Money Management1

Mean Return =
Volatility =
6.0%
20.0%
0.02%
per day
Chart Max =
35.00
1.26%
per day
Chart Min =
26.00
Years =
Stock Price
Buy 3.0%
Sell 3.0%
Stock Price
0
Portfolio
CAGR = 13.3%
Stock CAGR = 20.5%
Max
Managed drawdown = $4962
2
29.01
29.42
Volatility
1.18%
Daily Returns
Portfolio (scaled)
-0.59%
$30
$54,000
0.04%
$30.01
Average Managed
-0.47%
$53,000 $29.92
0.49%
$30.01
$52,000 $29.81
-1.12%
-1.92%
$29.47
$51,000
0.13%
$29.49
-0.49%
$29.41
$50,000
1.44%
$29.66
30.00
30.56
11
30.35
12
30.54
13
30.96
14
31.13
15
30.67
16
30.82
17
30.49
18
30.89
0.48%
$30.50
$45,000
-1.07%
$30.30
0
10
1.31%
$30.54
19
31.20
1.02%
20
31.89
21
32.28
2.20%
$31.15
$56,000
1.22%
$31.37
22
32.14
23
32.07
-0.42%
$31.30
$54,000 $31.25
-0.23%
24
32.63
1.74%
25
32.64
26
32.71
0.02%
$52,000 $31.58
0.24%
$31.63
1.96%
$30.01
$49,000
1.87%
$30.35
-0.70%
$48,000 $30.22
0.64%
$30.33
1.37%
$47,000 $30.59
0.54%
$30.69
$46,000 $30.41
-1.47%
100
80
9
10
70
$26
29.15
60
$27
50
$28
29.11
40
$29
29.68
30
$30
30.02
20
$31
10
$32
30.00
30.01
Max Stock drawdown = $8329
29.87
0.08%
Portfolio (scaled)
Index
90
$33
0.40
Mean Return
$30.73
Average Stock dr
$31.58
27
32.52
28
33.14
-0.60%
$31.52
$50,000
1.91%
$31.88
29
32.91
-0.69%
30
32.75
-0.49%
$48,000 $31.65
31
32.98
0.70%
32
32.35
33
31.80
-1.91%
$31.42
$46,000
-1.68%
$31.10
34
31.74
35
31.91
36
32.07
0.52%
37
31.23
38
30.84
-2.63%
$42,000 $30.78
0$30.54 10
-1.26%
39
30.70
-0.45%
$30.46
40
30.66
-0.13%
$30.43
41
30.12
-1.77%
$30.11
42
30.47
1.18%
$30.32
43
30.48
0.04%
$30.33
$31.75
$31.79
-0.21%
$31.07
$44,000 $31.17
0.55%
$31.27
44
30.07
-1.36%
$30.08
45
29.42
-2.15%
$29.70
46
28.79
-2.16%
$29.31
47
28.87
0.27%
$29.36
48
29.18
1.07%
$29.55
49
29.35
0.60%
$29.66
50
29.28
-0.25%
$29.62
51
29.28
0.02%
$29.62
52
29.17
-0.40%
$29.55
53
29.26
0.32%
$29.61
54
28.83
-1.46%
$29.34
55
28.72
-0.38%
$29.27
56
28.38
-1.19%
$29.05
57
28.40
0.05%
$29.06
58
28.14
-0.90%
$28.90
59
28.33
0.66%
$29.02
60
28.35
0.09%
$29.04
61
28.42
0.24%
$29.08
62
28.91
1.71%
$29.39
63
28.68
-0.80%
$29.24
64
28.88
0.71%
$29.37
65
29.16
0.97%
$29.55
66
28.88
-0.95%
$29.38
67
29.36
1.66%
$29.68
68
28.94
-1.45%
$29.41
69
29.04
0.36%
$29.48
70
29.67
2.16%
$29.88
71
30.24
1.91%
$30.23
72
30.27
0.11%
$30.25
73
29.85
-1.40%
$29.99
74
30.49
2.15%
$30.39
75
30.91
1.37%
$30.64
76
30.39
-1.68%
$30.33
77
30.23
-0.52%
$30.23
78
29.98
-0.83%
$30.08
79
30.05
0.24%
$30.13
80
30.24
0.63%
$30.24
81
30.56
1.07%
$30.43
82
30.30
-0.86%
$30.28
83
30.90
1.97%
$30.64
84
31.34
1.43%
$30.90
85
31.09
-0.78%
$30.75
86
31.01
-0.28%
$30.70
87
30.23
-2.51%
$30.24
88
30.17
-0.18%
$30.21
89
30.12
-0.16%
$30.18
90
29.72
-1.35%
$29.93
91
30.21
1.65%
$30.23
92
30.62
1.36%
$30.48
93
30.92
0.97%
$30.67
94
30.58
-1.08%
$30.46
95
30.62
0.11%
$30.48
96
30.70
0.29%
$30.54
97
31.22
1.69%
$30.86
98
31.57
1.10%
$31.07
99
32.17
1.90%
$31.44
100
32.35
0.58%
$31.55
2.0%
-2.0%
1000
3.0%
Sell when UP
Buy when DOWN
Starting shares =
Trading percent =
Portfolio CAGR = 13.3%

Stock CAGR = 20.5%
Starting Cash =
$20,000
Cash Growth =
2.00%
Monte Carlo
Iterations
100
0.01%
13.3%
20.5%
0
per day
Portfolio CAGR > Stock

22%
of the time
Buy 3.0%
Sell 3.0%
Shares Held
Equity
0.00
0.00
1000
$30,000
Portfolio drawdown
Portfolio MAX
0.00 Managed0.00
Average
drawdown = 1000
$3851
0.00
0.00
1000
10
Portfolio
$20,000
Shares traded
Portfolio MAX
$30,013
$20,001
$50,000
$6,000
$50,014
$50,000
$29,872
$20,002
$49,875
$50,014
$50,023
$5,000
$49,687
$50,023
$50,023
$50,014
0.00
0.00
1000
$30,020
$20,003
0.00
0.00
1000
$29,683
$20,004
0.00
0.00
1000
$29,113
$20,005
0.00
0.00
1000
$29,150
$20,007
$49,118
$4,000
$49,157
0.00
0.00
1000
$29,006
$20,008
$49,014
$50,023
0.00
0.00
1000
$29,425
$20,009
$50,023
0.00
0.00
1000
$30,003
$20,010
$49,434
$3,000
$50,013
0.00
0.00
1000
$30,564
$20,011
$50,575
$50,575
0.00
0.00
1000
$30,349
$20,012
$50,575
0.00
0.00
1000
$30,543
$20,013
$50,361
$2,000
$50,556
0.00
0.00
1000
$30,962
$20,014
$50,976
0.00
0.00
1000
$31,130
$20,015
$50,976
$1,000
$51,145
0.00
0.00
1000
$30,671
$20,016
$50,688
$51,145
0.00
0.00
1000
$30,818
$20,017
$51,145
$30,489
70
$30,888
$20,018
80
$20,020
$50,836
$0
$50,507
100
$50,908
$31,203
$20,021
0.00
20
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
30
0.00
40
0.00
1000
50
1000
1000
Stock drawdown
31.89
970
0.00 Stock drawdown

0.00
970
Average
= $6548
0.00
0.00
970
10
Cash
Portfolio
60
Stock MAX
$30,934
90
$20,978
$20,980
$31,179
$20,981
$51,913
$9,000
$52,291
$51,145
$51,145
$51,145
$51,913
$52,291
$52,632
$52,716
$6,000
$52,527
$5,000
$53,131
$52,716
$52,909
$4,000
$52,754
$53,131
$52,978
$3,000
$52,368
$53,131
$51,842
$2,000
$51,778
$53,131
$53,131
$31,109
$20,982
0.00
0.00
970
$31,649
$20,983
0.00
0.00
970
$31,656
$20,984
0.00
0.00
970
$31,731
$20,985
0.00
0.00
970
$31,541
$20,986
0.00
0.00
970
$32,143
$20,988
0.00
0.00
970
$31,920
$20,989
0.00
0.00
970
$31,764
$20,990
0.00
0.00
970
$31,987
$20,991
0.00
0.00
970
$31,375
$20,992
0.00
0.00
970
$30,848
$20,993
0.00
0.00
970
$30,783
$20,994
0.00
0.00
970
$30,953
$20,996
0.00
0.00
970
$31,113
$20,997
$51,948
$1,000
$52,109
0.00
300.00
999
50
999
$20,092
80
$20,093
$51,293
$0
100
$50,902
90
$51,224
Sell 30
$52,632
$7,000
$52,641
970
40
$50,575
$52,291
0.00
$31,201
60 $30,808
70
$50,023
$52,160
$8,000
$52,090
0.00
31.23
20
0.00
$50,023
$51,224
Stock
$31,312
$50,023
$52,291
$52,641
$52,716
$53,131
$53,131
$53,131
$53,131
$53,131
Buy 29
$53,131
$53,131
0.00
0.00
999
$30,669
$20,094
$50,764
$53,131
0.00
0.00
999
$30,629
$20,095
$50,724
$53,131
0.00
0.00
999
$30,085
$20,096
$50,182
$53,131
0.00
0.00
999
$30,441
$20,098
$50,539
$53,131
0.00
0.00
999
$30,454
$20,099
$50,553
$53,131
0.00
0.00
999
$30,041
$20,100
$50,140
29.42
0.00
1028
$30,248
$19,247
$49,496
Buy 29
$53,131
$53,131
28.79
0.00
1058
$30,457
$18,385
$48,842
Buy 30
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$30,540
$18,386
$48,926
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$30,868
$18,387
$49,255
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$31,053
$18,388
$49,441
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$30,976
$18,389
$49,364
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$30,982
$18,390
$49,372
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$30,858
$18,391
$49,249
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$30,957
$18,392
$49,348
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$30,505
$18,393
$48,898
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$30,389
$18,394
$48,782
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$30,027
$18,395
$48,422
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$30,043
$18,396
$48,438
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$29,772
$18,397
$48,169
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$29,970
$18,398
$48,367
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$29,997
$18,399
$48,396
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$30,069
$18,400
$48,469
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$30,585
$18,401
$48,985
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$30,339
$18,402
$48,741
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$30,554
$18,403
$48,957
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$30,851
$18,404
$49,255
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$30,558
$18,405
$48,963
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$31,066
$18,406
$49,472
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$30,614
$18,407
$49,021
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1058
$30,724
$18,408
$49,132
0.00
29.67
1026
$30,439
$19,358
$49,797
0.00
0.00
1026
$31,022
$19,359
$50,381
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1026
$31,057
$19,360
$50,417
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1026
$30,622
$19,361
$49,983
0.00
30.49
995
$30,336
$20,308
$50,643
0.00
0.00
995
$30,752
$20,309
$51,061
$53,131
0.00
0.00
995
$30,234
$20,310
$50,544
$53,131
0.00
0.00
995
$30,078
$20,311
$50,388
$53,131
0.00
0.00
995
$29,828
$20,312
$50,140
$53,131
0.00
0.00
995
$29,899
$20,313
$50,212
$53,131
0.00
0.00
995
$30,087
$20,314
$50,401
$53,131
0.00
0.00
995
$30,408
$20,315
$50,723
$53,131
0.00
0.00
995
$30,148
$20,316
$50,464
$53,131
0.00
0.00
995
$30,742
$20,317
$51,060
$53,131
0.00
0.00
995
$31,182
$20,319
$51,501
$53,131
0.00
0.00
995
$30,938
$20,320
$51,258
$53,131
0.00
0.00
995
$30,851
$20,321
$51,172
30.23
0.00
1024
$30,954
$19,445
$50,399
0.00
0.00
1024
$30,898
$19,446
$50,344
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1024
$30,847
$19,447
$50,294
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1024
$30,430
$19,448
$49,878
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1024
$30,933
$19,449
$50,383
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1024
$31,355
$19,451
$50,805
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1024
$31,658
$19,452
$51,109
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1024
$31,316
$19,453
$50,769
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1024
$31,352
$19,454
$50,806
$53,131
$53,131
Sell 32
$53,131
$53,131
Sell 31
$53,131
$53,131
Buy 29
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1024
$31,442
$19,455
$50,897
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1024
$31,973
$19,456
$51,429
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1024
$32,323
$19,457
$51,780
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1024
$32,937
$19,458
$52,395
$53,131
0.00
0.00
1024
$33,127
$19,459
$52,586
$53,131
$4,962
Ratio
Average Managed drawdown = $3851
$8,329
1667
Average Stock drawdown = $6548

Max Managed drawdown = $4962
Max Stock drawdown = $8329
Drawdown: Portfolio vs Stock

$3,851
$6,548
Portfolio drawdown
Stock
Stock MAX
Stock drawdown
$0
$50,000
$50,000
$0
$50,021
$50,021
$0
$0
$139
$49,787
$50,021
$234
$0
$50,033
$50,033
$0
$336
$49,472
$50,033
$561
$905
$48,521
$50,033
$1,512
$866
$48,583
$50,033
$1,450
$1,009
$48,344
$50,033
$1,689
$589
$49,042
$50,033
$991
$10
$50,005
$50,033
$28
$0
$50,941
$50,941
$0
$214
$50,582
$50,941
$358
$19
$50,905
$50,941
$36
$0
$51,603
$51,603
$0
$0
$51,883
$51,883
$0
$457
$51,119
$51,883
$763
$309
$51,364
$51,883
$518
$638
$50,815
$51,883
$1,068
$237
$51,481
$51,883
$402
$0
$52,005
$52,005
$0
$0
$53,152
$53,152
$0
$0
$53,800
$53,800
$0
$131
$53,573
$53,800
$227
$201
$53,451
$53,800
$349
$0
$54,379
$54,379
$0
$0
$54,392
$54,392
$0
$0
$54,520
$54,520
$0
$189
$54,194
$54,520
$327
$0
$55,229
$55,229
$0
$222
$54,846
$55,229
$383
$377
$54,577
$55,229
$652
$153
$54,960
$55,229
$268
$763
$53,910
$55,229
$1,319
$1,289
$53,004
$55,229
$2,225
$1,353
$52,893
$55,229
$2,336
$1,183
$53,183
$55,229
$2,045
$1,021
$53,458
$55,229
$1,771
$1,838
$52,053
$55,229
$3,176
$2,229
$51,399
$55,229
$3,830
$2,367
$51,167
$55,229
$4,062
$2,407
$51,099
$55,229
$4,130
$2,949
$50,192
$55,229
$5,037
$2,592
$50,787
$55,229
$4,442
$2,578
$50,807
$55,229
$4,421
See: http://www.gummy-stuff.org/money-management.htm
$2,990
$50,118
$55,229
$5,111
$3,635
$49,041
$55,229
$6,188
$4,289
$47,979
$55,229
$7,250
$4,205
$48,109
$55,229
$7,119
$3,876
$48,626
$55,229
$6,603
$3,690
$48,918
$55,229
$6,311
$3,766
$48,796
$55,229
$6,433
$3,759
$48,806
$55,229
$6,423
$3,882
$48,610
$55,229
$6,619
$3,782
$48,766
$55,229
$6,463
$4,233
$48,054
$55,229
$7,175
$4,348
$47,871
$55,229
$7,358
$4,709
$47,301
$55,229
$7,927
$4,692
$47,326
$55,229
$7,903
$4,962
$46,900
$55,229
$8,329
$4,763
$47,211
$55,229
$8,018
$4,735
$47,254
$55,229
$7,975
$4,662
$47,368
$55,229
$7,861
$4,145
$48,180
$55,229
$7,049
$4,389
$47,794
$55,229
$7,435
$4,174
$48,131
$55,229
$7,098
$3,876
$48,599
$55,229
$6,630
$4,168
$48,138
$55,229
$7,091
$3,659
$48,938
$55,229
$6,291
$4,110
$48,226
$55,229
$7,003
$3,999
$48,399
$55,229
$6,830
$3,333
$49,446
$55,229
$5,782
$2,750
$50,393
$55,229
$4,836
$2,713
$50,450
$55,229
$4,779
$3,148
$49,743
$55,229
$5,486
$2,487
$50,814
$55,229
$4,415
$2,070
$51,511
$55,229
$3,717
$2,587
$50,643
$55,229
$4,585
$2,742
$50,381
$55,229
$4,848
$2,990
$49,964
$55,229
$5,265
$2,918
$50,082
$55,229
$5,146
$2,730
$50,396
$55,229
$4,833
$2,407
$50,935
$55,229
$4,294
$2,667
$50,499
$55,229
$4,730
$2,071
$51,494
$55,229
$3,734
$1,630
$52,231
$55,229
$2,998
$1,873
$51,823
$55,229
$3,406
$1,959
$51,676
$55,229
$3,552
$2,731
$50,381
$55,229
$4,848
$2,787
$50,289
$55,229
$4,939
$2,836
$50,207
$55,229
$5,022
$3,252
$49,528
$55,229
$5,701
$2,748
$50,347
$55,229
$4,882
$2,325
$51,033
$55,229
$4,196
$2,021
$51,526
$55,229
$3,703
$2,362
$50,971
$55,229
$4,258
$2,325
$51,029
$55,229
$4,200
$2,234
$51,175
$55,229
$4,054
$1,702
$52,039
$55,229
$3,190
$1,351
$52,609
$55,229
$2,620
$736
$53,609
$55,229
$1,620
$544
$53,918
$55,229
$1,310
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Money Management1

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Mean Return =

Stock CAGR = 20.5%

Portfolio CAGR = 13.3%

Portfolio CAGR > Stock

0.00 Stock drawdown

Average Managed drawdown = $3851

Average Stock drawdown = $6548

Drawdown: Portfolio vs Stock

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