Tasa

Crecimiento

Poblacin estimada 2007 al 2017

Tasa
Intercensal

Poblacin Nacional Estimada segn Departamentos - proyeccin 2008 al 2017

Departamento

1.22653%
0.70814%
0.77110%
1.83834%
1.92787%
0.63372%
1.99200%
1.08864%
1.24954%
0.92410%
1.36454%
0.43803%
1.61637%
1.42762%
1.70145%
2.12114%
2.67890%
1.79066%
1.38048%
1.35070%
1.19645%
1.62124%
1.92516%
1.75878%
2.06766%

Amazonas

1.43265%

Total

Ancash

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

404,216

409,174

414,193

419,273

424,415

429,621

434,890

1,061,653

1,069,171

1,076,743

1,084,368

1,092,047

1,099,780

1,107,568

Apurimac

428,647

431,952

435,283

438,639

442,022

445,430

448,865

Arequipa

1,204,890

1,227,040

1,249,597

1,272,569

1,295,963

1,319,787

1,344,049

Ayacucho
Cajamarca

655,853

668,497

681,385

694,521

707,910

721,558

735,469

1,385,024

1,393,802

1,402,634

1,411,523

1,420,468

1,429,470

1,438,529

Callao

859,979

877,110

894,582

912,402

930,577

949,114

968,020

Cusco

1,210,181

1,223,356

1,236,674

1,250,137

1,263,746

1,277,504

1,291,411

Huancavelica

464,023

469,821

475,691

481,635

487,653

493,747

499,916

Huanuco

751,321

758,264

765,271

772,342

779,480

786,683

793,952

Ica

693,212

702,671

712,260

721,979

731,830

741,817

751,939

Junn

1,106,027

1,110,871

1,115,737

1,120,624

1,125,533

1,130,463

1,135,415

La Libertad

1,615,653

1,641,768

1,668,305

1,695,270

1,722,672

1,750,517

1,778,812

Lambayeque

1,138,954

1,155,214

1,171,706

1,188,434

1,205,400

1,222,609

1,240,063

Lima

8,225,396

8,365,347

8,507,679

8,652,432

8,799,649

8,949,370

9,101,639

941,608

961,581

981,977

1,002,806

1,024,077

1,045,799

1,067,982

99,620

102,288

105,028

107,842

110,731

113,697

116,743

Moquegua

168,018

171,027

174,089

177,206

180,380

183,610

186,897

Pasco

277,965

281,802

285,693

289,637

293,635

297,689

301,798

Piura

1,697,749

1,720,681

1,743,922

1,767,477

1,791,351

1,815,546

1,840,069

Puno

Loreto
Madre de Dios

1,290,751

1,306,194

1,321,822

1,337,637

1,353,641

1,369,837

1,386,226

San Martn

703,090

714,489

726,072

737,843

749,806

761,962

774,315

Tacna

290,657

296,252

301,956

307,769

313,694

319,733

325,888

Tumbes

202,007

205,560

209,176

212,854

216,598

220,408

224,284

Ucayali

427,928

436,776

445,808

455,025

464,434

474,037

483,838

27,304,421

27,700,707

28,103,280

28,512,246

28,927,712

29,349,786

29,778,580

Fuente: INEI Censo Nacional 2005

Elaboracin propia

mentos - proyeccin 2008 al 2017

2015

2016

2017

440,224

445,624

451,090

1,115,411

1,123,310

1,131,264

452,326

455,814

459,329

1,368,758

1,393,920

1,419,545

749,648

764,100

778,831

1,447,645

1,456,819

1,466,052

987,303

1,006,971

1,027,029

1,305,470

1,319,682

1,334,048

506,163

512,488

518,891

801,289

808,694

816,167

762,199

772,600

783,142

1,140,388

1,145,383

1,150,401

1,807,564

1,836,781

1,866,470

1,257,766

1,275,722

1,293,935

9,256,499

9,413,993

9,574,167

1,090,636

1,113,770

1,137,394

119,871

123,082

126,379

190,244

193,651

197,118

305,964

310,188

314,470

1,864,923

1,890,113

1,915,642

1,402,812

1,419,596

1,436,581

786,869

799,626

812,589

332,162

338,557

345,075

228,229

232,243

236,327

493,842

504,053

514,475

30,214,205

30,656,777

31,106,412

Nacional

1.4%

Lima

1.7%

Tasa Crecimiento Intercensal (1993 - 2005)

Poblacin estimada para el departamento de Lima - proyeccin 2008 al 2017

Provincia

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

7,247,664

7,370,875

7,496,179

7,623,615

7,753,216

7,885,021

8,019,066

8,155,390

142,410

144,831

147,293

149,797

152,344

154,934

157,568

160,246

9,948

10,117

10,289

10,464

10,642

10,823

11,007

11,194

Canta

13,827

14,062

14,302

14,545

14,792

15,043

15,299

15,559

Caete

197,972

201,338

204,760

208,241

211,782

215,382

219,043

222,767

Huaral

166,411

169,240

172,117

175,043

178,019

181,045

184,123

187,253

64,480

65,576

66,691

67,824

68,977

70,150

71,343

72,555

200,628

204,039

207,508

211,035

214,623

218,271

221,982

225,756

18,022

18,329

18,640

18,957

19,280

19,607

19,941

20,280

Lima
Barranca
Cajatambo

Huarochir
Huaura
Oyn
Yauyos
Total

26,193

26,639

27,092

27,552

28,020

28,497

28,981

29,474

8,087,557

8,225,045

8,364,871

8,507,074

8,651,694

8,798,773

8,948,352

9,100,474

Fuente: INEI Censo Nacional 2005

Elaboracin propia

cin 2008 al 2017

2015

2016

2017

8,294,032

8,435,030

8,578,426

162,970

165,741

168,559

11,384

11,578

11,774

15,824

16,093

16,366

226,554

230,405

234,322

190,436

193,674

196,966

73,789

75,043

76,319

229,594

233,497

237,466

20,624

20,975

21,332

29,975

30,485

31,003

9,255,182

9,412,520

9,572,533

Tasa Crecimiento Intercensal (1993 - 2005)

Nacional

1.4%

Lima

1.7%

Poblacin estimada para Lima Metropolitana - Proyeccin 2008 al 2017

Distrito
Ancn

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

30,349

30,865

31,389

31,923

32,466

33,017

33,579

441,432

448,936

456,568

464,330

472,223

480,251

488,415

Barranco

37,110

37,741

38,383

39,035

39,699

40,373

41,060

Brea

82,955

84,365

85,799

87,258

88,741

90,250

91,784

198,556

201,931

205,364

208,855

212,406

216,016

219,689

Ate

Carabayllo
Chaclacayo
Chorrillos
Cieneguilla

41,745

42,454

43,176

43,910

44,656

45,416

46,188

276,216

280,912

285,687

290,544

295,483

300,507

305,615

16,603

16,885

17,172

17,464

17,761

18,063

18,370

Comas

474,959

483,033

491,245

499,596

508,089

516,727

525,511

El Agustino

174,006

176,964

179,972

183,032

186,143

189,308

192,526

Independencia

185,449

188,602

191,808

195,069

198,385

201,758

205,187

61,627

62,675

63,740

64,824

65,926

67,047

68,186

La Molina

130,924

133,150

135,414

137,716

140,057

142,438

144,859

La Victoria

200,085

203,486

206,946

210,464

214,042

217,680

221,381

Lima Cercado

304,890

310,073

315,345

320,706

326,158

331,702

337,341

54,827

55,759

56,707

57,671

58,651

59,648

60,662

Los Olivos

301,413

306,537

311,748

317,048

322,438

327,919

333,494

Lurigancho

95,363

96,984

98,633

100,309

102,015

103,749

105,513

Lurn

58,855

59,856

60,873

61,908

62,961

64,031

65,120

126,579

128,731

130,919

133,145

135,408

137,710

140,051

Miraflores

81,565

82,952

84,362

85,796

87,255

88,738

90,247

Pachacamac

57,604

58,583

59,579

60,592

61,622

62,669

63,735

9,710

9,875

10,043

10,213

10,387

10,564

10,743

214,028

217,666

221,366

225,130

228,957

232,849

236,807

Punta Hermosa

4,919

5,002

5,087

5,174

5,262

5,351

5,442

Punta Negra

4,705

4,785

4,866

4,949

5,033

5,119

5,206

184,912

188,055

191,252

194,503

197,810

201,173

204,593

Jess Mara

Lince

Magdalena del Mar

Pucusana
Puente Piedra

Rimac
San Bartolo
San Borja
San Isidro

6,030

6,133

6,237

6,343

6,451

6,561

6,672

108,092

109,930

111,799

113,699

115,632

117,598

119,597

58,178

59,167

60,173

61,196

62,236

63,294

64,370

S.Juan Lurigancho

854,810

869,342

884,121

899,151

914,436

929,982

945,791

S. Juan Miraflores

352,626

358,621

364,718

370,918

377,223

383,636

390,158

48,657

49,485

50,326

51,181

52,052

52,936

53,836

S.Martn de Porres

588,382

598,385

608,557

618,903

629,424

640,125

651,007

San Miguel

131,383

133,617

135,888

138,198

140,547

142,937

145,367

Santa Anita

169,117

171,992

174,916

177,889

180,913

183,989

187,117

93

94

96

97

99

101

102

10,462

10,640

10,821

11,005

11,192

11,382

11,575

286,835

291,711

296,670

301,714

306,843

312,059

317,364

88,570

90,075

91,607

93,164

94,748

96,358

97,997

386,496

393,066

399,748

406,544

413,455

420,484

427,632

San Lus

Santa Mara del Mar

Santa Rosa
Santiago de Surco
Surquillo
Villa el Salvador
V. Mara del Triunfo

Total

374,215

380,577

387,046

393,626

400,318

407,123

414,044

7,317,339

7,441,700

7,568,176

7,696,802

7,827,614

7,960,650

8,095,948

Fuente: INEI - CENSO Nacional 2005

Elaboracin propia

- Proyeccin 2008 al 2017

2015

2016

2017

34,150

34,730

35,321

496,718

505,163

513,750

41,758

42,468

43,190

93,344

94,931

96,545

223,423

227,222

231,084

46,973

47,771

48,583

310,811

316,094

321,468

18,682

19,000

19,323

534,445

543,530

552,770

195,799

199,128

202,513

208,676

212,223

215,831

69,345

70,524

71,723

147,322

149,826

152,373

225,144

228,972

232,864

343,076

348,908

354,840

61,693

62,742

63,809

339,163

344,929

350,793

107,306

109,131

110,986

66,227

67,353

68,498

142,432

144,854

147,316

91,781

93,341

94,928

64,818

65,920

67,041

10,926

11,112

11,301

240,833

244,927

249,091

5,535

5,629

5,724

5,294

5,384

5,476

208,071

211,608

215,205

6,786

6,901

7,018

121,630

123,698

125,801

65,464

66,577

67,709

961,870

978,222

994,851

396,791

403,536

410,396

54,752

55,682

56,629

662,074

673,329

684,776

147,838

150,351

152,907

190,298

193,533

196,823

104

106

108

11,772

11,972

12,176

322,759

328,246

333,826

99,663

101,357

103,080

434,902

442,295

449,814

421,083

428,242

435,522

8,233,546

8,373,483

8,515,799

ENAHO - INFORME TEC. N 1 - MARZO 2007

Nacional

Lima Metropolitana

Poblacin Censo 2005

26,152,265

6,954,583

Poblacin estimada al 2006

26,518,397

7,072,811

Poblacin estimada al 2007

26,889,654

7,193,049

Tasa Crecimiento
Intercensal (1993 2005)

Condiciones de vida en el Per - Mayo 2006

Algn problema de salud Nacional

55.0%

Algn problema de salud Lima Metrop.

51.2%
Estimacin basada en Condiciones de Vida en el Per: Evolucin 1997-2004 - Pub. Mayo 2006

55.0%
Poblacin estimada que padece algn problema de salud - Proyeccin del 2007 al 2017
Ao

Poblacin Total
nivel Nacional

Padece algn problema

de salud
(55% a nivel nacional)

Poblacin Total Lima

Metropolitana

2007

26,889,654

14,789,310

7,193,049

2008

27,266,109

14,996,360

7,315,331

2009

27,647,835

15,206,309

7,439,691

2010

28,034,905

15,419,198

7,566,166

2011

28,427,393

15,635,066

7,694,791

2012

28,825,377

15,853,957

7,825,602

2013

29,228,932

16,075,913

7,958,637

2014
2015

29,638,137
30,053,071

16,300,975
16,529,189

8,093,934
8,231,531

2016

30,473,814

16,760,598

8,371,467

2017

30,900,447

16,995,246

8,513,782

Fuente: INEI / Censo 2005 / Condiciones de vida en el Per - Mayo 2006

Elaboracin propia

Nacional

1.40%

Lima

1.70%

cin 1997-2004 - Pub. Mayo 2006

51.20%

ma de salud - Proyeccin del 2007 al 2017

Padece algn problema
de salud
(51.2% Lima Metropol.)
3,682,841
3,745,449
3,809,122
3,873,877
3,939,733
4,006,708
4,074,822
4,144,094
4,214,544
4,286,191
4,359,056

Poblacin Atendida en
Hospitales del MINSA a
Nivel Nacional

Poblacin Atendida en
Hospitales del MINSA Lima
Metropolitana

3.8%

5.4%

Poblacin con algn problema de salud, que busca atencin en Hospitales del MINSA - Proyeccin
del 2007 al 2017

Ao

Poblacin con algn problema

de salud
(Nivel nacional)

Atendidos en Hospitales
MINSA
(Nivel Nacional)

2007

14,789,310

561,994

798,623

2008

14,996,360

569,862

809,803

2009

15,206,309

577,840

821,141

2010

15,419,198

585,930

832,637

2011

15,635,066

594,133

844,294

2012

15,853,957

602,450

856,114

2013

16,075,913

610,885

868,099

2014

16,300,975

619,437

880,253

2015

16,529,189

628,109

892,576

2016

16,760,598

636,903

905,072

2017

16,995,246

645,819

917,743

Fuente: INEI / Condiciones de Vida en el Per: Evolucin 1997-2004 - Pub. Mayo 2006
Elaboracin propia

Atendidos en Hospitales
MINSA
(Lima Metropolitana)

Poblacin con algn problema de salud, que busca atencin en el Hospital

Arzobispo Loayza - Proyeccin del 2007 al 2017

Ao

Atendidos en Hospital MINSA

(Lima Metropolitana)

Atendidos en Hospital Arzobispo

Loayza
(26% de Lima
Metropolitana)

2007

798,623

207,642

2008

809,803

210,549

2009

821,141

213,497

2010

832,637

216,486

2011

844,294

219,516

2012

856,114

222,590

2013

868,099

225,706

2014

880,253

228,866

2015

892,576

232,070

2016

905,072

235,319

2017

917,743

238,613

Fuente: INEI / Condiciones de Vida en el Per: Evolucin 1997-2004 - Pub. Mayo 2006
Elaboracin propia

Preferencia
HPTAL. LOAYZA

RATIO
promedio

25% a 30%

2.6537

26.0%

% de preferencia
considerado para el
clculo

Demanda Efectiva Estimada en Nmero de Atenciones Mdicas en Cosulta

Externa del Hospital Arzobispo Loayza - Proyeccin del 2007 al 2017
Ao

Atendidos

Atenciones

2007

207,642

551,019

2008

210,549

558,734

2009

213,497

566,556

2010

216,486

574,488

2011

219,516

582,530

2012

222,590

590,686

2013

225,706

598,956

2014

228,866

607,341

2015

232,070

615,844

2016

235,319

624,465

2017

238,613

633,208

Elaboracin propia

Demanda Efectiva Estimada en nmero de atenciones en el Hospital Arzobispo Loayza - Proyeccin

del 2007 al 2017
Ao

Atenciones Mdicas

Atenciones No Mdicas

Total Atenciones

2007

551,019

60,612

611,631

2008

558,734

61,461

620,194

2009

566,556

62,321

628,877

2010

574,488

63,194

637,681

2011

582,530

64,078

646,609

2012

590,686

64,975

655,661

2013

598,956

65,885

664,841

2014

607,341

66,807

674,148

2015

615,844

67,743

683,586

2016

624,465

68,691

693,157

2017

633,208

69,653

702,861

Elaboracin propia

RATIO DE
CONCENTRACIN
PROMEDIO

2.6537
Ratio de
Concentracin es el N
de veces que una
persona se atiende en
un ao

Atenciones
mdicas
89%

Atenciones No
mdicas
11%