Stats Project

Dom Magliari Kinter 5/16/13

1) Do the San Francisco 49ers, one of m least fa!orite teams, ha!e a "etter #in $ercentage at home o!er the $ast t#ent ears then the %am$a &a &'ccaneers, m fa!orite team( %he

&'cs are m fa!orite team so ) chose to com$are them to the 49ers since the are from *alifornia an+ a lot of $eo$le li,e them aro'n+ this area%&. %am$a &a SF. San Francisco /a) 0 1 . 01 .

/") 2o' #o'l+ ass'me that the ha!e an e3'al chance of #inning at home an+ a#a - Since the are "oth 4F5 teams there sho'l+n6t "e a +ifference "et#een them3) ) chose to 'se a significance le!el of -71 in m test- ) am a $rofessional foot"all $la er #ho is c'rrentl a free agent at the o'ng age of thirt fi!e- Since ) am a free agent ) ha!e the chance to choose a team that has offere+ me a jo"- %he 49ers an+ &'cs ha!e "oth sho#n interest in me an+ no# ) nee+ to +eci+e the t#o- ) #ant to choose the team #ith the highest #in $ercentage at home- ) #ant to go to the S'$er"o#l an+ ) ha!en6t ha+ the chance to et so ) reall nee+ to ma,e the "est $ic,- ) feel that $ic,ing a team #ith a higher #in $ercentage at home #ill hel$ me get there- ) set m significance le!el this lo# so ) +on6t ma,e a t $e one error% $e 1 error 1 %hat #o'l+ "e if o' reject the n'll h $othesis #hich is 0 - ) #o'l+ fig're that the 49ers ha!e a "etter #in $ercentage at home then the &'cs- %his is false "eca'se 0 #o'l+ "e tr'e an+ the &'cs an+ 49ers ha!e an e3'al chance of #inning- ) #o'l+ choose the 49ers an+ "e #rong an+ that #o'l+ "e m t $e 1 error- Some $ro"lems #o'l+ "e that ) chose #rong an+ chose one team thin,ing the #ere "etter at home #hen in fact the are e3'al% $e / error 1 %his #o'l+ "e failing to reject 0 #hen its act'all false- ) #o'l+ fig're that "oth teams #o'l+ ha!e the same chance at #inning at home as the other #hen in fact one

+oes ha!e a higher chance, the 49ers- M $ro"lem #o'l+ "e that ) +i+n6t choose the 49ers, #ho ha+ a higher #in $ercentage at home an+ ) #o'l+n6t choose there team #hen ) thin, the are e3'al4a) %he target $o$'lation #o'l+ "e all the %am$a &a &'ccaneers an+ San Francisco franchises since the formation of the 4F5- 8n+ all the seasons that the ha!e $la e+ an+ e!er season the #ill $la 4") ) #ent an+ got m +ata from %am$a &a &'ccaneers-com an+ San Francisco 49ers-com an+ fo'n+ their sche+'les o!er the $ast t#ent ears from 1993 to /71/ an+ fo'n+ their #ins at

home an+ #ins on the roa+ an+ s'"tracte+ those t#o n'm"ers to get a +ifference- ) +i+ this for the &'cs an+ 49ers for e!er season o!er the $ast t#ent ears-

5) 9e fail to reject the n'll h $othesis- %he +ata +on6t s'$$ort that San Francisco has a "etter home fiel+ a+!antage then the %am$a &a &'ccaneers-

6) ) ha!e a small sam$le si:e of t#ent

ears so its not eno'gh to hel$ re$resent the entire

$o$'lation- %he +ata is also sim$le ran+om +ata from the ears 1993 to /71/ an+ that +oesn6t reflect the $o$'lation- %he sam$le si:e of t#ent ears is to small an+ it nee+s to "e higherears for each one of

;) )f ) ha+ more time to +o this $roject ) #o'l+ ha!e ta,en +ata from fort

these teams- ) also #o'l+ ha!e flo#n into %am$a &a +'ring foot"all season an+ test the #eather to com$are it to San Francisco an+ see the +ifference in #eather- ) #o'l+ +eci+e #hich area ) #o'l+ li,e "etter an+ $erform at "etter- ) #o'l+ also ta,e into acco'nt the coaches, teammates, the strength of the f't're sche+'le of o$$onents, an+ cro#+ atten+ance- <!erall ) nee+ to +eci+e #hich area #o'l+ "e the "est en!ironment for me-