Succes Run Theorem

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Rc = reliability at some time x C = percent confidence ( 90% => C = 0.9 ) n = sample size Note : FPH = -100 ln (R)

Sample size calculation when reliability is given

Confidence Level "Cx100" Reliability "Rc" Sample Size -1+ln(1-C/100)/ln(Rc/100) 96 95 62

Reliability estimate when sample size is given

Confidence Level "Cx100" Reliability "Rc" Sample Size n (given) 89 0.72955 6

% %

% %

Sample Size with Binomial

(some failures expected)

Sample size calculation (Binomial)

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Confidence Level "Cx100" Reliability "Rx100" Number of Failures r Defects Per Hundred (DPH) (FPH = -100 ln (R)) Sample Size n

0.5 (2 1 C , 2( r 1)) 1 R

Reliability estimate when sample size is given

Confidence Level "Cx100" Sample Size n Number of Failures r Reliability (x100) Defects Per Hundred (DPH) (FPH = -100 ln (R))

R 1

0 .5 (2 1 C , 2 ( r 1)) n

90 99 1 1 389

% %

80 25 3 77.9 25

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n = - [2(1-C,2)] / [2 (k) ln(Rlower(t))]

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Sample size calculation (Weibayes)

Rc = reliability at some time x C = percent confidence ( 90% => C = 0.9 ) n = sample size Note : FPH = -100 ln (R) Shape Parameter b Confidence Level "Cx100" Reliability "Rc" Reliability to be demonstrated at time t Test Length (T) Bogie Ratio k (T/t) Sample Size n

2 90 90 1 1.5 1.5 10

% % hrs/km/cycles hrs/km/cycles (same units)