility of 50 kW Small Wind Farm
Other Case Study
98
99
Wind potential in Thailand by World Bank result that more than 92% of
Total Thailand Land Area has Poor Wind class that less than 6m/s
100
101
102
150 kW ko Chan
Chonburi,
Recycle
Engineering
50 kW low Speed
Wind Turbine,
Lumtakong,
Nakornratchasrima
2 x 1.25 MW EGAT
Lumtakong
Nakornratchasri ma,
underconstruction
250 kW Hua Sai
DEDE, Na korn
sri Tammarat
1.5 MW Hua Sai
DEDE, Na korn
sri Tammarat
1x250 kW + 1x 1.5
MW Lerm Ta She
Pattanee
103
22
4
4
3
3. Over Mountain Ridges: Average Wind Speed at 50m Height 5.1
m/s (150 W/m2)
4 Another Coastal Areas: Chonburi, Rayong, Samutsakhon,
4.
Phetchaburi, Prachuapkirikhan, Chumporn, Suratthani, Satun,
Trang, Krabi, Phuket and Pangnga. Average Wind Speed at 50m
Height 4.4 m/s (100 W/m2)
Facts VS. Challenges & Key Sucsess for Wind Development in Thailand
- Wind Resource in Thailand is mostly in poor class that is the main reason of freezing wind energy
development in Thailand due to less energy production and less sound of economic sense to attract
interest and outside private wind developer to invest.
- Wind Energy Development Projects in Thailand are owned by Government Sector and grow by limitation
of promotion and R&D budget.
- Localization can develop Wind Turbine in micro to small wind turbine from range 400 W to 5 kW, higher
size like 20kW and 50 kW is in researching & developing.
- The Wind Turbine higher that 100kW are imported, working power rated might not be match to wind
speed in Thailand
Localization
Challenges & Key
Wind Expert Development
Success
106
107
108
HAWT
VAWT
- Lower in noise
- Simple of the blade
manufacturing
- Lower performance :0.25
Suggestions:
1.Turby has high cut- in speed at 4 m/s that mean wind average in BKK is 2-4 m/s not over 4.5-5 m/s, that
mean wind turbine will stand still, not turn moving if wind is coming speed lower than 4 m/s
2.Turby has high rate power at 14 m/s not match and suitable in low spped wind in Thailand
3.If we see power curve, when wind speed is less than 4 m/s this wind turbine will not generate power at all
110
Suggestions:
1.This low speed wind turbine design for low speed with cut- in speed at 2.5 m/s that mean wind
average in BKK is 2-4 m/s not over 4.5-5 m/s, that mean wind turbine will turn and generate power to grid
2.This low speed has low rated power at 8-9 m/s that match and suitable in low speed wind in Thailand
3.If we see power curve, when wind speed is only 2.5 m/s this wind turbine will turn and generate power
111
50kW
112
113
114
Feasibility
1. 4-5 m/s rated power
7-8 m/s
2. plant factor
3. 140-160 ( )
6 kW 8 units in total capacity 48 kW = 6,500,000-7,000,000
4. 1 kW 2,100 2,200 kW-hr (unit) 6 kW
8 48 kW = 6 x 2,200 x 8 = 105,600 kWh (unit)
5. PEA 2.7 adder 4.5 = 7.2
48 kW = 105,600 x 7.2 = 760,320
6. 8-10
7. volume 120 8
116
117
118
119
120
121
Medium T 350-400 C
Solar Tower
Solar Dish
122
123
124
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
Configuration Diagram
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
Solar Trough
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
Pre Feasibility Study Solar Trough and Design for Tesco Green Store
~ 230 C
Trough 2.3 m
Width 25.75 m
151
152
153
PUBLICATION BY:
ENSOL COMPANY LIMITED
ADDRESS:
408/57 Floor 14 Phaholyothin Place Building
Phaholyothin Road, Samsennai,
Phayathai
Bangkok 10400
Thailand
Telephone: +66 2 613 0521. +66 2 613 0522
Fax:
+66 2 613 0520
Email:
Websire:
ensol@ensol.co.th
http://www.ensol.co.th
154